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Five burning questions now that Daniel Jones is the Colts starting quarterback

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So many thoughts…

The story broke that Shane Steichen named Daniel Jones the starter for the Indianapolis Colts on Tuesday. Since that moment, opinions, feelings, and declarations have been flying around the internet. Some fans love the move, stating Anthony Richardson was a sunk cost and there was no reason to waste more time on him. Others, found the move to be premature as it essentially declares the end for Richardson in Indianapolis. Plenty more couldn’t fully wrap their heads around the decision. I find myself in the third camp; filled with thoughts and questions. Here are just a few.

Does Chris Ballard survive this?

Ballard told the world when Richardson was drafted that we couldn’t expect him to come in and be Superman. He preached patience with the raw talent they had acquired to be the franchise quarterback. Two seasons and one year worth of action later, the experiment appears to be over. The patience has dried up. This appears to be the last gasp for Ballard (although the man does seem have nine lives, so who really knows). Drafting a quarterback with the fourth overall pick serves as a measuring stick for Ballard’s overall ability to identify talent and build a roster. Watching his choice fail in a short amount of time and pairing that with a lack of postseason success, Ballard has to feel the writing is on the wall.

How will Carlie Irsay-Gordon respond?

Nothing publicly will be said that goes against her head coach’s decision, but that doesn’t mean Irsay-Gordon has to like the choice. Maybe she loves it. I have no clue. The thing to understand as Colts world moves forward is that this franchise is under new management. Things that were tolerated before might not get a pass now. She inherited Ballard and Steichen, so her attachment to them may not be as fierce as her father’s. This will be a fascinating wrinkle to watch as the season plays out. Irsay-Gordon may be a bit of wild card as fans start to learn her tendencies and preferences. This is shaping up to be her first real test.

Can Jones be the guy?

There wasn’t a lot separating the two quarterbacks. Each had strengths and weaknesses on the field. What tilted the scales were the behind the scenes moments: command of the offense, a high sense of professionalism, and winning over the locker room. That is all well and good, but will Jones deliver on Sundays? Sam Darnold did it for the Vikings last year at a high level. Sometimes, a change of scenery and a second chance is all that is needed. While I have my own thoughts on how this season will shake out, get out to a fast start and critics turn into champions for your cause. The best thing Jones can do is win. Win and people will soon forget about Richardson.

What is Richardson’s future?

What does this all mean for him? Where does he go from here? To me, this is the bottom and the end of his time in Indianapolis. The “tapping out” moment will go down in Colts lore and prove to be the point of no return for Richardson. He wasn’t ready. Whose fault is that? A tough question with lots of answers. It might be my next article. In the meantime, does this mean Richardson is on the trading block, or will the Colts keep him around as the back up? Coach-speak from Steichen tells the story that Richardson is only one injury away and to be ready in case his number is called, but coach-speak is usually a load of bull. There really doesn’t appear to be a way back for Richardson this time. A horribly fractured ego on a team that is preparing for life without him isn’t the biggest boost of confidence. It sure seems like the end of the line here in Indy.

Now what?

Who knows… Daniel Jones could come in and impress. He could set himself up for a long term deal, and this could be one of the smartest decisions in franchise history; one that breathes life into the franchise. It could also mark another tour in quarterback purgatory that the Colts have found themselves in over the last decade. All outcomes are possible. Either way, this appears to be a watershed moment. Things will most likely turn sharply in one direction or the other. Naming Jones the starter was a major decision. It will come with change. Better or worse? Not sure at this point. He could carry this franchise back to relevance or be the reason a total rebuild is needed. Only time will tell. We only know one thing for sure at this point; Daniel Jones is the starting quarterback for the 2025 Colts.

Source: https://www.stampedeblue.com/analys...aniel-jones-is-the-colts-starting-quarterback
 
Kwity Paye contract extension: What would a new deal look like?

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The season is nearly underway for the Indianapolis Colts, who are trying to navigate a challenging coaching, management, and quarterback situation heading into the 2025 NFL season. Head coach Shane Steichen has produced middling results thus far (the team is literally 17-17 in his two-year tenure), and general manager Chris Ballard is on the hot seat. It’s safe to say this season is a critical one for the Colts.

With the Anthony Richardson/Daniel Jones battle at quarterback taking up a lot of room, Indianapolis has begun extending some of their cornerstone pieces. Offensive tackle Bernhard Raimann just secured a massive 4-year, $100M extension, and the team could be looking at other potential extension candidates in the coming days.

An obvious target would be Kwity Paye, who has gradually ascended into the ranks of the very good NFL edge rushers. Paye has been a consistent disruptor against the run and pass with at least 8.0 TFL and 8.0 sacks in each of the past two seasons. Although Paye’s pressure numbers have been merely good, he’s been excellent at converting pressure into sacks year after year.

With Paye currently playing on the $13.4M fifth-year option and set to hit free agency in 2026, let’s take a closer look at a potential Kwity Paye extension.

What would an extension for Kwity Paye look like?​


Kwity Paye entered the NFL with significant fanfare as the 21st overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft. While he hasn’t emerged as a true household name, he’s been an integral part of a Colts defense that has struggled mightily in recent years. Paye led Indianapolis in sacks in 2024 and has taken on an increased role as DeForest Buckner enters his age-31 season. To put it simply, he’s an indispensable part of the defense.

That makes it a little challenging to peg his exact value. Edge rusher contracts have absolutely exploded this offseason, with both Myles Garrett and T.J. Watt above $40M APY (Average Per Year) and three others in the $30M APY range. All that being said, Paye is likely to slot in well below those players, assuming the Colts are proactive with getting this extension done now.

I think the best comps for Paye’s contract would be George Karlaftis ($22M APY, 36.4% guaranteed), Rashan Gary ($24M APY, 36.1% APY), and Montez Sweat ($24.5M APY, 42.8%).

Using those contracts as a starting point, here’s my projection for a potential Kwity Paye extension:

Kwity Paye projected extension: 4 years, $96M ($24M APY), $38.4M (40%) guaranteed, $18M signing bonus​


This contract would immediately make Kwity Paye tied for ninth in terms of the highest-paid edge rushers in the NFL. His $24M APY would beat Karlaftis (who accepted a very team-friendly deal, in my opinion), tie Rashan Gary, and come in just below Montez Sweat (who has been more productive in his career thus far). Paye’s guarantees would also beat out Karlaftis and Gary while coming in just a hair below Sweat.

This is a big payday for a player in Paye who has yet to ascend to top status in the NFL. However, the Colts could structure the deal in such a way as to pay more guarantees early and give them flexibility later on thanks to the team’s current cap space of over $19M. Front-loading the deal now and signing Paye before a potential breakout season that could vault his value into the $30M+ APY range in 2026 would be a wise move for a Colts team that could be looking at a reset in the future.

Indianapolis has the money now, and can lock up a potential young star in Kwity Paye for the foreseeable future. Sure, there’s risk: if Paye has a disappointing 2025 season or injury, then the deal likely looks bad. That’s the gamble the Colts would be taking here. But I’d argue the upside of securing a pass rusher going into his prime and coming off the two best seasons of his career is well worth it.

What are your thoughts on this potential extension for Kwity Paye? Do you think it’s worthwhile to extend Paye now before a potential breakout season, or would you rather wait and see for another year?

Source: https://www.stampedeblue.com/indian...act-extension-what-would-a-new-deal-look-like
 
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