Matthew Stafford has a back injury and that’s the only thing that Rams fans can be confident in right now when it comes to the quarterback’s health. Fans can’t be sure if the injury will go away tomorrow, linger throughout the season, or turn into the worse case scenario, which is surgery. Because regardless of whether or not the situation is worse than the team is letting on, or better than the pessimistic aura of speculations about a Stafford-less training camp, you’d be a fool to believe the next update you hear on the matter.
Quite literally, the only possible report that would give fans any clarity on Stafford’s 2025 outlook would be the one update that nobody wants to hear and Sean McVay doesn’t want to entertain. That would be injured reserve.
Anything other than season-ending news is merely speculation of what
might happen tomorrow. Don’t believe me?
- “Stafford will practice next week” part 1 — No he didn’t
- “Stafford will practice next week” part 2 — No he didn’t
- “Stafford looked great on Saturday, he’ll practice tomorrow” — He didn’t
- “Stafford could return on Tuesday” — He didn’t
All reports coming directly from the head coach. All followed up by new updates a day later or a week later of soreness, setbacks, and reports that McVay either didn’t know, didn’t want to share with the fans, or didn’t want to believe. But make no mistake:
The Los Angeles Rams have known more about the severity of Matthew Stafford’s back injury than they’ve admitted in the past (that is on the record, as you’ll see) and McVay has moved back Stafford’s return-to-practice date multiple times in training camp, claimed to have “misspoken” when plans have changed, and claimed that Stafford could play in a game right now prior to then later saying that he actually doesn’t know if Stafford could have played in a game at the time that the coach said he could have.
The team has sent their 37-year-old quarterback to the California back specialist who perhaps only deals with severe situations, and they did it at least
twice, while at this exact same time telling the media over and over again that Stafford “feels good”, “is in good shape”, and “looked good” as of just a couple of days ago. McVay says that Stafford could do
everything on Saturday in a closed throwing session, had no setbacks the next morning on Sunday, and would practice on Monday.
Instead, Stafford’s soreness apparently waited 48 hours because he did not feel good on Monday morning and has now missed another two practices with no return in sight.
As of the latest news on Tuesday at the close of practice,
passing game coordinator Aubrey Pleasant relieved McVay of the “giving false hope” updates by telling the media that there were no updates on Stafford. If anything, this is perhaps the least encouraging report we’ve had on Stafford all year:
“No, no update on Matthew,” Pleasant said, “but what I will tell you is it’s very tough for not only him and for the organization. I would say is that he’s trying his best.”
“This is very tough on the organization”? Two days ago this organization said he was fine!
How twisty and turny have these last three weeks been when it comes to Matthew Stafford’s aggravated disc? From not having any known injury in late July to only needing to sit a couple of days to suddently being in a “very tough” situation, updates on Stafford from the Los Angeles Rams and Sean McVay only share one thing in common:
They’re almost always wrong and underselling the severity of the issue.
April 21 – “Excited to jump into offseason workout program”
From trade rumor and contract drama to no drama, there was apparently nothing to worry about after the Rams re-did Stafford’s deal to keep the quarterback happy for a 17th season, foregoing the chance to take an offer from the Giants or Raiders. In a report from TheRams.com’s Stu Jackson in April,
Stafford was just happy to “get that out of the way” and get to work with Davante Adams and Tutu Atwell, stressing the importance of that time together:
“It’s great to have that done and kind of out of the way as we get this thing going,” Stafford said Monday. “Just obviously happy that I’m going to be coming back and doing it again here, which is great.”
With that resolved, Stafford turns his attention to this spring’s offseason workout program, which kicked off Monday morning as players returned to the practice facility for those voluntary sessions.
Stafford’s approach to OTAs evolves every year as he gets older and as the team changes.
Last year was “a little bit unique,” Stafford said, alluding to the contract situation – though he still attended and participated in every OTA and minicamp session while that was ongoing – but as he gets older, his focus is on being as physically and mentally fresh as possible. Being around teammates is also important to him, especially with a new face like wide receiver Davante Adams joining the team and returning wide receiver Tutu Atwell
due for an expanded role.
“Obviously getting work with the guys, being around them as much as I can, culturally is a great thing,” Stafford said. “And then getting to work with some of the guys like Davante and Tutu in some new spots and doing all of that kind of stuff will be beneficial.”
The team was preparing us for a modified approach to Stafford’s offseason program as early as April, even compared to the summer before, and Stafford did end up getting some on-field work in with Adams in May during the offseason program:
Matthew Stafford to Davante Adams coming soon.
pic.twitter.com/dbCMwQIW52
— Los Angeles Rams (@RamsNFL)
May 22, 2025
But these light throwing sessions during OTAs and minicamps three months ago are still the most recent times that Stafford has had a chance to develop any chemistry with his receivers or given McVay a chance to practice with the offense he expects to have in the regular season.
June 25 – Biggest red flag on Rams: Stafford’s health
Not really a report, just a kudos to Cody Benjamin of CBS Sports for saying something that looks even more apt six weeks later:
The Rams must be wary of Stafford’s health.
Age is just a number, they say. And certainly Stafford is part of that argument, given he nearly knocked off the eventual Super Bowl champion Eagles ahead of his 37th birthday to close 2024. But this is a gunslinger who’s also battled real bumps and bruises over the last half-decade, to the point he’s openly contemplated retirement. Sean McVay’s offense always has a Super Bowl ceiling with No. 9’s big arm at the controls, but if Stafford can’t stay upright to feed new weapons like
Davante Adams, well, there could be big trouble in Los Angeles.
July 22 – “Matthew’s feeling good” but will miss 5 days of practice
Right as the Rams opened 2025 training camp, McVay prepared us for merely a truncated absence by Matthew Stafford because of “back soreness”. McVay said that the problem “wasn’t anything new” and
Stu Jackson reported on the team website that Stafford would return after 5 days.
“Matthew’s feeling good. He had a little bit of soreness in his back that kind of crept up,” McVay said as players reported to Rams Training Camp presented by UNIFY Financial Credit Union. “He’s been throwing, feeling good. It’s not anything that’s necessarily new, something that he’s dealt with before.”
McVay said that during that five-day acclimation period, Stafford will work to the side on his own, “get himself feeling as good as possible,” and then be ready for the second block of training camp, which begins after the conclusion of the acclimation period. In the meantime, Jimmy Garoppolo will step in and handle Stafford’s reps with the first-team offense.
“(Stafford) feels good about that, I feel good about that,” McVay said. “And ultimately, it’s about having him feel as good as possible, mentally, physically, emotionally, going into Year 17.”
McVay also indicated it’s not something he’s concerned about, and that they feel good about Stafford returning to a full practice schedule in that second block of camp.
It is at this point that we’ve now officially entered a period where
Sean McVay updates the media on Stafford’s back with information that would indicate a positive update in the near future but several days later the timeline is proved inaccurate. McVay also said of Stafford at the time, “He’s so in tune with his body, and talking with him, I feel really good.”
As pointed out by
Blaine Grisak here at TST in article asking if the back was really the non-issue that McVay made it out to be at the time, a very similar narrative was being built around this time in 2022 regarding Stafford’s elbow.
“When you really look at the totality of it, want to try to have him operate in as little as pain as possible. I think anytime that you’ve played as long and are as tough as he is, I don’t know if you’re ever truly pain free.”
Of course, injuries became a huge issue in 2022.
July 24 – “He should be good to go in a couple of days” – McVay
Talking to Kay Adams at the start of training camp, McVay said that the Rams had always planned to take a “modified approach” to Stafford’s offseason regiment and therefore any concerns about his absence from practice were overblown.
I feel good about it too. You can’t be smart enough with him and going into year 17 we were going to take a modified approach so that he can feel as good physically, mentally, and emotionally anyway. We did that in the offseason, I thought he was awesome. Had a little bit of soreness creep up and so, Reggie (Scott) and Matthew have confirmed that he should be good to go in a couple days.“
Coach Sean McVay says the Rams have a "modified approach" this season when it comes to 17 year NFL veteran, Matthew Stafford.
@RamsNFL @UpAndAdamsShow pic.twitter.com/T8XcNkP7iM
— Kay Adams (@heykayadams)
July 24, 2025
This was still at the time that McVay insisted that Stafford would probably be back to practice “on Monday”, which is now becoming an infamous day of the week for how often Stafford is not practicing when he’s anticipated to practice.
July 26 – Scratch that, Stafford will actually miss the “second block” of training camp too
Two days after McVay told Adams that Stafford was about to return to practice and that so far nothing about his absence was unplanned,
the Rams coach updated the media to say that back soreness would also keep Stafford out for the second week of practice too. McVay even went as far to literally say that he just misspoke earlier.
McVay clarified his comments by indicating he misspoke at the start of camp and that Stafford’s
status will be considered a “week at a time”.
Sean McVay said QB Matthew Stafford (back soreness) will not return to practice on Monday as anticipated. McVay said the Rams will take it a week at a time with Stafford but that the QB did not experience a setback. McVay said the goal remains to have Stafford back for Week 1.
— Sarah Barshop (@sarahbarshop)
July 26, 2025
Outsiders were still mostly not concerned in late July, taking McVay’s word for it and believing that it was too soon to sound the alarm bells:
On today’s episode of The Pat McAfee Show, ESPN’s Peter Schrager addressed the status of Matthew Stafford’s back injury.
“I don't think there is a great level of concern as far as Matthew Stafford being ready for Week 1,” Schrager said. “I think the Rams are just being ultra…
pic.twitter.com/4XEU12fd1s
— RambLAng Man (@RambLAngMan)
July 29, 2025
I’m cautiously optimistic on Matthew Stafford and his back injury.
This guy has the LONGEST injury history I have record of.
Here’s some thoughts, particularly as it pertains to Puka Nacua and Davante Adams.
https://t.co/HbUm83O5Oq pic.twitter.com/u9ADIUS7OK
— Jesse Morse, M.D. (@DrJesseMorse)
July 26, 2025
"I can't stress enough how I still believe in the L.A. Rams as the team to beat in the NFC."
@AdamSchein explains why Matthew Stafford's back injury is not concerning for the
#Rams heading into the season.
https://t.co/RTimOxppxf pic.twitter.com/OQj8zCpcKY
— Mad Dog Sports Radio (@MadDogRadio)
July 28, 2025
McVay called Stafford “week to week” and said that the end goal was Week 1 against the Texans, basically just glossing over and ignoring previous statements that the quarterback would only miss the first week of training camp. If McVay had said at the start of camp that the Rams were going to consider resting Stafford for most, if not all of the month, then fans wouldn’t have much to question right now. That’s not what happened.
In fact, McVay said that Stafford’s back injury was “not new” despite there being no mention of an aggravated back injury prior to the first announcement in late July that the quarterback would not be throwing or participating in practices as he had been — light practices — in offseason workouts.
Now on July 26th, McVay is saying that this is all part of the planned “modified approach”, while also name-dropping Dr. Bob Watkins.
We found out from former NFL QB Matthew Hasselbeck on Tuesday that the only time he gets worried for a quarterback is when he sees Dr. Watkins. He literally said this and had no idea that Stafford has actually seen Watkins (twice) in the last month.
Here is Sean McVay’s full comments on
@nflnetwork, on Matthew Stafford
https://t.co/nWEfullX59 pic.twitter.com/1g8fwbt6k5
— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet)
July 26, 2025
August 3 – “Saw Dr. Watkins again today. Everything is in good shape.”
Saying that a quarterback saw the preeminent NFL back specialist for a second time is anything but indicating that the player is “in good shape”.
The Rams have an Aug. 5 joint practice with the
Dallas Cowboys and an Aug. 13 practice with the
Los Angeles Chargers. Stafford appears unlikely to go in either session.
“The Cowboys, no. The Cowboys, I would say that’s less than likely,” McVay said. “With the Chargers, and I know I’m probably irritating you guys, but it truly is a week-to-week thing and what I don’t want to do is set a timeline. I know he’s making good progress, saw Dr. Watkins again today. Everything is in good shape. But to answer your question, the Cowboys is a no and then we’ll see about the Chargers.”
Stafford of course didn’t participate in anything last week — joint practices, regular practices, or the preseason game (which would have been the case no matter what shape he was in) — and the Chargers joint practices were actually canceled,
which McVay indicated was Jim Harbaugh’s decision because of their own injury problems.
August 6 – It gets a name: “Aggravated Disc” and “Epidural treatment”!
On August 6th, two weeks into training camp — a week longer than McVay’s initial indication of time Stafford would miss —
Ian Rapoport tweeted that Stafford received an epidural to treat an aggravated disc. Furthermore, the shot wasn’t that day or the day before, but at least a couple of weeks earlier, meaning around the time that camp started and McVay was hopeful for a short absence. Or at least, telling us that it would be a short absence.
Sources:
#Rams QB Matthew Stafford is dealing with an aggravated disc and has received an epidural to help him deal with it.
Los Angeles has called him week-to-week, being cautious, but with plans for him to be ready for Week 1.
pic.twitter.com/wpj0Uqghax
— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet)
August 6, 2025
ESPN’s Adam Schefter also reported at the time that “this sounds like a maintenance issue where they’re being smart” with Stafford due to his age, and “they feel like if there were a game today, Stafford would be able to play.”
Keep those words from Schefter —
six days ago — in mind.
On the same day,
PFT’s Mike Florio, with his usual spotty track record of insider info, wrote the words that Stafford’s absence “will soon be ending”.
Per a source with knowledge of the situation, Stafford is on track to resume working out this week. He’s expected to do on-field work in the coming days.
Florio wrote that the injury happened after the conclusion of the offseason program and that the team simply wants to avoid an in-season relapse.
August 7 – “You’ll see him in practice next week” says McVay
Keep in mind that this is all BEFORE Stafford’s throwing session on Saturday because it indicates that McVay’s message is that something really crazy would have to happen over the weekend for Stafford to miss the next week of practices.
Here’s what he said last Friday:
“The aggravated disc is what led to the sore back. … He’s due to get a good workout in on the day of our preseason game where he’s going to throw,” McVay told reporters. “That was on par with the schedule that we always had. You’ll see him in practice next week. He won’t participate in the Chargers practice (on Aug. 13) just because we’re looking at it like he’s got an acclimation period that will really start on Saturday once we play the Cowboys.”
“You will see him in practice next week.”
It was also at this time that
McVay told reporters that if there was a real game that week, Stafford would be playing in it:
“We have taken a very cautious approach, but if we were playing a game this week, he would be playing in the game,” McVay said.
Based on the information we have now, this also appears to be untrue.
Rams QB Matthew Stafford (back) will have a workout on Saturday and if all goes well he will return to practice Monday, Sean McVay says.
McVay emphasizes that if this were a game week, Stafford would be cleared to play.
— Adam Grosbard (@AdamGrosbard)
August 7, 2025
August 10 – He’s back! (no pun intended)
On Sunday,
McVay told the media that Stafford threw over 60 passes on Saturday and that he would be back in practice on Monday.
“It was awesome,” McVay said of the scheduled workout Stafford went through on Saturday, in which he estimated Stafford threw 68 passes. “He looked good. He threw the ball really well. There was no limitations in terms of the types of throws – deep, intermediate, short. We were moving the launch point. And he felt really good, and so looking forward to progressing him back into practice on Monday, but it was a good step in the right direction.”
From
@NFLGameDay Kickoff:
#Rams QB Matthew Stafford (back) is set to practice on Monday, a positive step forward.
pic.twitter.com/ByiL5146MT
— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet)
August 10, 2025
August 11 – He ain’t back (back)
These hopes and expectations were, of course,
crushed when Stafford didn’t practice on Monday.
Rams QB Matthew Stafford (back) didn't feel good this morning and the Rams decided to not have him practice, Sean McVay said. McVay added it isn't clear if Stafford will practice tomorrow if his back feels better in the morning.
— Adam Grosbard (@AdamGrosbard)
August 11, 2025
McVay did not try to claim this time that the absence was all part of a plan or a “modified approach” to keep his quarterback out of harm’s way until Week 1. Instead, the coach told the media that the reason for his absence was directly related to “not feeling good” on Monday morning. That mini-timeline would be:
- Saturday: Does “every kind of throw” over 68 attempts and looks/feels great
- Sunday: Will practice on Monday!
- Monday: “Didn’t feel good” in the morning and can’t practice
McVay didn’t go as far to say that he was more worried now, however, instead going with the story that he hopes to have Stafford back on Tuesday. This of course opens the door for fans to be optimistic for a Tuesday return which you know by now would be all for nothing.
I think we’re at the point where we‘re allowed to be a bit panicked about Stafford’s back.
— Brett Kollmann (@BrettKollmann)
August 11, 2025
The question then becomes:
Is Sean McVay pulling our strings and hiding the truth from the public or is he also on this rollercoaster of changing stories with Stafford’s back on a day-to-day basis with every dr. visit and throwing session test?
Because let’s make sure everyone is very clear on what has been established during this timeline:
- Offseason workouts: No reported issue
- Post-offseason workouts: Something happens to his back before training camp starts
- Late July: McVay informs media Stafford will only miss 5 days
- Also Late July: Stafford is diagnosed with aggravated disc, has epidural, but this is kept secret from public
- Start of August: Stafford absence extended from one week to two weeks
- Last Friday: Stafford will have a throwing session but “will” return to practice the following week per McVay
- Saturday: Great throwing session
- Sunday: Stafford will be back on Monday, per McVay
- Monday: Stafford is not back, McVay says he could be back Tuesday
- Also Monday: “I don’t know (if Stafford could play in a game today),” per McVay
- Tuesday: Stafford is still not practicing
This is not a situation where the Rams expected Stafford to miss multiple weeks of training camp, let alone possibly the entire training camp, and were prepared for Jimmy Garoppolo to be with the starters for the entire month. At least, that’s not what McVay has told us — directly — that he expected to happen. The only other explanation is that the Rams have been deeply concerned about Stafford’s injury for the past month and don’t want to incite panic by telling fans that they should be panicking…which is exactly what fans would do if they found out that Garoppolo could start Week 1’s game, if not beyond.
And a week after McVay said that Stafford would be ready to play in a game,
he backtracked on that line of thinking on Monday:
Rams HC Sean McVay on whether Matthew Stafford could’ve played if there were a game today:
"I don't know about that. I think he still probably would be able to play just based on how he feels."
#NBA #RamsHouse pic.twitter.com/gUTTywUKDP
— OutOfSightSports


(@OOSSports)
August 11, 2025
Now he’s backtracking on the severity of Stafford’s injury as it pertains to being able to play. Will McVay next backtrack on the chances of Stafford having back surgery?
I asked Sean McVay if surgery has been ruled out as a possible treatment for Matthew Stafford's back: "That hasn't been a conversation that we've had. … I haven't gone down that road yet in terms of those types of conversations. That hasn't been something that comes up yet."
— Adam Grosbard (@AdamGrosbard)
August 11, 2025
August 12 – Stafford out again
Remember what I said to keep in mind from Schefter, because a week ago he said that he sensed no concerns from the Rams about Stafford’s injury and that he would “be able to play” if a game happened last week. That was less than a week ago.
On Tuesday, Schefter’s reporting has taken a noticeable turn although he still claims that the Rams believe he could play right now:
“They thought he’d be back at practice Monday. He wasn’t. They thought he’d be at practice maybe today. He’s not. At some point, there has to be some level of concern that builds up, but it hasn’t yet within the organization. They remain quietly and privately confident that he’s gonna be ready for the regular season opener against the Houston Texans. But now, we are just over three weeks away. He’s 37 years old. It’s a back (injury). Back’s linger. I think it’s problematic, but again, they have not been concerned and they have maintained all along that if there were a game this week, Matthew Stafford would be out there and he would be playing.”
When Dan Orlovsky asks Schefter if this is a pain management issue or a functionality issue, Schefter ponders if it’s a combination of both.
"He's 37 years old. It's a back [injury]. Back's linger. I think it's problematic."
—
@AdamSchefter on Matthew Stafford's injury despite the team being unconcerned
pic.twitter.com/eipRq1hBbj
— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL)
August 12, 2025
Which leads us into the only thing close to a conclusion that Rams fans can have about Matthew Stafford today:
The absolute BEST CASE SCENARIO for Stafford in 2025 is that he is merely
scaring the shit out of you week after week, but ultimately not missing any starts. That’s the BEST case scenario! There is no scenario in which Stafford gets to the season and we’ve all forgotten about this and he’s 100%. That’s no longer realistic despite the fact that two weeks ago, hell maybe even five days ago, many fans and most reporters were under the impression that being fine was exactly what was going to happen with Stafford.
McVay has consistently said that Stafford would be fine, that this was all planned, and he’s said on multiple occasions now — at least 3 — that Stafford would return to practice on a date that turned out to be false:
- McVay said Stafford would return in the second week of training camp, which was wrong.
- Last week, McVay said Stafford would return this week, which was wrong.
- Sunday, McVay said Stafford would return Monday, which was wrong.
It is one thing to say that the Rams have a planned approach with Stafford that keeps him rested for all of training camp and to stick with that plan, but it’s not what has happened. McVay’s “modified approach” for an injury he claimed to know about before training camp didn’t include sitting out every rep. Otherwise, why would he keep giving fans false hope?
There are only two answers:
- The Rams knew Stafford would miss all of training camp up until now and decided to keep that from fans
- The Rams did not know Stafford would miss all of camp until now, in which case this situation keeps getting worse in the eyes of the Rams
The second scenario is the most likely. Which means that Stafford’s back injury is worse today than it was two weeks ago. If it’s worse today, that means it could be worse tomorrow. That means that the Rams do not know what’s going to happen with Stafford, whether it’s surgery or something less severe. That means that fans can’t rely on Stafford’s availability anymore than they can rely on reports about Stafford’s availability.
And we know what that’s worth…
Adam Schefter on Matthew Stafford's status while he deals with a back injury:
"He still hasn’t practiced in training camp but the Rams do not sound concerned. This sounds more like a maintenance issue where they’re being smart with their 37-year-old QB who they feel like doesn’t…
— Underdog NFL (@UnderdogNFL)
August 5, 2025