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The Baltimore Orioles have been one of the best teams in Major League Baseball over the past couple of seasons as they won 101 games in 2023 and 91 games in 2024.
Although the Orioles have excelled in the regular season, they lost both playoff appearances in their first series.
This offseason, the Orioles lost a couple of key players from their roster, including ace starting pitcher Corbin Burnes, who signed with the Arizona Diamondbacks, and outfielder Anthony Santander, who signed with the Toronto Blue Jays.
After losing Santander, the Orioles have announced the acquisition of a new outfielder.
“We have agreed to terms with OF Dylan Carlson on a one-year contract for the 2025 season,” the Orioles wrote on X.We have agreed to terms with OF Dylan Carlson on a one-year contract for the 2025 season.
Welcome to Birdland, Dylan! pic.twitter.com/PreoMVtbmp
— Baltimore Orioles (@Orioles) January 27, 2025
Carlson joins other notable acquisitions by the Orioles including outfielder Tyler O’Neill, catcher Gary Sanchez and starting pitcher Charlie Morton.
They appear to have a couple of options to replace Santander in the outfield.
Carlson came into the league in 2020 with the St. Louis Cardinals and went to the Tampa Bay Rays in the 2024 season.
In 2024 with the Cardinals and Rays, Carlson played 96 games and batted .209 with three home runs, 25 RBIs and a .563 OPS.
While Carlson’s numbers don’t compare to those lost by Santander, he could play a role as a utility outfielder in the 2025 season.
The Orioles will look to make their third straight postseason appearance and get their first series win since 2014, when they made it to the American League Championship Series.
The post Orioles Signed Free Agent OF On Monday appeared first on The Cold Wire.
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The Baltimore Orioles made the postseason for a second consecutive season after finishing with a record of 91-71 and second in the American League East.
Although the Orioles have made the playoffs the past two seasons, they were swept in their first series each time.
In a tough AL East division that includes the New York Yankees, Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays, the Orioles hope for better outcomes in their future postseason appearances.
Heading into 2025, the Orioles announced that former player Adam Jones is taking on a new role with the team.
“Fabulous move by the Baltimore Orioles hiring former All-Star outfielder Adam Jones as special advisor to GM Mike Elias and Orioles community ambassador,” Bob Nightengale of USA Today wrote on X.Fabulous move by the Baltimore Orioles hiring former All-Star outfielder Adam Jones as special advisor to GM Mike Elias and Orioles community ambassador.
— Bob Nightengale (@BNightengale) January 27, 2025
Jones played for the Orioles from 2008 to 2018 and now will have a position with the team as they try to win another division title in 2025.
With his 11 seasons as an Orioles player, Jones should have knowledge of team operations and be able to assist management.
The Orioles have been one of the better teams in MLB the past couple of seasons but failed to perform in the postseason.
While the team does have three World Series titles in franchise history, they haven’t won it all since 1983, which was also their last World Series appearance.
The Orioles will likely be a contender again in 2025 as their roster has a ton of talent.
The post Former Orioles Player Adam Jones Is Taking On A New Role With Team appeared first on The Cold Wire.
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The Baltimore Orioles have had a puzzling offseason following back-to-back disappointing postseason appearances.
The front office has once again been conservative despite having a roster ready to win a World Series right away if given a little help.
After watching ace Corbin Burnes leave to sign a 6-year deal with the Arizona Diamondbacks this offseason, one analyst believes the O’s should trade for another ace from the Seattle Mariners.
Chris Gimenez said on MLB Network radio, “The guy I feel like they really should go for, though, because I think it would be less of a package to go back to the other team is Luis Castillo.”
Could the @Orioles make another move to bolster their pitching staff?@ChrisGimenez5 says they should explore a trade for Seattle's Luis Castillo.
https://t.co/fGPbvbj8w4 pic.twitter.com/QhDOB481tS![]()
— MLB Network Radio on SiriusXM (@MLBNetworkRadio) January 11, 2025
He said Castillo would cost less than someone like Dylan Cease because his contract still has three years left.
The big money remaining on his contract would require much less prospect capital in return.
The Mariners have been rumored to be a prime candidate to deal from their rotation all offseason given how strong their rotation is compared to their anemic offense, and Castillo would be the obvious candidate to be dealt given the youth and affordability of their other four starters, Logan Gilbert, George Kirby, Bryan Woo, and Bryce Miller.
Castillo isn’t quite the ace he was a few years ago, but he is still a strong No. 2, as Gimenez said.
He’d immediately slot into the top of Baltimore’s rotation and wouldn’t make a huge dent in its coveted pool of high-level prospects.
The post Analyst Believes Orioles Should Trade For Mariners Pitcher appeared first on The Cold Wire.
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The Baltimore Orioles made the postseason for a second consecutive season after finishing second in the American League East with a record of 91-71.
After winning the division in 2023 with a record of 101-61, the Orioles had high hopes for the playoffs but fell short, getting swept in their first series.
In 2024, the Orioles were swept in their first series again, ending another disappointing postseason.
This offseason, the Orioles have added Tyler O’Neill, Gary Sanchez and Charlie Morton while losing ace starting pitcher Corbin Burnes.
One MLB analyst recently revealed his thoughts on the Orioles’ offseason so far.
“I just feel like it’s mid,” Erik Kratz said, via Foul Territory.A "mid" move for the @Orioles? @ErikKratz31 on if the O's are doing enough this winterpic.twitter.com/WK4KDvmnen![]()
— Foul Territory (@FoulTerritoryTV) January 6, 2025
Kratz reacted to the Morton signing by questioning if that was really the move that they needed to make.
The 41-year-old has played 17 MLB seasons in his career for five teams.
In 2024 with the Atlanta Braves, Morton started 30 games and was 8-10 with a 4.19 ERA and 167 strikeouts in 165.1 innings pitched.
Many people are waiting for the Orioles to make a splash move and sign a big-name player this offseason, but it hasn’t happened yet.
With the AL East containing the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox, the Orioles will need to make some bigger moves if they want to remain competitive for a division title in 2025.
The Orioles haven’t won a World Series since 1983, and they hope to change their recent struggles in the postseason.
The post Analyst Questions Orioles’ Offseason Moves So Far appeared first on The Cold Wire.
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The Major League Baseball offseason has been full of excitement with a free agent class loaded with talent from starting pitchers to offensive players.
Some of the big-name players who have already signed include Juan Soto, Blake Snell, Max Fried, Corbin Burnes and Willy Adames.
With plenty of talent still available, some names that stand out are Pete Alonso of the New York Mets, Alex Bregman of the Houston Astros and Anthony Santander of the Baltimore Orioles.
Plenty of rumors have been circulating involving these players, and three teams reportedly are interested in Santander.
“Anthony Santander’s market includes the [Los Angeles] Angels, [Toronto] Blue Jays and [Detroit] Tigers, in no particular order, sources confirm,” Jon Morosi wrote on X.Anthony Santander’s market includes the Angels, Blue Jays, and Tigers, in no particular order, sources confirm. The dynamics of his market could shift if Pete Alonso and/or Alex Bregman sign before him. @MLBNetwork
— Jon Morosi (@jonmorosi) January 5, 2025
Morosi does note that the market could change if Bregman or Alonso signs before Santander does.
The 30-year-old outfielder has played all eight seasons of his MLB career with Baltimore.
In 2024, Santander played in 155 games and batted .235 with 44 home runs, 102 RBIs and a .814 OPS.
He had career highs in home runs, RBIs, runs scored and walks in 2024, and has proven to be a legit power threat from both sides of the plate.
Things could heat up for Santander in the coming weeks as teams try to make some last-minute signings before spring training.
The post 3 Teams Are Reportedly Interested In Anthony Santander appeared first on The Cold Wire.
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The Baltimore Orioles have been one of the more interesting teams in Major League Baseball over the past two seasons.
After very good regular seasons in 2023 and 2024, the Orioles flamed out in the postseason and lost their first playoff series each year.
The Orioles have not added much talent this offseason, but they did lose a key piece of their starting rotation as Corbin Burnes signed with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
After losing an ace, the Orioles aren’t likely to be able to replace him with one of the best free-agent starting pitchers remaining.
MLB analyst Rich Dubroff recently revealed that free agent Jack Flaherty is not interested in signing with Baltimore.
“I would actually kind of be surprised if Flaherty came back to the Orioles. He didn’t have a good time there,” Dubroff said, via Foul Territory.Jack Flaherty did not have a good time in Baltimore, and is unlikely to sign there says @RichDubroffMLB pic.twitter.com/JIzCcfoUsa
— Foul Territory (@FoulTerritoryTV) January 2, 2025
Flaherty pitched for the Orioles at the end of the 2023 season and did not fare well.
He appeared in nine games and was 1-3 with a 6.75 ERA and 42 strikeouts in 34.2 innings pitched.
In 2024 with the Detroit Tigers and Los Angeles Dodgers, Flaherty started 28 games and was 13-7 with a 3.17 ERA and 194 strikeouts in 162.0 innings pitched.
The Orioles will have to look elsewhere if they want to find a fitting replacement for Burnes.
The post Jack Flaherty Is Reportedly Not Interested In Signing With 1 MLB Team appeared first on The Cold Wire.
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The Baltimore Orioles have been one of the best teams in Major League Baseball during the regular season over the last two years.
With 101 wins in 2023 and 91 wins in 2024, the Orioles appeared to be legitimate World Series contenders.
The postseason did not go as planned for the Orioles over the last two years however as they were swept in their first series of the playoffs in both 2023 and 2024.
After losing their ace starting pitcher Corbin Burnes to free agency this offseason, the Orioles are reportedly interested in adding another free-agent starting pitcher.
According to MLB Analysts Will Sammon and Katie Woo via B/R Walk-Off on ‘X,’ the Orioles are eyeing Jack Flaherty after losing Burnes.
The Orioles are eyeing Jack Flaherty after losing Corbin Burnes, per @WillSammon and @katiejwoo pic.twitter.com/1XfRqe5Ibs
— B/R Walk-Off (@BRWalkoff) December 31, 2024
Losing Burnes is a big hit to this Orioles team who has dominated the regular season in both of the last two years.
Flaherty is an eight-year MLB veteran starting pitcher who came into the league in 2017 with the St. Louis Cardinals where he played until 2022 before bouncing around from team to team since.
In 2024 between the Detroit Tigers and Los Angeles Dodgers, Flaherty started 28 games where he held a record of 13-7 with a 3.17 ERA and 194 strikeouts in 162.0 innings pitched.
Flaherty had one of his more impressive seasons in his career in 2024, and the Orioles could look to him to lead their rotation in 2025.
The Orioles will look to get back into the postseason in 2025 and prove themselves as a World Series contender.
The post Orioles Are Reportedly Eyeing Free Agent Pitcher appeared first on The Cold Wire.
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The Baltimore Orioles had another disappointing showing in the postseason this season after finishing with a record of 91-71 and finishing second in the American League East.
After winning the division in 2023 and getting swept in their first series, the Orioles were swept again in their first series in 2024 after losing to the Kansas City Royals in the wild-card series.
The Orioles haven’t made any spectacular moves this offseason as their notable acquisitions include Tyler O’Neill and Gary Sanchez.
After losing Corbin Burnes to free agency, the Orioles need another ace starting pitcher, and MLB Analyst Mike Ferrin believes he has the answer.
“Luis Castillo would make a lot of sense for the Orioles,” Ferrin said via MLB Network Radio on Sirius XM.With Corbin Burnes headed to the desert, the #Orioles have a chance to bring a new ace into the fold.
https://t.co/fGPbvbjGlC pic.twitter.com/riWXDP4RDi![]()
— MLB Network Radio on SiriusXM (@MLBNetworkRadio) December 30, 2024
Castillo came into the league in 2017 with the Cincinnati Reds where he played until going to the Seattle Mariners in 2022.
In 2024 with the Mariners, Castillo started 30 games where he held a record of 11-12 with a 3.64 ERA and 175 strikeouts in 175.1 innings pitched.
Ferrin believes that Castillo could be a trade candidate for the Orioles to pursue after losing Burnes to the Diamondbacks in free agency.
The Orioles still have plenty of talent in their farm system that they could use as trade bait if they wanted to pursue a pitcher like Castillo.
While the Orioles have had impressive regular seasons the last two years, their playoff performances have left a lot to be desired in 2025.
Ferrin believes the Orioles have a lot of opportunities to improve before the start of next season, and they will be a team to keep an eye on moving forward.
The post Analyst Believes Orioles Should Pursue Mariners Pitcher In Trade appeared first on The Cold Wire.
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The Major League Baseball offseason has been packed with drama and excitement as the free agent class was loaded with top-end talent.
Juan Soto provided plenty of anticipation before signing a deal with the New York Mets worth $765 million over 15 years.
The outfielder was the top offensive player in the free agent class, but top starting pitcher Corbin Burnes of the Baltimore Orioles has not yet signed with a team for 2025.
MLB insider Mark Feinsand recently revealed what Burnes is seeking in a new contract.
“Corbin Burnes is looking for a deal worth ‘at least’ $245 million,” Feinsand said, via B/R Walk-Off.Corbin Burnes is looking for a deal worth 'at least' $245M, per @Feinsand pic.twitter.com/E4Pp2yjJno
— B/R Walk-Off (@BRWalkoff) December 27, 2024
Burnes debuted with the Milwaukee Brewers in 2018 and played six years for them before going to the Orioles in 2024.
The 30-year-old’s reported demands could be a steep price to pay for some teams.
In 2024, Burnes started 32 games and was 15-9 with a 2.92 ERA and 181 strikeouts in 194.1 innings pitched.
Burnes proved he can be an ace of a rotation and wants a contract that reflects that.
One team reportedly interested in Burnes is the San Francisco Giants, which is significant due to him growing up in the California area.
All eyes will remain on Burnes as he is the top starting pitcher available, and it appears that multiple teams could still be in play for him.
The post Insider Reveals What Corbin Burnes Is Looking For In New Deal appeared first on The Cold Wire.
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The Baltimore Orioles are beginning to gain a reputation for having a very good regular season only to flame out in the first round of the playoffs.
In the past two seasons, the Orioles won 101 games in 2023 and 91 games in 2024, but both ended by being swept in their first playoff series.
The Orioles will look to add some pieces this offseason to get over the hump of that first playoff series and make a longer postseason run in 2025.
Former MLB player A.J. Pierzynski named two players the Orioles should target this offseason.
“If I’m an Orioles fan, I want two starters. I want Max Fried and I want Garrett Crochet,” Pierzynski said, via Foul Territory.The Orioles should go after Max Fried and Garrett Crochet, says @AJPierzynski12. pic.twitter.com/vASAjoTHER
— Foul Territory (@FoulTerritoryTV) December 3, 2024
Pierzynski mentions that the Orioles have a solid lineup of position players, but their starting rotation could benefit from some help.
Fried made his major league debut in 2017 and has played all eight seasons of his career with the Atlanta Braves.
He started 29 games in 2024 with an 11-10 record and a 3.25 ERA with 166 strikeouts in 174.1 innings pitched.
Chicago White Sox ace Crotchet is the other player mentioned, and the Orioles would have to trade some of their prospects to acquire him.
In 2024 with an awful White Sox team, Crotchet started 32 games and posted a record of 6-12 with a 3.58 ERA and 209 strikeouts in 146.0 innings pitched.
The Orioles could lose starting pitcher Corbin Burnes as a free agent this offseason, and even if he re-signs, they still need some help in their rotation if they want to make a postseason run in 2025.
The post Former Player Names 2 Free Agents The Orioles Should Go After appeared first on The Cold Wire.
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Jordan Westburg is dealing with a hopefully small injury as well, the Orioles said on Thursday.
The only thing that really matters as spring training is that no important Orioles get hurt. Unfortunately for O’s fans, Thursday’s game turned into one with some bad news after shortstop Gunnar Henderson left the game following just one inning. The team later announced that Henderson’s exit was due to “lower right side discomfort.”
This wasn’t even the only bit of Orioles infield injury news from Thursday. Prior to the game, the team also said that Jordan Westburg, absent for a few days from the lineup, is dealing with a back issue, for which he is being treated. He’s currently expected to be back in action in another few days. Let’s hope that plays out that way.
Thursday’s Orioles spring training game against the Blue Jays was not televised in any way, so there was way to be sure just from what anyone saw on what actually happened to Henderson. In the top of the first inning, Henderson was involved in a play where he made a leaping catch. In the bottom of the first inning, he ran to first while trying to beat out a poorly fielded grounder. Following that, he was replaced in the field for the top of the second inning by Luis Vasquez.
After the game, manager Brandon Hyde told Orioles reporters that the discomfort followed from Henderson landing on his side after catching the line drive. Hyde said there is no plan for an MRI and that Henderson will be re-evaluated tomorrow.
What “lower right side discomfort” turns out to mean will probably influence the appropriate level of panic. If it ends up being some kind of oblique strain, Henderson might not be back and ready for Opening Day. If it turns out to be a minor cramp or tweak of a calf muscle that the team was just overly cautious about because it’s spring training and there’s no need to push through anything, then it’s fine.
It’s not fun to even have to worry for a little while. There is not a backup plan for when your nine-win MVP-level shortstop suffers an injury that could require an injured list stint. No team can prepare for it. Don’t literally hold your breath, because you’d die before we find out more, but if you’re holding it figuratively, me too.
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Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images
It’s been a long and winding road for Gary Sánchez. He now finds himself back in the AL East.
Gary Sánchez burst onto the baseball scene in 2016 with an impressive rookie season with the Yankees in which he hit 20 home runs in just 53 games. It earned him second place in Rookie of the Year voting and high expectations for his career. He followed through in 2017 with 33 home runs, a silver slugger as a catcher, and his first All-Star appearance.
Those first two seasons were surely what the Yankees had imagined when they gave him a $3 million signing bonus as a 16-year-old out of the Dominican Republic. He started off in the minors with a bang but his performance had stagnated some before he made the majors. That made his early performance a bit surprising, but he had the pedigree. When he and Aaron Judge joined the Yankees around the same time, it seemed like they’d be a one-two punch making the Orioles miserable for years to come.
In fact, if you remember Sánchez being even better than his stats indicate, that’s because he destroyed the Orioles. He hit four home runs against them in 10 games in 2017 and has 22 homers off of Orioles’ pitchers in his career, his most against any single team.
But the good times did not last for Sánchez. Things went south after that fantastic 2017 season. He struggled with injuries and couldn’t keep up his prodigious offensive numbers. There had always been questions about his defense, and when his offense fell off things went south. As is typical in New York, the fans and media turned on him. There were complaints about his work ethic, his attitude, you name it. How much of that was true? It’s always impossible to say, of course. But New York isn’t exactly a nurturing market for professional athletes.
Sánchez stayed with the Yankees through 2021 and finished his career with them with 138 home runs in 538 games. In spring training 2022, Sánchez was traded to the Minnesota Twins for Josh Donaldson and others. He spent all of 2022 with the Twins and while his offense has never come back around, he showed marked improvement on defense in defensive runs saved, framing, and blocking. It led to an fWAR of 1.4 despite his batting line of .205/.282/.377.
Sánchez reached free agency after his season with the Twins and 2023 was a tumultuous year for the catcher. The San Francisco Giants signed him to a minor-league deal with an opt-out. He took that opt-out on May 2 when he hadn’t made the major-league team.
The Mets took a chance on him after his release, but that lasted just about a week before he was DFA’d. The Padres claimed him on waivers on May 29, kicking off a very nice second half of the season. Sánchez stepped into the catcher role for the Padres and hit 19 home runs in 72 games. His framing and DRS numbers remained at their improved level, and he became Blake Snell’s personal catcher as Snell turned his season around.
Sánchez leveraged his Padres’ performance into a one-year contract with the Brewers that came with a mutual option. He backed up William Contreras at catcher and put in time as the designated hitter.
Sánchez’s power dropped off in his 89 games played. He hit just 11 home runs with a .171 ISO, the lowest of his career. His 0.3 fWAR was also the lowest of his career excluding 2020. The Brewers declined his option, but he more than made up for it when the Orioles inked him to a one-year, $8.5 million contract in December.
What can the Orioles expect of Sánchez this year? He’ll operate as the backup to primary catcher Adley Rutschman, and if the team manages Rutschman’s workload similarly this year to next, we’ll be seeing plenty of Sánchez. He has a strong throwing arm and, as mentioned, his defense has seen improvement in the past few seasons. He should do fine in the role.
What kind of offense he can provide is more of a mystery. He has more pop in his bat than many backups, but he hasn’t been consistent with it. He is a stronger hitter against left-handed pitching so he may see more time when it’s a lefty starter. (Rutschman is also better against lefties).
Gary Sánchez turned 32 years old in December and he has just over eight years of service time across 10 major-league seasons. He has gone from top prospect to hyped rookie to maligned underachiever. He has been signed, traded, released, and claimed on waivers. He’s seen free agency twice. There isn’t a lot of pressure on the back up catcher, and maybe that will serve him well. He’s young enough and talented enough to have another good season in the tank. Let’s hope we see that in 2025.
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Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images
Tyler O’Neill will look to help offset the loss of production from Anthony Santander. Can the power hitter stay healthy long enough to get the job done?
It took until the final month of 2024, but Mike Elias finally deemed a player worthy of a multi-year deal. Tyler O’Neill can technically opt out after this season, but Elias inked the outfielder to a three-year deal that could reach $49.5 million.
The O’Neill signing all but closed the door on the Orioles bringing back Anthony Santander. Santander later revealed that Baltimore made an offer even after signing O’Neill, but the All Star right fielder ultimately ended up in Toronto. The departure left the Orioles with a 44 homer and 102 RBI hole in their lineup.
O’Neill won’t be the only one tasked with making up for lost production. Baltimore expects a significant step forward from Heston Kjerstad, and the O’s hope to receive a little pop from Ramón Laureano. That being said, the Orioles expect O’Neill to carry the bulk of the load early in the season.
The 29-year-old’s best offensive year came in 2021. The former Cardinal slashed .286/.352/.560 over 138 games in St. Louis. He took a step back during his final two years with the Cardinals before slashing .241/.336/.511 with Boston last season. O’Neill tallied 31 homers, drove in 61 runs, and eclipsed 100 games played for only the second time in his career.
O’Neill posted a 131 wRC+ (weighted run creation adjusted to the league average) during his only season in Boston. As expected, that marked his second best total in the category after posting a 143 wRC+ in 2021. The former third round pick has proven two things over his seven year career. One, he’s allergic to sleeves. And two, the guy can produce when he stays on the field.
ZiPS projects O’Neill to replicate his run creation during his second season in the AL East. The pre-season projections have the righty posting a 132 wRC+ over 112 games this season. That number ranks second highest on Baltimore’s roster projections below only Gunnar Henderson.
- ZiPS: 112 Games, 24 HR, 66 RBI, .249 AVG, .333 OBP, .481 SLG, 132 wRC+
That number would rank a few points higher than Santander’s 129 wRC+ in 2024. How realistic is it?
The case for the over
The Orioles will look to keep O’Neill healthy this season, and they have enough depth that he will not need to start every day. Brandon Hyde has said that Heston Kjerstad will have every opportunity to carve out a role this season, and Laureano received slightly more than chump change at $4 million for one year.
Colton Cowser will return after being named the league’s top rookie by his peers, and Cedric Mullins will look to produce during a contract year. Hyde will likely play the matchups throughout the season which should help every player’s stat line.
O’Neill boasts a career .270/.376/.547 slash line against southpaws. He proved the power was still present last year in Boston, and one glance at the guy backs up the assertion. Just listen to the crack of the bat from yesterday’s game against the Tigers.
The case for the under
It never feels fair to label a guy as injury prone, but the numbers don’t lie. O’Neill only played 72 games in 2023 after making 96 appearances the year prior. He suffered a pair of hamstring injuries in 2022 and missed significant time with a back strain during his final year in St. Louis. O’Neill missed time with a concussion, knee inflammation, and a leg infection during his stint in Boston.
There’s also the chance that he’s outplayed by his peers. The designated hitter spot is always crowded between Adley Rutschman, the two first basemen, and any other hot hitter. A strong season from Kjerstad could reduce O’Neill into a platoon role against lefties, and it’s unclear how a lack of reps while healthy could impact his performance.
The Orioles sought out O’Neill for a reason. The deal required less money than the Blue Jays gave to Santander, but it’s not like the guy came cheap. Baltimore made a significant commitment to a guy it feels can fill a hole in its lineup on a daily basis, and ZiPS expects O’Neill to accomplish that feat.
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Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images
The superstar shortstop left yesterday’s game with lower side discomfort. For the sake of the Orioles’ season, let’s hope it’s nothing to worry about.
Good morning, Camden Chatters.
It’s over. Pack it in. The 2025 Orioles are doomed. Let’s all find something else to do for the next seven months.
...All right, maybe I’m overreacting. Slightly. But the news that Gunnar Henderson left yesterday’s Grapefruit League game with lower right back discomfort isn’t exactly what any O’s fan wants to hear. Henderson reportedly suffered the injury while catching a line drive in the first inning.
Brandon Hyde, for what it’s worth, didn’t seem worried, saying that the decision to pull Henderson was mostly precautionary. It is only the first week of spring training, after all. Hyde told reporters that the O’s have no plans for Gunnar to undergo an MRI and will just continue to monitor him. Best case scenario is that this all turns out to be a big nothingburger and Henderson is back in the lineup in a few days. And that may well happen.
Still, the doom-and-gloom side of me worries that this seemingly minor discomfort could turn out to be something more serious and that Gunnar ends up spending some time on the IL. Or there’s the also-unwelcome possibility that he tries to play through the lingering soreness and his performance suffers as a result. Either outcome would spell trouble for the Orioles’ chances of contention.
But I’m jumping the gun. Let’s see what news the next few days bring before we start predicting the worst. In the meantime, the Gunnar-less O’s went on to an 11-8 win over the Blue Jays yesterday, setting the tone with a seven-run second inning in which both Ramón Urías and Tyler O’Neill homered. The Birds’ offense collected nine hits from nine different hitters, though it should be mentioned that they weren’t exactly facing the Blue Jays’ A-team. Former O’s prospect Easton Lucas started for Toronto and was followed by five pitchers with zero major league experience. So, you know. On the mound, Grayson Rodriguez had a successful spring debut, pitching 1.2 hitless innings and striking out two.
The O’s will be back in action this afternoon with a 1:05 game against the Twins in Fort Myers. There will be no TV broadcast of the game by either team, though it is available on Twins radio if you really need your fix. Zach Eflin is set to make his first spring start.
Links
Orioles pull Gunnar Henderson from game ‘for precautionary reasons’ - The Baltimore Banner
More on Henderson’s injury. Keep your fingers crossed for good news.
Will Orioles' Mountcastle benefit from closer left-field wall? | MAILBAG - BaltimoreBaseball.com
I would certainly think so. But I’m still predicting that the Orioles are going to trade Mountcastle in July if not earlier. Coby Mayo’s got to play somewhere.
Orioles hiring performers for fan-favorite hot dog race – Baltimore Sun
All right, fine, I’ll do it. But only if I get to be Mustard.
Orioles birthdays and history
Is today your birthday? Happy birthday! You share your day with three former Orioles: left-hander Mike Milchin (57) and outfielders Dallas Williams (67) and the late Dick Kokos (b. 1928, d. 1986). Kokos played in the first game in Orioles history, on April 13, 1954.
On this date a year ago, the Orioles signed veteran second baseman Kolten Wong to a minor league contract with an invitation to spring training. Orioles fans were suitably puzzled, worrying that the signing of Wong might mean that the Jackson Holliday wouldn’t break camp with the team. As it turned out, Holliday didn’t make the team...but neither did Wong, who was released before Opening Day, with last-minute signing Tony Kemp cracking the roster instead.
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Photo by Jack Gorman/Getty Images
Last year, the lefty was basically the rock in a bullpen that went through a lot of shocks. Can he do it again?
Man, it was only 2017, but it feels like a lifetime ago that Keegan Akin was a top O’s prospect (No. 6)—as a starting pitcher. Steer our time-traveling craft back to those days, and you’ll find MLB Pipeline touting the Western Michigan alum as “one of the hardest-throwing lefty starters in his class,” equipped with a 91-94 mph fastball, an above-average slider, and an average changeup. He profiled, they thought, as “a No. 3 or 4 starter at maturity.”
Considering that list also included Chance Sisco, Cody Sedlock, Chris Lee, and Jomar Reyes, the return on investment could have been worse! Akin did not become an MLB starter, nor has he been an All-Star. But last year, arguably, he was the rock of the Orioles bullpen, and he got his deserved kudos, at least from us here at Camden Chat.
Akin was extremely solid in 2024, posting a 3.32 ERA/2.99 FIP and 113 ERA+ in 66 games. Impressively, he hit a career high in strikeouts as a relief pitcher, with 97 K’s in 78.2 innings, good for an 11.1 rate. He kept his walk rate to a manageable 2.2 per nine innings, too. He also topped the 99th percentile, according to BaseballSavant, in expected ERA and expected batting average—the swings and quality of contact against him were bad, in other words. And Akin himself was very good.
Akin did this while performing a difficult Swiss Army knife role as the Orioles fumbled around looking for help at closer. Recall, the Orioles were missing Félix Bautista for all of last year, Yennier Cano went through bouts of ineffectiveness, and Craig Kimbrel generally turned into a pumpkin in the back half of the season. Akin led the bullpen in innings pitched (78.2), while making 25 appearances in the seventh inning, 24 in the eighth, and fully 14 in the closer spot.
Zooming out to the career level, over five seasons, Akin been good in really two of them: last year and 2022, when he put up a 3.20 ERA/3.59 FIP and 122 ERA+ in 45 games. He was flawed in 2021 as a starter, finishing 2-10 with a 6.63 ERA (ouch) and also in 2023, when he was hurt, posting a 6.85 ERA in 24 games.
The data doesn’t lie, people: Akin can’t pitch in odd years. #analysis
Fortunately, that would be a stupid rule to apply in a baseball projection, and FanGraphs isn’t a stupid publication. In fact, they’re actually pretty optimistic about Akin’s prospects this year.
FanGraph’s ZIPS has Akin projected to finish tenth among Orioles pitchers with 0.9 WAR in 50 games in 2025. That WAR total would put him behind swingman types like Cade Povich, Trevor Rodgers and newcomer Brandon Young, but among pure relievers, the Orioles’ second-most valuable arm after Félix Bautista.
The rest of his projected stats are as follows:
70.0 IP, 10.41 K/9, 2.31 BB/9, 1.16 HR/9, 3.47 ERA, 3.34 FIP
This sounds pretty Akin-like, consistent with his good years, out of line with his bad ones. The totals are all about in line with what he put up last year, rightly considered a success. Akin’s ERA was a shade lower than this projection (3.32), he pitched a few more innings than they expect (78.2 to 70), and his walks were lower (2.17 versus a predicted 2.31), his FIP was better (2.99 versus 3.34).
The case for the over
I told you: he can’t pitch in odd years! JK, let’s try a little harder. Akin’s strikeout rate increased across the board for all three of his pitches, but especially for his ruthless slider, which posted a 35.7% whiff rate, as he upped the spin rate significantly on the pitch. Can he sustain this? If the whiff rates were a mirage, then his numbers will look worse.
There’s also injury luck, too. Akin had good health last year, but in 2021 he had a groin injury and a back injury in 2023. His health of course could turn.
We don’t have quite enough data on the lefty to know what “the real Akin” looks like. Between the injury-marred years and the very good ones, the truth could be in the middle?
The case for the under
Not every prediction is right just because it’s “in the middle.” Akin might be hitting his stride.
Besides, as noted before, he had to deal with considerable instability around him in ’24, what with injuries and ineffectiveness plaguing the Orioles staff all year, from starters to relievers. Brandon Hyde loves to preach—if not always to practice—the virtues of consistent roles in the bullpen. Things happen, especially to pitchers. But if the bullpen roles are more fixed in 2025, it’s possible Akin will post a second consecutive strong season.
Akin may not have turned into a hotshot starting pitcher. But he was the anchor of the Orioles bullpen last year, and if he’s close to equalizing those totals in 2025, he’ll do it again.
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Photo by Samuel Corum/Getty Images
In a rare treat, the Orioles will be on TV and radio in Baltimore for today’s spring game.
It’s been one week since the last time an Orioles spring training game was on television. The team-owned network changes that today as Saturday’s contest against the Pirates will be on MASN. Or if you’re out and can’t watch that, the Orioles Radio Network (or at least its flagship station in Baltimore) will be carrying the game. Hopefully it’s a nice one to watch or listen to.
Spring training being what it is, results don’t matter too much as long as nobody else gets hurt. A couple of Orioles infielders are already on the mend from what will hopefully end up being minor ailments. Jordan Westburg has a back issue and he reportedly is working up a throwing progression. Gunnar Henderson, who suffered “lower right side discomfort” after landing from fielding a line drive on Thursday, is getting the weekend off.
My level of nervousness will increase if there’s not a positive update about Henderson on Monday. For now, there’s 26 days until Opening Day, so there’s still a lot of time for players to get right from minor early nagging issues and still get themselves into game form for the start of the regular season.
Orioles lineup
- Cedric Mullins - CF
- Adley Rutschman - C
- Ryan O’Hearn - DH
- Ryan Mountcastle - 1B
- Ramón Urías - 3B
- Ramón Laureano - RF
- Nick Gordon - 2B
- Luis Vasquez - SS
- Dylan Beavers - LF
These pitchers are expected to get some work in the game today: Cade Povich, Brandon Young, Gregory Soto, Seranthony Domínguez, Andrew Kittredge
It’s not one of the more Opening Day-feeling lineups we’ve seen so far this spring. With Westburg and Henderson currently out of commission, it’s tough to accomplish that. Hopefully Beavers can make a nice impression in the time he’s in the game.
You won’t have to wait as long to see the Orioles on television again after today. Monday’s game will be back on MASN, and if you’ve got access to other team feeds, you don’t even have to wait that long, because tomorrow’s game is on Phillies television.
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Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images
Could the Orioles have a new starter break into the expected rotation mix? Cade Povich is making it a question.
Hello, friends.
There are now 25 days remaining until Orioles Opening Day. We’re into March and the season starts this month. That’s fun. There’s still three more weeks of spring training games to get through before that. Yesterday’s game that you could actually watch on MASN saw the Orioles lose to the Pirates, 5-3.
I did not get to watch any of the game because I was out, so I can’t speak for anything other than how it looked in the box score. For me, it’s pretty satisfying to see that Cade Povich pitched three scoreless innings, which is better than 2024’s sensation Paul Skenes can say (3 IP, 1 ER). Povich struck out six of the 11 batters he saw in the game.
What kind of spring would it take for Povich to force his way on the roster? With the Orioles signing two veterans over the offseason and the three incumbents seeming pretty locked in, there’s not a lot of room there short of an injury. Maybe he can start out as a long reliever/spot starter kind of guy, if someone in the existing bullpen mix bombs his way out. Albert Suárez fans, don’t read the rest of this paragraph. Albert Suárez has, in his brief spring appearances to date, looked like he could be bombing his way out.
Not so positive-looking is the fact that reliever Seranthony Domínguez gave up two home runs in only one inning. Again, I didn’t see it, so maybe one or both of these was a kind of spring training jet stream nonsense home run that you don’t have to worry about in the regular season. In Domínguez’s case, giving up too many dang homers was the problem for him a year ago so it’s believable that he still stinks in that regard. It’s also a problem for when the games start counting, because Mike Elias is unlikely to move on until Domínguez torpedoes too many real games.
No MASN for today’s game, with the Orioles on the road in Phillies camp. This one will be available on Phillies TV for anyone who has access to that either via MLB.tv or living in the Philadelphia area. Dean Kremer is set to start the game for the O’s, likely also in the three inning range as starters gradually build their workloads up through the Grapefruit League schedule.
Around the blogO’sphere
‘It’s been awesome to watch’: Could Povich’s evolution force O’s hand? (Orioles.com)
Since this article by Jake Rill has Brandon Hyde saying that Povich is probably “the seventh (starter)” (behind Suárez), the answer is probably no, but there are three weeks for that to change.
Is the starting rotation for the Orioles set? Knock on wood, but it looks that way (The Baltimore Banner)
Another way of stating that Povich to the rotation is unlikely.
Five early trends from the first week of Orioles spring training games (The Baltimore Sun)
The five things industrial complex remains powerful indeed.
Mayo is driven to deliver for the Orioles after last year’s debut (Baltimore Baseball)
I’ve been in the Coby Mayo fan club since the day he was drafted and his name’s Baltimore accent potential immediately jumped out at me. So I’ll be happy if he can live up to the potential.
Birthdays and Orioles anniversaries
There are a few former Orioles who were born on this day. They are: 2013-15 pitcher Bud Norris, 2001-07 slugger Jay Gibbons, and 1990-95 infielder Leo Gómez. Today is Gómez’s 59th birthday, so an extra happy birthday to him.
Is today your birthday? Happy birthday to you! Your birthday buddies for today include: poet/illustrator Dr. Seuss (1904), baseball Hall of Famer Mel Ott (1909), actor Desi Arnaz (1917), musician Jon Bon Jovi (1962), actor Daniel Craig (1968), rapper Method Man (1971), and actress Rebel Wilson (1980).
On this day in history...
In 1807, Congress passed the simply-titled Act Prohibiting Importation of Slaves, set to take effect on the following January 1. This act banned the international slave trade and took effect the first day that the Constitution allowed such a law to take effect.
In 1917, President Woodrow Wilson signed the Jones-Shafroth Act, which among other things granted US citizenship to Puerto Ricans.
In 1962, Wilt Chamberlain set the NBA record by scoring 100 points in a single game. His Philadelphia Warriors beat the New York Knicks, 169-147, in a game played in Hershey, Pennsylvania.
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And that’s the way it is in Birdland on March 2. Have a safe Sunday.
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Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images
Holliday learning, spring observations, and Contreras as a starter.
Good Morning Birdland!
It’s March! Regular season baseball starts this month, but that’s still a 3.5-week wait for the Orioles. Before that, we have a whole bunch of practice games and cold weather to get through. There may be no longer stretch of the entire offseason.
If some of the games left on the Grapefruit League schedule play out like Friday’s 13-10 win over the Twins, that will make it more bearable. The O’s entered the ninth inning down 10-5, then scored eight unanswered runs to win going away. Jackson Holliday had two hits, including a two-run homer, and stole a base.
It does not sound like there will be any additional updates on Gunnar Henderson this weekend. The shortstop was still sore on Friday after leaving the team’s Thursday game with discomfort on his lower right side. So they are giving him the whole weekend off.
The team does not seem alarmed, as they are not even getting an MRI done on the injury. But side/oblique issues are known to linger, so it will get worrying if the injury carries too far into next week.
Thankfully, as I whined a few paragraphs ago, these is still a decent chunk of the spring left ahead of us. That gives Henderson—as well as Jordan Westburg, who is battling lower back soreness—the time they need to get fit and back into the flow of things.
There is some Orioles action to check out today. They will be hosting the Pirates at Ed Smith Stadium, first pitch coming at 1:05. And there will even be local radio and TV coverage. We are really being spoiled on this Saturday afternoon.
Links
How important is Martinez’s high-speed fastball? | MASN
It’s still tough to see where Rodolfo Martinez could fit in this bullpen. The big fastball is great, but the O’s relief corps is deep and quite proven. Martinez would be a gamble that might not be worth taking.
In year 2, Holliday looks to O’s legends for infield advice | Orioles.com
There has been a whole lot of Jackson Holliday love this spring. It makes sense. He struggled last year, but there is no doubt about the talent. If things click for him, the Orioles suddenly have their lead off hitter and everyday second baseball for the next five years. That would be a big deal.
A dozen observations from Orioles spring training | Roch Kubatko
Some nice quick hits to get you up to speed on the O’s camp so far. It’s all quite positive, as you would expect for a team that plans on being back in the playoffs this year. I’m interested in anything about Grayson Rodriguez. The Orioles really need him to be coming into form. So far, it sounds like that is happening.
Orioles Building Up Roansy Contreras As Potential Starter | MLB Trade Rumors
The Orioles liked Contreras enough to claim him twice this offseason. That doesn’t mean he is making the team, but there’s something interesting about him. If there is an injury to Albert Suárez, Contreras feels like the likely guy to step in as a multi-inning/long man bullpen option.
Orioles birthdays
Is it your birthday? Happy birthday!
- Omar Daal is 53 years old. He pitched in 19 games for the 2003 Orioles, representing the end of his 11-season MLB career.
- The late Larry Brown (b. 1940, d. 2024) was born on this day. The infielder played 17 games for the Orioles during the 1973 season.
- It’s a posthumous birthday for Bert Hamric (b. 1928, d. 1984). He played just eight games for the Orioles during the 1958 campaign.
- The late Howie Fox (b. 1921, d. 1955) was also born on this day. He pitched in 38 games for the Orioles in 1954.
This day in history
March 1st has been a slow day in Orioles history, according to Baseball Reference. So here are a few things that have happened on this date beyond Birdland:
1692 - The Salem witch trials begin when Sarah Good, Sarah Osborne, and Tituba are brought befor local magistrates in Salem Village, Massachusetts,
1781 - The Articles of Confederation go into effect in the United States.
1867 - Nebraska is admitted as the 37th U.S. state.
1896 - Henri Becquerel discovers radioactive decay.
1998 - Titanic becomes the first film to gross over $1 billion worldwide.
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Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images
The grizzled veteran is the first 40-year-old starting pitcher in Orioles history. Can he provide a stable presence at the back of the O’s rotation?
I’m not saying Charlie Morton is old, but when he started his professional career, Jackson Holliday wasn’t born yet. (Morton did, however, pitch 35 times to Jackson’s dad, Matt.)
I’m not saying Charlie Morton is old, but one of his former teammates had a teammate who played with Warren Spahn. (That’d be Tom Glavine and Phil Niekro, respectively.)
I’m not saying Charlie Morton is old, but...well, he is. In a baseball sense, anyway. (He’s still — heavy sigh — younger than me.)
When Morton, 41, takes the mound this year, he’ll be doing something that no Oriole has ever done: make a start at age 40 or older. He’ll be only the seventh 40+ pitcher in O’s history; the previous six were relievers, and none since Steve Reed in 2005. So, yeah, it’s been a full two decades since a graybeard like Morton delivered a pitch for the Birds, and none has ever been expected to eat up five or six innings every game like he is.
Still, Morton’s age hasn’t stopped him from being a reliable mainstay in team’s rotations the past few years. Dating back to 2018, he has made 30 or more starts in every full season, first with the Astros, then the Rays, then Atlanta. That string of durability began when Morton was 34. Before that, he’d never had a single 30-start season in his career. He’s what you call a late bloomer.
It’s been quite a road for Morton, who spent the better part of a decade as a barely replacement level pitcher. The Braves drafted him in 2002, and just after he finally arrived in the majors six years later, Atlanta dealt him to the Pirates for one-time Orioles outfielder Nate McLouth. Morton spent a full seven years in Pittsburgh, made 142 starts, and compiled a total WAR of...0.1. Yikes. It’s hard to be that mediocre for that long of a stretch.
But Morton’s career took off in 2017 when he joined Houston, where Mike Elias was the assistant general manager at the time. The Astros’ vaunted analytics staff transformed Morton’s repertoire, converting him from a middling, pitch-to-contact sinkerballer into a strikeout-heavy, two-seam specialist. Since then, a guy who previously looked to be on his way out of baseball has extended his revitalized career longer than anyone thought possible.
The question is, how long can he keep it up? Even Morton doesn’t seem sure. He’s been considering the possibility of retirement since at least 2018, and he told the Baltimore media that he might have walked away from the game this winter if the Orioles hadn’t come calling (and thrown $15 million at him). Elias and his staff clearly are betting on Morton continuing to defy the aging process. What does ZiPS expect for him in 2025?
ZiPS projection: 8-9, 27 GS, 149.2 IP, 4.39 ERA, 8.84 K/9, 3.61 BB/9, 1.1 WAR
The games and innings totals would be Morton’s lowest in a non-pandemic-shortened season since 2017, and the strikeout rate would be his worst since 2015. Corbin Burnes, he ain’t. Still, I think the Orioles would be perfectly content with that kind of performance from a back-end starter. For over/under purposes, let’s zoom in on the projected 4.39 ERA.
The case for the under
Considering the wild fluctuation in Morton’s results in the past few seasons, ZiPS might as well have spit out his 2025 projections as “i dunno, lol.” After posting a career-best 3.05 ERA in 2019, Morton stumbled to a 4.74 mark in the abbreviated 2020 campaign, improved dramatically to to 3.34 the following year, got a full run worse in 2022, lowered it to 3.64 a season later, and trended back above four with a 4.19 ERA last year. There’s been no gradual improvement or gradual decline. He’s gone back and forth from year to year with no real rhyme or reason.
I suppose the good news is that the odd-numbered years tend to be his best ones. And with Morton back under the tutelage of Elias and some of the ex-Astros analytics staff that once rejuvenated his career, there’s reason to be optimistic that he’s got another good year, or at least a perfectly solid year, left in him. Clearing a 4.39 ERA shouldn’t be too hard to accomplish for Morton, who hasn’t had a mark that high in a full season since his Pirates days a decade ago.
The case for the over
Father Time, as they say, is undefeated, and even the seemingly ageless Morton will at some point fall victim. There were signs of decline last season, when his strikeout rate dropped from 10.1 to (an admittedly still good) 9.1, while his FIP rose from 3.87 to 4.46. Should his fastball lose a MPH or two, or his breaking ball fail to move quite as it used to, that could make all the difference between another solid season and a permanent push toward retirement.
That’s not to say Morton will have a terrible season, but an ERA of worse than 4.39 isn’t hard to imagine. When it comes down to it, there’s a reason there’s hardly any 40-year-olds still active in the majors.