Philadelphia Flyers
Hall of Famer
What Flyers’ next 5 games will (and won’t) tell us before NHL trade deadline
Source: https://www.broadstreethockey.com/p...l-and-wont-tell-us-before-nhl-trade-deadline/
The Flyers started their 26-game gauntlet to wrap up the season Wednesday night against the Capitals. It’ was a four-point divisional game against a club who, like Philadelphia, are on the outside looking in regarding a playoff spot. And despite the fact the Flyers have three games in hand on Washington, the team has a batch of clubs they have catch if they want to get a wildcard spot. Or even back in the conversation. Perhaps the one saving grace is that Philadelphia might have a better but narrower road to earning the third spot in the Metropolitan Division.
Heading into Wednesday’s slate, the Flyers found themselves eight points back of the Islanders and had two games in hand on them. The optimist would see that as Philadelphia only being four points back on a club that doesn’t really strike fear into the hearts of many in the Eastern Conference. As well, news on Sidney Crosby’s injury should probably send the Penguins crashing back to earth in a hurry, not taking the Penguins completely out of the loop but putting a huge nail in their coffin.
However, the pessimist and possible realist would understand the Flyers are going to have to play north of .750 to be knocking on the door. That’s basically winning 18 to 20 of their remaining games. And a batch of them needing to be won in 60 minutes. It’s not quite impossible, but when you have to begin scoreboard watching in late February and not in early to mid-April, then you know you have one hell of a road to travel to get to the post-season. Simply put, there’s a chance. But it’s not a very high percentage chance. The tragic number is far more in play than the magic number right now.
So, having said all that, will the next five games before the March trade deadline tell us really anything about the Flyers that the first 57 games didn’t tell a person? It might. We take a look at a few things that might move the needle the next few games and some that are pretty much set in stone.
Ristolainen trade stock? Absolutely
When the Olympics began, many anticipated Finnish defenseman Rasmus Ristolainen would be doing good to simply conclude the international competition in one piece. A few probably believed he would be injured by a gust of wind given his prior history of recurring injuries. However, Ristolainen was one of Team Finland’s surprising bright spots. And that high level of play has certainly raised his trade stock heading into next week. Speculation has run rampant about who is coveting the big blueliner, with Western Conference teams reportedly kicking the tires on Ristolainen. It has been almost a dream come true for Flyers general manager Danny Briere, especially considering how low in the trade deadline pecking order he was after Christmas.
The Flyers most likely won’t rush into any trade package if there’s a few suitors for him. The goal is to get the most from a team possible, whether it’s a draft pick, a prospect, or possibly both. What makes it one of the few question marks remaining in the season is that his trade value has never been higher. But if the deal or trade doesn’t make sense right now, Briere could hold off if his asking price isn’t met. It’s not impossible to see Ristolainen and his last year of his contract traded in the summer. It just makes the idea of seeing what looked like a huge anchor for another season now in the rearview mirror so damn tempting. Regardless of what the Flyers do in these next six games, it should be completely irrelevant when it comes to shipping the defenseman out of town.
All would be happy if Ristolainen plays playoff hockey in April, regardless of the team he’s with.
Special teams improvement? Not a chance!
The Flyers power play is broken. No time off or no thousands of reps will fix what is a huge issue. It has been for a few seasons. It hasn’t really improved at all these season. Initially a goal might have been simply getting into the top 20 of the league rankings. But heading into Wednesday’s game, Philadelphia was 28th in pure power play effectiveness. And 31st when you use the net power play percentage. Only Colorado was worse. Unless Philadelphia went on an insane hot streak where they’re clicking at 40 to 45 per cent for a third of the season, the Flyers are going to need to address the power play in the off season by bringing in more talent. Or figuratively beating out of the players the low percentage plays and ridiculously deliberate thought processes many of the Flyers have used the last few seasons with a man advantage.
What’s probably even more concerning is the penalty kill. What looked so strong in the early part of the season disappeared in recent months. They sit roughly in the middle of the league in penalty killing and net penalty killing (17th and 16th, respectively). That’s not utterly terrible like that power play. Yet when you’re good at something, you want to be good at it from start to finish (and beyond game 82). Clearly, the Flyers brass are going to have to take a look at both special teams and see what can be done to get both playing far more consistently than they have been thus far. That’s not something that’s going to get rectified in the next 15 periods of hockey.
Contract extensions? No
Aside from Rodrigo Abols, Nic Deslauriers, Carl Grundstrom, and Noah Juulsen who are all unrestricted free agents at season’s end, the Flyers have a lot of pieces locked in. However, a few deals on restricted free agents like Bobby Brink, Nikita Grebenkin, Emil Andrae, Jamie Drysdale, and Trevor Zegras will be on Briere’s to-do list. A few will get qualifying offers to retain their rights. A few more — especially Drysdale and Zegras — could be looking at getting locked up for a while. And each on a team-friendlier cap hit. What shouldn’t be a factor in any of these negotiations is what this quintet of players does or does not do in the homestretch and over the next week to 10 days.
Longer deals usually aren’t negotiated in a few days or over a few phone calls. Both the team and the player (and their agent) usually avoid the distraction of numbers and terms so the player can simply focus on the game in front of them. It’s not the rule, particularly considering Nick Seeler was signed to a four-year contract near the trade deadline within hours of Sean Walker shipped off to Colorado. It would be highly unlikely, particularly for players whose rights are still owned by the Flyers.
It appears that some of these five players are in line for more money in their wallets. But no general manager not named Paul Holmgren would see a player not named Andrew MacDonald and sign him based on a few weeks of play. Those days are over, even for those who still remain pissed off at the Christian Dvorak extension. The only thing Briere should be concerned about between now and the deadline is moving out some pieces for the future, not trying to negotiate contracts that can wait until the offseason.
A silver lining for the Mad Russian? Perhaps
Perhaps the biggest storyline the rest of the way will be how Matvei Michkov could possibly turn his rather poor season thus far around. Much has been written and discussed about the previous months. And not as much has been said since Briere cleared the air for everyone involved. Michkov had a great start last season after the 4 Nations Face-Off. And there’s nothing to suggest he’s incapable of doing the same damn thing. If he put a handful of multi-point games together, or even scored a crucial game-winning goal late in the game or in overtime, it might be enough to have him relax a lot more and look like the Michkov most fell in love with in year one.
Nobody sees the last 26 games as a measuring stick for where he’s at in his career trajectory. Predicting a youngster’s third professional season in the National Hockey League on five or 25 games would be insane. However, it could be enough of a boost to have Michkov pining for October and year three to get started. Having him feeling good about his game regardless of what the team does certainly can’t hurt.
Source
Source: https://www.broadstreethockey.com/p...l-and-wont-tell-us-before-nhl-trade-deadline/