New York Jets
Role Player
Scouting Jets rookie wide receiver Arian Smith
Source: https://www.ganggreennation.com/202...ew-york-jets-rookie-wide-receiver-arian-smith
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Photo by Steve Limentani/ISI Photos/Getty Images
Taking a look at the Jets rookie wide receiver
The Jets drafted former Georgia wide receiver Arian Smith in the fourth round of the 2025 NFL draft. Today we break Smith down in detail.
The 23-year old Smith is listed at 6’0” and 179 pounds. He caught 68 passes for 1,356 yards and 10 touchdowns in five years with the Georgia Bulldogs. Having entered the 2024 season with just 20 career catches he had a breakout season last year and led the team in receiving yards.
Background
Smith was a four-star high school recruit and track and field sensation who headed to Georgia in 2019 but redshirted his first season.
Over the next three seasons, he didn’t play much, catching just 12 passes in 19 games. However, he showed big play capabilities with four touchdowns and an average of 32.2 yards per catch. He also broke out in the playoffs as he had 129 yards and a touchdown in the Peach Bowl at the end of the 2022 season.
In 2023, he made the first two starts of his career but still didn’t produce much as he had eight catches for 153 yards and two scores in an offense that also featured Ladd McConkey and Brock Bowers.
However, he was featured much more in 2024 and had a breakout season with three 100-yard games. He ended up with a team-high 817 yards on 48 receptions, with four touchdowns.
Smith was invited to the Senior Bowl and the NFL scouting combine but was considered a probable late round pick. The Jets selected him in the fourth round with the 110th overall pick.
Let’s move on to some more in-depth analysis of what Smith brings to the table as a player, based on extensive research and film study.
Measurables/Athleticism
Smith doesn’t have particularly good size or a big catch radius and he has small hands. He could probably do with adding some bulk to his frame.
One thing that can’t be questioned is his speed. His 40-yard dash at the combine was a 4.36 and it speaks volumes that this was regarded by some as disappointing. As a decorated track athlete, he once ran 10.1 in the 100 meters and competed in college until 2023 before giving it up to focus on football. The speed and burst shows up on film too.
At the combine, Smith didn’t participate in the bench press but posted excellent explosiveness and agility numbers.
Usage
Smith has primarily played on the outside, as he was in the slot less than 25 percent of the time in his career. He did catch 11 passes from the slot last season, but averaged just 10 yards per catch - less than half what he did on the outside.
In addition to his pass catching, Smith has also been used to good effect on jet sweeps and end arounds. He carried eight times for 93 yards in college.
In high school, he also played as a quarterback, running back and defensive back.
Deep threat
Smith was a big downfield threat in college. As noted, he averaged over 30 yards per catch in his first three seasons and still averaged over 19 per catch in his fourth and fifth seasons as his role increased.
He can get behind the defense with pure speed, especially when he gets a clean release. Ultimately, his deep ball numbers probably should have been better than they were had he not had to constantly slow up to catch underthrown deep balls.
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Smith’s speed can cause genuine panic in defensive players whether they are playing up on him at the line or in off coverage.
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He isn’t just a downfield threat on go routes, because he can also use his speed to get behind the defense on deep over routes.
Hands
As you’ve probably heard, the major concern with Smith is how unreliable his hands are. He dropped 10 passes last season on 72 targets.
If anything, those drop numbers are not that bad. If he just caught a few more of those, then he’d have a 10 percent drop rate, which is higher than you’d like, but not a major concern. He also had just three drops in 40 targets prior to last season.
Let’s be clear about this, though. Those numbers undersell how shaky his hands are. He rarely looks comfortable catching the ball, often bobbling or body-catching it, and had a number of plays that weren’t counted as drops but could still be characterized as catchable. In addition, a lot of the drops he had were really bad, either going right through or bouncing off his hands.
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While a lot of receivers with high drop counts could put this down to focus or confidence, Smith’s bigger issue is a technical one. He is ineffective at scooping up low catches and keeps his hands too far apart when reaching beyond his frame. That’s arguably good news because if he gets some good coaching and works as hard at perfecting this aspect as he has at other parts of his game, then it’s almost certainly fixable. Perhaps he’ll never be a natural hands catcher, but the Jets will be hopeful he can at least become reliable enough to mitigate the mistakes as much as possible.
There are a few positive signs to lean on. First of all, even with all the drops, Smith had a solid 67 percent catch rate last year. That’s especially impressive for someone who is a downfield threat so are getting more low percentage targets. (It’s also fair to note that approximately one-third of his targets were screen passes though).
In addition, he also showed that he’s been working on his consistency during the pre-draft process. At the scouting combine, his gauntlet drill was flawless, with a hands catch on every throw. He also reportedly caught the ball well all week at the Senior Bowl.
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Routes
A further concern could be that Smith is just a one-trick pony and it’s fair to note that a high proportion of his production came on either deep balls or short passes rather than on a wide variety of different routes. However, some of the things he has shown as a route runner are encouraging.
You can tell he’s been working hard on his technique from his smooth footwork as he releases off the line and how he sets up his breaks.
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His speed is such a weapon that it opens up a lot of other ways from him to get open. Nobody can stay with him on a crossing route and backpedaling defensive players have to give him extra room, which he has started to take advantage of by becoming more adept at breaking down or changing direction.
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Red zone
You couldn’t really consider Smith as a red zone threat despite him scoring 10 touchdowns on his 68 career catches. That’s because those 10 touchdowns averaged 36.5 yards in length.
He did have three red zone touchdowns, though, with one at the back of the end zone and two on tunnel screens. Coincidentally, all three came from the 12-yard line.
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He was also targeted unsuccessfully in the red zone multiple times.
After the catch
With his incredible speed, Smith is obviously a threat to turn any play into a huge gain. He’s also been a big weapon on short passes.
Smith tends to run away from defenders rather than breaking tackles, but can throw a juke move here and there, and often creates yards after contact at the end of a run purely by having built up so much momentum.
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He fumbled once during his career, but immediately fell on it himself.
Blocking
Blocking is an underrated part of Smith’s game and an area where he stands out from time to time. His run blocking grades on analysis sites such as Pro Football Focus have been average to good.
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His effort in this area really stands out, as he hustles to his spot, battles for leverage and works his angles well. His discipline was also good as he didn’t have any holding penalties in his career.
Physicality
Although he’s clearly at his best in space Smith shows adequate physicality when carrying the ball, blocking and running routes.
One area where he could be better is on contested catches, although he did come down with a couple in traffic last season.
Last season, Smith was called for offensive pass interference three times which is perhaps a sign that he was being more competitive at the catch-point, although he obviously got flagged for pushing off. Two of these penalties negated 40-yard catches.
Special Teams
Smith saw action as a primary punt gunner over the past two seasons and that unit had good results as they only gave up 23 yards in 28 games. However, much of that was a product of the fact that the Bulldogs offense was efficient so they didn’t punt much.
Although he obviously did a solid job, Smith was only credited with one tackle, on this play.
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In addition to being a punt gunner, Smith also played as a vice on the punt return unit. He missed one tackle and had a special teams penalty in 2023 but he has no return game experience.
Instincts and Intelligence
Smith has shown some ability to find the soft spots in coverage or improvise and find an open area when a play gets extended.
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Perhaps the most obvious place where his instincts shine are as a ball carrier, though, as he shows natural vision and patience.
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Smith also showed good awareness on two plays where his teammates fumbled and he came out of nowhere to recover it and save the possession.
However, there was one play where he ran a slant instead of stopping for a screen pass, leading to an interception.
Smith also had two false starts last season.
Attitude
Smith is an even-keeled character who describes himself as tough, both physically and mentally. He is constantly working hard to improve with Georgia’s offensive coordinator Mike Bobo having described him as the hardest worker on the team.
He is a film junkie, who has noted that watching film on DeSean Jackson helped him get better at tracking deep balls and watching Jerry Rice helped him learn how to make his route breaks more effectively.
His on-field discipline was solid too, with just five offensive penalties in his career. All were in 2024, though.
Injuries
Injuries are a big part of the reason why Smith didn’t see the field much until 2024. At the start of his career, he broke his wrist landing in the long jump pit before ever playing in a game.
He suffered a torn meniscus and broken right fibula in 2021 and then, ahead of the 2022 season, suffered a high ankle sprain in preseason and missed the first four games. He then had an ankle fracture at the end of the year that required offseason surgery.
He has also been listed with toe and hip injuries.
Scheme Fit
The conclusion many people will jump to is that Smith is being brought in as a deep threat specialist, but having watched how he generated his production last season, it seems just as likely they see a multi-faceted role as being the best way to unlock his potential.
Smith was a teammate of current Jets edge defender Jermaine Johnson at Georgia in 2021.
Conclusions
A simplistic view of Smith’s potential, and the basis of the ongoing debate among Jets fans so far would be to weigh up the obvious positives he brings in terms of his speed against the negative factor of his unreliable hands. Both are as advertised, but there’s much more to this player.
There are two other areas of concern: His injury history and his late breakout. However, given that the injury history was a major factor in him not breaking out sooner, these two issues are somewhat intertwined.
Smith is 23 and, until the start of last season, had just 20 catches in his career. However, any suggestion that this was merely a case of a 22-year old beating up on guys barely out of high school can be tempered by the fact that he was productive against the bigger teams with 100-yard games against Ohio State and Alabama and 11 catches in two games against Texas.
There are also a lot of positives other than his speed to offset against these concerns. His route running is better than advertised, he creates good yardage with the ball in his hands and he has an excellent attitude that produced results last year as he showed improvements in a number of areas.
Watching Smith’s film is reminiscent of former Jets receiver Robbie Chosen (formerly Robbie Anderson). Throughout his entire career, teammates and some analysts suggested that Anderson was capable of doing more than just running go routes and having bad quarterbacks throw him low percentage downfield passes. Sure enough, as soon as he went to Carolina and they featured him in the short-intermediate game as well, he broke out with a 100+ catch season. The Jets may view Smith as someone who could do the same.
In conclusion, it’s a worthwhile gamble and very difficult to project how his career will play out. All outcomes from elite to bust are on the table but there is a lot to like here and you can see why the Jets were impressed with this player’s potential.
Source: https://www.ganggreennation.com/202...ew-york-jets-rookie-wide-receiver-arian-smith