Minnesota Twins
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Rocco Baldelli Joins The 500 Club
Source: https://www.twinkietown.com/2025/7/...s-analytics-tom-kelly-ron-gardenhire-sam-mele
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Photo by Matt Krohn/Getty Images
It’s tougher than ever to be a manager in modern MLB
A couple of weeks ago, Minnesota Twins manager Rocco Baldelli notched the 500th win—all here in MN—of his managerial career. It came—in zany fashion—on a Brooks Lee walk-off squeeze bunt scoring Byron Buxton.
With that milestone, Rocco joined the upper echelon of Twins managers in terms of victories. Only Tom Kelly (1140 from 1986-2001), Ron Gardenhire (1068 from 2002-2014), and Sam Mele (524 from 1961-1967) are ahead of Baldelli (504 from 2019-Present).
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Rocco & Ron!
Before any further analysis of Rocco’s reign, there is a red-lights-flashing, sirens sounding, READ THIS FIRST point that must be addressed:
He will forever be unfairly criticized for handling starting pitchers, if only because every modern MLB manager faces the same malady. Data-crunching has largely proven that fresh arms out of the pen—even of nominal quality—are better than SP’s facing batters a third (or heaven-forbid fourth!) time in a single contest.
Of course, this notion flies in the face of fan enjoyment. We want to see starters succeed deep into games simply for the drama and familiarity. Much like folks in the mid-20th century pouted over the proliferation of relievers and five-man rotations, we now bemoan the banishment of the “starter-setup-maybe LOOGY-closer” game flow.
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Noted “back in my day” connoisseur Jack Morris
We can jaw about this because our jobs aren’t on the line. But imagine—in any line of work—you have analytical data at your disposal prescribing a course of action towards a desired outcome (for baseball: winning). If you deviate from that data and fail, you will likely be held accountable for those decisions (i.e. fired).
So, the infamous “Rocco going to the spreadsheet” criticism—that he’s managing by strict percentages and not “feel of the game”? Setting aside that we’ll momentarily see Rocco’s best managerial campaign occurred when digging deepest into the analytical detritus, one thing I’ll guarantee: Baldelli does not enjoy removing a starter after 5 innings and 80-some pitches with the top of the lineup swinging around for the 3rd time either.
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Should be renamed “The SWR” at this point
He’s doing it because the numbers tell him it is the best chance at victory, and if he doesn’t follow those general principles he’ll be out of uniform in short order.
Pitcher philosophy aside, I think Baldelli’s Twins tenure can be broken down into four unique periods—all perpetuated by the support he received (or didn’t) from Pohlad ownership...
The Bomba Squad (2019-2020)
- What a time to begin a managerial career—the extreme rabbit-ball season and then the 60 game COVID-sprint. Inheriting a slugging squad, Rocco smartly sat back and let them smack their way to two division titles.
Photo by Brace Hemmelgarn/Minnesota Twins/Getty Images![]()
Why over-manage when the next guy will likely hit that exact sign?!
Infusion of Talent (2022)
- After the lost season of 2021, the Pohlads finally made major outside-hire improvements—bringing in Carlos Correa & Sonny Gray. This is when Rocco began developing the formula of riding a couple really solid starters (Gray & Joe Ryan in ’22) to help keep the bullpen fresh, then mixing/matching position players for optimal scenarios. It worked—until everyone got hurt and division-deciding lineups were staffed by Mark Contreras, Sandy Leon, Billy Hamilton, Jermaine Palacios, & Gilberto Celestino. Collapse was the capper.
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You mean you don’t remember the Jermaine Palacios Era?
Depth & Flexibility (2023)
- Baldelli, the front office, & the Pohalds seemed to learn from ’22 foibles—depth is critical. Pablo Lopez was procured to further stabilize starters, while positional depth & flexibility became paramount. Players like Willi Castro, Kyle Farmer, Michael A. Taylor, & Donovan Solano allowed Rocco to pinch hit with impunity (even early in games) and still have defensive coverage on the back end. Rocco rode this formula to a playoff series victory!
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Every position on the diamond could be covered (many twice) by the Farmer/Castro duo
No Support (2024-2025)
- Following 2023’s success, the Pohlad ownership group inexplicably turtled-up in terms of roster improvement—perhaps in anticipation of selling the franchise. As such, Rocco has seen the cupboard slowly empty of hitting & pitching depth (his seeming specialty). Though never bottoming-out entirely, these clubs have not sustained the highs of ‘23 or most of ‘22.
A humorous aside: you know how Rocco often gets criticized for showing little fire on the field? Well, his 19 ejections in 966 games is a 2% rate. Famous umpire tyrant Gardy? 71 heave-hos in 2107 games—or 3%. This of course compared to T.K.’s 5 clubhouse vacays in 2385 games (<1%, .002). So, Rocco isn’t as placid as perceived.
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He can get fired up too!
Add all this up and you start to get a bit of a narrative: when Rocco has a solid cast—whether they be stoic sluggers or flexible fliers—the team does well. When the talent or depth, specifically, is not there? Blasé. In all honesty, this is probably how all but the elite of skippers (the Terry Francona or Bruce Bochy tier) grade out.
One thing I can confidently state: Baldelli has shown a knack for taking a squad that looks to be on death’s doorstep and inexplicably ripping off a long winning streak or prolonged solid stretch of play. Coming out of 2025 All-Star festivities, that is exactly what this club will need to jump back into the AL playoff picture.
Source: https://www.twinkietown.com/2025/7/...s-analytics-tom-kelly-ron-gardenhire-sam-mele