How the Cowboys-Packers tie could decide playoff spots

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As we get closer to the end of the 2025 season, the surging Cowboys have suddenly moved into the NFC playoff conversation. One big wrinkle for Dallas, and the also-contending Green Bay Packers, is their tie result from Week 4. What does this standings anomaly mean for Dallas and the rest of the conference in the ever-developing playoff picture?

Cowboys fans can be forgiven if they’re not sure how to feel about or understand the impact of a tie. They don’t happen often: Dallas and Green Bay’s is the only one so far this year and the first since 2022. From 2002 to 2014, there were only 12 total ties over 13 seasons. And for Dallas, amazingly, this was the first tie for the franchise since 1969.

What’s funny about ties is that, for as rare as they are and as inexperienced as we may be with them, they actually make things simpler. If you want complexity, go through the NFL’s tiebreaking scenarios for things like division winners, playoff seeding, and draft order. Especially once you get into levels like common opponents and strength of schedule, things get really tedious and unappealingly mathy.

When one team has a tie in its record and another team doesn’t, all of that other stuff goes out the window. It comes down to the basic comparison of overall records, and particularly each team’s winning percentage. Let’s say Dallas finishes the year with a 9-7-1 record: nine wins, seven losses, and one tie. That is a better record with a higher winning percentage (.559) than a 9-8 (.529) record. It’s also a worse record than 10-7 (58.8), still keeping things simple.

Basically, if the Cowboys and another NFC team (other than Green Bay) finish the year with the same number of wins, the tie immediately lifts Dallas above them in the standings. Any team that’s won more games than Dallas this year will automatically be above them, no different than if the Cowboys didn’t have the tie at all.

This is especially relevant given how close Dallas and the Carolina Panthers are right now in the NFC. Carolina beat the Cowboys in Week 6, which would generally grant them an important head-to-head tiebreaker if needed. But now, if the Panthers and Cowboys have the same number of wins after Week 18, Dallas’ loss to Carolina simply won’t matter. The Cowboys would have the better overall record, thanks to the tie.

If you already understood all that, sorry for the lecture. But we’ve seen a lot of posts and other writings that indicate there’s still a lot of confusion about how this works: Cowboys fans anxious over tiebreaking scenarios that have a very low chance of actually coming into play. The mission going forward is simple, with Dallas just needing to at least match the win totals of most other NFC contenders to move ahead of them in the playoff race. This is also true in the NFC East, where the Cowboys could still steal the division if they can gain two more wins than the Eagles over the next five weeks.

If we get through Week 18 and Dallas falls short of the playoffs, especially if it’s only by one win, many are going to point to the tie as the culprit. Because it’s unusual and a little more intriguing, it makes for good fodder. But the truth is that the tie has as much chance of helping the Cowboys as hurting them. It’s a 50-50 variable, dependent on the win total of that other team vying for that same playoff spot.

If we wind up needing to blame results for costing the Cowboys a postseason bid, there are far more egregious sins than tying one of the top teams in the NFC. How about the atrocious loss to the now 3-9 Arizona Cardinals? Or maybe no-showing against the Bears and Broncos? Or allowing Rico Dowdle to run for 183 yards in the loss to Carolina? Focusing on a game we didn’t actually lose, and against a tough Packers team, would be silly by comparison.

Hopefully, after January 7th, the Cowboys’ tie with Green Bay will be something that boosts their standing in the NFC rather than diminishes it. It will also play a part in determining the 2026 NFL Draft order, but we’re focused on the playoffs right now as the team has found momentum. We’ll see where we finally end up, and the role that Dallas’ first tie in over 50 years has on the future.

Source: https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/dal...ie-game-nfc-playoffs-east-wild-card-standings
 
Cowboys vs. Lions: Dallas needs to avoid another slow start in Week 14

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Not to take anything away from the Dallas Cowboys current three-game win streak, but they are pretty fortunate they are not at 1-2 instead. Slow starts against both the Philadelphia Eagles and the Kansas City Chiefs nearly doomed them from the get-go, but somehow they were able to overcome the early deficit with some late game heroics.

A few weeks ago in Week 12 the Eagles jumped out to an early 14-0 lead over the Cowboys in the first quarter. They extended that lead to 21-0 after a KaVontae Turpin fumble early in the second quarter, but Dallas was able to put seven points on the board before halftime. After that, it was all the Dallas Cowboys.

The Cowboys were entirely different team in the second half. Defensively they pretty much shut down Jalen Hurts and Company and offensively everything just seemed to click. They ended up scoring 17 unanswered points, securing much-needed victory even after the huge deficit they had to overcome early on.

A few days later in the Thanksgiving matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs the Dallas Cowboys once again got off to another slow start. After just a few plays, Dak Prescott threw an unfortunate interception that resulted in a Rashee Rice touchdown. That could’ve been a game altering play, but fortunately it wasn’t.

Even though the early interception that turned into a touchdown could have been disastrous for the Cowboys, they were able to get the better of the Chiefs from then on. But again, another slow start in back-to-back games put them at a disadvantage early on and could of been the difference between a win or loss.

With the Detroit Lions next on the docket, the Cowboys would be wise to get out to an early start. These two teams have a natural dislike for one another, or maybe hate would be a better description. Whatever the case, this game shapes up to be a tough physical matchup that could be decided by which team has the ball last.

The Cowboys had good chance to extend their win streak to four this week against the Lions, but in order to do so they need to avoid making early mistakes like they had against both the Eagles and Chiefs here recently. That means eliminating turnovers and playing his mistake free as possible, which is easier said than done.

This Week 14 matchup between the Cowboys and Lions could have significant playoff implications. A victory helps both teams keep their playoff hopes alive, but a loss could be devastating for both organizations. That makes avoiding a slow start for the Cowboys all the more important to help secure the “W” this week.

Source: https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/dal...her-slow-start-week-14-eagles-chiefs-playoffs
 
Cowboys at Lions: Writer predictions for critical Thursday Night Football matchup

The Cowboys have been on a tear lately, winning three straight and upsetting the two teams from last year’s Super Bowl in the process. Next up on their quest to prove themselves worthy of the postseason is a Thursday night road trip to Detroit to take on the Lions.

Detroit has stumbled as of late, while Dallas is surging. That’s reflected in the Lions being favored by a field goal as the home team, effectively making this an even matchup. That feeling is shared by our writers, who are struggling to safeguard against the optimism running rampant in Cowboys Nation.

When Detroit has the ball


Stop. The. Run.

The offense has been inconsistent for the Lions, both before and after Dan Campbell took over play-calling duties. But their identity has remained the same: run the ball. Detroit’s offensive line isn’t quite what it has been, but they’re still paving the road regularly, as the Lions are second in the league in both yards per carry and yards before contact per carry.

That has to be a point of emphasis for Dallas, whose run defense is giving up the sixth-most yards before contact per attempt this year. Campbell wants to run you over, and the Cowboys have obliged all too often this season, even with Quinnen Williams in town. Expect to see Matt Eberflus utilize more five man fronts than he already has to get Williams, Osa Odighizuwa, and Kenny Clark out there.

When Dallas has the ball


Air it out

Defense has been the more consistent part of the Lions this year, but they still have their moments where they struggle. The pass rush looks good on paper, ranking fifth in pressure rate, but Aidan Hutchinson is doing the majority of the heavy lifting there. Only one other defender has 20+ pressures on the year; for context, Dallas has seven players with 20+ pressures.

Detroit is also giving up the fifth-most EPA/play on passes of 20+ yards down the field, which should be of some concern when facing George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb. If the Cowboys can limit Hutchinson’s impact, there will be plenty of opportunities for Dak Prescott to carve up this secondary with the weaponry he has on hand.

Now onto the predictions from your BTB writers…

Tom Ryle (6-5-1):

It certainly feels like the two teams are heading in opposite directions.

Cowboys 27, Lions 23.

Mike Poland (7-4-1):

The Cowboys are on a three-game winning streak and handled taking on two consecutive Super Bowl winners on a short week. The Cowboys defense is catching up, the offense is running wild and arrows are pointing up. Detroit is coming off a loss in Green Bay and has won only two out of their last five games. The two games they have won in that time has been the Giants and Commanders that combine for five total wins on the season.

Is this an easy game for Dallas? Heck no, but they clearly have the belief and confidence going into this one to continue that winning spree and keep on the Eagles heels to take the East.

Cowboys win 34-28.

Matt Holleran (6-5-1):

Thursday’s matchup between the Cowboys and Lions is about as close to an elimination game as a regular season contest can be. Whatever teams walks out with a loss will, in all likelihood, be virtually eliminated from playoff contention. The Cowboys have been playing with this playoff-mindset since coming out of their bye week, and they’ll need that mindset to continue in this primetime matchup.

With all the injuries the Lions are currently dealing with, Dallas should not have a problem moving the ball. This game will likely come down to Dallas’ defense being able to make a few keys stops. In the end, I see the new-look defense continuing to bend but not break, registering a key fourth quarter stand that leads to a win.

Give me the Cowboys in a thriller, 27-26.

Brian Martin (4-7-1):

Despite having home field advantage, I think the Cowboys have the edge over the Lions in this Week 14 matchup. Dallas is healthy and playing at a really high level right now where as Detroit is pretty much the opposite.

Score prediction: Cowboys 27, Lions 17.

Jess Haynie (5-6-1):

Of Detroit’s five losses this year, two were against the Chiefs and Eagles, who Dallas just put down. Two more were against the Packers, who the Cowboys tied even before finding their groove. So as long as this rejuvenated Dallas team shows up for another week, I like our chances.

Cowboys 34, Lions 30.

David Howman (6-5-1):

A week or so ago, I would’ve been very cautious about picking the Cowboys in this one. Even now, I’m uneasy about making it a clean sweep from our panel. But Dallas is playing on another level lately and, as Brian Schottenheimer put it in the post-game speech last Thursday, the heartbeat of this team is different.

The Lions, meanwhile, haven’t been themselves. They haven’t had much consistency the past two months and are especially banged up on offense. That said, you have to go all the way back to 2022 to find the last time this franchise lost two games in a row. Ironically, the Cowboys were part of that. I think they pull it out again, but the Lions will not go gently into that good night.

Cowboys win 34-31.

Source: https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/dal...ions-game-score-predictions-playoffs-injuries
 
Tyler Smith is trying to raise awareness for cancer screenings

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The Dallas Cowboys have perhaps the best interior offensive linemen in the game on their team in Tyler Smith, someone who is going to be around for the long-term future after receiving a contract extension from the club a few months ago. Smith has been a dream for the Cowboys from just about Day 1 as he has gone about everything in the perfectly right way.

Part of what makes him so great is his personality and what he gives his time to. We here at Blogging The Boys are particularly grateful that he offered some of his time on Friday after the Cowboys visited the Detroit Lions. You can watch our entire conversation below.

Smith discussed the loss to Detroit, the team’s mentality coming out of it, his fumble recovery in the game, and so much more. It was one of the more fun interviews that I have had the fortune to be a part of and he really let his personality shine. He is quite the fan of anime as it turns out.

Most importantly though, he joined us to talk about his partnership with Novartis, the Official Pharmaceutical Partner of the NFL and Dallas Cowboys as well as the Susan G. Komen Foundation. The effort here is to raise awareness around the importance of annual breast cancer screenings. Tyler devoted his cleats during the league’s My Cause My Cleats initiative to this cause and spoke about how it has impacted him personally.

This season marks the launch of a new partnership between the Cowboys and Novartis, the Official Pharmaceutical Partner of the NFL, dedicated to expanding proactive health education for fans in Dallas and surrounding communities. Together, Novartis and the Dallas Cowboys are encouraging consistent annual exams, screenings, and, ultimately, empowering action around critical health conversations that affect our fans every day.

Novartis partnered with Cowboys offensive lineman, Tyler Smith, during the NFL’s My Cause My Cleats campaign as he supported the Susan G. Komen Foundation. Smith amplified awareness for people living with breast cancer, particularly driving support for the Dallas Cowboys’ Star Survivors campaign. The partnership includes digital signage throughout AT&T Stadium this season, encouraging fans to make their health a priority.

Our thanks to Tyler Smith for the time and our best wishes to him moving forward.

Source: https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/dallas-cowboys-roster/191062/tyler-smith-breast-cancer-awareness
 
Cowboys vs. Lions: The good, the bad, and the ugly from Week 14

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The Dallas Cowboys win streak ended at three Thursday night with the 44-30 loss to the Detroit Lions. The Cowboys made it interesting by attempting yet another comeback late in the game, but Lions were just too much for them to handle in the end.

Looking back at the Week 14 loss, there is a good mixture of positives and negatives throughout the ballgame for the Cowboys. Today, we’re going to identify one good, one bad, and one ugly thing from the unfortunate Thursday night loss to the Detroit Lions.

THE GOOD – WR Ryan Flournoy​


With six catches for 121 yards, CeeDee Lamb was having himself quite a game until he had to exit early due to a concussion. With No. 88 sidelined, second-year WR Ryan Flournoy stepped up to pick up the slack. He caught nine passes for 115 yards and scored one touchdown. Flournoy’s offensive role has continued to expand as the season progressed and he proved why against the Lions Thursday night. He’s become a reliable/trusted target for Dak Prescott and looks to have a bright future with the Cowboys moving forward.

THE BAD – Points off of turnovers​


The Lions ended up winning by 14 points Thursday night, and it’s no coincidence that’s exactly how many points the Dallas Cowboys gave up due to turnovers. First it was the Jake Ferguson fumble in the first quarter that allowed the Lions to extend their lead 17-6 off of a off of a 35-yard TD run by David Montgomery and once again in the second quarter Detroit capitalized off an interception to extend their lead even further, 27-9. It’s nearly impossible to win games in the NFL when you’re giving away points to your opponent.

THE UGLY – Pass protection​


It doesn’t matter how talented the receiving corps is if the QB doesn’t have time to throw the ball. That was the case for the Cowboys Thursday night against the Lions. Dak Prescott was pretty much under duress all night from Detroit’s pass rush. As expected, Aidan Hutchinson got the better of Terence Steele on a number of occasions and gave Nate Thomas, who was filling in for for an injured Tyler Guyton at LT, problems as well when he rushed from that side. Prescott ended up throwing for 376 yards and one TD, but a lot of that came under duress.

Source: https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/dal...urnovers-dak-prescott-jake-ferguson-pass-rush
 
Cowboys news: Latest on CeeDee Lamb after concussion in Detroit

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Dallas Cowboys provide update on CeeDee Lamb after scary concussion vs. Lions – Nick Harris, Fort Worth Star-Telegram


CeeDee Lamb had a good day after suffering a concussion in Detroit.

It was far from the dream road trip for the Dallas Cowboys to the Motor City on Thursday night, as head coach Brian Schottenheimer’s squad fell 44-30 to the Detroit Lions in a pivotal matchup toward dictating the playoff bubble in the NFC.
Aside from the result, a health concern for wide receiver CeeDee Lamb also came out of the game after he suffered a concussion in the third quarter. With 12:47 left in the frame, quarterback Dak Prescott gave Lamb a chance at a one-on-one ball in the end zone that he couldn’t come up with. As he was landing on the ground, his head slammed against the Ford Field turf. His left arm went numb as he laid on the turf without much movement for a few moments.

He was checkout by medical staff on the field and in the injury tent before being quickly ruled out and walked to the locker room. Coming out of the locker room after the loss, Lamb nodded when asked if he was OK.

“It scared me,” Cowboys owner and general manager Jerry Jones said on 105.3 The Fan on Friday morning. “It really did.”

Back in the team facility on Friday, Schottenheimer was able to see Lamb whose body responded well less than 24 hours after the injury.

“He had a good day,” Schottenheimer said on Friday afternoon on a conference call with local reporters. “But he has to go through all the checks and balances of all that stuff. I do think the extra couple of days should hopefully help him.”

After enduring tough stretch of schedule, playoff hopeful Cowboys face harsh reality – Calvin Watkins, Dallas Morning News


The Cowboys loss to the Lions puts their postseason dreams in serious jeopardy.

FRISCO — It’s over now, but the ramifications of the Cowboys playing four games in 18 days have determined where their season sits.
A playoff appearance, as difficult as it would have been to accomplish, is almost extinguished following a 44-30 loss to the Lions on Thursday night.

The Athletic playoff predictor gives the Cowboys a 9% chance of making the postseason and a 4% chance of winning the NFC East.

NFL’s Next Gen Stats playoff probabilities also have the Cowboys reaching the postseason at 9%. If Dallas had upended Detroit on Thursday, their chances would have moved to 39% with four games to play.

With three days off following their Thursday night loss, the Cowboys are faced with the reality that reaching the postseason might be through a complete collapse by the Eagles to win the NFC East.

In the Eagles’ next five games, the Los Angeles Chargers (8-4) and Buffalo Bills (8-4) have winning records. The defending Super Bowl champs face the 3-9 Washington Commanders twice in the last month of the season and despite the troubles on offense, it’s assumed the Eagles are in good shape.

The Cowboys?

Well, a win over the Lions would have been the Cowboys’ fourth consecutive heading into a weekend with momentum and bringing it closer to the Eagles (8-4).

At 6-6-1, the Cowboys already have losses to Detroit, Chicago and Carolina, so making the postseason as a wild card will be difficult. They’d also lose an unlikely tiebreaker against those teams.

Controversial penalty called on Ferguson changed Cowboys game: ‘That was bad’ – Todd Brock, Cowboys Wire


This play shifted the momentum greatly on Thursday night.

Despite a mistake-filled performance in all three phases of the game, the Cowboys nevertheless kept it close enough to give themselves a chance at the end of Week 14’s meeting with the Lions.
It was also close enough for one penalty flag to dramatically- and quite maddeningly, if you ask Dak Prescott- alter everything.

“That’s a game-changing call that I don’t understand,” the Cowboys quarterback would say later, knowing full well the comments could get him in trouble with the league.

Dallas was on the move late in the fourth quarter and looked to be headed toward the end zone. Down by 10 points, Prescott had led the offense from their own 33 and were sitting on the Lions’ 11 in a third-and-3 situation.

On the ensuing pass play to tight end Jake Ferguson, he and Lions linebacker Alex Anzalone got tangled up, and the ball sailed just past Ferguson’s outstretched arms. A flag was thrown, but the expected call against the defense never came.

Instead, after a quick meeting, the officials announced offensive pass interference against Ferguson.

Cowboys head coach Brian Schottenheimer was enraged. The broadcast booth was dumbfounded. But instead of the Cowboys’ ball on the doorstep, with a fresh set of downs they could use to cut the lead to three points with just under four minutes to play, Dallas had to settle for a field goal… and hope to get the ball back for another crack at the end zone with enough time for it to matter.

That didn’t happen.

10 thoughts on the Cowboys 44-30 Thursday night loss to the Lions – Dan Rodgers, Blogging The Boys


Several things prevented the Cowboys from beating the Lions.

The winning streak is over. It seemed like a tough ask for the Dallas Cowboys to win three straight games against the three teams with the best records last season, and sure enough, it was. The Cowboys fell to the Detroit Lions on Thursday night, 44-30, putting their playoff hopes on life support. It was a frustrating game to watch with a little goodness sprinkled in. Here are my 10 thoughts on this unfortunate loss in the Motor City.

1. Falling behind again

It wouldn’t be a Cowboys game if the team didn’t dig itself a hole early. They went down 21-0 against the Eagles two weeks ago, fell down 7-0 to the Chiefs on Thanksgiving, and then trailed 27-9 early in the second half. While the team does a good job fighting back into games, this repeated habit of falling behind is not a recipe for success. If you play with fire long enough, eventually you’ll get burned, and that’s what happened to them against the Lions.

2. They’re only hurting themselves

Another element that reared its ugly head was turning the ball. The Cowboys had a couple of costly mistakes against the Eagles and turned the ball over on their opening drive against the Chiefs. They were fortunate enough to overcome those miscues, but their luck ran out in Detroit. The Cowboys’ offense turned the ball over three times, once on a Jake Ferguson fumble, and twice on a deflected pass that was intercepted. On the other side of the ball, the defense didn’t force a single turnover. It’s tough to win football games when you lose the turnover battle, 3 to 0.

3. Defense didn’t have it

It was great while it lasted, but the Cowboys’ defense didn’t bring the ‘A’ game to this one. At times, they made some plays, but far too often, they gave up big yardage plays to the Lions’ playmakers. Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, and Jahmyr Gibbs all had receiving plays over 25 yards. David Montgomery had a 35-yard rushing touchdown. Jared Goff had over 300 yards passing. At the end of the day, the Lions’ offense beat them in a multitude of ways as the Cowboys gave up over 400 yards and surrendered 44 points.

Source: https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/dal...ncussion-injury-playoff-chances-jake-ferguson
 
The curious case of Trevon Diggs and Dallas in 2025

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The curious case of Trevon Diggs is an underrated storyline of the Dallas Cowboys 2025 season. At one time Diggs was a top-rated cornerback who was going to be a cornerstone of the Cowboys defense for the next decade. Now, he and the franchise seem to be headed for a divorce.

The acrimony between the team and Diggs really started to simmer when the team docked Diggs $5000,000 for rehabbing away from the team this offseason. Then one of Diggs’ closest friends, Micah Parsons, was traded. Diggs struggled with injury to start the year, then finally returned only to struggle on the field in Matt Eberflus’ defense. Now he is trying to return from a strange concussion injury at home that led to a stint on injured reserve.

He practiced last week, and the team could have certainly used him versus the Detroit Lions as the secondary crumbled. At least, they could have used the old Trevon Diggs. We haven’t really seen that version since before the ACL injury of years ago.

Will Diggs play next week? Will he look like he’s truly ready again, or will he be limited like he has seemed to be since the 2023 injury?

ESPN is betting on a divorce.

It has been an up-and-down year for Diggs in Dallas, complete with an injury suffered at home. The Cowboys drafted cornerback Shavon Revel Jr. in April, and while Diggs has three years and $57 million left on his contract, none of that money is guaranteed. The Cowboys would incur just $5.88 million in dead money if they released him.

Diggs has been working his way back from injury and still has a chance to show enough over the rest of the season to convince Dallas to keep him. But at this point, it’s no sure thing that they do. Diggs had 11 interceptions back in 2021, but he has only six over the past four seasons combined and last played 17 games in 2022.

The Cowboys have already signed DaRon Bland for the long term, and we know that Shavon Revel holds potential as an outside corner. Is Diggs in the Cowboys’ future past 2025? Hit the comments and let us know.

Source: https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/dal...iggs-injury-return-offseason-release-contract
 
BTB Tuesday Discussion: Can the Cowboys win out?

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There are four more games promised on this Dallas Cowboys season. While the team has frustrated us at a lot of points this year, certainly last Thursday night, we should hold these close to our heart as the offseason can be long.

Maybe that doesn’t sound appealing to you. It makes sense that you want to see this team reach the playoffs and that them potentially not doing so in consecutive seasons (for what would be the first time since 2019-2020) is the overpowering sentiment. There is no wrong way to feel here.

As we look to the rest of this season though, it is quite possible that the Cowboys win all four of their remaining games.

  • Minnesota Vikings
  • Los Angeles Chargers
  • at Washington Commanders (Christmas Day)
  • at New York Giants

It stands to reason that Dallas will be favored by oddsmakers in all four of these games. They may not be if they had to visit the Chargers, but given that the game is at home that will help. Should Dallas win out that would put them at 10-6-1 and mean that they won 6 out 7 to close the season following the bye. That would be objectively impressive. And if they do this and pick up the proper help they would win the NFC East.

Do you think it’s possible, though?

Source: https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/dal...as-cowboys-discussion-win-out-2025-likelihood
 
Cowboys playoff chances could come down to an old friend in Dan Quinn

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After what seemed to be a season-crushing loss to the Detroit Lions on Thursday Night Football, the Los Angeles Chargers cracked the door back open for the Dallas Cowboys to make a run at the NFC East.

The Cowboys still have plenty of work to do, needing to sweep the rest of their schedule that includes the Los Angeles Chargers, Minnesota Vikings, Washington Commanders, and New York Giants, but trailing the Philadelphia Eagles by a game-and-a-half, the Cowboys playoff hopes could very well lay in the hands of old friend Dan Quinn. Over the next four weeks, the Eagles will see the Las Vegas Raiders, Washington Commanders twice, and the Buffalo Bills.

It’s quite simple, the Cowboys finish the season 4-0 and the Philadelphia Eagles lose two more games and the Cowboys are NFC East Champions. The Cowboys could afford to drop one more game, but then the Eagles would need to lose three of their remaining four. With four games left, the Philadelphia Eagles will play the Washington Commanders twice. Despite the Commanders 3-9 record, Washington has played the Eagles tough in recent years.

The Commanders could be without their starting quarterback in one or both of the matchups depending on what head coach Dan Quinn decides to do with Jayden Daniels and his non-throwing arm injury. But even if Daniels does not play, Marcus Mariota has played well for the Commanders in starts so far this season. Needing two more losses from the Eagles, one Washington Commanders win would be a huge help with a road trip to Buffalo still on the Eagles schedule.

With the Raiders coming up next week, most are banking on a bounce-back game for the Eagles. While that is more likely than not, we must bring up the Eagles 2023 collapse that feels awfully familiar to this 2025 season so far for Philadelphia. In Week 17 of 2023, the 11-4 Eagles dropped a game to the 3-12 Cardinals that helped the Cowboys clinch the NFC East. That Week 17 game in 2023 feels eerily similar to the Eagles matchup with the Raiders coming up this week.

The reality here is the Eagles are currently spiraling, dropping their last three games in rather embarrassing fashion. With Jalen Carter likely sidelined for a few more weeks, the Eagles offensive line dealing with injuries, and Jalen Hurts struggling to generate any sort of offense, the Cowboys window is cracked open. They will need to handle their business and get a little help along the way, so let’s hope that our old friend Dan Quinn can help us out with two more games on the schedule against Philadelphia.

Source: https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/dal...t-eagles-chances-dan-quinn-remaining-schedule
 
3 young players who failed to live up to expectations this season with the Cowboys

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When expectations meet reality the results can sometimes be disappointing. Such is the case with the Dallas Cowboys 2025 season and expectations many fans had for some of the young players projected to have a big impact with the organization this year. For whatever reason though, things didn’t play out the way fans hoped.

Today, we look at three of the young players many fans expected to play a significant role with the Cowboys this year only to fall well below expectations. With only four games remaining on the regular-season schedule and the playoffs looking unlikely, the future expectations of these young players is clouded in mystery moving forward.

RB Jaydon Blue​


Jaydon Blue was a fifth-round draft pick for the Cowboys this year and arrived in Dallas with some pretty high expectations. He was expected to provide an explosive element to the offense as both a runner and receiver, but that has sadly never materialized. Instead, he’s been a healthy scratch the majority of the season, suiting up only four times so far this year. To date he’s rushed for only 65 yards on 22 carries and has added only one catch for five yards through the air. That’s nowhere near the production many expected from him.

The rookie out of Texas was expected to be heavily involved in the Cowboys offense this year. Many expected him to challenge for the lead back, but instead he’s continued to tumble down the depth chart as the season progressed. We’ve seen Malik Davis get re-signed and lock down the RB2 position behind Javonte Williams and the recent addition of Israel Abanikanda is further proof Blue is in the doghouse. A once bright future now seems murky at best unless something changes dramatically.

LB Marist Liufau​


Marist Liufau was the 87th overall pick in the third-round by the Cowboys in 2024. As a rookie last year he had a pretty solid season playing in all 17 games, starting nine of those contest. He finished his rookie year with 50 combined tackles, 1.5 QB sacks, and four tackles for a loss. He showed enough promise last year many believed he had the talent to develop into a starter in his second year, especially with Matt Eberflus’ background coaching linebackers. Sadly, not only did that not happen, but he seemed to regress in his sophomore season.

So far in 2025, Liufau has only four starts on the season and has seen his role on defense steadily declined since the Cowboys bye week. Not only has his playing time taken a hit, but he also seems to have fallen further and further down the LB depth chart. Some of that is due to the trade for Logan Wilson and the return of DeMarvion Overshown, but his tumble from a potential starter to mostly a special teamer this year makes one wonder about his future. Is he a third-round bust or is there still hope for him at what seems to be a position of need next year?

WR Jonathan Mingo​


The Cowboys acquired Jonathan Mingo from the Carolina Panthers last season for a fourth-round pick. While they overpaid for the former second-round WR, there was still hope he could be a contributor. In eight games and one start last season Mingo only managed five catches for 46 yards with the Cowboys after arriving via trade. He never really seem to settle in or find a offensive role for himself last year, but there was hope he would do more with a full offseason in his second year in Dallas.

Mingo has only managed to play a total of 20 offensive snaps in two games with the Cowboys so far this season after spending the majority of the year on injured reserve with a PCL sprain in his right knee. Had he been healthy the entire year he may have been more productive, but to date he’s only been targeted once in the passing game with zero catches. As things stand right now he’s at best WR5 on the depth chart and has a lot to prove if he wants to climb many higher next season. Expectations for him moving forward continue to diminish.

Source: https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/dal...layers-poor-seasons-jaydon-blue-marist-liufau
 
Which former Cowboys coach would you like to see back in Dallas next year?

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There may be some vacancies in the Cowboys coaching staff after the season. Defensive coordinator Matt Eberflus has been on a hot seat practically the whole season and even special teams coordinator Nick Sorensen is coming under increased scrutiny.

The Cowboys have not been averse to bringing back coaches that have coached in Dallas before. Matt Eberflus (DAL 2011-17) is just the most recent example, but before him Mike Zimmer (DAL 1994-2006) was brought back for a one-year stint in 2024, Aden Durde was a coaching intern from 2014-2015 before coming back as a defensive line coach from 2021-2023, Dave Campo worked his way up from defensive assistant all the way to head coach (DAL 1989-2002) before coming back for a stint as defensive backs coach (DAL 2008-2011), George Edwards was the linebackers coach from 1998-2001 before coming back for a three-year stretch as senior defensive assistant two decades later (DAL 2020-22). And you’d better believe the Cowboys would have brought back Sean Payton (DAL 2003-05) if that had been at all possible at any point.

Could the Cowboys go down a similar route, opting for the familiar over the unknown, as they look at their potential opening at defensive coordinator?

A lot of that will depend on how things ended in Dallas the first time. Was the first split amicable or contentious? With that in mind and knowing that we’re not always privy to the inner workings of the hiring/firing process, here are some candidates the Cowboys might consider bringing back.

Aden Durde. Durde is making waves as the defensive coordinator in Seattle, and he’s already being mentioned as a potential head coach candidate. That move might be a bit early for him, but would a lateral move back to Dallas be of any interest for Durde? Probably not, but he would be an excellent get for the Cowboys.

Al Harris. Harris is the defensive backs coach & defensive pass game coordinator in Chicago, and his team is leading the league in interceptions. He was already turned down as the DC in Dallas last year, that doesn’t improve the Cowboys chances of getting him back.

Joe Whitt. Whitt came in with Dan Quinn from 2021-23 as the passing game coordinator, but chose to follow Quinn to Washington in 2024 as defensive coordinator. Whitt was recently stripped of his play-calling duties and will likely be available after the season, but his résumé in Washington does not make a lateral move to another DC position likely.

Mike Zimmer. Third time’s a charm? Probably not for Zimmer. Word on the Dallas streets is that the split last year was not amicable, Zimmer was eyeing the vacant head coach position, the Cowboys didn’t even see him as a DC candidate.

Dan Quinn. I’m putting Quinn in as an honorable mention, even if there’s zero chance he comes back to Dallas next year. He’ll remain the head coach in Washington for at least one more year.

Let us know in the comments if you’d like one of these former Cowboys coaches back, whether you’d give Eberflus one more year, or whether you want the Cowboys to look outside as they potentially look for their fourth defensive coordinator in four years.

Source: https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/dal...m-coordinators-al-harris-aden-durde-joe-whitt
 
Cowboys vs Vikings: 3 bold predictions for Sunday’s matchup

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A loss by the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday night has kept the Dallas Cowboys in the playoff hunt, at least for one more week. This week, Dallas will look to bounce back from a loss in Detroit against another NFC North opponent, the Minnesota Vikings.

Before the two teams square off on Sunday night, here are three bold predictions for the matchup.

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1) Cowboys’ defense bounces back in a big way, forcing J.J. McCarthy into his fifth multi-interception game of the year

J.J. McCarthy’s NFL career has gotten off to a rough start. After being selected with the 10th pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, the former Michigan Wolverine suffered a knee injury in Minnesota’s preseason opener that forced him to miss the entirety of his rookie year.

Coming into this season, hopes were high for the 22-year-old quarterback. The Vikings took a big gamble, letting Sam Darnold walk in free agency after a career year in favor of their young quarterback. Unfortunately for both McCarthy and the Vikings, the move has not panned out well to this point.

After winning 14 games last season, the Vikings are just 5-8 this year, and a big reason for their lack of success has been the struggles of their offense. Minnesota ranks bottom seven in the NFL in points per game (19.6) and total yards (3,584), and inconsistent quarterback play from their young signal-caller has been a leading factor in the offense’s shortcomings.

On the season, McCarthy has completed an extremely uninspiring 56% of his passes to go with a 67.4 Passer Rating. The biggest flaw in McCarthy’s game at the NFL level has been his inability to protect the football. In just eight games, the 22-year-old has thrown 10 interceptions, including four multi-interception games. McCarthy also ranks in the top 15 in the league in danger plays (16) despite playing in just eight games.

While he did bounce back nicely last week against Washington, McCarthy has shown this season that he will give opposing defenses the football if they are able to put some pressure on him. After a putrid performance last Thursday against the Lions, if the Cowboys’ pass rush can show a pulse and get some consistent pressure on the young quarterback, there is a good chance he’ll turn the football over.

Dallas’ pass rush makes up for their poor outing last week, getting plenty of pressure on McCarthy. The 22-year-old struggles under pressure once again, throwing two interceptions in a game for the fifth time this season.

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2) Dallas’ run game gets back on track as Javonte Williams records his third 100-yard day of the season

It’s been a struggle for the Cowboys to run the football over their last three games. After some early-season success on the ground, Dallas has not been able to replicate that formula in their last three games against much stiffer competition.

Since Week 12, the Cowboys rank 20th in the NFL in Rush EPA (-0.109) and 29th in the NFL in Rush Success Rate (32.4%). Not surprisingly, during this three-game span, starting running back Javonte Williams has averaged just 3.9 Y/A, almost a full yard lower than his season-average of 4.8.

This week, Dallas’ run game has a chance to get back on track against a Vikings defense that has struggled to stop the run in recent weeks. Since Week 10, Minnesota is 17th in Defensive Rush EPA (-0.067) and 24th in Defensive Rush Success Rate (43.2%). Over this five-game span, the Vikings have surrendered an average of 134 rushing yards per game. Unsurprisingly, they are 1-4 during this stretch.

If the Cowboys want to win out, they’ll need their run game to get back on track. In a favorable matchup against the struggling Vikings, Dallas does just that on Sunday night as Javonte Williams records his third 100-yard game of the year.

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3) Ryan Flournoy builds off his big performance, recording 70+ receiving yards and scoring his fourth-career touchdown

One positive to come out of last week’s loss was the breakout performance by Ryan Flournoy. The 26-year-old receiver stepped up in a big way after CeeDee Lamb left with a concussion, putting together a career day.

In the contest, Flournoy caught nine passes for a game-high 115 receiving yards to go with the third touchdown of his NFL career. Flournoy’s development has been an under-the-radar storyline to come out of this season, and it looks like the former sixth-round pick is starting to find his footing in the NFL.

This week, after his big day in Detroit, the Cowboys will continue to find ways to get Flournoy involved on offense. The wideout continues his upward trajectory, recording 70+ receiving yards and scoring touchdowns in back-to-back weeks for the first time in his career.

Source: https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/dal...s-ryan-flournoy-javonte-williams-playoffs-nfc
 
Dallas Cowboys: Reading between the lines (offense)

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Every week, we’re digging into the trenches, offense and defense, because that’s where the real action happens. In this installment, we’re shining a spotlight on the offensive line, who’s holding it down, who’s opening holes for the running backs, and who’s keeping Dak Prescott clean. Let’s get to it.

Left Tackle

Nathan Thomas


(2025 Stats: 281 Total Snaps, 189 Pass Blocks, 13 Pressures, 4 QB Hits, 2 Sacks, 3 Penalties)

Thomas had a long, tough night in Detroit that really frustrated fans. Dallas chased the game while Thomas was the most targeted mismatch on the offensive line. He logged 82 snaps and was charged with a team-high eight pressures, including a sack and two hits, plus a penalty as Aidan Hutchinson and the stunt game kept coming.

There were still a few wins for Thomas, but they were few. When Dallas stayed on schedule, Thomas’ angles on down blocks and right-side combos helped create functional rushing lanes, helping the Cowboys finish with 30 points and 376 passing yards despite the self-inflicted wounds. But the negatives outweighed the positives in protection for Thomas. PFF captured the struggle with 29.7 offensive grade and an even worse pass-block grade of just 16.3.

The issue here is Thomas has been a next-man-up starter with uneven results, but the broader Dallas trench metrics remain solid enough to support a bounce-back. The Cowboys are at 65% Pass Block Win Rate (12th) and 71% Run Block Win Rate (17th), so a top-third protection group when the ball is on time. Thomas’s personal PFF page, though, shows the learning curve in bright lights with a 36.2 overall grade, 29.1 pass-block grade, and 49.2 run-block grade, all an alarming score.

Left Guard

Tyler Smith


(2025 Stats: 842 Total snaps, 550 Pass Blocks, 18 Pressures, 0 QB Hits, 2 Sacks, 9 Penalties)

Smith’s night in Detroit read like a guard trying to keep the boat steady while the tide turned. Dallas threw it 47 times, gave up five sacks, and ran it 24 times for 91 yards, with game flow that forced Smith to live on long-developing protections against a front that heated up late. On the plus side, Smith’s anchor showed up good on inside loops that the Lions love.

The Vikings’ defense looks like a wave machine, so Smith and his veteran presence is going to be needed to help the unit as a whole, and more importantly, Nate Thomas. The Vikings defense boasts a 44% Pass Rush Win Rate (2nd) and 31% Run Stop Win Rate (12th) as a team, with 47 team sacks already on record (eighth-most), and multiple games where Brian Flores’ pressure plan became an avalanche. Next Gen charting even had them at 47.6% pressure in Week 9, and they just shutout Washington 31–0 to break a four-game skid. Individually, the threats show up all across the defense. Dallas Turner and Eric Wilson lead the team with 5.5 sacks each, Jalen Redmond sits on five sacks, Andrew Van Ginkel and Jason Hargrave combine for seven sacks, with Jonathan Allen and Jonathan Greenard combining for four sacks.

Center

Cooper Beebe


(2025 Stats: 496 Total Snaps, 351 Pass Blocks, 10 Pressures, 2 QB Hits, 0 Sacks, 0 Penalties)

Beebe’s trip to Detroit was one of those hold the fort type nights while things around him went crazy. Dallas threw it a ton, lived in long counts, and Beebe handled the administrative stuff the way coaches want. He made clean identifications on the line and enough pop on play-side doubles to let both guards climb when Dallas asked him to. Beebe’s stats this season have been extremely encouraging. He’s on zero sacks allowed, 10 total pressures, two quarterback hits and zero penalties, that’s an impressive line for a second-year center.

Beebe’s job against Minnesota is be the sledgehammer. Flores will pressure the A-gaps with different looks to confuse the issue. Beebe will have to be aware and get the line into the correct blocking assignments.

Right Guard

Tyler Booker


(2025 Stats: 727 Total snaps, 476 Pass Blocks, 18 Pressures, 5 QB Hits, 1 Sacks, 6 Penalties)

For the in-depth analysis on Booker, go to BTB’s Rookie Battleground article.

Right Tackle

Terence Steele


(2025 Stats: 888 Total snaps, 567 Pass Blocks, 41 Pressures, 8 QB Hits, 5 Sacks, 6 Penalties)

Steele’s season has been a seesaw, with the underlying win-rate math saying it’s solid, but the tape says up-and-down, and the penalties keep nudging drives off script. Steele sits at 93% Pass Block Win Rate, that’s 17th among tackles which will surprise most. So what does PFF grading have to say? It paints the same split you all see on Sundays. His run-block grade sits at 77.6, that’s 13th among tackles. But his pass-block grade sits at 55.4 putting him in the bottom third. In short, he’s still a people-mover in the run game, but his pass sets have oscillated with clean stretches followed by a bunch of high-leverage losses that kill drives.

Steele’s job against Minnesota starts before the ball is snapped, getting a plan in place and getting the read right, and to be in lockstep with Tyler Booker. What Steele needs to do is make the Vikings pressure plan expensive. If he can get rid of the freebies that have stung drives this season, there’s a good chance that Dak stays clean and can deliver. If he keeps up the same issues in pass protection, Dak will scramble, have to reset his launch point, and that’s when we see the miscues or deep field sacks.

Injury update


Tyler Guyton has been working the past week to return, but has yet to practice, so the hope for his return is fading.

Source: https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/dal...line-scouting-report-vikings-game-nate-thomas
 
Buy/Sell for Cowboys vs Vikings in Week 15

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Sunday night’s matchup between Dallas and Minnesota features two teams on the brink of being eliminated from the playoffs. The Cowboys have a better foothold at this point, but the Vikings aren’t sailing away quietly. In this battle of two desperate teams, which individual Cowboys have the best and worst chances of shining?

BUY​

DT Quinnen Williams​


After his dynamic Cowboys debut against the Raiders, Williams hasn’t been as splashy in the last three games. He’s still made a tremendous impact overall, helping Dallas beat the Eagles and Chiefs, but it’s clear opponents are focusing on stopping Williams from being a big-play terror. Unfortunately for Minnesota, they may not have the tools to neutralize him.

The Vikings have given up 13 sacks in their last three games. Even in last week’s 31-0 shutout win over the Commanders, J.J. McCarthy was sacked four times. Minnesota’s pass protection has been just as leaky inside as on the edges, so it could be Williams’ best opportunity to wreak havoc since the Vegas game. And if Minnesota does focus on stopping him, that should mean good things for Dallas’ other pass rushers.

Additionally, the Vikings rank just 24th in the league for total rushing offense. They tend to fall behind and abandon the run, which is good since they average a solid 4.6 yards per carry. As long as Dallas’ offense doesn’t take too long to get going, it can help Williams and the defense by forcing Minnesota away from the ground game.

RB Javonte Williams​


Running backs have generally had productive days against the Vikings. Last week, Washington’s backs combined for 84 yards on just 17 carries. Seattle’s had 108 yards on 27 carries. The Packers’ Emanuel Wilson had 107 yards and two touchdowns in Week 12. As long as Dallas feeds Javonte Williams, it sets up to be another strong performance.

A high-volume day for Williams and the other running backs also helps the Cowboys mitigate their own pass protection issues. The Vikings aren’t as equipped to take advantage of them as the Lions were, but Nathan Thomas and Terence Steele are hardly bulwarks at offensive tackle. Leaning on the run allows both of them, especially Steele, to have a much better shot at making positive contributions.

CB DaRon Bland​


From Weeks 10-12, J.J. McCarthy threw at least two picks in each game. He’s a classic gunslinger, and that’s just the kind of quarterback that DaRon Bland loves to see. While Bland has had some coverage struggles in Matt Eberflus’ scheme, he’s still flashed his trademark ballhawk ability. There have been several near misses on picks this year, and McCarthy seems highly likely to give Bland at least one opportunity. Hopefully, Dallas’ top CB capitalizes.

SELL​

QB Dak Prescott​


Because the Vikings’ offense has been so bad most weeks, it’s made it hard to tell where the cracks are on defense. Opponents have been able to stay conservative, hence those high-volume rushing totals we mentioned earlier. But in any case, that may mean a low-production game for Prescott. That’s not to say he can’t be highly efficient and contribute to a victory, but it would be surprising to see him go off for high yardage.

WR George Pickens​


Many are hoping for a bounce-back game from the star receiver, but it’s not in the cards this week. Again, passing games tend to be pretty quiet against Minnesota. And if any receiver does put up strong numbers, it tends to be a TE over a WR. The worst thing Dallas can do is try to force the ball to Pickens in response to last week’s bad publicity. Hopefully, CeeDee Lamb is able to play to help relieve that pressure.

Source: https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/dal...-quinnen-williams-dak-prescott-george-pickens
 
3 players who will lead Cowboys to victory over Vikings in Week 15

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The Dallas Cowboys may have dropped the ball last week losing to the Detroit Lions, but don’t expect that to happen in Week 15 against the Minnesota Vikings. They are motivated to get back to their winning ways and are playing with their backs against the wall moving forward to keep their playoff hopes alive.

This Week 15 matchup with Minnesota is a must-win and with home-field advantage as well as the better roster, Dallas is the favorite to be victorious this week. And although this is a team game, there are certain players who will play a more important role in this week. Below are the ones we believe will shine.

Dak Prescott​


Dak Prescott currently leads the league in passing yards (3,637) as well as 300 passing yard games (5). He is also currently riding a three-game streak of 300 passing yard games and has a really good chance to extend that streak to four this week against the Vikings, despite them ranking fourth in the league in passing yards a game (172.3).

Vikings DC Brian Flores loves to blitz and Minnesota currently leads the league in blitz percentage (49.2%). Prescott has excelled against the blitz this year throwing for 1,123 passing yards, the third-highest mark in the NFL this year, and has a 106.2 passer rating against the blitz. Because of that we should expect a big game from No. 4.

Javonte Williams​


Javonte Williams hit the 1, 000-yard rushing mark (1,022) last week, the fourth Cowboys RB to do that in five seasons. He’s also scored double-digit touchdowns (nine rushing, two receiving) so far this season and has a really good chance of improving all of those numbers this week against Minnesota’s defense, who is currently allowing 126.8 rushing yards per game (22nd in the league).

Not only should Williams to have a good game toting the rock, quite possibly rushing for his third 100+ yard game of the season, but he will also be an important part of Dallas’ aerial attack as a pass protector. No. 33 has been amazing this year in pass protection, allowing Dak Prescott extra time to do his thing. That will be important in this week against the blitz happy Vikings defense.

Quinnen Williams​


Vikings RB Aaron Jones has been a thorn in the Cowboys side dating back to his days in Green Bay. In three regular-season games and one postseason one, Jones is averaged 122 yards per game and two touchdowns and scored a total of nine touchdowns. Even though he’s not having his best season, he has enough juice left in the tank to be dangerous.

Fortunately, Dallas has just the player to contain Aaron Jones, Quinnen Williams. Since arriving, Williams has much improved the Cowboys run defense. He’s also been surprisingly effective as a pass rusher as well. In four games in Dallas he’s averaged five QB pressures and has a total of 24 since Week 11. Only Micah Parsons (30), Aiden Hutchinson (27), and Josh Hines-Allen (26) have more.

Source: https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/dal...ak-prescott-javonte-williams-quinnen-williams
 
Cowboys CB Trevon Diggs won’t be activated, won’t play vs. Vikings

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The saga between cornerback Trevon Diggs and the Dallas Cowboys continues to be a weird one. Head coach Brian Schottenheimer said earlier in the week that Diggs needed to do everything the right way before returning.

Cowboys HC Brian Schottenheimer on Trevon Diggs’ potential to play vs. Minnesota:

“He’s still in the ramp-up period. He does feel healthy, I know he wants to play. But at the end of the day, we have to do what we think is in the best interest of not just him, but also the… pic.twitter.com/DgFOoE3Mzc

— Nick Harris (@NickHarrisFWST) December 10, 2025

Despite his readiness to play, Diggs will remain on injured reserve/designated for return list, and he won’t play against the Minnesota Vikings this Sunday.

The #Cowboys announce CB Trevon Diggs will remain on the IR/DFR list today. He’s officially out for tomorrow vs. the #Vikings.

— Mike Garafolo (@MikeGarafolo) December 13, 2025

Diggs hasn’t played since Week 6 when the Cowboys loss to the Carolina Panthers. His 21-day practice window is currently ongoing, but if he isn’t activated to the 53-man roster by next week, he’ll remain on injured reserve for the rest of the season.

The former second-round pick signed a five-year, $97 million extension in June of 2023, but he’s struggled to see the field since then. Diggs tore his ACL after two games that season. In late 2024, Diggs was placed on injured reserve due to an issue in the same knee which led to mircofracture surgery back in January. The last full season for Diggs was in 2022, and he’s only appeared in 19 games since then.

With this latest development, it calls into question not only if Diggs will play again in 2025, but if he’ll ever suit up for the Cowboys again. There already reports that the relationship may be over.

Sources: #Cowboys All-Pro CB Trevon Diggs will not play Sunday vs the Vikings.

This comes after what was described to me as a “great week of practice,” while multiple sources tell me the relationship between Diggs and the organization has “soured” and “been severed.”

Diggs,… pic.twitter.com/ncFINVrMbn

— Jordan Schultz (@Schultz_Report) December 13, 2025

Source: https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/dal...1/cornerback-trevon-diggs-out-ir-vikings-game
 
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