Atlanta Hawks
Benchwarmer
Two broad goals for the rest of the Atlanta Hawks season
Source: https://www.peachtreehoops.com/2025...is-nba-stats-zaccharie-risacher-dyson-daniels
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Photo by Adam Hagy/NBAE via Getty Images
What the Atlanta Hawks need to do — on offense and defense — to be successful over their final 24 games.
The Atlanta Hawks picked up their first win in three tries since the All-Star break, beating the Heat by 12-points on Monday night in what could generously be filed away as a “defense-first” affair*; with the two team’s combining to shoot just 34.9% from the floor and 16-for-75 (21.3%) from the perimeter over the course of the contest.
*A stingier writer than myself might use the term “rock fight”
Monday’s game came on the second night of a back-to-back, with the Hawks looking to make amends on the less glamorous end of the floor after being torched by the Detroit Pistons on Sunday night, and while they certainly benefited from a bit of shooting luck*, it’s safe to say that they did just that.
*Miami shot just 11-for-23 (47.8%) at the rim and 7-for-40 (17.5%) from three, culminating in an eye-watering 36.3% effective field goal percentage - the lowest mark by a Hawks opponent this season by nearly 10%!
The Hawks racked up 13 steals (with Dyson Daniels staking his claim for the DPOY award, accounting for seven thefts on his own), gave up just seven fastbreak points, and allowed just 0.716 points per possession (ppp) in the halfcourt, culminating in a stellar 88.7 defensive rating* — tied for their lowest mark in a game this season.
*For reference, Atlanta ranks second in steals per game (10), 26th in fastbreak points allowed (17.1), and 16th in half-court defense (0.968 ppp) this season
While it was great to see the Hawks get back in the win column after two frustrating defeats out of the gate to begin their post All Star break phase of the season, Monday’s victory also carried a extra weight for Atlanta’s postseason chances, as it brought them neck-and-neck with Miami*, within 1.5 games of the seventh-place, Orlando Magic, and five games behind the Detroit Pistons (currently in sixth) in the Eastern Conference Standings.
*The Hawks are also now 2-0 in the season series against Miami, meaning if they can pick up one more victory in their two remaining games against Miami, they’ll have the tiebreaker over them
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While Sunday’s defeat to Detroit was a tough blow for the team’s chances of escaping the Play-In Tournament (and a likely first round matchup against one of Cleveland or Boston), Atlanta does benefit from a favorable remaining schedule* — so they still have a shot at the 6-seed with 24 games left to play in the regular season.
*Per Tankathon, the Hawks face the sixth easiest remaining schedule and will play 14 of their next 24 games at home.
Today, let’s outline two overarching goals for the Hawks to achieve over the final 24 games of the regular season.
Finish in the Top-15 in Defensive Rating (dare I say the top-10?)
Prior to the season, I predicted that the Hawks would finish the regular season with a top-20 defensive for the first time since 2020-21* and with a little less than seven weeks to go, they rank 15th in defensive rating, allowing 113.4 points per 100 possessions.
*I also predicted that they would finish with a top-10 offense, which has not aged too well… but we like to focus on the positives here at Peachtree Hoops
Will they remain in the top-15 by the time the season is up? Miami ranks 10th in defensive rating this season, allowing 112.1 points per 100 possessions, sure Atlanta can’t sneak their way into the top-10… right?
The Hawks have finished in the bottom half of the league in defensive rating in each season since drafting Trae Young seven years ago. The last time they finished in the top-15 was in 2016-17 when their three leaders in minutes played were Denis Schroder, Paul Millsap and Dwight Howard.
This season, spearheaded by Dyson Daniels, the Hawks have been more bloodthirsty on the defensive end of the floor — ranking fourth in opponent turnover percentage and third in steal rate — which has helped to spark a defensive resurgence in Atlanta.
That being said, despite ramping up the defensive activity, the Hawks have had a really tough time forcing misses when their opponents do get off a shot, ranking in the bottom three in opponent effective field goal percentage (eFG%). While it’s frankly incredible that Atlanta have still managed to field a competent defense in spite of the sky-high opponent shooting percentages (the other four teams* who rank in the bottom five in opponent eFG% all rank 22nd or worse in defensive rating), it’s clear that something has to change in this area for this team to reach the next level defensively.
*Philadelphia, New Orleans, Utah and Brooklyn
We looked at Atlanta’s season long defensive shot profile not too long ago, which revealed two main issues. The first is that the Hawks have simply been lit up from beyond the three-point arc, ranking 25th in opponent three-point percentage*. The second is that they’re allowing too many shots at the rim, ranking 23rd in opponent rim-shooting frequency**, and 28th in opponent points in the paint.
*Despite conceding “wide open” three-pointers at a league-average rate
While they’ve done a better job running their opponents off the three-point line as of late, allowing the fifth-lowest opponent three-point attempt rate over their last ten games, this has put more pressure on their interior defense, which has struggled to rise to the challenge — with Atlanta ranking 29th in opponent two-point percentage over this stretch.
The good news is that this Hawks team has proved that they will not shy away from giving their all on the defensive end of the floor this season, and they have added some strong defenders to the rotation over the past few weeks in Mo Gueye and Terance Mann to help bolster their weaknesses.
Once Atlanta’s new lineups get more comfortable playing together, and their new additions get up to speed with their defensive philosophy, we could be in for a few more lockdown defensive performances this season.
The conservative goal is to finish the season in the upper half of the league in defensive rating, but I believe this team has the talent to finish in the top-ten. They have 24 games to show what they can do.
Shoot league-average or better from the perimeter
While the Hawks have impressed on the defensive end of the floor this season, the same cannot be said about their offense, which has taken a step back in 2024-25.
Atlanta ranks just 20th in offensive rating this season — a mark that, should it hold for the remainder of the season, would be the team’s worst finish in offensive rating since the 2019-20 season.
Looking at the team’s offensive shot profile, while they have done a good job generating shots from high-value areas of the floor (ranking fifth in rim-shooting frequency and 17th in three-point attempt rate), they haven’t shot it all that efficiently from these areas - ranking just 23rd in rim FG% (64.3%) and 22nd in three-point FG% (34.9%).
While it’s clear that they need to be more efficient from both inside and outside the arc, I believe that if they can raise the potency of their three-point shooting attack, their efficiency from inside the arc will follow.
The Hawks generate “wide-open” threes* at the seventh-highest rate in the league, yet have converted them at just a 37.5% clip — tied for the sixth-lowest conversion rate on these attempts. They also rank in the 20th in catch-and-shoot three-point shooting efficiency.
*three-point attempts with the closest defender 6+ feet away
Both of these marks make it easier for defenders to prioritize defending the paint (a higher value area of the floor on a points per shot basis) instead of closing out on a potential three-point shooter which can throw a wrench into Atlanta’s offensive flow.
Now there’s no magic button that Landry Fields or Quin Snyder can press that will automatically improve the team’s outside shooting percentages* — this improvement has to happen internally.
*If there was, I assure you it would have been pressed by now
That being said, new additions Georges Niang, Caris LeVert, and Terance Mann can all shoot, Dyson Daniels and Zaccharie Risacher are converting their three-point attempts at 50% and 43.9% clips over their last ten games, respectively*.
*Daniels has taken two threes per game while Risacher has taken 4.1 threes per game over this stretch
Slowly but surely, this team is figuring things out on the offensive end. If they manage to catch fire from the perimeter for a couple of games, it’s going to be very fun to watch, and I’ll be interested to see the effect this could potentially have on the team’s interior finish numbers as well.
Atlanta is back in action tomorrow, taking on the Miami Heat on the road in a rematch of last night’s matchup, where they’ll will be hoping for a repeat performance on the defensive end of the floor.
Tip-off for that one is at 7:30 pm EST on FanDuel Sports Network.
All statistics/videos used in this article are from cleaningtheglass.com, pbpstats.com, nba.com/stats, bball-index.com, or dunksandthrees.com
Source: https://www.peachtreehoops.com/2025...is-nba-stats-zaccharie-risacher-dyson-daniels