Houston Texans announce playoff bonus for H-Town

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The Houston Texans, in partnership with Reliant, are providing the Texans faithful with a way to soak up the playoff energy. This coming Monday, January 12th, the Texans take on the Pittsburgh Steelers in the AFC Wildcard matchup at Heinz Field.

For those in H-Town, the team announced earlier today they will host a free watch party for the fans at NRG Stadium.

  • Watch the entire game on the massive NRG Stadium videoboard
  • Hear all the hits on H-Town’s best sound system
  • Meet and Greets with Toro, Texans Cheerleaders and more
  • Fan first deals on food & beverages
  • Exclusive playoff merch for sale
  • Free Swarm City Rally Towels for the first 1500 fans in attendance
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Visit the Team site to RSVP

Official Site of the Houston Texans

Source: https://www.battleredblog.com/houst...ston-texans-announce-playoff-bonus-for-h-town
 
Houston Texans statistics: Jayden Higgins, Jaylin Noel vs. Colts

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Welcome to week 18’s edition of the Cyclone tracker! (The last one, shockingly, week one feels like yesterday.)

This is where we have followed our resident weather-themed duo in rookie receivers Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel, both out of Iowa State (hence, the “Cyclone” twins).

As always, there will be analysis, projections, commentary, and relevant updates that happen in real time.

Jayden Higgins, Jaylin Noel statistics vs. Colts

Jayden Higgins​


Position: WR

Projected Week 18 storm path: 4.0 targets, 2.5 receptions, 35.5 yards, 1.1 TD, 12.5 fantasy points

Actual Week 18 path: 5 targets, 2 receptions, 23 yards (11.5 avg.), 1 TD, 10.3 fantasy pts

Total stats through Week 18: 68 targets, 41 receptions, 525 yards (12.8 avg.), 6 TDs, 129.5 fantasy pts

Analysis:
In the second quarter of Sunday’s season finale matchup vs. the Indianapolis Colts, Higgins caught his sixth touchdown pass of the season in the corner of the end zone to give the Texans a 13-10 lead.

On 1st and 10, around the 12-yard line of the Indianapolis Colts, Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud took the snap and rolled to his left on a play-action play design to find Higgins for the toe-drag reception for the score.

With his six scores, Higgins is now second to only wide receiver Tank Dell (7) for most receiving touchdowns for a rookie in Texans history.

Jayden Higgins with what should’ve been his 2nd TD of the game. Guy is going to be a stud.
Dynasty Buy while he’s still cheap
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— Jeff Mueller, PT, DPT (@jmthrivept) January 4, 2026

Even though Higgins’ use has been volatile throughout the course of the season, he has still found ways to be impactful in the limited opportunities afforded to him.

On the team, he currently ranks:

  • 3rd in receiving yards – 525
  • 2nd in yards per reception average – 12.8
  • T-1st in receiving touchdowns – 6
  • Longest catch of the year – 75 yards
  • 3rd in yards per game – 30.9
  • 3rd in receiving 1st downs – 28

Higgins is a big-play waiting to happen, and that bodes well for the Texans’ chances as they head into their AFC Wildcard matchup vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers on MNF.

AFC Wildcard statistical projection: 5.0 targets, 2.5 receptions, 35.5 yards, 1.1 TD, 12.5 fantasy points

———————————————————-

Jaylin Noel​


Position: WR/PR & KR

Projected week 18 storm path: 3 targets, 2.0 receptions, 12.5 yards, 0.1 TD, 9.7 fantasy points

Actual week 18 path: 1 target, 1 reception, 13 yards, 0 TDs, 7 ret, 181 return yards (26.0 yd avg.), 2.3 fantasy pts

Total stats through week 18: 35 targets, 26 receptions, 292 yards (11.2 yd avg.), 1,134 return yards, 2 TDs, 53.3 fantasy pts

Analysis:
Similar to Higgins, Noel has struggled to receive a healthy volume of receiving reps throughout the 2025 season. Regardless of why, Noel was limited in his usage in the passing attack. However, Noel’s impact on special teams was felt almost every week. Specifically, it was in his kick and punt return proficiency.

He finished 13th in the NFL in kick return yards (799) and seventh in punt return yards (335, most for a rookie in franchise history).

Noel has shown himself to be a field-flipper in open space, which has contributed to Houston’s special teams unit being such a weapon throughout the regular season.

When he has been on the field for offense, Noel has caught passes for chunk yardage against various defenses, such as the Seattle Seahawks, San Francisco 49ers, and now the Los Angeles Chargers.

It would be advantageous for the Texans to try and bottle up the flashes that Noel has shown in small sample sizes and attempt to take it on the road with them to Pittsburgh for the AFC Wildcard round.

I. LIFT. WEIGHTS!!!!. -Jaylin Noel

pic.twitter.com/LtA8SXYiYo

— Keylow (@TheyHoedMe) January 4, 2026

AFC Wildcard Statistical Projection: 3 targets, 2.0 receptions, 12.5 yards, 0.1 TD, 9.7 fantasy points

All stats and projections provided courtesy of ESPN, RotoBaller, FantasyPros, Fantasy Data and PFF.

Source: https://www.battleredblog.com/gener...tatistics-jayden-higgins-jaylin-noel-vs-colts
 
Houston Texans NFL Power Rankings: Wildcard Weekend

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Welcome to the final week of the Houston Texans Power rankings! Every year, the power rankings create an interesting chart of the greater football public’s thoughts on the Texans, almost like watching a stock ticker. Their gains and losses week by week mark the thoughts of those bullish and bearish on the Texans alike, and every inflection point tells a story. Out of all my years rounding up the power rankings and throwing my two cents in, this year was by far the most unpredictable.

With Houston’s last victory in the regular season finale against the Indianapolis Colts, they’ve reached a franchise-tying record of 12 wins and tie another franchise record of consecutive wins with their ninth in a row. This is the highest win total quarterback CJ Stroud and head coach DeMeco Ryans have reached while in Houston, and arguably their most impressive season yet considering the gauntlet of playoff teams they faced. Despite the Texans’ many warts on offense and their concession of the AFC South title to the Jacksonville Jaguars, this long win streak has given Texans fans reason to be confident entering the playoffs as a road team. This team just excels at winning close games, and more importantly, the Texans have a defense so overwhelmingly powerful that they’re getting comparisons to the legendary Seattle Seahawks “Legion of Boom” defense of the early 2010s.

Texans Defense:

Minimal blitz
Minimal coverage rotations
Wreak havoc pic.twitter.com/mVrdY52yhZ

— Football Insights 📊 (@fball_insights) December 31, 2025

They are without equal on defense, lifting the Texans all the way back to the top ten positioning they were receiving before the season had started. In fact, where the Texans reside in the rankings now is far, far higher than the spots authors were plugging them in around this time last year, where practically everyone had sold out on Houston entering the postseason. Even the common playoff time slot signaled disinterest: Saturday @ 3:30 PM, a time slot that the Texans have never been able to drum up enough hype to dig out of – until 2025!

So, for the first time ever, the Houston Texans get out of that Saturday afternoon game and onto Monday Night Football to face the Pittsburgh Steelers. A defense that ranks sixth in passing yards/game, fourth in rushing yards/game, fourth in turnover percentage, and second in point differential will take you places you’ve never been before, even all the way to prime time on Monday night…where the Steelers have gone undefeated under head coach Mike Tomlin….

Steelers now have won 23 consecutive home games on Monday Night Football.

The last time the Steelers lost a home game on Monday Night Football was to the New York Giants on October 14, 1991. pic.twitter.com/hkFrMwfcZw

— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) December 16, 2025

Well, I guess the Texans can have the win streak and the good vibes, but they still can’t have everything. Although, if I had to pick the most vulnerable opponent in the playoffs for the Texans to face, it’d be the Steelers. Pittsburgh needed the division rival Ravens to completely lose their pass rush, stop handing the ball off to RB Derrick Henry, throw an interception deep in Baltimore territory, and suffer a missed field goal to win their regular season finale by just two points. The Steelers clearly aren’t a powerhouse, and, seeing that Houston is currently favored by 3 points as the away team, it looks like the general public has finally caught onto the Texans beating those kinds of teams. But, just because they should win might not be enough to shake some pundits’ suspicions of the Texans as a true contender, so where are the Texans ranked entering wildcard weekend of the 2025 NFL season? Well, that’s take a look:

NFL.COM:​

6. Houston Texans (12-5) (Last Week: 8)
Perhaps it’s a sign of growth, but after playing their last eight Wild Card Round games in the Saturday 4:30 p.m. ET slot, the Texans will head to Pittsburgh for a prime-time contestin which they are favored to win. They’ve won nine straight games, seven of them by one score, but they’re undoubtedly a steadier operation than the Steelers right now and clearly have a good opportunity in front of them. Defense travels, and even after their season-worst 30 points allowed to the Colts and their first-time starting QB, the Texans head into the playoffs with the second-best scoring D in the NFL. Houston’s potential lies in how much C.J. Stroud and the offense produce. They’ve been good at taking care of the ball and posting respectable results most weeks, but the output must be kicked up a notch or two in order for the Texans to do some real damage in the playoffs.

BLEACHER REPORT:​

9. Houston Texans (12-5, AFC No. 5 Seed) (Last Week: 9)
The Houston Texans couldn’t overcome a sluggish start to the season and still win the AFC South. However, they won nine straight games to finish the campaign and enter the playoffs about as hot as anyone in either conference.
Houston’s defense is championship-caliber, and we’ve known that for most of the year. What should worry other teams is the fact that the offense has started to find an identity under first-year coordinator Nick Caley.
The Texans haven’t been as consistent offensively as they’d probably like to be at this point in the year. However, they’ve identified budding difference-makers such as rookie wideout Jayden Higgins, rookie running back Woody Marks and second-year back Jawhar Jordan.
Houston has only lost two games since its Week 4 bye. Both came against teams that are now No. 1 seeds in the postseason, and they came by a combined 11 points. This is a team that can win it all.

CBS SPORTS:​

8. Texans (12-5) (Last Week: 8)
They have won nine straight games behind the defense. That unit is dominant and can travel, which it will need to do in the playoffs.

USA TODAY:​

4. Houston Texans (12-5) (Last Week: 7)
Home or away, rain or shine, defense travels. And whether you’re looking at the tape, the stat sheet – the Texans rank No. 1 overall defensively and second in points allowed – or watching it get off the bus, this is as daunting a unit as there is in the league. At the vanguard, DEs Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter, the only duo in the league with at least a dozen sacks apiece in 2025. Did we mention no team is hotter, Houston carrying a nine-game winning streak into the postseason? Relatively speaking, on the other side of the ball, a middling offense hasn’t been nearly as good. Still, QB C.J. Stroud, the Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2023, has generally rebounded from something of a sophomore slump in 2024. Nico Collins, who took Week 18 off, is one of the league’s standout wideouts. Also, middling is just fine on offense if the defense is in its typical form – the Texans needing 23 points or fewer in half of their 12 wins. Another franchise in pursuit of its first championship – and first appearance in the AFC championship game – this could certainly be the year the Texans break through. And lest you’ve forgotten, Houston isn’t some ramshackle, Johnny-come-lately outfit emerging from the (previously) lowly AFC South. This is a seasoned squad under coach DeMeco Ryans, one that’s reached the divisional round two years running and gave the dynastic Chiefs pretty much all they could handle at Arrowhead last January.

YAHOO! SPORTS:​

The Texans were oddly unconcerned about winning Sunday, when a victory would clinch the fifth seed and a much easier first-round matchup against the AFC North champs (which ended up being the Steelers). They won anyway, with Davis Mills leading what could be an important game-winning drive after the Colts took a late lead. The Texans can still make a run as a wild-card team, especially considering they’re favored to win on the road in their playoff opener.

THE ATHLETIC:​

5. Houston Texans (12-5)
Last week: 7
Sunday: Beat Colts 38-30
What’s next: The Steelers
Houston has won nine straight games and, in the first round of the playoffs, gets a vulnerable Pittsburgh team coming off a miracle win. A Texans defense that finished the regular season third in EPA (11.9 per 100 snaps) against Aaron Rodgers might be a mismatch at this point in the veteran quarterback’s career.

PRO FOOTBALL TALK:​

5. Texans (No. 7; 12-5): Bring extra holy water to Pittsburgh.

Average Ranking: 6.29 (Last Week: 7.78)

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It looks like everybody is drinking the Battle Red kool-aid, now! Frankly, I thought the season finale game against the Colts, when paired with the close win Houston had against the lowly Raiders a couple weeks ago, would be enough to scare some pundits out of calling Houston a top ten team. Maybe it was that week 17 Chargers victory, maybe it was something else, but regardless, it looks like everyone is starting to buy what Houston is selling as this is the highest they’ve been ranked all season long. What a way to finish!

In 2023, the Houston Texans rode up the power rankings as the season bucked and turned into an improbable AFC South championship, highlighted by rookie sensations CJ Stroud and Will Anderson Jr. In 2024, the Texans started the season with such an air of high expectations that you could fill a balloon with it…which gradually deflated as disappointing losses mounted.

This year has been very different for this new-era Houston Texans team. Already proven to be a good, but not great football team with the current leadership, the 2025 Texans had not earned enough trust from all pundits to hold back their suspicions of a radical rebuild of the entire offense surrounding CJ Stroud during the offseason. Some still saw the Texans as a top ten team capable of anything, while many others elected to place them in as neutral of a position as possible: #15 or #16 of 32.

Those trepidatious rankings turned out to be Houston’s high watermark for much of the season, as things got ugly in a hurry. An 0-3 start was enough for many authors to practically exile the Texans into the bottom quarter of the rankings, which felt justifiable after that 6-0 loss in Jacksonville. From that point on, however, the Texans began to assemble into a gradually more impressive football team by the week, creating plenty of discrepancies between authors each week of the power rankings. Just take a look at the week-by-week timeline I’ve listed below of the Texans’ average ranking based on nine different publications:

Week 1: 13.00 (Beginning of season)
Week 2: 16.45 (Following loss to Los Angeles Rams)
Week 3: 18.67 (Following loss to Tampa Bay Buccaneers)
Week 4: 23.33 (Following loss to Jacksonville Jaguars)
Week 5: 22.11 (Following win over Tennessee Titans)
Week 6: 18.56 (Following win over Baltimore Ravens)
Week 7: 19.89 (Bye Week)
Week 8: 22.33 (Following loss to Seattle Seahawks)
Week 9: 16.44 (Following win over San Francisco 49ers)
Week 10: 19.56 (Following loss to Denver Broncos)
Week 11: 16.89 (Following win over Jacksonville Jaguars)
Week 12: 18.00 (Following win over Tennessee Titans)
Week 13: 15.11 (Following win over Buffalo Bills)
Week 14: 11.89 (Following win over Indianapolis Colts)
Week 15: 9.11 (Following win over Kansas City Chiefs)
Week 16: 7.67 (Following win over Arizona Cardinals)
Week 17: 8.89 (Following win over Las Vegas Raiders)
Week 18: 7.78 (Following win over Los Angeles Chargers)
Week 19: 6.29 (Following win over Indianapolis Colts)

It really was a rollercoaster ride all season long. From the precipitous fall down the rankings in the first month of the season, to the muddled middle as Houston navigated their rough midseason slate, to the gradual rise from week 12 onward, there was never a dull moment in this Texans season. Just taking a glance at the average between weeks 5 to 13 reveals how confusing this team was to everyone, with their ranking jumping up and down every week. After their defeat of the Bills and Colts, the national opinion of the Texans began to warm, marking the first steps of one of the greatest midseason resurgences I’ve ever witnessed. Just from week 8 to to week 14, the Texans had seen their average rise 10 spaces, leap-frogging a third of the league in that timeframe.

This dramatic rise in the latter half of the regular season is a testament to how great Houston’s defense has been playing. This period of time encompasses Houston’s crushing loss to the Seahawks, the entire Davis Mills interim period while CJ Stroud nursed a concussion suffered in week 9, numerous injuries to the offensive line and defensive backfield, as well as one of Houston’s worst stretches on offense of the season. Throughout all of this tumult, Will Anderson Jr., Danielle Hunter, Sheldon Rankins, Tim Settle Jr., and Tommy Togiai tore through opposing teams like a hot knife through butter. Behind them, LBs Azeez Al-Shaair and Henry To’oTo’o logged another great season together, crushing running backs against their shoulder pads. And then, in the secondary roamed a cornucopia of lanky, ball-hawk defenders such as CBs Derek Stingley and Kamari Lassiter, S Jalen Pitre, and S Calen Bullock.

All of these players made game-winning plays in Houston’s win streak, and they’ll be looking to do more of the same against the Steelers Monday night. I dare QB Aaron Rodgers to try and drop back against a defensive line like this. I dare him to try his luck throwing the ball towards Derek Stingley Jr. or Kamari Lassiter. I dare RB Jaylen Warren to challenge Azeez Al-Shaair, I dare CB Joey Porter Jr. to try and cover Nico Collins, and I dare Patrick Queen to try and deal with RB Woody Marks. These Steelers players are all great players in their own right, but this Texans team is on fire, and it’ll take a little more than a Monday night win-streak for the Steelers to contain them.

I hope all the yinzers in Acrisure stadium will be ready for 60 minutes of grinding football action, highlighted by the Houston’s defensive line controlling the game, and K Ka’imi Fairbairn exercising those demons that haunt all field goal kickers that step foot inside that stadium. I expect an ugly game where Houston will win a close one, as they always do, 24-21

What do you think, though? Will the Texans grind it out to their third playoff win of the CJ Stroud era, or will this game go wide right like that Ravens missed field goal? It was another great year of tallying the power rankings, let’s hope that the Texans finish next year even higher than this year!

GO TEXANS!!!

Source: https://www.battleredblog.com/houst...on-texans-nfl-power-rankings-wildcard-weekend
 
BREAKING: Texans S Jaylen Reed Returns to Practice

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The Houston Texans got some welcome news on Thursday, with Jonathan M. Alexander reporting that a source has told the Houston Chronicle that rookie safety Jaylen Reed is expected to return to practice after missing the last five games due to breaking a metal plate in his forearm during Houston’s week 13 matchup with the Indianapolis Colts.

#Texans rookie safety Jaylen Reed is expected to be designated to return to practice today, a source told the @HoustonChron.

Positive news for the Texans, who were thin at safety.

More on that ⬇️: https://t.co/YLor2aGMOM

— Jonathan M Alexander (@jonmalexander) January 8, 2026

Jaylen Reed, a sixth round pick in the 2025 NFL Draft out of Penn State, had been thrust onto the field for the Buffalo Bills game in week 12 due to a cacophony of bad luck at the safety position. Starting safety M.J. Stewart suffered a torn ACL earlier in week 10, and the release of C.J. Gardner Johnson in week 3 caused Houston to reach deeper into their depth chart, giving Reed a chance to impress on a big stage. It was his first time playing on defense this season and he finished with 12 tackles and a crucial fumble recovery in the third quarter. The following week, Reed made his first start against the Colts, and actually made a pretty impressive tackle on the play when he broke the plate in his forearm.

S Jaylen Reed has returned to practice and been Designated for Return.

— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) January 8, 2026

During a press conference, head coach DeMeco Ryans initially expressed optimism that Reed would avoid injured reserve and return to the starting lineup, but Reed would be subsequently placed on IR soon afterwards. Reed’s position as safety was then filled by Myles Bryant and then K’Von Wallace to finish the season, who both had their good and bad moments in the backfield. With Jaylen Reed now expected to return from injury before Houston’s wildcard game against the Pittsburgh Steelers, the Texans will be getting another quality DB just in time for their biggest game of the season.

What do you think of this news? Will Jaylen Reed make a triumphant return to the starting lineup, or would you rather see Myles Bryant or K’Von Wallace get the nod? Let us know in the comments below!

GO TEXANS!!!

#Texans rookie safety Jaylen Reed first practice back after being designated for return after recovery from forearm surgery for broken metal plate from college injury @KPRC2 https://t.co/MyHwOzH7zm pic.twitter.com/PbIslIFPqo

— Aaron Wilson (@AaronWilson_NFL) January 8, 2026
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Source: https://www.battleredblog.com/general/73630/breaking-texans-s-jaylen-reed-returns-to-practice
 
Houston Texans Draft Prospects in the College Football Playoff Semifinals

Scouting during the CFP Semis for the Houston Texans 2026 NFL Draft


We’re just over 100 days away from the NFL Draft, and while the Houston Texans’ hopes are still alive for their first ever Super Bowl, there are multiple potential Houston Texans playing in the College Football Playoff Semifinals. Below is a list of players for each remaining team in the playoffs who are expected to get drafted in April’s NFL Draft at the positions of need for the Houston Texans.

Positions of Need: RB, DT, OG, OT, S, TE

Miami vs Ole Miss – Thursday, January 8th​


Miami

  • Francis Mauigoa, RT, #61
    • The top right tackle in the draft, Mauigoa balances raw athleticism with elite technique. His length, active footwork, and wide frame forecasts him a Pr0 Bowl tackle in the making.
  • Mark Fletcher Jr. RB, #4
    • Fletcher has yet to commit to this NFL Draft class, but he’s been a sensational asset to their offense this season as their starter. Three years of production and improved stats each year.
  • James Brockermeyer, C, #52
    • Fort Worth, Texas native with elite family lineage, Brockermeyer has been a revelation at center for Miami’s offense. He’s bounced around college football for years and is a developmental, high-upside pick.

Ole Miss

  • Dae’Quan Wright, TE, #8
    • Big-bodied tight end with elite break-away speed. Currently projected as a Day-Three project with high upside in the passing game, but a frame that can develop as an in-line blocker.
  • Diego Pounds, OT, #61
    • Three years of starting experience between Ole Miss and North Carolina, the massive 6’6, 335 pound Pounds has one of the best true pass blocking grades in the nation on a team that passes the ball a lot.
  • Zxavian Harris, DT, #51
    • It’s hard to miss Harris and his gigantic 6’8 frame on the interior of Ole Miss’ line. If he can stack up against Miami’s front, he’ll skyrocket up draft boards.

Oregon vs Indiana – Friday, January 9th​


Oregon

  • Kenyon Sadiq, TE, #18
    • The top tight end in the class, Sadiq is an all-world athlete. Drops, footwork, and improved blocking are of need, but his undeniable athleticism makes him a first-round prospect worth watching during this game.
  • A’Mauri Washington, DT, #52
    • They don’t make many athletes like Washington, weighing in at 6’3, 330 pounds. He is tenacious, athletic, and shows real get off the line of scrimmage. His ability to shed blockers is top in this class, and his pass rushing potential is extremely high given his horizontal movement skills.
  • Emmanuel Pregnon, LG, #75
    • Houston’s ideal first round choice of now, Pregnon is an earth mover with good footwork and active hands in the run game. His kick-slide in the passing game is great, but watch for sacks on his side when lineman cross his face.
  • Dillon Thieneman, S, #31
    • The do-everything safety for Thieneman is the cleanup-crew for the ducks. He’s a form tackler with straight-line speed for days. A Day Two pick at the current moment and top five safety in the class.
  • Isaiah World, OT, #76
    • World has prototypical LT size at 6’8 and has accumulated over starting 2,400 snaps. While his big frame can be slow to move at times, he has the right footwork and skillset to make it in the league.

Indiana

  • Carter Smith, OT, #65
    • Pure Left tackle for three seasons with elite true pass block grades and zero sacks given up this season.
  • Pat Coogan, OC, #78
    • Two years starting at center for the Hoosiers and one at left guard for Notre Dame, Coogan is one of the highest-graded centers in the nation. Coogan was picked as the Rose Bowl offensive MVP and is a team favorite amongst the players.

Source: https://www.battleredblog.com/houst...ts-in-the-college-football-playoff-semifinals
 
Poll: Are the Texans getting better heading into the postseason?

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Welcome to SB Nation Reacts, a survey of fans across the NFL. Throughout the year we ask questions of the most plugged-in Texans fans and fans across the country. Sign up here to participate in the weekly emailed surveys.

Heading into the playoffs, we want to know how you’re feeling after watching the team so far this year. Every week of the season we will ask fans if they are confident the team is headed in the right direction and more of the most pressing questions facing the coming game. Let us know what you think!

Source: https://www.battleredblog.com/houst...ns-getting-better-heading-into-the-postseason
 
Value of Things: It’s time for change

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This is one of those rants that always has to come before something happens. Sour grapes never taste good and they don’t taste good as commentary. Usually, in this spot we would talk about something related to the Texans, but this is the week where these kinds of discussions pop up and everyone complains. Yet, nothing ever seems to be done about the problem.

Divisions exist in every sport as a practical matter. In almost every sport there are more games played within the division. MLB has moved to a balanced schedule, but I’m not sure that was the best move. Of course, we aren’t here to talk about baseball today. They play two games in the NFL within the division and they play more games in the division in the NBA than outside the division. As a practical matter, teams within the division are usually close geographically. We can pick on obvious exceptions to that rule, but when realignment occurs, it almost always moves teams closer together.

Therefore, most of the rivalries in the NFL are divisional rivalries. You play them twice a year and there is usually more at stake. That’s how it should be. However, the NBA has figured out that fans do not want to see inferior teams getting preferential treatment. Playoff seeding occurs based on overall record and overall record alone. Division winners automatically are allowed into the playoffs, but with five team divisions, it usually is not a consideration or a problem.

The counterpoint in the NFL is that basing the playoffs completely on won-loss record would minimize divisional games and divisional rivalries. I absolutely want every division represented in the playoffs and most fans do. We just don’t want a crappy team to get a fourth seed because it plays in a crappy division. I echo this even though the Texans have benefitted from this arrangement in most of the years that they have gone to the playoffs.

Continuing to do it the old way creates two unique situations that are extremely problematic. First, it pits a road team with a superior record against a home team with an inferior record. This makes absolutely zero sense. In each of the past two seasons, we have had a 17th game decide the difference between the one seed and the fifth seed. This is pure silliness. That of course spills us over into the second problem. You will always have a matchup between mismatched teams and those matchups will not generate fan interest, eyeballs, and ultimately cold hard cash for the league.

Obviously, detractors will come back with the idea that we should not change something for a once in a lifetime circumstance. How often do 8-9 teams win the division anyway? Aren’t we overreacting to something that is an anomaly? Perhaps, but then I would want to put that to the test. How often does a bad team wind up as a fourth seed in the conference?

2025- Carolina Panthers 8-9

2023- Tampa Bay Bucs 9-8

2022- Tampa Bay Bucs 8-9, Jacksonville Jaguars 9-8

2020- Washington Football Team 7-9

2019- Philadelphia Eagles 9-7

2016- Houston Texans 9-7

So, seven teams in the last ten seasons have won their division with fewer than ten wins. Sure, we could certainly blame this on the NFC and AFC South. Those divisions have been relative dumpster fires in the last decade, but the fact remains that when you have eight divisions and four teams in each division then odds are pretty good that one of those divisions will be bad. Amazingly, three teams in the last ten years have won their division with a losing record.

Cinderella is a thing. The NCAA tournament has automatic bids every year that go to teams that miraculously win their conference tournament after sucking most of the season. Those fan bases deserve a boost and few want to deprive those teams of a playoff bid. Still, do we need to give the Panthers the four seed? Does it really make sense for a 12 win Rams team to go on the road to an eight win Panthers team? Does it make sense for a 12 win Texans team to go on the road to a ten win Steelers team?

I take no issue with those teams being in, but the NCAA and NBA have figured this out and they figured it out a long time ago. Those Cinderella teams are going to get their doors blown off anyway so why not reward the second best team in the conference and guarantee that those three versus six and four versus five matchups will be compelling for television audiences?

NFC Playoffs reshaped

  • Carolina Panthers at Los Angeles Rams
  • Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers
  • Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears

Notice how the matchups don’t even change. We just flip the location for two of the three games. It is not the Rams or 49ers fault that they played in the NFL’s best division. Their records say they were the second and third best teams in the conference. So, they should get those home games. In general, fans want to see the best teams advance and everyone wants those teams to get rewarded for being good.

AFC Playoffs Reshaped

  • Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots
  • Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars
  • Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans

Obviously, this is a more difficult matchup for the Texans, but it is more appropriate. The Texans were the fourth best team in the conference, so they deserve the home game. It would also be a more intriguing matchup than what they have on Monday night. No one is saying the Steelers shouldn’t be in, but they should not be rewarded for being mediocre in a bad division. Before anyone points this out, the Texans didn’t either in all of those seasons where they were going 10-6 or 9-7.

Source: https://www.battleredblog.com/houston-texans-analysis/73600/value-of-things-its-time-for-change
 
3 Texans Make All-Pro List

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The Associated Press just released their first team NFL All-Pro roster for 2025, and two Texans players have made the list:

  • DE Will Anderson Jr.
  • CB Derek Stingley Jr.

In addition, the Texans also had one more player selected for their second team All-Pro roster:

  • DE Danielle Hunter

This is Will Anderson’s first first team All-Pro selection, Derek Stingley’s second first team All-Pro selection (2024), and Danielle Hunter’s second second team All-Pro selection (2018).

Elite Company. pic.twitter.com/IuivM7qubK

— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) January 10, 2026

These are three of the very best players on Houston’s #1 ranked defense, which has held opposing offenses to an average of just 17.4 points per game. Will Anderson finished the regular season with 17 starts, 54 tackles, 12.0 Sacks, 23 QB hits, 20 TFLs, 3 pass deflections, 3 forced fumbles, 1 fumble returned for a touchdown, and an overall PFF grade of 92.3. His partner in crime on the defensive line, Danielle Hunter, finished the regular season with 17 starts, 54 tackles, 15.0 sacks, 22 QB hits, 15 TFLs, 3 pass deflections, 3 forced fumbles, 1 fumble recovery, and an overall PFF grade of 89.3. No doubt, Hunter and Anderson make up the most fearsome edge-rushing duo in the NFL, and they are very deserving of their All-Pro honors.

Who’s cutting the onions 🥹

via @RobMaaddi pic.twitter.com/BUxG9zgX3u

— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) January 10, 2026

Derek Stingley is making is second consecutive first team All-Pro appearance, establishing himself as one of the premier cornerbacks in the country. He finished the regular season with 17 starts, 36 tackles, 1 tackle for loss, 15 pass deflections, 1 forced fumble, 4 interceptions, 1 interception returned for a touchdown, and an overall PFF grade of 69.0. He also held opposing quarterbacks to an average passer rating of just 67.4 and opposing wide receivers to a reception percentage of just 52.3%. Now with multiple great years under his belt, Stingley has proven to be one of the NFL’s most gifted and athletic boundary playmakers. This also marks the first time all three Texans players didn’t miss a single regular season game, a remarkable feat considering how hard their defense plays every snap.

#Texans CB Derek Stingley Jr. on his second first-team All-Pro nod, and facing the Steelers and DK Metcalf. pic.twitter.com/bh1tjeJ12c

— Jonathan M Alexander (@jonmalexander) January 10, 2026

What do you think of this announcement? Should Danielle Hunter have been a first team All-Pro selection? Are there any Texans players that you think should be joining these three players on the All-Pro roster? Maybe…CB Kamari Lassiter? LB Azeez Al-Shaair? S Jalen Pitre? Even WR Nico Collins? Let us know down in the comments below!

Go Texans!!!!

Source: https://www.battleredblog.com/general/73662/3-texans-make-all-pro-list
 
Houston Texans vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: Injury Report

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The Houston Texans are playoff-bound and set to face the Pittsburgh Steelers on the road. This will mark the first time in franchise history that the Texans enter the postseason as a Wild Card team. In every previous playoff appearance, Houston qualified as a division winner.

This matchup could turn into a defensive battle, but both teams have enough offensive firepower to make things very interesting.

Here is a look at Friday’s injury report:

Did Not Participate


-RB Jawhar Jordan (Ankle)

Full Participation


-CB Derek Stingley Jr. (Oblique)

-DT Sheldon Rankins (Elbow)

-LT Aireontae Ersery (Thumb)

-S Jaylen Reed (Forearm)

-LB Jamal Hill (Calf / Wrist)

Limited Participation


-OT Trent Brown (Ankle / Knee)

-OL Tytus Howard (Ankle)

-CB Kamari Lassiter (Knee / Ankle)

-DE Denico Autry (Knee)

From a health standpoint, the Texans are in a good place overall. The only notable concern is running back Jawhar Jordan, who suffered an injury on a hip-drop tackle against the Colts. If he’s unable to go, Nick Chubb and Dare Ogunbowale would be in line to see increased snaps.

Source: https://www.battleredblog.com/houst...n-texans-vs-pittsburgh-steelers-injury-report
 
Texans Stats – Wildcard Edition: Texans vs Steelers

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For the 1st time in franchise history, the Houston Texans are a wildcard team in the NFL playoffs. Another novelty: their playoff run doesn’t start on Saturday in the opening slot. Monday Night Football will see the Texans face off against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

For those with really long memories, the Houston vs Pittsburgh playoff rivalry was a big deal during the Steelers initial Super Bowl era. Earl Campbell, Terry Bradshaw, Dan Pastorini, Jack Lambert. So many NFL legends went to war in those games.

Unfortunately for H-Town, the Steel City came out on top again and again in those storied matchups.

In the no-longer-existing AFC Central division, the Oilers and Steelers met twice a year, and 2 times in the AFC Championship game. In that era, the Steelers won 4 Super Bowls, while the Oilers ended their existence with none.

Jumping ahead to the new era of H-Town pro ball, the Texans have historically struggled in night games. Going into Monday night’s game, the Steelers lead the series between the 2 franchises 5-3.

NFL teams relying on kickers to generate the lion’s share of their offense tend to struggle in outdoor games in bad weather. The forecast as of this writing for Monday night in Pitt is 34* with 10mph, swirling winds and a 50% chance of precipitation.

Dome teams often struggle in winter, outdoor stadiums.

Those are all valid, historical reasons to give the edge in this game to the Steelers.

But, there’s another historical note that swings in H-Town’s favor: Defense wins championships.

Houston head coach Demeco Ryans and defensive coordinator Matt Burke have assembled, empowered and run an absolute lights out defense all season. If you listen to the NFL talking heads, the Texans are the team no other AFC contender wants to face in the playoffs, rightfully so.

And, numerous prognosticators already have the Super Bowl set as the Texans vs the Los Angeles Rams.

Danielle Hunter and Will Anderson Jr. will make Aaron Rodgers’ night absolutely miserable. And, just when the Steelers o-line thinks they have those 2 game-wreckers figured out, Tommy Togiai, Azeez Al-Shaair, Jalen Pitre and Kamari Lassiter are going to make plays.

Another historical marker to watch: dominant defenses playing in inclement weather tend to have slobber-knocker, knuckle-dragging, gut-grinding games with low scores and lots of violence.

How long can 4000 year old Rodgers survive the brutality of the Swarm City dawgs? Unless he has access to Brett Favre’s painkiller collection, there’s a solid chance he doesn’t play the full game.

In more recent history, Houston’s OC still hasn’t figured out how to consistently call positive offensive plays. Facing the T.J. Watt led Steel Curtain, Nick Caley is going to need to channel his inner Bulls on Parade or the Texans’ playoff run will be NFL (not for long).

Houston Texans Wildcard Playoff Stats​

  • TEXANS qualified for postseason for 3rd consecutive season. Became 5th team since 1990 to begin 0-3 & qualify for postseason. Won 12 games in a season for 2nd time in franchise history (2012).
  • QB C.J. STROUD passed for 3,041 yards & 19 TD passes in 2025. Can become 4th QB ever to start & win playoff game in each of 1st 3 seasons. Aims for his 7th in row on road with 200+ pass yards.
  • RB WOODY MARKS ranks 6th among rookies with 703 rush yards in 2025. Aims for his 3rd in row on road with 75+ scrimmage yards.
  • WR NICO COLLINS led team with 1,132 scrimmage yards & ranked tied-9th in NFL with 1,117 rec. yards in 2025. Is 1 of 4 WRs with 1,000+ scrimmage yards & 5+ TDs in each of past 3 seasons. Has 5+ receptions in each of his 4 career playoff games. Made 2nd-career Pro Bowl in 2025.
  • WR JAYDEN HIGGINS ranked tied-2nd among rookies with 6 rec. TDs in 2025. Had 2nd-most rec. TDs by rookie in franchise history.
  • TE DALTON SCHULTZ ranked 3rd among TEs in receptions (82) & 6th in rec. yards (777) in 2025.
  • DE DANIELLE HUNTER ranked 3rd in NFL with 15 sacks in 2025, 7th-career season with 10+ sacks. Aims for his 5th in row with sack.
  • DE WILL ANDERSON ranked tied-4th in NFL with career-high 20 TFL & had career- high 12 sacks in 2025, as he & Hunter were 1 of 3 pair of teammates each with 10+ sacks. Made 2nd-career Pro Bowl in 2025.
  • LB AZEEZ AL-SHAAIR led team with 103 tackles in 2025, 3rd-career season with 100+ tackles. Aims for his 3rd in row with 5+ tackles & PD. Made 1st-career Pro Bowl in 2025.
  • LB HENRY TO’OTO’O had career-high 9 TFL & 4 PD in 2025.
  • CB KAMARI LASSITER ranked tied-5th in NFL with career-high 17 PD in 2025. Aims for his 4th in row with PD.
  • CB DEREK STINGLEY had 15 PD this season, as he & Lassiter were 1 of 2 pair of teammates each with 15+ PD. Made 2nd-career Pro Bowl in 2025.

Caley has leaned heavily on kicker Ka’imi Fairbairn all season to get points when Caley’s play calling has failed to do so otherwise. Relying on that in Pittsburgh on Monday night is likely not going to go the way Caley wants, unfortunately.

#Texans K Ka’imi Fairbairn named AFC Special Teams Player of the Week. He made all 6 FG attempts (51, 48, 29, 43, 44, 43) in Houston’s 38-30 victory vs Colts
🏈He tied David Akers (2011) for most FGM (44) in a season in NFL history
🏈He tied Randy Bullock for most FGM (6) in a… pic.twitter.com/JS3GXAz8wW

— Adam Wexler (@AdamJWexler) January 7, 2026

As much of a stud kicker as Fairbairn is and has been his whole career, the Steelers stadium is notoriously kicker unfriendly. Booting the ball on the carpet in NRG is one thing. Doing it in the open air venue is an entirely different thing. Especially when one end of that stadium opens to the intersection of 3 rivers.

Pittsburgh Steelers Wildcard Playoff Stats​

  • STEELERS won AFC North for 1st time since 2020. Seeking 1st playoff win since 2016. Surpassed 1965-85 Cowboys (21) for most consecutive seasons with .500+ record.
  • QB AARON RODGERS was 1 of 5 QBs with 20+ TD passes (24) & 7-or-fewer INTs (7) this season. Ranks 4th all-time in TD passes (527) & 5th in pass yards (66,274). Needs 79 pass yards to surpass Ben Roethlisberger (5,972) for 3rd-most pass yards ever in playoffs. Needs 2 TD passes to surpass Patrick Mahomes (46) for second-most TD passes ever in playoffs.
  • RB JAYLEN WARREN led team with career-high 1,291 scrimmage yards (958 rush, 333 rec.) in 2025.
  • RB KENNETH GAINWELL set career highs in scrimmage yards (1,023) & TDs (8), as he & Warren were 1 of 4 pairs of teammates each with 1,000+ scrimmage yards & 8+ TDs this season.
  • WR DK METCALF led team with 850 rec. yards in 2025. Aims for his 3rd in row in playoffs with 5+ catches, 95+ rec. yards & 2+ rec. TDs.
  • WR BEN SKOWRONEK made 1st-career Pro Bowl in 2025.
  • DT CAMERON HEYWARD was only DL with 75+ tackles (78), 5+ TFL (9) & 5+ PD (6) in 2025. Aims for his 3rd in row on road with TFL.
  • LB T.J. WATT surpassed HOFer DeMarcus Ware (110.5) for 2nd-most sacks by player in 1st 125 games since 1982. Has 115 sacks since 2017, 5th-most sacks by player in 1st 9 seasons since 1982. Aims for his 4th in row on road with TFL. Made 8th-career Pro Bowl in 2025.
  • LB PATRICK QUEEN led team with 120 tackles, 5th-career season with 100+ tackles. Aims for his 5th in row in playoffs with 5+ tackles.
  • LB ALEX HIGHSMITH led team with 9.5 sacks & tied career-high 15 TFL in 2025. Aims for his 4th in row with 2+ TFL & aims for his 4th in row in playoffs with sack.
  • CB JALEN RAMSEY was only DB with 85+ tackles (88), 5+ PD (8) & 3+ sacks (3) in 2025. Made 8th-career Pro Bowl in 2025. Aims for his 5th in row in playoffs with PD.

Another factor that can’t be ignored from the NFL history books: the impact of officiating. The Steelers, arguably, are the recipients of the most infamous “bad call” ever made: the Immaculate Reception. Had officiating replay existed in the 1970s, that play would have been reversed. Or, at least should have been. Unfortunately, the modern referees make just as many bad calls, despite all the technology at their disposal.

#HOUvsPIT officiating crew cheat sheet

Unlike other #WildCardWeekend crews, Craig Wrolstad's unit is comprised primarily w' his regular season officials w' 1 addition from Cheffers/Eck crews

HOME UNDERDOGS are 26-44-2 (37%) ATS w' Wrolstad since 2016

Pittsburgh is 2-3 ATS as… pic.twitter.com/YgEpzBi84S

— nflrefstats (@nflrefstats1) January 7, 2026

Houston Texans vs Pittsburgh Steelers prediction​


Despite all the historical indicators, stat lines, weather and officiating, 1 thing tends to separate the teams that advance in the playoffs and those that don’t: the will to win.

Demeco Ryans has instilled that in the 2025 Texans and for 9 straight weeks they’ve inflicted that will on their opponents, including wins over the Jacksonville Jaguars, Buffalo Bills, Los Angeles Chargers – all current playoff teams.

Houston Texans – 29

Pittsburgh Steelers – 24

Conventional wisdom has this as a low scoring affair, but the playoffs tend to get, well, wild. Houston will jump out to a big lead, Mike Tomlin, possibly coaching for his job, throws the kitchen sink at the Texans D, but in the end, the H-Town will to win takes it.

Either way, expect a great game between 2 stellar head coaches. Possibly something of a passing-of-the-torch…

Source: https://www.battleredblog.com/houst...ans-stats-wildcard-edition-texans-vs-steelers
 
Texans Initial Analysis and Concerns Facing the Pittsburgh Steelers

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Playoffs. We’ve made it. Houston will face Pittsburgh in the first round and the writers of Battle Red Blog each provided their thoughts and considerations immediately after hearing the Steelers stole a last-second victory over the Baltimore Ravens.

Provide your initial thoughts on Houston’s matchup against the Steelers in the Wild Card. What are you concerned about and where do you think the Texans have an advantage?

VBallRetired:​

I just don’t think the Steelers offense challenges our offense enough. My main concern is the Steelers’ front seven against this Texans offensive line. The Steelers defensive line may wreak some havoc and could cause a key turnover or two.

Secondly, the Texans set the record for field goals which is kind of a dubious honor. Pittsburgh is a tough place to kick as we saw on Sunday night. However, there is nothing to Steelers offense does that worries me, so the worries I’ve listed are relatively minor. If Houston can take care of the ball, they win. Another concern is the kicking conditions considering Houston lives on field goals.

Mike Bullock:​

Saw a reminder earlier of how the last time Aaron Rodgers faced a Demeco Ryans defense in the playoffs and got demolished. And that was a 49ers D that wasn’t at the level of what H-Town has going right now.

My concern is still the same as it has been all season: offensive play calling. Unless Jerome Bettis reveals a free agent clone of his prime self who signs with the Texans, the A-gap running game will be just as ineffective as it has been all year.

One thing I’ve come to realize about this 2025 Texans team is they find a way to win. In years past, players have given up, the team has looked confused, unmotivated, ill-prepared. They continually lost games they could have won, and/or lost by less than a single score. But Ryans has these guys focused on finding ways to win. Mike Tomlin has instilled that in his teams since day one. Meaning, this should be a game with two playoff caliber teams convinced they can will themselves to victory.

That leaves execution as the true matchup to determine who will win. (Well, that and sloppy officiating- but not gonna go there). Which team will make more mistakes? According to NFLpenalties.com the Texans were the 7th most penalized team in the regular season, with 141 flags thrown at them. That amounted to 989 yards given away due to penalties. The Steelers were 7th from the bottom with only 116 hankies, losing 803 yards to them.

RiceBurro.jpg

With turnovers, the other costly mistake, Houston has a +17 differential while the Steelers are at +12. Based on that criteria for making predictions, it seems the Texans will likely win a close one, marked by a costly turnover or two in their favor.

Houston’s offense will benefit from no TJ Watt, and Pittsburgh’s offense will suffer at the hands of Will Anderson Jr and Danielle Hunter. At the end of the day, Anderson and Hunter will likely force Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers into making more mistakes. Edge: Houston. Literally.

Clayton A.:​

Initial thoughts/concerns/advantage perception: The Pittsburgh Steelers were my ideal matchup in the first round for the Texans. Although neither the Ravens nor Steelers looked that intimidating on SNF, I preferred not to chance anything facing Lamar Jackson again (he owns Houston). With that said, DE T.J. Watt and the Steelers’ pass rush will be something to look out for, considering our O-line/situational playcalling tops out at serviceable at best most games. Also, Aaron Rodgers being able to dissect the secondary with his IQ and postseason experince concerns me. As a whole, the Texans need to be careful to not allow Pittsburgh to hang around by making it an ugly game (turnovers + sacks).

Advantage wise, the Steelers have a bottom-5 secondary in the NFL, along with not being that fierce against the run (average-ish). As a whole, they give up the most yards out of all remaining AFC teams. Also, they don’t have a juggernaut of an offense. With them being middle of the pack in scoring production, combined with having to face Houston’s #1 overall/#2 scoring defense, the Texans look to be in prime position to potentially dominate on both sides of the ball.

L4Blitzer:​

You might argue that Houston got the best possible matchup against the Steelers. You could also argue “be careful what you wish for”. Houston’s defensive line should have a major advantage over the Steelers inconsistent line and while DJ Metcalf will be back for Rodgers, if Lassiter is healthy, then the secondary should be able to mitigate his impact. Of course, Houston’s weak offensive interior will have to deal with the threat of the Steelers interior defense, so that could make this a wash. Rodgers may not be what he once was, but he also has never lost to Houston (5-0), to include last season with the Jets.

The weather may not be as brutal next Monday vs. the game against Baltimore, but it is not the easiest place for teams to play, especially kickers. Fairbairn’s been good but remember his performance against the Chiefs in a winter playoff game last year. There is reason for optimism, but don’t sell the Steelers short for this matchup.

Kenneth L.​

This is a tough, gritty, and honestly similar team to the Houston Texans. Their defense is playing the best ball they have all season. I’ve been impressed with Mike Tomlin and his week-in, week-out coaching with one of the most middling rosters in the league. He’s taken a poor team and turned them into a playoff team. How they perform at home will be quite intriguing. .

Houston has to shock the system; they need to get ahead early. Steelers faithful are quick to turn on Tomlin and this team. If Houston can take an early lead, they’ll immediately shift the energy in the stadium and disrupt the balance of an away playoff game.

The big caveat I found is they did not beat a single other playoff team in the regular season. Every game they won came against teams that didn’t make the playoffs. Ideally, that trend continues this week against the Texans.

Source: https://www.battleredblog.com/houst...s-and-concerns-facing-the-pittsburgh-steelers
 
Final Predictions Before Texans-Steelers Wild Card Game

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Houston’s first road Wild Card game in franchise history is upon us. The Texans are bundling up for the game and hopeful playoff run as it will dip just below freezing in Pittsburgh tonight. One of these team’s season will become unbundled; either Houston’s eight-game winning streak will come to an end or Mike Tomlin’s streak of six postseason losses will continue.

I asked the Battle Red Blog writers for their score and predictions for the game. The Steelers faithful blew up our comment section (rightfully so) in the last Groupthink, so be sure provide your predictions in the comment section.

VBallRetired: Texans 20-17​

I think the game goes like every Texans game has gone. The offense will spit and sputter, but a defensive score or turnover in Steelers territory sets them up for one score. After that, it is just enough Stroud and Fairbairn to win another nail-biter. Aaron Rodgers starts talking retirement after this one as Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter combine for three of the team’s five sacks.

Joe Critz: Texans 24-21​

Even though the Texans are a much more talented team than the Steelers on both sides of the ball, I worry about Houston’s reliance on field goals, Pittsburgh’s dominant defensive line, and Jaylen Warren/Kenneth Gainwell.

The Steelers’ d-line, specifically Cam Heyward, Alex Highsmith, and Nick Herbig, could clog up several of C.J. Stroud’s passing lanes, so (Stroud) will need to be quick and decisive if Houston is hoping to pass the ball to victory.

Running the ball well will almost certainly be out of the question for the Texans against this Steelers front, so Stroud will need to play well and play fast.

On Pittsburgh’s offense, they’ve become very reliant on their RB duo and offensive line to get nice gains on first/second down, or for screen passes. Both backs are short, explosive, and very hard to tackle, so Texans LBs Azeez Al-Shaair and Henry To’oTo’o will need to be on their A-game to prevent any big runs from breaking loose. Ashton Jeanty showed how quickly things can get ugly for Houston’s defense if they aren’t prepared.

Then, there’s kicking in that god-forsaken (or blessed?) stadium. You could argue Ka’imi Fairbairn has been the most impactful player for the Texans this entire season thanks to his bountiful field goals, and they’ll probably need to count on him again since the Steelers defense has a knack to bend but not break. Fairbairn will need to handle odd, unpredictable wind gusts in cold weather, which is not an ideal situation considering how important he is to the game for Houston. As long as they can give him attempt inside of 40-45 yards, Fairbairn should be fine.

As for a final score, I’ll go with Texans 24, Steelers 21. I think both teams with score points off of turnovers, and Houston will pull away in the end thanks to another dominant performance from Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter. When they are needed most, they will bring down Aaron Rodgers.

Clayton A. (713 ST): Texans 24-17​

As has been the case all season long, there will most likely be moments in the game where Houston kicks field goals instead of scoring touchdowns, and draws a less than ideal “illegal formation” and/or “illegal man downfield” penalty that kills a drive or two. Thus, the game stays closer than it should until they pull away late and grind the clock out.

Pittsburgh will try to make the game ugly by sending pressure and looking for turnovers, but ultimately their secondary woes and inability to protect Rodgers will prove to be their downfall.

Houston’s defense will re-establish itself as the concrete best unit remaining in the AFC by way of their own turnover and sack generation. Although, I am looking at Pittsburgh RBs Gainwell and Warren to be a problem in the receiving game, specifically when matched up with linebackers in coverage (Henry To’oTo’o).

L4Blitzer: Texans 20-16​

Having established that this could be a close/low scoring game, I see two paths. If the Texans play to their potential and don’t let the Steelers magic/bull[ KITTEN] get to them, it will be a standard 20-16 win for Houston. However, if Rodgers, D.K. (aka D.J.) Metcalf, the defensive interior and the aforementioned Steelers aura prove too much, the home team walks away with their 20-16 win. Leaning toward the former prediction, but neither result would shock me.

Kenneth L.: Steelers 20-16​

Partially to be contrarian and partially because my gut says that this will be cold, ugly, and boring game. Three TDs will be scored MAX. I am quite concerned that Houston won’t be able to establish the run and will overly commit to the ground game in a futile effort. This will quell the play action, which has been the most effective aspect of our game. Then, T.J. Watt and Alex Highsmith will be able to pin their ears back and attack C.J. Stroud.

I see this as an offensive struggle where the Texans are in neutral the entire game and that’s the story. I cannot see the Steelers putting up a huge number, but I imagine they’ll have strong field position and crowd energy.

Source: https://www.battleredblog.com/houst...ictions-before-texans-steelers-wild-card-game
 
Texans win their first road playoff game

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The Houston Texans are playing another week of football. It was a familiar script as the Houston Texans offense seemingly ran the ball at will, but inexplicably shot themselves in the foot on several drives. However, that would be burying the lede. It was yet another stellar effort from the Houston Texans defense. They swarmed the Steelers at nearly every turn and sacked Aaron Rodgers four different times until the game was no longer in doubt.

There are always flowers and kudos in these efforts and three different players get theirs on this night. Christian Kirk was a ghost for most of the season and looked like a bust for a player that was expected to be WR2 for much of the year, but for whatever reason it didn’t happen. It happened on Monday night as Kirk exploded for eight catches, 144 yards, and a touchdown. Woody Marks was a huge part of the regular season and that trend continued as he would gain over 100 yards and add a late touchdown.

However, the biggest play of the night came when Sheldon Rankins took a Aaron Rodgers strip sack the distance for a defensive score. That score made it 17-6 and completely changed the tenor of the game. The Texans would go on to add another defensive touchdown from Calen Bullock to make the score 30-6. The game was closer than that for most of it primarily because of three C.J. Stroud turnovers. It was easily the worst playoff performance of his career, but he can now say he has won three playoff games.

It wasn’t all sunshine and roses however. Nico Collins was lost during the third quarter with a concussion and is not likely to get out concussion protocol before next Sunday’s game. However, as long as this defense is humming they have a chance. They move onto play the New England Patriots in Foxboro on Sunday. It is a spot where they have suffered playoff humiliation before. Yet, there is a new sheriff in town and it sets up to be an intense battle between two strong defenses. What do you think of the huge Texans win?

Source: https://www.battleredblog.com/houston-texans-analysis/73681/texans-win-their-first-road-playoff-game
 
Value of Things: By the numbers

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How sweet it is. Three seasons under DeMeco Ryans and three times the Texans have won big on Wild Card weekend. This time they finally won on the road as they smothered the Pittsburgh Steelers and almost literally put Aaron Rodgers into a sleeper hold. The final score will say this one was a blowout and the numbers will probably tell the same tale, but it did not feel like a blowout through the first three and a half quarters. It took a series of great defensive plays to take the issue out of doubt.

We will go over the numbers as we usually do. There were some major differences in this game that allowed for it to deviate at least in part from the normal Texans victory throughout their ten game winning streak. As per usual, we will look at the great, the good, and the bad as well. However, we always start with the numbers and that is where we are focused.

The Numbers​

  • Total Yards: Texans 66/408, Steelers 56/175
  • Rushing Yards: Texans 31/164, Steelers 18/63
  • Passing Yards: Texans 35/244. Steelers 38/112
  • Third Downs: Texans 10/15, Steelers 2/14
  • Fourth Downs: Texans 0/0, Steelers 2/3
  • Sacks: Texans 4, Steelers 3
  • Turnovers: Texans 3, Steelers 2
  • Penalties: Texans 6/44, Steelers 3/24
  • Time of Possession: Texans 32:22, Steelers 27:38

Obviously, the only category that was radically different was the turnovers. It changed the whole complexion of the game in positive and negative ways. Unlike almost every other game this season, the Texans converted both fourth quarter turnovers into immediate points on returns for touchdowns. On the flip side, the Steelers turned one Stroud fumble into three points when their drive stalled out. The other two turnovers probably removed six points from the board. Otherwise, the numbers above look like they do almost every week.

The Great​


Everybody on the field is paid to play football. This isn’t the SEC battling against the Big Sky conference. The talent differential is just not that great. So, the Steelers offense was going to make some plays. D.K. Metcalf is an accomplished wide receiver. We could debate about whether he is a true number one receiver, but that would be getting into the weeds. Aaron Rodgers can still do some things on a football field. Their running backs are still capable of making guys miss on occasion.

Still, that was as thorough a beatdown as I have ever seen. They really only had one drive of note and it resulted in a field goal. The second field goal was handed to them by Stroud in one of the more inexplicable plays of the season. However, the biggest takeaway is that we aren’t surprised. This did not come out of nowhere. They have been doing this all season. The defense outscored the Steelers 14-6. That’s all you really need to know about this football game.

The Good​


This was Nick Caley’s best day as an NFL offensive coordinator. Sure, the Texans had more sparkling performances along the line during the season, but this was the most complete performance by ten out of eleven players on offense. The only hiccup was a stretch late in the third quarter and early in the fourth when he abandoned the running game. The Steelers did have three sacks, but none of them were of the traditional variety. We will have to get to that in the next category.

The most heartwarming part of that whole thing was the discovery of Christian Kirk. There were many points this year where I just assumed he was washed. I even looked up Spoctrac on occasion to reassure myself that we did not owe him money after this season. He earned a few bucks on this night. I don’t know if it will be in Houston, but he gives this team a fighting chance without Nico Collins. Obviously, the run game will also be huge. Essentially, all of the veteran players you hoped would show up did show up on this night.

The Bad​


Given the stakes of the game, that was C.J. Stroud’s worst game as a Texan. The statistics will say he was 21 of 32 for 250 yards a touchdown and a pick. Going strictly on those numbers would be burying the lede. He fumbled five different times losing two of those fumbles. Many of his throws were off target and required some good efforts from receivers to haul them in. There were a few throws that were fairly easy throws for NFL quarterbacks that he simply did not make.

A very good or perfect performance from Stroud would have probably turned this one into a 40-3 or 43-3 drubbing. So, I suppose if one is wanting to save that for a day when you absolutely need it then it is okay that he didn’t have his fastball on this day. Unfortunately, life does not work that way. The hope is that the moment is not too big for him. Road playoff games are the hardest thing to navigate in sports. Football fans have more of an impact on the game than fans in any other sport. Weather conditions have more of an impact on the game than in any other sport. So, not every quarterback can do it. That is why only a handful make it to the end. He is still young enough to learn from this one and hopefully a different Stroud shows up next week.

Source: https://www.battleredblog.com/houston-texans-analysis/73688/value-of-things-by-the-numbers
 
Divisional Round Opening Odds

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We get another week of football, so we have another opportunity to make some money. Fanduel will keep you in the game for as long as we want to keep playing. Gambling is big business and there are any number of ways to play. If you feel confident in your pick on the game then you can double and triple up on your hunch and win big. Of course, on the flip side, if you are less than confident you can hedge your bets and more or less break even if you mix and match.

In this edition, we look at the opening line, the opening money line, and the over/under. The line is the easiest one to understand. It is a simple 50/50 bet (minus the juice) based on the point spread. The money line uses the point spread to allow you to bet on one team or the other to win the game. Finally, the over/under is a simple bet based on the total number of points that will be scored.

The line: New England +3​


The Patriots open up as a three point favorite. Depending on the source, home field advantage is usually worth two to three points on its own, so the smart guys in Vegas seem to think these teams are evenly matched. If this were a regular season game, I would be inclined to pick the Texans. I cannot do that in this instance. The Texans have only won one playoff road game and they have never won a divisional playoff game. I can’t in good conscience pick them to win a divisional playoff game when they’ve never done it.

Of course, they are coming in with a ten game winning streak and so it would be completely understandable for people to take the three points and say thank you. It is hard to go against history on this one. Obviously, streaks are meant to be broken. The Steelers had been undefeated on Monday nights and the Texans had no road playoff wins coming into the wild card round. Both of those streaks came to an end. So, nothing is inevitable. Still, it is hard to bet against history when money is on the line.

The Moneyline: New England -162​


I am stacking this one. This might be an emotional bet on my part. I have been watching Houston professional football since the early 1980s. I have never witnessed a Houston football team go to the conference championship game. I was six years old the last time that happened in 1979. My formative years occurred during the run and shoot era when the Oilers went to the playoffs every year and found ways to lose every single season. You could say that I have Houston football PTSD.

In terms of the actual game itself, the Patriots and the Texans turned in the two best defensive performances in the wild card round. Drake Maye is still an unknown. The Texans have performed well defensively against the other two remaining quarterbacks in the AFC playoffs, but they have not played Maye this year. They played Maye last year and enjoyed a ton of success, but this is a new year and Maye is a different quarterback, The game will come down to which quarterback takes better care of the football. C.J. Stroud’s performance doesn’t inspire a lot of confidence there.

Over/Under: Under 41.5​


I have pounded the under all season and if I had played that bet in all 18 games I would come out a very rich man. The Patriots held the Chargers to three points and the Texans held the Steelers to six points. Odds are excellent that at least one of these two teams is going to struggle to move the football. Odds are good that it will be both teams. Obviously defensive and special teams touchdowns can always throw a monkey in the works, but this bet seems like the most obvious bet.

Source: https://www.battleredblog.com/houston-texans-analysis/73701/divisional-round-opening-odds
 
5 Big Takeaways from the Houston Texans 30-6 Win Over the Steelers

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The Houston Texans have done it! After one of the most demoralizing starts to the regular season in recent history, the Texans have fought their way back into the playoffs and have won their first road playoff game in franchise history against the 10-7 Pittsburgh Steelers. With that win, the Texans have sent hall-of-fame QB Aaron Rodgers packing into retirement, sent Steelers’ longtime head coach Mike Tomlin off the podium, and reached the high watermark of every Houston Texans team of the past. That’s right, there has never been a Texans team to reach beyond the divisional round of the postseason, so what special sauce do the 2025 Texans have hidden up their sleeve that will blast them through that glass ceiling? Well, after watching that big wildcard win, I’ve come away with 5 big takeaways that I think Texans fans can hold onto as they prepare for the biggest game of the DeMeco Ryans/CJ Stroud era to date:

1. The entire Texans defense is somehow still getting better.​


Try to remember what you thought of QB Aaron Rodgers four years ago, right after the 2021 season. He’s fresh off of his second MVP season in row, thrown for over 4,000 yards, 37 touchdowns to just 4 interceptions, and his Green Bay Packers just clinched the 1-seed after a dominant regular season. Rodgers was already 38 years old at the time, so many were already wondering when his final season might be here – if it wasn’t here already. What do you think his last game would be like? Would it end in a climatic final playoff game with the Packers, with Rodgers throwing Hail Mary’s until the very end? Would he ride off into the sunset like QB Peyton Manning, winning a Super Bowl in his last game? Or…would it be in a wildcard blowout while he’s playing for the Pittsburgh Steelers? Something tells me you wouldn’t have predicted that last one, and not only has it come true, but his final pass as a Steelers QB (and potentially as an NFL player) will go down as a pick six thrown directly into the hands of Texans S Calen Bullock. Even though these great quarterbacks are held up as kings amongst men, their final moments are often a bit ugly, and Rodgers’ final game was no exception.

The Texans’ vaunted DB corps came to play 🤘

H/T @nextgenstats https://t.co/Sq1qFBEs4I pic.twitter.com/PHf5U6ZrV6

— The 33rd Team (@The33rdTeamFB) January 13, 2026

Rodgers knew the danger of targeting Houston’s ball-hawking secondary coming into the game, so for much of the contest, he routinely targeted the flat and space just beyond the line of scrimmage, looking for his RBs or TEs to find an opening and make a play. But, to his surprise, LBs Azeez Al-Shaair, Henry To’oTo’o, and S Jalen Pitre stuck to Steelers’ receivers like glue, blasted through would-be blockers, and ruined plays meant to give the Rodgers-led offense a fighting chance. And, when Rodgers wasn’t finding a receiver to quickly take the ball from him, he was in for a world of pain administered by the entire Texans defensive line. It was a complete performance at all levels of the Houston D, but before we give them too much praise, let’s move on to one of the more unlikely bright spots on Monday’s win…the Texans offensive line?

2. The offensive run-blocking was…great?​


Maybe the most stunning development last night was the offensive line, and it wasn’t because they were bad! Ohhhhh, ohhhh how I’ve waited for this moment! So long ago were the days that the Texans offensive line could be described as “bullies” on the field, or “maulers” of the opposing defensive line like they were on Monday. And not against just any defensive line, but the Steelers defensive line? Oh, what a day of days! Even though this offense continues to be as predictable as a slot machine, they continue to piece together long, grinding drives each week. On Monday night, Houston’s heroes on the ground were RG Ed Ingram, C Jake Andrews, and rookie RB Woody Marks. Marks notched the first 100+ yard rushing game of his NFL career, and that credit deserves to go to the whole team, with every lineman, tight end, and wide receiver making a big block at some point or another.

Against the vaunted Pittsburgh run defense, the Texans rushed for 164 yards on 31 attempts (5.3 Y/A) and 1 touchdown, with Woody Marks tallying up 112 rushing yards and Nick Chubb, 48 yards. On multiple first downs, the Texans were able to simply pound their tailbacks straight up the middle for moderate, 4-6-yard gains. This dominance up the middle continued to wear on the Steelers into the second half, with 7 of Houston’s 14 runs in the second half going for over 5 yards. After a performance like this, the big guys up the middle deserve to feel themselves a bit, and it looks like Aireontae Ersery is doing just that:

Tytus Howard on IG: pic.twitter.com/rxVWPL6cjJ

— Houston Stressans (@TexansCommenter) January 13, 2026

I never thought I’d see a picture of Texans offensive line coach Cole Popovich with grills, but I’ll take it! I think here marks as good a place as any to mention a chance encounter between Popovich and a former NFL lineman. At some point in December, Popovich was introduced to former NFL pro-bowl guard Mark Schlereth, and quickly asked him to give the Texans o-line a quick tutorial on how to block the wide zone rushing scheme, with Schlereth offering some testimony of the impromptu seminar here:

It’s a bit of an odd story, but reinforces the perception of the offense’s determination to be a run-heavy team. The Texans have continued to be a primarily gap-scheme based rushing team, but the zone scheme still to hangs around a rears its head for a few plays every week, with Ed Ingram and Jake Andrews looking solid on that front in limited action. But, besides the ground game, the Texans had another unlikely candidate for game MVP on Monday night:

3. Is Christian Kirk actually really good?​


Another unlikely star in Monday night’s victory over the Steelers was WR Chrisitan Kirk, who led the team in receiving with 8 catches on 9 targets for 144 yards and 1 touchdown. The oft-forgotten slot receiver nearly eclipsed his regular season total in receiving yards in just one game, coming up big on three separate third-and-long conversions that alone accounted for 115 yards. These were backbreakers for the Steelers defense, keeping Houston on the field for both of their scoring drives in the fourth quarter.


Nick Caserio traded for Christian Kirk way back in March for a 2026 seventh-round pick, hoping that he would fill in the position of the currently injured WR Tank Dell as the speedy receiver for Houston’s passing offense. While he never fully realized his potential on the team during the regular season, Kirk more than made up for it on wildcard weekend, practically saving CJ Stroud from his worst performance of his career. In just one game, Kirk showed the route acumen, breakaway speed, and hot-hands that made him one of the highest paid free agents back when the Jaguars signed him in 2022. While his long-term role on the team may be in doubt considering Jaylin Noel’s presence and the looming return of Tank Dell, Christian Kirk can still earn himself plenty more fans in Houston come Sunday when the Texans travel to New England to face the Patriots – potentially without their #1 receiver, Nico Collins. Collins suffered a concussion against the Steelers which will likely keep him out of commission for at least the divisional game and potentially longer, making Kirk’s veteran presence at wideout a cherished asset as the stakes get higher.

4. The defensive line dominates again, and gets its second consecutive touchdown!​


Everyone likes when the big men get a touchdown, but getting two of them in consecutive weeks almost seems like overkill! It’s like the Texans defense is just rubbing it in right in front of opposing teams, ripping their quarterback off of the football like an old band aid and sending their thickest players into the end zone.


Last week, DT Tommy Togiai put an exclamation point on the season finale against the Indianapolis Colts with a fumble returned for a touchdown, and this week, fellow DT Sheldon Rankins plucked the ball from the grass below him and went streaking into the end zone in a very similar fashion. Rankins’ touchdown came at a critical moment early in the fourth quarter when the Texans were only up 10-6, with his score signaling the feeding frenzy for the team to start. After that unlikely fumble-return touchdown, then Texans outscored the Steelers 13-0 and finished the game with a final score of 30-6. General manager Nick Caserio made the wise decision of bringing back Sheldon Rankins after he departed Houston for Cincinnati in 2024, and Sunday’s defensive touchdown alone made him worth the money.

But, besides just the underrated interior, the entire Texans defensive line was just fantastic. According to NFL Next Gen Stats, the Texans had a 45.9% pressure rate, while only blitzing four times the entire game, which should be impossible in the modern-day NFL. DEs Will Anderson and Danielle Hunter teamed up for one of their best performances of the season, sacking Rodgers 1.5 times and rushing him into errant passes every other possession. If he was on the fence about retirement, something tells me he’s on the other side of that fence right now.

Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter combined for 15 pressures and 1.5 sacks, leading a Texans pass rush that generated a 45.9% pressure rate.

Aaron Rodgers was pressured on a league-low 21.5% of his dropbacks in the regular season.@HoustonTexans | #HTownMade pic.twitter.com/wJJSOv3Xlc

— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) January 13, 2026

Anderson and Hunter form the best pass-rushing duo in the NFL, and in between them, Tommy Togiai and Sheldon Rankins form arguably the most disruptive interior rush in the NFL. But, despite all of these big plays and good performances, this was still not Houston’s best game of the year, for one very, very large reason. Yes, it’s time to talk about the elephant in the room:

5. …We need to talk about CJ Stroud.​


Out of the world of positives that came out of this game, the lone demerit is from one of the unlikeliest of suspects: QB CJ Stroud. Be it jitters, youth, sickness, or some concoction of unfortunate events, it was clear something was rubbing Stroud the wrong way all game long. At the very minimum, Stroud is normally a clean and efficient quarterback, and at his best, Stroud is one of the best passers in the entire country. But, tonight, in the playoffs, Stroud fumbled the ball away FIVE separate times, had communication errors with his center that led to multiple errant snaps, and threw an ugly interception down at the Steelers 3-yard line right after halftime. If it wasn’t for Houston’s fantastic defense, Stroud could have been the lone player responsible for Houston losing this wildcard game. After a season of largely adequate-to-great performances, what in the world happened to him on Monday night?

In my cursory review of the game since it concluded, the best explanation I can conjure up for Stroud’s struggles is the panic (sometimes warranted, sometimes not) that would course through him every time he was pressured, or perceived pressure inside the pocket. When Steelers LB TJ Watt was fast approaching, CJ Stroud’s efficiency plummeted, and since his favorite target, WR Nico Collins, was often blanketed by Steelers CB Joey Porter Jr., Stroud wasn’t able to fling the ball to his safety net like he’s used to. A combination of this good coverage and pressure is what I believe led Stroud to get a little antsy in the pocket, which led him to make more mistakes in snapping the ball and losing coordination with his center, Jake Andrews. At one point, Stroud and Andrews had decided to practice snapping the ball on the sideline during the wildcard game, which may have led to a calming of his nerves and some improvement down the stretch, but it doesn’t exactly inspire confidence when your star QB is basically cramming for the test minutes before he takes the stage.

The Steelers offense trying to move the ball is like watching a 9 year old play Elden Ring on lethal difficulty and the Texans offense is CJ Stroud punching himself in the nuts

JP Acosta (@acosta32jp.bsky.social) 2026-01-13T03:18:52.383Z

He looked rattled, and was rattled, for a very long stretch of the game. Besides fumbling, Stroud also hitched with the ball in his hands multiple times, and threw the ball behind his receivers, which is ultimately what led to the interception deep in Pittsburgh territory. Against the New England Patriots, the Texans will lose a game where they turn the ball over six times, just like how the Steelers handed the Pats’ one of their three losses by winning the turnover margin so heavily. Without Nico Collins, there will be even more pressure on CJ Stroud to get over his jitters, stay cool in the pocket, and deliver on time. Will he respond well to the added pressure? Well, Stroud did lose Collins to a concussion earlier in season when the Texans were hosting the the San Francisco 49ers in week 8…and, naturally, he had one of his best games of the season! Against the 49ers, Stroud targeted WRs Jayden Higgins, Jaylin Noel, and Xavier Hutchinson heavily all game, leading to a total of 166 yards and 2 touchdowns between the trio of receivers. By the end of the game, Stroud had completed 30 of his 39 passes for 318 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception, and a passer rating of 106.6. If Stroud can recreate that magic once again, he’ll be in good shape to win back everyone’s good graces in the divisional round. If not…well, calls for backup QB Davis Mills to enter the game will just keep growing.

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Next week, the Texans will travel to New England to face the red-hot Patriots and their MVP-caliber QB, Drake Maye. How do you think the Texans will perform against him? Will Houston’s defensive line keep him contained, or will Maye cut the secondary to pieces before Will Anderson or Danielle Hunter can get to him? Will Christian Kirk show up big yet again and save Housotn’s hide on third down? Will CJ Stroud have a marvelous comeback performance against the Patriots? Let us know your predictions down in the comments below! For me….man, this is going to be a hard game. I think the defense will take a minor step back from the dominance they showed against the Steelers, but will still hold the blistering Patriots offense below 25 points. CJ Stroud will have a nice comeback performance, but something tells me we’ll be talking a little more about RB Woody Marks than Stroud by the time the game is over…My prediction: Houston: 26, New England: 24. This will be the Stefon Diggs revenge game, who is now New England’s leading receiver, so let’s show him what it’s like to be on the receiving end of this swarming defense!

Go Texans!

Source: https://www.battleredblog.com/gener...the-houston-texans-30-6-win-over-the-steelers
 
The Day After the Day After: Reliving the Houston Texans’ 30-6 Domination of the Pittsburgh Steelers

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The Day After the Day After…when the raw, immediate emotions from the aftermath of a game diminish into the realm of clarity and the proverbial (or literal) hangover no longer haunts the mind. With that, a review of Wild Card Weekend:

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So, about that defense?: In the “Well, No [KITTEN] Department” Houston’s playoff success would ride on its defensive success. It would take them a couple of drives to settle in, punctuated by allowing two receptions for 42 yards to DK (aka DJ) Metcalf, returning from a two-game suspension. In the 1st two drives, the Texans allowed 88 yards and 3 points. After that, 87 yards on 8 drives, with 21 of those on the final drive when the game was all but over, with only 3 points allowed, and that on a drive that started inside the HOU 20. Not coincidently, DK (aka DJ) Metcalf became “MIA” Metcalf, as he did nothing else after those first two drives. The Steelers only got 63 yards from their running game, which was so instrumental in taking down Baltimore last week. Forcing Rodgers into a pass-only mode against that pass rush is asking for trouble, and Pittsburgh got all the bad trouble they could ask for, as those final 8 drives yielded 4.0 sacks, 8.0 TFLs and 2 turnovers directly converted into defensive TDs. It was a total team effort, with the DL hounding Rodgers, the LB shutting down the running game and limiting the TE play and the secondary preventing any significant passing damage. Pittsburgh had its worst playoff point total since 1996 and its lowest playoff yardage total since 1947 (175 total yards).

The Big Game Penalties Didn’t Really Materialize: For the game, Houston had 6 accepted penalties for 44 yards. In previous big road games under Ryans, the Texans racked up the flags like they were at a post-Christmas clearance sale. Yet, in this game in one of the more hostile road venues for teams, the team did not fall prey to as many key penalties as they have in the past. Houston only logged two false start penalties, normally a common feature on the road. There was a big DPI on Pittsburgh’s second drive that yielded 3 points, but given the circumstances, Houston played a relatively clean game, penalty-wise.

Streak-busting: A lot of streaks, good and bad, came to an end Monday Night:

  • The Texans’ 6-game road playoff losing streak
  • Houston’s 2-game Monday Night Football losing streak
  • The Steelers’ 22-game home Monday Night Football winning streak
  • The City of Houston’s 9-game NFL road playoff game losing streak (last road win for a Houston-based NFL playoff team, 1988 Oilers at Cleveland 24-23)

Some streaks that still survive:

  • Houston’s current 10-game winning streak
  • Houston’s 3-game Wild Card Round winning streak
  • Pittsburgh’s 7-game playoff losing streak

A Night When Special Teams Didn’t Stand Out, but Didn’t Have To: With two of the better special teams units going at it, if figured that these units might ultimately decide the game. Honestly, they really didn’t. Boswell produced the totality of Pittsburgh’s points. Fairbairn was money on a big-time 51-yard FG, but he did have one of the more blunderous XP attempts we’ve ever seen. He’ll get some ribbing in the film sessions. The kick coverage units for Houston were not stellar, as Pittsburgh did get some good yards on their returns. Townsend had a bad punt to start the game but did well enough on his two other punts. For once, Special Teams didn’t really carry the Texans.

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THE DECISIVE PLAY:

0:44, 3rd Quarter. HOU ball on its 18, 3rd and 15. CJ Stroud pass to Christian Kirk for 46 yards.


One could say that the Sheldon Rankins fumble recovery for a TD in the 4th quarter was the decisive play, which effectively put the game out of reach by making the score 17-6. However, in reviewing the game, I would go with another big play. Late in the 3rd quarter, the game still stood 7-6. Defenses, and Houston’s offensive miscues, kept this a one-kick game. Houston, after yet another near-disastrous Stroud fumble, faced a 3rd and long, one that if Houston did not convert likely portended the Steelers getting good field position for Rodgers and the Steelers’ magic/bull[KITTEN] to make something happen. Instead, Stroud took the shotgun snap, and with a clean pocket, found a breaking Kirk outracing his defender cutting deep across the field to the right side. Stroud hit Kirk in stride and by the time the Steelers brought him down after a long run after catch along the right sideline, Houston sat with the ball at the PIT 36. 4 plays later, Houston hit a 51-yard FG, upping the lead to 10-6. Here, Houston gained breathing room, knowing that a Boswell kick couldn’t beat them on one drive. That FG kick-started (pun sort of intended) Houston 23-point 4th Quarter, turning a defensive rock fight into a comfortable Texans’ win. Also, it is the 2nd straight WC game where Stroud overcame a bad snap/fumble to make a game-altering play. If Houston doesn’t convert on that 3rd and long, the 4th Quarter might have gone differently.

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FUN WITH NUMBERS:

24:
Average margin of victory in Wild Card Playoff games under Ryans. With their 30-6 blasting of the Steelers, Houston has won their last three Wild Card games by exactly 24.0 points. In Ryans’ first WC game, they crushed the Browns 45-17. His second WC game saw a 32-12 bludgeoning of the Chargers and you have Monday’s result.

3: Consecutive Wild Card games that Houston logged a INT-returned for a TD. Going back to HOU’s WC dominance, the game against Cleveland saw two Texans log Pick-Sixes, followed by Eric Murray’s Pick-Six against the Chargers. In this game, Houston waited until the bitter end, but Calen Bullock got the obligatory INT for a TD to end the scoring for this game.

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GAME BALLS:

OC Nick Caley.
Was the offense perfect? No. The final drive before halftime seemed disjointed. However, it is hard to find fault with the play-calling. Execution could have been a lot better (more later). However, the designs, concepts and play-calling itself were not the issue. Caley played to the team’s strength, and Houston was moving the ball on most of its drives. Riding the running game in the 4th Quarter and not trying to force a passing game demonstrated good logic. Also, Houston went 2-for-3 on Red Zone opportunities, with the one failed attempt a bad Stroud throw.

WR Christian Kirk: In this game alone, Kirk validated Houston’s trade with Jacksonville this offseason. 8 receptions/144 yards/1 TD. His two massive 2nd half receptions more than made up for the loss of Nico Collins in the 4th. Houston needs this type of effort next week.

S Jalen Pitre: Pitre was a heat-seeking missile against the Steelers. He was credited with two TFLs as part of his team-leading 7 tackles, but it felt like he was in the backfield more often than most Steelers’ running backs. (Honestly, you could just give the entire defense a game ball. No wrong answers there).

SHOULD BE FORCED TO CLEAN UP A PITTSBURGH BAR FLOOR FULL OF STALE IRON CITY BEER WITH A TORN TERRIBLE TOWEL WHILE LISTENING TO RECORDINGS OF URINATINGTREE STEELERS’ POLKA WHILE GOING YINZER MODE ON REPEAT.

QB CJ Stroud/C Jake Andrews:
Expect a LOT of work on the QB/Center exchange this week in practice. Gillette Stadium doesn’t figure to be any easier for ball-handling/snap receiving. How close did Houston come to seeing this turn into a Steelers’ 30-6 win with all of the botched snaps between these two? Both take blame here, as Stroud had trouble handling snaps he was expecting and Andrews sometimes gave Stroud snaps he wasn’t expecting.

QB CJ Stroud’s ball security: Sense a theme here? Would anyone be surprised if Ryans goes all Friday Night Lights and duct-tapes a football to CJ Stroud’s arm for the rest of the week to reinforce ball security? Stroud had a bad INT in the 3rd Quarter, and that wasn’t his worst ball-handling decision in the game. What made this so odd was that Stroud hadn’t fumbled all year, and Houston generally took care of the football. Hopefully for the fans, this is a one-off, but still, expect Stroud’s practice sessions to be sponsored by the words “ball security”.

However uneven, however stressful at times, Houston is moving on to the Divisional Round once again. They return to New England, where they are 0-2 in Divisional Round Matchups, for a Sunday, 2 PM CST kickoff on ESPN/Disney+

Source: https://www.battleredblog.com/houst...ns-30-6-domination-of-the-pittsburgh-steelers
 
Calen Bullock expands his game just in time for Texans vs. Patriots in Divisional Round

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Now that we’re full-on into the playoffs, it’s time to stop looking in the rearview with our Secret Superstars series, and start looking forward to the next game with Postseason X-Factors. The principle is the same — using game tape and metrics to uncover those hidden gems for every team who are primed to bring their best when their franchises need it the most.

The Houston Texans present all kinds of hidden gems on the defensive side of the ball, but it’s hard to be more impressed with too many second-year defensive players on any NFL team than safety Calen Bullock. The USC alum began his professional career as a remarkable deep safety. Now, he’s adding new colors to his coverage palette, and it’s showing up all over the field.


If Aaron Rodgers returns to the NFL for the 2026 season (no doubt after months and months of self-generated debate on the subject), it could well be because his last throw in a game was so disastrous. With 2:52 left in the Pittsburgh Steelers’ 30-6 wild-card thrashing at the hands of the Houston Texans on Monday night, Rodgers tried to hit receiver Calvin Austin III on a three-man frontside vertical concept. What he may not have expected was to see safety Calen Bullock in the slot, backpedaling right to where Rodgers wanted the ball to go. Not that the Texans needed Bullock’s 50-yard pick-six, but it was a nice capper as the Texans move on to meet the New England Patriots in the divisional round.

Calen Bullock has just 60 snaps this season in the slot.

So maybe Aaron Rodgers didn't expect Bullock to be where he was here. pic.twitter.com/Qyqosr2VJF

— Doug Farrar ✍ (@NFL_DougFarrar) January 13, 2026

But the most interesting and encouraging thing about this play was Bullock’s presence as a slot defender. Throughout his NFL career, Bullock has been primarily a deep safety, because he became one of the NFL’s best in very short order. In his rookie year of 2024, he lined up in the deep third on an NFL-high 1,063 of his 1,113 snaps, and overall, he allowed 13 catches on 29 targets for 159 yards, two touchdowns, five interceptions, five pass breakups, and an opponent passer rating of 45.7.

And if you want consistency from year to year, well, you can’t do much better than this: In his second season, Bullock has lined up in the deep third on 938 of his 1,070 snaps, allowing 17 catches on 36 targets for 247 yards, two touchdowns, five interceptions, and an opponent passer rating of 49.0,

I wrote an entire article for Battle Red Blog in late November on why Bullock is so great in the deep third, so feel free to catch up there for the chapter and verse. What interests me now is Bullock’s growth as a defender this season in other areas.

I’m not a huge fan of Bullock as a box defender for several reasons: It takes away his range, his run-tackling is a mixed bag, and the Texans already have Jalen Pitre as the ideal man in that role. But as a shallow coverage safety and slot defender, that’s where he’s showing additional potential. Not that there are a ton of reps to go by there, but that’s the point — when you see Bullock erase receivers over and over from the slot on just 60 snaps, it makes you wonder what he might be able to do if he’s asked to do that more often.

It wasn’t just the pick-six.

Calen Bullock is already the NFL's best deep safety.

This season, he's also been a sneaky eraser from the slot. pic.twitter.com/A6fVlkXC6c

— Doug Farrar ✍ (@NFL_DougFarrar) January 13, 2026

Moving Bullock around against the Patriots may or may not happen, of course. Because when it comes to the deep third, they’ll want him on that wall. This season, Drake Maye has completed 36 of 65 passes of 20 or more air yards for 1,120 yards, 10 touchdowns, one interception, and an NFL-best passer rating of 133.5. But for a defense that manages to be truly great without a lot of eye candy — the Texans have blitzed on just 18.9% Of their snaps, and they disguise coverage just 21.4% of the time — moving Bullock around from time to time may fool Maye as it did Aaron Rodgers… at the perfect time.

Source: https://www.battleredblog.com/houst...bullock-divisional-round-new-england-patriots
 
Texans at Steelers Wild Card Round live game discussion thread

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American Hero Case Keenum. | Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images

The road for the Texans to make their first Super Bowl begins on the road as this is the first time they’ve gotten to the playoffs as a wild card. Tonight, they enter the Steel City and play T.J. Watt’s AFC North winning (technically) Pittsburgh Steelers.

There are a lot of streaks on the line here.

Steelers have been 0-6 in the playoffs since the 2016 AFC Championship game.
Texans are 0-6 in road playoff games in franchise history.
Pittsburgh has won 23 straight home games on Monday night since 1991.
Houston is riding a nine-game win streak going into tonight.
Pittsburgh has allowed at least 28 points in six straight playoff games.

One or more streaks are going to be broken tonight. Personally, I’m hoping it’s the Steelers streaks.

Let’s get the playoffs started (the games on Saturday and Sunday only count if the Texans win).

Here’s what you need to know to watch tonight’s game:

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Who: Houston Texans (12-5) at Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7)

What: Wild Card Round

Where: Acrisure Stadium – Pittsburgh, PA

When: Monday January 12, 7:15 p.m. CST

Why: Because only three wins separate the Texans from their first SB appearance.

TV: ESPN (Joe Buck, Troy Aikman) OR ESPN2 (Peyton and Eli Manning)-pick your poison

Radio: Westwood One

Streaming: ESPN*, Fubo*, Hulu + Live Sports*, NFL+*, SlingTV*, YouTubeTV* (*subscription required)

Enjoy the game, y’all.

May the way of DeMeco lead to the Super Bowl.

Go, Texans!

Source: https://www.battleredblog.com/gener...s-wild-card-round-live-game-discussion-thread
 
Five good Texans questions with Pats Pulpit

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The Houston Texans have reached the summit of their own success by advancing to the divisional round for the seventh time in franchise history. Will the seventh time be the lucky charm? We spoke with Taylor Kyles from Pats Pulpit about the upcoming tilt between the Texans and Patriots. This will be the third time the two teams clash in the divisional round. A win against the Pats would go a long way in exorcising some demons.

Battle Red Blog: Drake Maye is obviously the biggest story in New England this season based on his growth from year one to year two. I open the floor to you to make the best MVP case you can for him.

Taylor Kyles: Drake Maye and Matthew Stafford are both worthy candidates, but Maye has done more with less while excelling in adverse conditions. He’s throwing to some ultra-reliable veterans, including wide receivers Stefon Diggs and Kayshon Boutte and tight end Hunter Henry, but Maye’s poise, mobility, and accuracy have made them among the most productive and efficient players at their positions. The second-year quarterback has also thrived in the toughest conditions, ranking among the league’s best when pressured or blitzed and finishing with one of the best deep passer ratings in at least a decade. Maye is an elite pocket passer at just 23 years old, and aside from occasionally poor ball security, he’s improved in just about every significant area.

When comparing the top two candidates straight up, Maye brings immense value as a scrambler and occasional designed runner, which Stafford simply can’t at this point in his career. Maye is also 6-0 against common opponents compared to Stafford’s 4-2 record, and Maye has the better stat line. ESPN’s Bill Barnwell also did an excellent job debunking the strength-of-schedule argument, revealing that the two teams have faced comparable slates of defenses. So, while I understand the award is likely Stafford’s to lose, given his unreal 46 touchdown passes, I think there’s a much stronger case for Maye.

BRB: The Patriots confused the Chargers in the wild card round and held them to three points. Did this performance surprise you or have you seen this from this group all season?

TK: I think the Chargers’ confusion was more an indictment of their former OC Greg Roman, as there weren’t many wrinkles the Patriots hadn’t shown in previous games. That said, interim DC Zak Kuhr did an excellent job spinning the dial and mixing up pressure schemes against Herbert, and the defense played its most well-rounded game of the season.

The pass defense has been trending upward for a while, albeit against some bad opponents, so their success wasn’t much of a surprise. I was more caught off guard by the sturdy run defense, which had struggled for the first half of the season. Everyone seemed to step up their play, but the returns of Milton Williams and Robert Spillane were key. Williams has contributed to multiple impact plays since returning in the regular-season finale, and Spillane made his presence felt in the middle against the Chargers. With nose tackle/fullback Khyiris Tonga set to return this weekend, the unit could be stronger than we’ve seen it in months.

BRB: The Patriots have one of the more impressive one-two punches out of the backfield in the NFL. How do these two running backs compare, and what does each bring to the offense?

TK: Rookie TreVeyon Henderson struggled with NFL speed early on, but he caught fire mid-season and finished as one of the league’s top backs. He brings contact balance, a finisher’s mentality, and most importantly, home run speed. Though he’s had relatively quiet performances of late, Henderson has turned what should’ve been stuffed runs into field-flipping scores and must be accounted for whenever he’s on the field.

Veteran Rhamondre Stevenson has been white hot since the Patriots’ bye in Week 14, consistently making the first man miss and generating chunk plays as a runner and receiver. He runs with excellent vision, and he’s one of the best in the business at breaking tackles, picking up blitzers, and tracking down the deep ball.

OC Josh McDaniels favors Stevenson on passing downs, as Henderson is still coming along in that area, but he’ll put both on the field to chip edge rushers or create mismatches with linebackers.

BRB: Do the Patriots have any significant injuries you are worried about before the game? How will they impact them on Sunday?

TK: The Patriots actually had full attendance during their Thursday practice, a rarity at this point in the season. Christian Gonzalez (concussion) ditched his red non-contact jersey and was one of multiple players upgraded to full participation, along with Hunter Henry (knee) and Khyiris Tonga (foot). Right tackle Morgan Moses (knee) and jumbo tight-end Thayer Munford (knee) remained limited, but Moses has shown incredible toughness this season, and Munford was moving pretty well.

BRB: Fanduel has the Patriots favored by three. How do you see the game going? Are there any prop bets you feel comfortable recommending?
I think the Patriots pull this one out by more than one score. Mike Vrabel wants to fight fire with fire, and I think Maye hits enough chunk plays to get his team ahead. The offense couldn’t finish in the red zone last week, so that will be an area to watch, but that performance was more of an anomaly. Defensively, I think a healthy New England front makes it tough for Houston to run the ball, especially if Trent Brown doesn’t play. Nico Collins’s absence could also severely limit CJ Stroud’s big-play potential, though Dalton Schultz could find downfield success against man coverage. If the Texans find themselves in too many obvious pass situations, Kuhr’s defense will tee off.

I’d bet on Hunter Henry catching a touchdown in this one. It would be his fourth in five games. I also see Milton Williams getting to Stroud late.



We want to thank Taylor for taking the time to answer our questions, so that we could get some more inside information on our opponent. The Patriots haven’t been here in awhile, but they look a lot like those old Patriots teams that used to give the Texans fits. Here is hoping for a different result on Sunday. We want to wish Taylor and the Patriots the best of luck, but as per usual we hope that luck begins on Monday morning.

Source: https://www.battleredblog.com/houst...0/five-good-texans-questions-with-pats-pulpit
 
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