Geno Smith has been traded! It’s time for a collection of FTR thoughts that weren’t turned into their own articles ...
I would say it’s a slow day at the office, but when your primary source of income is real estate, every day is a busy day - you’re either working with a client or looking for a client, and often both.
Seattle Seahawks legend Tyler Lockett knows what I’m talking about
I couldn’t sit on my hands though given the turmoil that recent “decisions” have wrought on my favorite team, especially not in regard to “the most important position in sports.”
Thought No. 1
The first thing I thought when the
Oakland Las Vegas Raiders announced the hiring of Pete Carroll as their 26th head coach (including interim HCs) was, “Maybe they’ll trade for Geno Smith.”
But I never actually
THOUGHT the Raiders would trade for Geno Smith.
“The devil you know” though . . . amiright?
Pete KNOWS Geno Smith. And, just as importantly, Pete KNOWS John Schneider.
In retrospect, I’m betting that Pete told the Raiders in his interview that he could help them pry Geno Smith out of Seattle.
- Step One: Confirm that the Raiders brass is willing to pay market-rate for a QB.
- Step Two: Wait until John Schneider hears the number Geno wants when they start talking about an extension.
- Step Three: Put Schneider’s number in the 24/7 auto-dialer and wait for him to answer the damn phone.
- Step Four: Give John a chance to make amends for doin’ Pete dirty during their breakup.
- Step Five: Raise a glass to the new head coach and the QB he wanted.
Cheers, Pete!
Thought No. 2
I am not completely opposed to seeing what Sam Howell can do as Seattle’s starter in 2025. I’m not chomping at the bit for that to happen, especially after watching him in a limited role last season.
But . . .
There are a lot worse options - which I’ll cover with most of the remaining thoughts.
The argument FOR Sam Howell is simple:
Howell is only going to cost the Seahawks $1.1 million in 2025.
And even if Howell balls out and convinces John Schneider, Mike Macdonald, and Klint Kubiak that he’s a viable long-term answer, he shouldn’t be all that expensive to re-sign. Certainly not Geno Smith expensive.
Thought No. 3
In the immediate aftermath of the Geno Smith trade - which, it should be noted, isn’t official yet, the first name on a lot of people’s list was Sam Darnold.
I get it . . . he had a really good year with the Minnesota Vikings last season and recency bias is very real.
But . . .
A. Darnold’s performance waned as the season went on and his playoff performance vs. the
Los Angeles Rams (FTR!) was . . . very, very not good - like 13.6 QBR not good.
And his Week 18 game against the Lions was similarly poor (16.1 QBR).
B. 2024 was, quite literally, the ONLY “good” season of his career.
- Last year, he completed 66.2% of his passes for 4,319 yards with 35 touchdowns, 12 interceptions, a QBR of 60.4, and a passer rating of 102.5.
- His best season prior to 2024 was his 2nd year with the New York Jets (2019) when he completed 61.9% of his passes for 3,024 yards with 19 touchdowns, 13 interceptions, a QBR of 45.6, and a passer rating of 84.3.
C. Most reputable sources (and a lot of the disreputable sources as well) expect Darnold to receive a contract that averages around $40M in free agency.
The most common contract speculation I’ve seen is 4/$160M, which
UNironically would match the disastrous contract that Daniel Jones signed after his ONE good season.
At the end of the day, if the Seahawks end up trading Geno Smith and signing Sam Darnold, my question is going to be, “WHY?”
Geno is the devil you know; why send him packing and then sign someone far less proven that you have very little firsthand knowledge about for what will likely end up being the same amount of money?
Thought No. 4
Another popular name in the Seahawks QB Speculation game is Kirk Cousins.
I understand the connection with Kubiak.
If Seattle TRADES for Cousins, everyone in the front office, along with the head coach and all of the offensive staff should be shown the door.
Dude is scheduled to make $27.5 million dollars in 2025, $45 million in 2026 ($35M base + $10 roster bonus), and another $45M in 2027 (same breakdown as 2026).
If Atlanta releases Cousins, and Seattle can get him for the veteran minimum (a la Russell Wilson with the
Pittsburgh Steelers last year), I wouldn’t be mad.
Not my first choice though.
Thought No. 5
Speaking of Russell Wilson . . .
How “funny” would it be if John Schneider fleeced the
Denver Broncos and then brought RW3 back for a fraction of what it would have cost the Hawks a few years earlier?
Having watched Wilson (from a distance) since he left Seattle, I wouldn’t advocate for this because “the magic” is definitely GONE.
But it would be a fun story.
Thought No. 6
While we’re on the topic of former Seahawks QBs who
could return in 2025 . . .
Drew Lock is a free agent.
And, in my opinion, free to sign with 31 teams that are NOT the Seahawks.
Lock got five starts for the
New York Giants last season (after they released Daniel Jones). He averaged 133.9 yards per game.
You might argue that the Giants had a bad O-line and lackluster group of wideouts last year. I would counter by asking how that makes them any different than the Seahawks in 2025 if Seattle honors DK Metcalf’s trade request?
Thought No. 7
While I’m convinced that it was basically just “JPG being JPG”, Mr. Gilbert
threw out a name on Saturday that I don’t actually hate . . .
Jimmy Garoppolo.
He shouldn’t cost a lot + he has had success in the system that Kubiak is expected to run = not the worst option for Seattle in 2025.
The “problem” that I have with Jimmy G (aside from the whole FTN / sleeping with the enemy angle) is that he isn’t likely to be a long-term solution.
Would 2025 be more “fun” with Jimmy G at QB than some of the other options? Probably.
Personally, I think I’d prefer “painful but optimistic” over “fun” though.
Maybe that’s just me.
Thought No. 8
“Painful but fun” options include former top picks who were backups in 2024 and might only have one more chance to prove they have “the stuff” to start in the NFL.
Yes, I’m talking about QBs like Zach Wilson, Trey Lance, and Justin Fields.
Would I hate any of those options?
No, I would not.
Would I have high hopes for any of the three in a Seattle uniform?
Absolutely! Hopes = high, expectations = LOW.
I think Sam Howell is the starter in 2025 if Seattle signs any of these three, but I could see Seattle letting Howell walk after the season and then turning to one of these three in 2026.
Again, NOT my first choice.
Or my second.
Not my third choice either (honestly, RW3 is probably my #3 - and, yes, that’s partly a reference to his uniform number

).
Thought No. 9
IF Seattle trades DK Metcalf and IF they receive a (late) R1 as part of the trade compensation, then MAYBE there’s a chance (insert Jim Carrey GIF/meme here) that Seattle could move up enough in next month’s draft to grab one of the top two QBs.
I hope and pray that is NOT the plan.
If it IS, there’s a good chance that you’ll see me at Seahawks HQ calling for John Schneider’s resignation.
That’s not to say I think Cam Ward and/or Shedeur Sanders are going to be bad QBs at the NFL level. Maybe they will, maybe they won’t.
I’m just not sure I would select either of them with Seattle’s
native pick, No. 18 overall, so if Seattle packages that pick with other assets to move up for one of those two . . .
BLECH!
Thought No. 10
Jalen Milroe is generally presumed to be QB3 in this year’s class.
I don’t think I’d want to spend No. 18 on him.
No. 50 might be tempting though.
Assuming, of course, that another QB-needy team doesn’t grab him much earlier than they should.
I’m definitely not Milroe’s “biggest fan”, but I could get behind the idea of letting him and Sam Howell duke it out in camp to see who gets the car keys in 2025.
From a cap perspective, this might be the DREAM SCENARIO:
- Howell: $1.1 million in 2025
- Milroe (at No. 50): $1,467,554 in 2025, and only $8,071,550 over the next four years
Having a
total of $2,567,554 committed to the quarterback room in 2025 would give the Seahawks a lot of money to spend on hog mollies (aka offensive linemen) to keep them upright (and open holes for our above-average RBs).
Thought No. 11
I haven’t seen Derek Carr mentioned that much - although John Tapia did include Carr in his piece on Saturday about the “
10 quarterback options who can start for the Seahawks following the Geno Smith trade”.
All I’m going to say about Carr is, “Meh!”
And the Seahawks definitely won’t be signing or trading for him now.
#Saints starting QB Derek Carr, after numerous talks with the team about his 2025 compensation, is getting most of his salary converted for salary cap reasons, per me and
@MikeGarafolo.
Carr sticks after all in New Orleans, and he’s set to make his full $40M.
pic.twitter.com/TP8gZqdB1g
— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet)
March 8, 2025
Thought No. 12
When all is said and done, I don’t see any logic in moving on from Geno Smith based on his presumed salary demands if “the plan” is to replace him with someone who is “just as expensive” and/or “roughly the same age”.
Unless you’re just trolling the fans and/or trying to get yourself fired.
Getting younger and cheaper at QB?
That makes sense.
Go Hawks!