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Falcons build trenches in way-too-early 3-round 2026 NFL mock draft

NCAA Football: Clemson at Georgia

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With no first-round pick, the Falcons still come away with critical linemen.

Despite what national media may say about the Atlanta Falcons and their 2025 draft, fans of the team seem optimistic about the haul they were able to muster, given their limited draft capital.

Grabbing two bona fide pass rushers, one prototypical, one ideational, and two ballhawks in the secondary at value is a great foundation to build a defensive identity. Despite this, there was one glaring omission from the 2025 draft: Physicality.

After years of defenses getting smaller, the league has done a 180-degree turn on its axis and reverted to its roots of running the football and playing rugged defense, starting with the trenches. If you ask Terry Fontenot, Atlanta addressed the trenches within the last few years with Ruke Orhororo, Zach Harrison, Brandon Dorlus, and Ta’Quon Graham.

So, yes, the darts have been thrown, but none of them are necessarily answers to write home about along the defensive line. David Onyemata and the addition of Morgan Fox provide a little ointment on the sting of losing longtime Atlanta staple Grady Jarrett. Not to mention, there isn’t a true nose tackle on the roster. Sure, Onyemata can play there, but that’s not where you want him long-term. There needs to be a true space-eater in the middle of the defense.

On the other side, Jake Matthews, the ironman he is, can’t do this forever. There needs to be a contingency plan so that Matthews can ride off into the sunset on his terms. The great thing about having Matthews is that this player doesn’t need to be fully developed. Matthews, Kaleb McGary, and Chris Lindstrom can be great mentors to assist any player who may come in. Not to mention that Ryan Neuzil, as of right now, is not a lock to become a high-end starting center over the long haul.

Since the Falcons don’t have their first-round pick next year, we needed to find someone who went beyond the first round in their initial 2026 mock draft, and by God, we found him. Pro Football & Sports Network’s Ian Cummings went three rounds deep in his latest mock, giving us 97 names to look for in next year’s draft, from Arch Manning to Aveion Terrell to Jadyn Ott. For the Falcons, however, he had a clear vision: Build the Trenches. Atlanta did just that with their two picks.

Second Round, Pick #42: DeMonte Capehart, DT, Clemson​

The Falcons will need to completely overhaul their interior defensive line in 2026. DeMonte Capehart can be a nice central piece as an explosive, powerful linear nose tackle at 6’5″, 315 pounds. His motor runs hot, his power output blasts opponents off the line, and he can stack-and-shed.

Will Atlanta need to completely overhaul the interior? Maybe not. If they did, Capehart is a great start. Reuniting Ruke with a lineman with the motor and power of Capehart could be a blessing for Falcons fans.


Demonte Capehart pic.twitter.com/OQzRPxygex

— Clemson Highlights (@ClemsonRT) November 9, 2023

Third Round, Pick #74: Trey Zuhn, OT, Texas A&M​


Zuhn had a chance to go to the draft this season but decided to return to a Texas A&M team that returns all its starters for a potential CFP run. The third-team All-SEC lineman projects to potentially move inside, which could benefit Atlanta if Bergeron or Neuzil don’t take the necessary steps forward.


LT Trey Zuhn III #60
The one thing Trey shows amazing flashes in is his reach/Widezone footwork. At times he goes off his course and doesn’t get the reach, but there’s no doubt he has almost mastered the footwork. #NFL #NFLDraft https://t.co/n731nwvOrr pic.twitter.com/Ht6os5oqx3

— Charlie Prio (@CharliePrio1) May 3, 2024

Source: https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2025/...raft-way-too-early-demonte-capehart-trey-zuhn
 
The Falcons bet on themselves in the 2025 NFL Draft

2025 NFL Scouting Combine

Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images

The Falcons bet on themselves in the 2025 NFL Draft with a bold trade up in the first round and an emphasis on finding immediate contributors on defense. Kevin Knight breaks down the draft class and discusses Atlanta’s overall strategy.

The Atlanta Falcons bet on themselves in the 2025 NFL Draft with a bold trade up in the first round and an emphasis on finding immediate contributors on defense. I break down the draft class and discusses Atlanta’s overall strategy, including why I’m much higher on the team heading into the summer. Fellow Falcoholics, welcome to another episode of the Dirty Birds and Brews podcast!

You can also listen to all of our video shows in an audio-only podcast format, available on all your favorite podcast platforms or by using the player below.

If you’re interested in supporting the show, check out our Patreon page to unlock access to exclusive perks including Patron Q&A sessions, Discord perks, live shout-outs and more!

Be sure to check out the new community Discord server here! Come chat with your fellow Falcons fans about the show, the team, the NFL draft, and more.

You can watch the show here on The Falcoholic, but we recommend watching on YouTube for the best experience—including full 1080p HD video and access to the live Q&A in the chat. You can also access the show using your smart TV or device using the YouTube app for the real big-screen experience!

We hope you enjoy the show! If you have comments, we’d love to hear them. Send them to us on Twitter (@FalcoholicLive), leave them below, or e-mail the show at [email protected].

Thanks for watching!

Source: https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2025/...selves-jalon-walker-james-pearce-xavier-watts
 
Atlanta Falcons receive top marks with The Athletic’s analytics-based grading system

NFL: NFL Draft

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Hail to the nerds who love this draft.

Over the past couple of weeks, the Atlanta Falcons have been eviscerated for their resource allocation in the 2025 NFL Draft. National media from various platforms have ripped the Falcons for their use of next year’s 1st-round pick to acquire the now-enigmatic EDGE prospect out of Tennessee, James Pearce, Jr.

Atlanta sent the 46th and 242nd picks in the 2025 draft, which the Rams used to select Oregon tight end Terrance Ferguson and Pittsburgh WR Konata Mumpfield, as well as next year’s first-round pick to move back into the first round to choose Pearce and snag a third-round pick just outside the top-100.

To most, this is an egregious misuse of resources. As The Athletic’s Josh Kendall pointed out, according to the Fitzgerald-Spielberger, Jimmy Johnson, and Rich Hill NFL Draft trade value charts, Atlanta gave up the equivalent of a mid-first-round pick to trade back into the first round. ESPN’s Kevin Clark called it “awful” and “reckless.” Kendall states the NFL is “collectively wondering ‘what the heck is going on in Flowery Branch?’” as the Falcons continue to beat to the tune of their own drum when they are on the clock.

Everyone is finding this trade baffling and ultimately inexcusable.

Everyone except the numbers.

The Athletic’s Austin Mock put together an analytics-based grading system to help grade the 2025 NFL draft on a basis free of outside interference. This grading system doesn’t know the prospects, aside from the dollar value given to the slot they were chosen in and their spot on The Athletic’s consensus big board.

When given this criterion, five teams were given A-grades or better. The Cleveland Browns, the New York Giants, the Tennessee Titans, the Carolina Panthers, and...this can’t be...the Atlanta Falcons.

According to the numbers, the Falcons and their bets on building their edge room and their secondary shot them up to one of the five best grades in this year’s draft. A fact that shocked Mock, who questioned the results in his write-up.

The Falcons had a top-five draft? Really? I don’t necessarily agree with it, but I understand how we got there. So, our formula saw their controversial trade back into the first round for James Pearce Jr. as giving up the equivalent of a late first-rounder. That’s not great, but they managed to overcome it overall.

It starts with their selection of Jalon Walker, who plays a premium position and was drafted below consensus. Pearce also plays a premium position, so that helped the Falcons’ cause. Still, I can’t get over how “same-y” they appear to be, with each playing the same position and weighing less than 250 pounds. I have concerns about how those players will fit together into the same scheme outside of passing situations.

Listen, I’m no mathematician and don’t pretend to be one, but Jay-Z had a line on his song “Reminder” from his 2009 album The Blueprint 3 that may fit well here: “Men lie, women lie, numbers don’t.”

This draft may also give Atlanta a chance to remind the league that playing by your own rules can yield as much success as following consensus.

Source: https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2025/...s-analytics-based-grading-system-jalon-walker
 
NFL to debut new ‘Rivalries’ jersey program, Falcons won’t get theirs till 2028

New England Patriots v Atlanta Falcons

Photo by Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images

What will these new jerseys look like? We’ll have to wait to find out.

THE ATLANTA FALCONS ARE GETTING A NEW JERSEY...in 2028.

As reported by Jonathan Jones, the NFL has announced that beginning in the 2025 season, it will introduce new uniforms inspired by the local communities of the NFL teams, with a focus on division rival games.

The concept, now known as the “Rivalries” program, will mimic what Nike has done with the MLB and the NBA in recent years. This new concept will roll out over a four-year span, with the AFC North and NFC South getting theirs in 2028 (the final rollout year).

Here are the general guidelines the league has provided on how teams can utilize these uniforms:

  • Each team will be required to wear the jerseys for one home game against a divisional rival
  • Teams must wear it once a year over a three-year period.
  • Teams can wear the jersey against the same divisional rival or across the division.
  • Since the jerseys must be worn in home games, there won’t be a game featuring both teams wearing the “Rivalry” jerseys.

The league has also stated that current alternates, including throwback uniforms, can and will remain in each team’s rotation.

The Falcons’ current uniforms have not been as well-received as the franchise had hoped. The number font and the portly ATL logo are the two most notable complaints. Don’t get me started on the “Rise Up”-inspired gradient jerseys, which were the equivalent of using auto-tune after T-Pain’s peak.

This is the first year Atlanta has been eligible for new jerseys, and many fans have been hoping for a redesign.

This jersey announcement might scratch the itch for those design-focused fans, but they’ll have to wait to cast judgment, as the NFL won’t be revealing Atlanta’s jersey anytime soon.

We’re unsure how this new program will affect the teams’ decision about whether/when they want to debut new jerseys. The Tennessee Titans have announced they will be getting new uniforms this year, and they aren’t set to enter the “Rivalries” program until 2026, so it doesn’t appear the league will make teams wait to roll them out in tandem.

The question everyone will be asking is, what in the world will these look like, and their guess is as good as mine. Unfortunately, we’ll have to wait three years for the final answer.

Source: https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2025/...sey-program-falcons-wont-get-theirs-till-2028
 
Falcons defensive line coach Nate Ollie promises attacking front, talks 2025 roles

Atlanta Falcons v Baltimore Ravens

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It’s good news for Atlanta’s intriguing young defensive linemen.

With no offense intended toward any of the coaches the Atlanta Falcons hired this offseason, Nate Ollie was the one I was most excited about. A well-regarded coach who has consistently found a way to elevate the pass rushing prowess of lines he’s worked with at stops from Philadelphia to Indianapolis to Houston, Ollie was the right hire for a Falcons team in desperate need of development and cleverness up front.

That impression was reinforced when Ollie joined other coaches in speaking to the media earlier this week. Reiterating Raheem Morris’s belief that no team can ever have enough pass rushers, Ollie talked about the importance of having talent and depth in late game situations, when games can be won and lost by whether a defense is ruthless or gassed.

“Most of these games, you’re not blowing nobody out,” Ollie said, noting most games come down to the final minutes in today’s NFL. “You need everybody. You can never have enough rushers. Really, I stamp that, I stand on that.”

Ollie said the team will be in an “attack-style” front, where he’ll want linemen (and outside linebackers, naturally) to play free, attack gaps while maintaining integrity, and not worry so much about reading what’s happening and reacting as going after the quarterback and ball carrier like very large bats out of a very hot hell. He specifically mentioned the benefits of an attacking front for second-year defensive lineman Ruke Orhorhoro, who will handle the three technique (where a defensive lineman is lined up against the outside shoulder of the opposing guard) and should benefit from “taking the thinking out of it” and simply using his athleticism, strength, and savvy to get into the backfield.

“Shoot, just all I know is get off the ball and attack,” Ollie said.

In addition to Ruke’s role, Ollie talked about using Brandon Dorlus both inside and on the edge this season, where he said he’ll be a mismatch against tight ends forced to try to block him. Dorlus came out of college with pass rushing production and a history of playing all over Oregon’s defensive line, and it sounds like he’ll both A) get significant playing time and B) get to showcase his versatility and pass rushing chops for Atlanta this year. Zach Harrison will be used off the edge as a big end, and Ollie’s motto for this line is a pretty simple “GTFO.” That’s a direct quote. He’s as fired up about rushing the passer as any coach I’ve heard from in Atlanta.

Ollie’s passion for having a deep stable of pass rushers and showing aggression is welcome for Falcons fans who saw Jimmy Lake’s curiously passive approach last season, not to mention the years of ineptitude this defensive front has weathered since John Abraham was pushed out way back in 2013. Now the job is just translating that passion into results, but I’ll leave you with a quote that illustrates exactly what Ollie envisions for the pass rush from this front in 2025.

“When a guy gets tired, you can just go in waves. Everything we trying to do now, we’re trying to be like Mike Tyson and throw haymakers, we’re getting off the ball and attacking, throwing haymakers, no jabs.”

Source: https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2025/...tacking-front-talks-2025-roles-brandon-dorlus
 
Evaluating the Falcons draft and UDFA haul with Thor Nystrom

Kansas Jayhawks v West Virginia Mountaineers

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The Falcons had a polarizing 2025 NFL Draft class followed by a strong group of UDFA additions. Kevin Knight is joined by Thor Nystrom (Fantasy Life) to evaluate the value and fit of Atlanta’s draft class.

The Atlanta Falcons had a polarizing 2025 NFL Draft class followed by a strong group of UDFA additions. I’m joined by Thor Nystrom (Fantasy Life) to evaluate the value and fit of Atlanta’s draft class, including the controversial trade-up for James Pearce Jr. and the three top-200 talents added by the values as UDFAs. Fellow Falcoholics, welcome to another episode of the Dirty Birds and Brews podcast!

You can also listen to all of our video shows in an audio-only podcast format, available on all your favorite podcast platforms or by using the player below.

If you’re interested in supporting the show, check out our Patreon page to unlock access to exclusive perks including Patron Q&A sessions, Discord perks, live shout-outs and more!

Be sure to check out the new community Discord server here! Come chat with your fellow Falcons fans about the show, the team, the NFL draft, and more.

You can watch the show here on The Falcoholic, but we recommend watching on YouTube for the best experience—including full 1080p HD video and access to the live Q&A in the chat. You can also access the show using your smart TV or device using the YouTube app for the real big-screen experience!

We hope you enjoy the show! If you have comments, we’d love to hear them. Send them to us on Twitter (@FalcoholicLive), leave them below, or e-mail the show at [email protected].

Thanks for watching!

Source: https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2025/...draft-2025-cobee-bryant-nick-nash-joshua-gray
 
3 Falcons draft picks make ESPN’s list of Top 100 picks

draft.0.png


In what was viewed by most fans and experts as a largely successful draft for the Atlanta Falcons, three of the team’s draftees are being ranked as the best among all 257 picks. Let’s take a look at which players gained this honor.

While the dust continues to settle on an eventful NFL draft weekend, experts have been using the past week to analyze the best picks out of all 257 selections. Obviously ranking the best out of a draft class of insanely talented players is subjective, especially because they haven’t played a down of NFL football yet. Still, receiving post-draft high praise from experts is nothing to sniff at, especially after the Atlanta Falcons have been one of the most highly criticized teams in recent years after the draft.

The list we’ll be taking a look at today is ESPN analyst Matt Miller’s Top 100 draft picks from all three days of the draft, and Atlanta had three of their five selections that cracked this list. What I like about Miller’s list is that he didn’t rank these picks based solely on talent, but mainly factored in value, scheme fit, how well the pick addressed a need, what the player brings to the field, and whether any additional assets were gained or lost in draft-day trades to acquire him.

These many components resulted in a highly detailed analysis of the ways the picks mentioned can benefit the team short and long term. So... what Atlanta newbies cracked Miller’s top 100?

5. Jalon Walker, Edge, Atlanta Falcons (Pick 1-15)​

Miller’s excerpt: Walker was a top-five player on my board, and Atlanta ended his draft-night slide midway through the first round. Not only did the Falcons get great value, but they also got a player who fits perfectly for Atlanta’s scheme and need. Walker’s NFL position has yet to be determined (he played both linebacker and edge at Georgia in 2024), but he brings desperately needed speed and high upside as a pass rusher in a 3-4 alignment.

Honestly, couldn’t have said it better myself. Walker is a highly versatile player as Miller mentioned, playing both linebacker and edge at the University of Georgia this past season, having success at both positions. It only took Philadelphia winning a Super Bowl with all the Georgia talent they acquired for Atlanta to catch on.

Walker’s speed and size take me back to the days of John Abraham with his ability to stretch offensive lineman and squeeze past them for easy pressures and sacks. His different alignments on defense allowed him to keep the offense guessing which contributed to him running free a ton of times in 2024. This pick came in high on Miller’s list at #5, ranking above noteworthy selections of Travis Hunter (#6), Abdul Carter (#8), and Will Campbell (#17) just to name a few.

31. Xavier Watts, S, Atlanta Falcons (Pick 3-96)​

Miller’s excerpt: Getting a 54-pick value is always good, but pairing Watts with Jessie Bates III is great. It gives Atlanta a ball-hawking safety duo. Watts’ 13 interceptions in his past two seasons at Notre Dame made him one of the country’s best defensive backs, and he now brings that ability to a Falcons defense that also nabbed edge rushers Jalon Walker and James Pearce Jr. in Round 1.

Probably one of the biggest steals of the draft, Xavier Watts was taken by the Falcons in round 3 with the 96th pick. After Demarcco Hellams sustained an ankle injury during the 2024 pre-season, Atlanta signed then free agent Justin Simmons to a 1-year contract, but the marriage delivered underwhelming results with Simmons looking like a shell of his former All-Pro self in this team’s shaky defense. The team has declined to re-sign him to this point.

That leaves a void at the other safety position alongside Jessie Bates III, and a ball-hawking defensive back like Watts that posted 13 interceptions the last two years could fill it with his exceptional coverage, play recognition, and ability to break on the ball. His ability to pick up and recognize coverage responsibilities and shadow receivers will prove crucial when playing a team like the Bucs, who just added to their loaded receiving core selecting Ohio State’s Emeka Egbuka. It’s also a great depth move for Atlanta, with Hellams returning from injury and Jordan Fuller also being signed in late March. Regardless if Watts wins out the starting job, I feel strongly that he’ll make an impact in year 1.

72. Billy Bowman Jr., S, Atlanta Falcons (Pick 4-118)​

Miller’s excerpt: Atlanta doubled down at edge rusher and safety, and Bowman’s versatility aligns with new teammate Xavier Watts’ skills. Bowman might see snaps at nickel safety first, but he has starter upside and ball skills.

Just one round and 22 picks later, Atlanta picked another safety, selecting Billy Bowman Jr. from Oklahoma. Selecting the same position in back to back picks may raise some eyebrows, especially already having a cemented starter in Bates, but a player like Bowman Jr. has a slightly different skillset than Watts. While Watts is a great zone coverage player with remarkable lateral and downhill quickness, Bowman Jr. is a player with exceptional man coverage ability showing an innate skill for coming down and manning up the slot.

This is why Miller mentioned that he believes Bowman Jr. would see more snaps at nickel first rather than safety, something the Falcons have confirmed. This is especially the case given his smaller stature standing 5’10”, 192 pounds. The smaller quicker receivers often line up in the slot, providing an easy target for quarterbacks who like to look for fast drag, slant, or whip routes. Depending on how Bowman Jr develops, he could find his role as a shutdown nickel back taking away those easy throws.

That’s a quick analysis on the Falcons’ that made Matt Miller’s top 100 picks in the NFL draft. Do you agree with who Miller included and where he placed these picks? If not, who would you have chosen instead and where would they be? Comment your thoughts below!

Source: https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2025/...-picks-jalon-walker-xavier-watts-billy-bowman
 
How did the Falcons pull off the James Pearce trade? Albert Breer has details

2025 NFL Draft - Round 1

Photo by Perry Knotts/Getty Images

Why Pearce? Why Walker? This breaks it down nicely.

We know the broad contours of how the Atlanta Falcons landed Jalon Walker and James Pearce, a haul destined to be the subject of hype and criticism for years to come. Sports Illustrated’s Albert Breer fills in many of the missing details in his latest column.

For those with tired eyes, the crux of the article is this: The Falcons spent quite a bit of time trying to dig into whether Pearce was as difficult as he was reputed to be, were impressed that despite pouring rain the prospect was pushing hard to still go ahead with a workout and find a space to do so himself, and came away excited about him. Breer also adds to the raft of confirmations that the Falcons would have taken Pearce at 15, but were surprised Jalon Walker fell to their pick and couldn’t pass him up.

Lengthy block of Breer’s article incoming:

Because of all that, they were ready to take (Pearce) at No. 15.

Then came the twist they didn’t expect, where Jalon Walker, who could’ve gone as high as No. 4, started falling. And when the Indianapolis Colts chose to pick at No. 14, and not trade, Atlanta’s draft room erupted before even hearing Tyler Warren’s name. Walker impressed the Falcons as he had just about everyone else—every Georgia player told the brass, when asked what teammate they’d bring with them to the pros, that Walker would be the guy. And Walker impressed Fontenot when he came to Atlanta’s local pro day to cheer on friends working out there.

Morris has already had some success deploying another hybrid, in seventh-year pro Kaden Elliss, and envisions using Walker in a supersized version of that role.

That last note is interesting, even if I suspect we’ll see Walker used much more off the edge than as an off-ball linebacker. But it’s clear the Falcons tried to replicate their efforts last year with greater success, where they got their top target (Michael Penix in 2024, Walker in 2025) and then tried to come back up for a pass rusher (Laiatu Latu in 2024, Pearce in 2025). The fact that Pearce might be a better fit than Latu makes last year’s miss perhaps a blessing in disguise, while also providing fuel for those who argue the team shouldn’t be in the business of giving up future firsts.

What is obvious—and what Breer writes—is that the Falcons considered Walker and Pearce to both be top talents in this class, and were hellbent on getting both when it was evident they were going to fall. The Falcons paid a premium price for doing so, but Breer writes that the team essentially considered this getting a second first rounder a year early, which reinforces just how high they were on Pearce. They called the Broncos at 20 but wound up finding a partner at 26 with the Rams, who were willing to toss back pick 101 to give the Falcons a swing in the third round at Xavier Watts.

As Breer notes—and as I’ve written before—the cost discussions will fade if the Falcons found great players at 15, 26, and with Penix in 2024, just as they did over time in the great Julio Jones trade of 2011. If not, we’ll be having Takk McKinley discussions in perpetuity.

So the team’s thinking was clear: Get two players they considered building block caliber, deal with the loss of a first rounder next year, and count on finally assembling a winning team to ease the criticism and justify the approach. That last bit is the part that remains to be seen, and the team’s aggression in parting with picks is not a guarantee to work. But even those who are detractors of the deal admit the talent on hand the Falcons brought in is considerable.

The best example of that recognition may come from one of the league’s better pressure artists. Reader NorthernHawksFan dropped a comment about Raiders superstar pass rusher Maxx Crosby, who was practically giddy with how the Falcons approached attacking their biggest weakness, cost be damned.


#Raiders All-Pro Maxx Crosby absolutely loved the #Falcons draft pic.twitter.com/47uibEihCX

— Rise Up Walker (@RiseUpReader) May 6, 2025

If Walker and Pearce turn out to be the caliber of players the Falcons have long lacked up front, that may well be the consensus view in the future. For now, it has to be enough to know the Falcons really thought this through, and may the results reflect that.

Source: https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2025/...e-trade-albert-breer-has-details-jalon-walker
 
Have the Falcons improved this offseason? The Falcoholic Live, Ep327

Carolina Panthers v Atlanta Falcons

Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

The Falcons had a slow free agency period followed by an aggressive NFL Draft and UDFA class. Kevin Knight and Adnan Ikic attempt to answer the big question: have the Falcons meaningfully improved this offseason?

The Atlanta Falcons had a slow free agency period followed by an aggressive NFL Draft and UDFA class. Adnan Ikic and I attempt to answer the big question: have the Falcons meaningfully improved this offseason? What can we expect from Atlanta in 2025, and should this team be considered a contender in the NFC South and beyond? Fellow Falcoholics, welcome to another episode of The Falcoholic Live!

Watch the stream below or on YouTube beginning at 8 PM ET​


You can also listen to all of our video shows in an audio-only podcast format, available on all your favorite podcast platforms or by using the player below. The podcast typically posts a few hours after the live show records.

If you’re interested in supporting the show, become a Channel Member or check out our Patreon page to unlock access to exclusive perks including Patron Q&A sessions, Discord perks, live shout-outs and more!

Be sure to check out the new community Discord server here! Come chat with your fellow Falcons fans about the show, the team, the NFL draft, and more.

You can watch the show here on The Falcoholic, but we recommend watching on YouTube for the best experience—including full 1080p HD video and access to the live Q&A in the chat. You can also access the show using your smart TV or device using the YouTube app for the real big-screen experience!

We hope you enjoy the show! If you have comments, we’d love to hear them. Send them to us on Twitter (@FalcoholicLive), leave them below, or e-mail the show at [email protected].

Thanks for watching!

Source: https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2025/...diaz-the-falcoholic-live-ep327-nfl-draft-2025
 
Should the Atlanta Falcons sign WR Gabe Davis?

NFL: Green Bay Packers at Jacksonville Jaguars

Morgan Tencza-Imagn Images

The former Bill and Jaguar is a buy-low candidate, but one that comes with question marks.

A little over a year after inking a 3-year $39M ($24M guaranteed) contract, the Jacksonville Jaguars have moved on from Gabe Davis.

The announcement came earlier today.


Last off-season, the Jaguars signed then free-agent WR Gabe Davis to a three-year, $39 million contract. Davis played 10 games with the Jaguars, catching 20 passes for 239 yards. https://t.co/Rp0sjXtVs2 pic.twitter.com/V3BksthhTy

— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) May 7, 2025

Davis disappointed in his one year with the Jaguars, during which time he posted career lows in yards per reception, receptions per game, and yards per game. His season ended after 10 games due to a torn meniscus in his left knee. The Jaguars believe they are now better off with a $20M dead cap figure than with his services.

Davis was a hot name during the 2024 free agency cycle, and one that many Atlanta Falcons fans desired. Davis’s skills never really justified the deal former Jaguars GM Trent Baalke gave him, but he does fill a niche as a clear-out specialist. If you need a guy to run in a straight line as fast as possible, he’s your man. The problems arise once teams start asking him to do more, which is why he will be looking to join his third team in three seasons.

Davis’ market has peaked; he’s unlikely to see a double-digit guaranteed money contract again. He’s an ideal buy-low candidate for cash-strapped teams like Atlanta, who could use an X on the outside to open up things for his fellow receivers underneath. This clear-out role was primarily filled by Kyle Pitts in 2024.

Speed and the ability to stretch the field are lacking in the WR room. Darnell Mooney is currently the best option, but he’s too valuable to be used as a decoy consistently. Jamal Agnew, Davis’ 2024 teammate, has the potential to fill this role if he’s healthy, but he’s a big unknown after he missed the entire ‘24 season. However, so is Davis.

The idea of Davis is better than the player. He’s unlikely to be ready for camp due to that injury, and there’s no telling if he’ll even be the same player again post-recovery. He wouldn’t have time to build chemistry with Michael Penix in the summer and would have to be worked in once the team starts rolling.

A veteran minimum deal would make him an enticing addition, and Fontenot is always combing through the veteran free agent market, but he’s not a player the team should be banging down the door to sign. For this writer, signing Davis is currently off the table, but there is a legitimate argument for his services if the price is right.

Where do you stand?

Source: https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2025/...e-davis-darnell-mooney-kyle-pitts-free-agency
 
Falcons sign draft picks Xavier Watts, Billy Bowman, and Jack Nelson as rookie minicamp kicks off

Syndication: The Indianapolis Star

Clark Wade/IndyStar / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Three-fifths of Atlanta’s class is now under contract.

The Atlanta Falcons have three draft picks signed, which means a majority of their class is under contract in early May. Two to go.

On Friday, the Falcons announced the signings for third round pick Xavier Watts, fourth round selection Billy Bowman, and seventh rounder Jack Nelson. Only first round picks Jalon Walker and James Pearce Jr. remain unsigned.


Making it official ✍️ pic.twitter.com/ZHFi7ZOMDc

— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) May 9, 2025

Watts is a ball-hawking, super savvy safety expected to contend for a starting role next to Jessie Bates, and he’s the early favorite to win out over DeMarcco Hellams and free agent signing Jordan Fuller. Bowman, primarily a safety in college, will compete for nickel duties with Dee Alford, Clark Phillips, and Natrone Brooks, among others. He’s also a playmaker with a reputation for aggressive, physical play, which should make him a nice fit for a defense that wants to offer all three of those qualities on all three levels.

Nelson is a developmental tackle who the team would like to become their swing tackle of the future, if not a future starter. We keep expectations relatively modest for seventh round picks around here, though, so for now we’ll pencil him in as the last man on the roster on the offensive line in 2025.

It’s good to see these guys under contract with rookie minicamp getting underway today. We’ll see if we get any further news out of camp!

Source: https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2025/...t-picks-xavier-watts-billy-bowman-jack-nelson
 
What will Jalon Walker’s rookie season look like?

NFL: NFL Draft

Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

Our staff roundtable weighs in on expectations for Walker in year one, including the all-important sack prediction.

Jalon Walker is a player the Atlanta Falcons believe in, and they’re hardly alone. Fans are hopeful, analysts are intrigued, and teammates think he’s going to be a star. In that constellation of opinion, of course, are questions about his true upside as a pass rusher and where he’ll play in the NFL.

We’re thinking about all of that, but mostly we’re thinking about year one impact and role. We revived the roundtable to see what the staff thinks about his likely rookie impact, where he might play, and of course what his projected sack total might be. We welcome you to add your two cents in the comments.


Impactful and intentional​


How many sacks? 5.5

Whoever drafted Jalon Walker needed a robust plan in place for him, and Atlanta checked that box in the early post-draft weeks. The team has been firm that he is an EDGE first and foremost. This declaration is significant when managing players like Walker, who teams can view and utilize in a multitude of ways.

It’s easy to get enamored with his ceiling, but Walker needs to prove that he can be good in at least one role before being asked to play two or three. This doesn’t mean we won’t see Atlanta take advantage of the player’s skill set with unique pass rush packages, but we shouldn’t expect the rookie to stray far from his EDGE responsibilities. The learning curve for EDGE is steep, but Walker is in an advantageous situation, one where he’ll be given plenty of reps and opportunities due to the lack of talent in the room with him. Walker is unlikely to be a sack machine out of the gate, but he has a good shot at being a pressure generator that helps others close the deal. —Tre’Shon Diaz

A versatile chess piece in 2025​


How many sacks? 5

This sack total will likely disappoint fans eager for the Falcons pass rush to take a major step forward thanks to rookie pass rushers, but I think James Pearce will be more productive from that standpoint. What I expect from Walker is more varied but no less valuable.

The Falcons will primarily utilize Walker off the edge, but his experience playing off the ball in college was fairly rich, and it opens up some intriguing avenues for him the NFL. I expect Walker to be a significant piece of the team’s EDGE rotation most of the time, but on third downs and in clear passing situations, putting him next to Kaden Elliss at linebacker with James Pearce, Leonard Floyd, and Arnold Ebiketie outside has the potential to give teams fits. Walker’s pass rushing upside is a lot higher than his rookie numbers will indicate, but I expect flashes of the ability and some game-wrecking plays from him right away, with more to come in 2026 and beyond. —Dave Choate

Instant Impact​


How many sacks? 6

The Falcons’ war room didn’t erupt in glee after the Colts took Tyler Warren with the 14th overall pick — indicating that Walker would be there for the taking at 15 — without the expectation that the linebacker out of the University of Georgia wouldn’t be an impact player both in the short term and in the long term outlook of the franchise.

I sort of liken Walker to the queen on the chessboard in that he can come at your from all different sides, and it was this versatility that really helped power his successful collegiate career. The team made the announcement shortly after the pick that they view Walker as an EDGE, which makes sense given how premium that position on the football field is, but I expect Jeff Ulbrich to utilize him all around the front seven, in a variety of roles throughout the season. Atlanta needs to win now, and they took Walker with the idea that he will make an instant impact on this team right out of the gate. —Adnan Ikic

Walker’s role, and impact, will grow​


How many sacks? 5

It’s no secret that I was lower on Jalon Walker than consensus, having him as more of a late-first grade instead of a top-10 prospect. The reason for that is because his best fit in the NFL is likely as a versatile hybrid edge/off-ball linebacker, and I’m not sure how quickly he’ll be able to adapt to that at the NFL level. Atlanta has made it clear he’ll start his career as an edge rusher, but what exactly does that mean? I can’t see Walker being a full-time EDGE at his size, but he needs to be more than just a designated pass rusher (DPR).

That’s why I think his role, and impact, will grow over the course of the 2025 season. He’ll start out as a DPR who mixes in some off-ball duties as a strongside (SAM) linebacker and QB spy in certain matchups. Walker’s snap count to start the season will probably be disappointing to fans. But as the year goes on, I’d expect Walker’s snap count to rise as he gets more comfortable with off-ball SAM duties. By the end of the season, I’d expect Walker to be a full-time starter who splits snaps between the edge and as an overhang SAM defender depending on down and distance. He’ll be moved around to maximize his value and to put him in the best position to make plays as both as pass rusher and run defender. That might lead to a bit of a slow start from a stats perspective, but hopefully he’ll be finding his footing as a multifaceted impact defender by the time December rolls around. —Kevin Knight

Source: https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2025/...season-look-like-raheem-morris-2025-nfl-draft
 
Falcons have toughest test of 2025 season in Mercedes-Benz, according to PFSN

NFL: Atlanta Falcons at Buffalo Bills

Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports

One of the NFL’s most lethal weapons at QB + Young Defense = One Tough Challenge

Welcome to the offseason, a time when optimism is running rampant. Undrafted free agents turn into household names and fourth-round rookies are the organization’s future. Another great thing about this time of year: The 2025 NFL schedule release is just around the corner.

At 8 P.M. on May 14, across the NFL network of applications and streaming services, fans internationally will be playing the win/loss game as they get their first look at the next 17 games that will define their favorite franchise’s future. For Pro Football & Sports Network, that means they are looking for the toughest game on every team’s schedule.

While the Atlanta Falcons won’t be the answer for anyone else, the PFSN team did outline a fairly tough matchup against an AFC opponent for Falcons fans to freak out about.

The Michael Penix Jr. era enters a stage of optimism after he showed some signs down the stretch last season and this team has invested plenty in terms of offensive skill position players over the past three seasons.

They are going to need to function at full capacity if they are going to walk away with a win when the Bills come to town – the Falcons have lost 21 of their past 27 games when labeled as an underdog with 10 of those losses coming by double figures.

Atlanta had the pleasure of playing Josh Allen only once, on January 2nd, 2022. The 2021 Falcons were fishing for a statement win to hang their hat on as Terry Fontenot and Arthur Smith’s first year was coming to a close.

That Falcons' defense, a team that ranked 29th in EPA/dropback and allowed 317 passing yards on 80% passing to Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys in a 43-3 drubbing, held Buffalo to the fewest passing yards on the season and three interceptions. It was only the second time that Allen didn’t throw for a touchdown and threw three interceptions in a game. That could also be a product of the 26-degree weather and 11-mile-per-hour winds, but I choose to look on the bright side. Especially since that helped Atlanta take a 15-14 lead into halftime.


.@ajterrell_8 and the #DirtyBirds are in business

: #ATLvsBUF on FOX
: NFL app pic.twitter.com/kGL8K0gl8h

— NFL (@NFL) January 2, 2022

That’s the good news.

The bad news: They also allowed the most rushing yards of any Bills opponent that year, allowing 233 rushing yards, including 81 to Josh Allen and 110 to Devin Singletary. Buffalo was able to pull out the 29-15 win.


Devin Singletary scores to give Buffalo the lead!

: #ATLvsBUF on FOX
: NFL app pic.twitter.com/Y2ti2cM67p

— NFL (@NFL) January 2, 2022

This year, Allen and company get to meet the Falcons in Mercedes-Benz Stadium, where we will find out three very important things about this Falcons team: How good is this newly-constructed passing defense led by Jessie Bates and A.J. Terrell, how bad is this run defense and, maybe most importantly, can Michael Penix Jr. hang with one of the better weapons at the quarterback position?

Source: https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2025/...025-season-in-mercedes-benz-according-to-pfsn
 
Projecting the Falcons roster after the 2025 NFL Draft

COLLEGE FOOTBALL: JAN 30 East-West Shrine Bowl

Photo by Matthew Pearce/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Can Cobee Bryant and Nick Nash make Atlanta’s roster? Kevin Knight brings you his first Falcons 53-man roster projection of the 2025 cycle with thoughts on the UDFAs chances of the making the roster, how the team will organize the defensive line, and more.

The 2025 NFL Draft is behind us, and the Atlanta Falcons have filled their 90-man roster with free agent additions, drafted rookies, and UDFA signings. This year’s roster is significantly heavier on rookie additions and I’d expect more roster spots taken by the “youth movement” as a result. Atlanta added three UDFAs in particular—cornerback Cobee Bryant, wide receiver Nick Nash, and offensive lineman Joshua Gray—that all had draftable grades, and I expect all three to contend for the final 53-man roster.

Speaking of, it’s time for our first Falcons roster projection of the 2025 cycle. There are a lot of new faces and moving pieces, particularly on the defensive side, that make this a pretty fun exercise. Given that we’ve seen exactly one day of rookie minicamp thus far, this is all based purely on my subjective opinion on these players. As we move through the summer, things should become a bit clearer.

The roster projection is also available in both video and audio format, which you can find embedded below. If you enjoyed the written version, consider giving us a click on these platforms as well.

Listen to the audio version of this article using the player below, or find it on your favorite podcast platforms.

Italics denote a change from the previous roster projection.

OFFENSE - 24​

Quarterback - 3​


Michael Penix Jr.
Kirk Cousins

Easton Stick

Michael Penix Jr. takes over the starting quarterback job after a riveting three-game stretch to close out the season that was about as good as you could reasonably hope to see. All eyes will be on Penix to elevate this offense to a top-10 level in 2025, as that’s Atlanta’s best hope for the postseason. Kirk Cousins remains as the backup—for now—and is the NFL’s best (and most expensive) insurance policy. Former Chargers backup Easton Stick was signed just before the draft and will figure to handle QB3 duties as a solid, if uninspiring, backup option.

Running Back - 3​


Bijan Robinson
Tyler Allgeier
Jase McClellan


With the Falcons moving on from return specialist Avery Williams, I expect the running back room to shrink down to three in 2025. Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier will handle all the snaps, with second-year back Jase McClellan best situated to handle the reserve role. Atlanta added some competition in Elijah Dotson and UDFA Nate Carter, but McClellan should begin camp as the favorite.

Tight End - 3​


Kyle Pitts
Charlie Woerner

Nikola Kalinic

Another room that the Falcons didn’t invest much of anything in this offseason. Kyle Pitts and Charlie Woerner will handle virtually all the snaps at tight end. As far as TE3 goes...pick your favorite. Nikola Kalinic spent a lot of time with the Rams in a similar offense over the past two seasons, which could give him an advantage.

Wide Receiver - 6​


Drake London
Darnell Mooney
Ray-Ray McCloud
KhaDarel Hodge

Jamal Agnew
Nick Nash


The Falcons struck gold with Darnell Mooney in free agency last season. Adding him next to Drake London gives Atlanta one of the top wide receiver duos in the NFL heading into 2025. If not for an injury that held him out of the final game, Mooney would’ve topped 1,000 yards (he finished with 992) and given the Falcons their first 1,000+ WR duo since Roddy White and Julio Jones all the way back in 2012. Ray-Ray McCloud was a better WR3 than expected last season and is likely to reprise that role as one of the only yards-after-catch threats on the roster.

KhaDarel Hodge was re-signed to be the team’s special teams ace and primary depth receiver. The Falcons brought in return specialist Jamal Agnew in the hopes of improving what was a very ineffective unit in 2024. If he can stay healthy, he should be a meaningful upgrade. The battle for WR6 will be a legendary one in training camp, but I’m planting my flag on UDFA Nick Nash. Nash won the “triple crown”, leading the NCAA in receiving yardage (1382), receptions (104), and receiving touchdowns (16) last season. The quarterback convert has only played receiver for two seasons and lacks top-end athleticism, but there’s clearly something special going on here. Comparisons to Mohamed Sanu are apt, as Nash also tossed two passing TDs on trick plays in 2024.

Offensive Line - 9​


LT Jake Matthews
LG Matthew Bergeron

C Ryan Neuzil
RG Chris Lindstrom
RT Kaleb McGary

T Storm Norton

T Jack Nelson
G Elijah Wilkinson
C Jovaughn Gwyn


The Falcons lost center Drew Dalman in free agency, opening the door for former UDFA Ryan Neuzil to step into the starting lineup. Neuzil filled in for Dalman in eight games during the 2024 season, keeping the offense on track and looking like a solid starter. He’ll now be entrusted to keep things moving in 2025 alongside returning starters at all four other spots. If Neuzil can play at or above the level he showed last year, Atlanta’s starting five could retain their spot as one of the top-10 offensive lines in the league.

In terms of depth, the Falcons brought back pretty much everyone from 2024. Storm Norton returns as one of the more reliable swing tackle in the NFL. There is likely to be a battle between veterans Elijah Wilkinson and Kyle Hinton for the backup guard spot, but I think Wilkinson is the better player. Atlanta has been developing 2023 seventh-rounder Jovaughn Gwyn at center, and it looks like it’s now or never for him to move into the backup role. Rookie Jack Nelson is an intriguing developmental tackle who I think the team will need to stash on the 53.


DEFENSE - 26​

Edge Defender - 6​


Arnold Ebiketie
Leonard Floyd
Jalon Walker
James Pearce Jr.

Zach Harrison
Bralen Trice


What a difference a year makes. In one offseason, the Falcons have completely reshaped their group of edge defenders with a massive youth infusion. My view of the situation, based on what Atlanta has said thus far, is that there will be two “roles” that have their own rotations: stand-up/LEO, and 5T/big end. I think there will be plenty of flexibility and Atlanta will mix up the usage—for example, on third and long the team will probably deploy two stand-up rushers, while on goal-line or short-yardage plays there are likely to be two big ends on the field. But on the majority of plays, we’ll probably see one LEO and one 5T on the field.

For the LEO group, Arnold Ebiketie is entering a critical contract year and should have a primary role. Leonard Floyd joined the team in free agency after an 8.5-sack year with the 49ers. While he’ll be entering his age 33 season and can’t handle a massive snap count, Floyd could be a critical pass rush specialist. A pair of first-round picks in Jalon Walker and James Pearce Jr. should integrate into this group as well, though I could see Walker having a more unique role that has him playing some SAM/overhang linebacker in base defense.

For the big ends, Zach Harrison is likely to be the starter. Harrison is moving back to edge after a dalliance on the interior, although the Falcons say they’re keeping him at a higher weight. Harrison is massive and powerful and should be a much more impactful player outside. 2024 third-rounder Bralen Trice missed the entire season with injury, but should also be a primary contributor here. Don’t forget that Trice measured in at an imposing 275 pounds despite being a stand-up rusher in college. His versatility will be useful for Atlanta. Although he’s listed with the interior players, Brandon Dorlus is also likely to play some 5T as needed.

Interior Defensive Line - 6​


David Onyemata
Ruke Orhorhoro
Brandon Dorlus

Morgan Fox
LaCale London
Ta’Quon Graham


The interior defensive line wound up being the most disappointing unit on the entire Falcons roster in 2024, as pretty much everyone underperformed relative to 2023 and the rookies barely saw the field. Much of that blame can be placed on former defensive coordinator Jimmy Lake and defensive line coach Jay Rodgers, but it’s also likely that there was simply some decline from aging veterans. Stalwart captain Grady Jarrett was released for massive cap savings, and that could be the case for David Onyemata as well. Onyemata has the third-highest cap hit on the team and a post-June 1st release would create $10M in cap savings for Atlanta. Because Onyemata’s contract was restructured last year, he can’t be “designated” as a post-June 1st cut. The cut actually has to take place after June 1st.

If he stays, he’ll obviously be expected to remain a major contributor at that price tag. Behind him, Ruke Orhorhoro should move into the starting lineup with high expectations given his draft status and lack of playing time in 2024. The same goes for Brandon Dorlus, although to a lesser extent. Dorlus is likely to split time at edge as a true inside/outside player in the mold of a Derrick Shelby, and could be the most multiple player on the defensive line this year. Veteran Morgan Fox joins the lineup as a rotational pass rush specialist who still has some juice. LaCale London has apparently bulked up to 330 to play nose tackle, and seems like a shoe-in for the roster given that the team has no other NT around. Former fifth-round pick Ta’Quon Graham should round out the unit as a versatile depth piece.

Linebacker - 4​


Kaden Elliss
Divine Deablo
Troy Andersen
JD Bertrand


It was a similar story at linebacker, which was a massive disappointment in 2024 outside of veteran Kaden Elliss. As a result, the Falcons brought in Divine Deablo from the Raiders to give the team a better option in coverage and add more athleticism to the group. Deablo is a bit of a wild card, but could be a good fit in this scheme. Former second-rounder Troy Andersen missed the majority of the 2024 season to injury and it’s anyone’s guess what he’ll bring to the table entering a “last chance” contract year season. I’m still pulling for him, but the clock has almost run out. Second-year linebacker JD Bertrand rounds out the group as a depth piece who didn’t make much of an impact as a rookie, but has some potential. I’d be remiss if I didn’t mention rookie Jalon Walker, who will almost certainly play some snaps as a SAM/overhang linebacker but may not necessarily be a part of this group on paper.

Cornerback - 6​


A.J. Terrell
Mike Hughes

Billy Bowman Jr.
Clark Phillips III
Dee Alford

Cobee Bryant

The outside cornerback spots should be in good hands with A.J. Terrell and Mike Hughes, who both performed admirably in 2024 despite a challenging scheme. Terrell will hopefully be put in more advantageous coverage to take advantage of his strengths, while Hughes just needs to be left on the outside (where he’s actually a good starter!). The big camp battle will come at slot, where incumbent starter Dee Alford returns after a down year to face off with intriguing rookie Billy Bowman Jr. I think Bowman wins the job, particularly if Atlanta is going to stick with a zone-heavy coverage scheme, but Alford is still good depth. Clark Phillips III should remain the primary depth/rotational cornerback and I continue to believe he’s just a better option outside. Feisty UDFA Cobee Bryant should have been drafted, and I think he’ll beat out the competition and demand a spot on the 53.

Safety - 4​


Jessie Bates III
Xavier Watts
Jordan Fuller

DeMarcco Hellams

The Falcons safety room looks very good from top to bottom. Jessie Bates III is arguably the best in the game, and he’s joined by rookie Xavier Watts to form what could be the best ballhawking tandem in the league. Behind them, Atlanta has two thumping box defenders in Jordan Fuller and DeMarcco Hellams who have both performed well when called upon. While neither are high-end coverage players, they’re reliable enough and give the team a strong floor when combined with their run defense capability.


SPECIAL TEAMS - 3​


K Younghoe Koo

P Bradley Pinion

LS Liam McCullough

RETURNERS


KR Jamal Agnew/Ray-Ray McCloud

PR Jamal Agnew

While the Falcons are bringing in competition for Younghoe Koo, I still expect the veteran to return to form this season. Bradley Pinion and Liam McCullough round out the rest of the special teams unit and give Atlanta the same trio as last season.

At returner, Jamal Agnew figures to provide a spark if he can stay healthy. Ray-Ray McCloud is likely to factor in as well. Other potential competitors could be UDFA RB Nate Carter, who has some impressive testing, and veteran receiver Phillip Dorsett.


PRACTICE SQUAD - 16​


QB Emory Jones
RB Carlos Washington Jr.
WR Casey Washington
WR Chris Blair

TE Joshua Simon
T Brandon Parker
G Kyle Hinton

C Joshua Gray
EDGE DeAngelo Malone
DT Kentavius Street

LB Nick Kubitz
LB Malik Verdon

CB Natrone Brooks
CB Mike Ford Jr.
S Kevin King
K Lenny Krieg

What are your thoughts on this potential roster for the Falcons? Any UDFAs you think will make the final 53? Who are your favorite sleepers for the roster and practice squad?

Source: https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2025/...l-draft-cobee-bryant-nick-nash-david-onyemata
 
Tiering Atlanta Falcons 2025 non-division opponents

Syndication: The Indianapolis Star

Robert Scheer/IndyStar / USA TODAY NETWORK

Figuring out the hardest matchups, the teams Atlanta must beat to prove they’re for real, and more.

The 2025 NFL schedule will be released at 8 p.m. Wednesday night on the NFL’s network of applications and streaming services. All 32 teams and their fans will better understand how the season could shake out and what elements they could be playing in later on in the season.

This is crucial for the Atlanta Falcons as they travel to the Minnesota Vikings, New England Patriots, and New York Jets, which are potential cold-weather teams that play outside.

Before we start this exercise, let’s not go down the “every game is a must-win in the NFL” route. Atlanta should try to win each of these games. That’s a given.

However, with each game, there is something new that you can learn about yourself as a team. How competitive can we be in the grand scheme of the NFL? How good is our offense? How sustainable is the current structure of the team? That’s what this exercise is for.

For a reminder, here are all of the Atlanta Falcons’ opponents for next season:

In Division​

Vs. Carolina

Vs. New Orleans

Vs. Tampa Bay

@ Carolina

@ New Orleans

@ Tampa Bay

NFC West​

AFC East​

Vs. Buffalo Bills

Vs. Miami Dolphins

@ New England Patriots

@ New York Jets

2nd Place Finishes​

Vs. Washington Commanders (NFC East)

@ Minnesota Vikings (NFC North)

@ Indianapolis Colts (AFC South)

Until we know what order Atlanta will play these teams, we will utilize this opportunity to tier the Falcons’ 2025 non-divisional opponents into three tiers:

  • How Good Are We?
  • Must-Haves for the Playoffs
  • Don’t Mess This Up

I’m not going to add in the divisional opponents simply because, they play them twice a year. We have a fairly good understanding of what they are.

How Good Are We?​

vs. Buffalo Bills​

@ Minnesota Vikings​


The Buffalo Bills, as long as they have Josh Allen, will continue to be potential difference-makers in the grand scheme of the NFL. According to Pro Football & Sports Network, they are the toughest opponent on the schedule for the Falcons. Looking at Atlanta’s schedule, this is maybe the only truly complete team that also has continuity on both sides of the ball. The physical nature of Buffalo’s offense with Allen and James Cook, along with their offensive line and a defense that now consists of Joey Bosa and Greg Rousseau on the edges, will make life tough for a young Falcons team.

The Vikings' defense makes me very nervous. Adding Jonathan Allen and Javon Hargrave alongside Harrison Phillips on the defensive line, while keeping Andrew Van Ginkel, Josh Metellus, Harrison Smith, and the other pieces of that defense that allow the great Brian Flores to do his funky stuff, is a concerning place to be with a young quarterback. Add in the fact that they have to go to Minneapolis to play, even if it’s a dome, and you have a recipe for a tough matchup.

If the Falcons can go 1-1 between these two teams, that would be a solid place to be. But staying competitive with both squads would be a sign that Atlanta is moving in the right direction.

Playoff Must-Haves​

The entire NFC West​

vs. Miami Dolphins​

vs. Washington Commanders​


The entire NFC West is in play to be potential wild-card teams. The Rams are a team that will be improved on the offensive side of the ball with the addition of Davante Adams and being able to keep Matthew Stafford for another year. Their defense is also full of intriguing young talent.

The Seahawks and Cardinals are both teams that provide must-win games, as they will both be vying for those same tiebreakers Atlanta will be vying for if they can’t overtake the Bucs in the division race. The 49ers will usually get the benefit of the doubt, but this is the most vulnerable they’ve been under Kyle Shanahan and the Falcons should be able to take advantage.

The Washington Commanders...that just feels personal. Atlanta has played Washington in each of the past four years, an indicator that they are pretty similar in terms of their franchise. Except, they’re not.

Washington has beaten Atlanta all four times, and now, they have an NFC Championship run to show for their hard work. The Falcons don’t. What Atlanta does have is a quarterback that can hopefully go toe-to-toe with Washington’s Jayden Daniels.

Miami is on here because, while this doesn’t directly affect the playoff status as an AFC team, it feels like a good litmus test to how good Atlanta really is, almost like a Mendoza line for if you deserve to be a playoff team or not. If Miami comes in and wrecks shop against your team, especially at home, then you might not be as ready for contention as you expected. If you’re able to beat them, you’re more than likely ready to compete in the postseason. They’re not a great team, but their speed and explosive nature means they will test whether this defense is up to snuff (and whether the offense can keep up).

Don’t Mess This Up​

@ New England Patriots​

@ New York Jets​

@ Indianapolis Colts​


Of course, the three opponents Atlanta may be shoo-ins to be favored against are all on the road. However, that doesn’t take away from the fact that the Falcons can’t afford to drop these.

If New England or New York are in the November, December, or even January part of the schedule, that would not be ideal. However, both teams are very beatable, despite the possible weather conditions. New York is undergoing a facelift with new head coach Aaron Glenn and journeyman quarterback Justin Fields, and the Patriots are going to see if they can find a new identity with an old face in Mike Vrabel. Both teams expect to be run-heavy, so these will be good tests to see if Atlanta’s plan against the run, whatever that may be, is effective.

Indianapolis is in a state of flux right now as they figure out if they have their guy in Anthony Richardson. If Richardson is the real deal, then you can probably see a path where a Richardson-Jonathan Taylor backfield could cause the same problems as a Fields-Breece Hall-led backfield above in New York.

But if Atlanta is who they should be on both sides of the ball, all three of these games, while not easy, should be wins. And they need to be wins if they expect to be a playoff team in 2025.

Source: https://www.thefalcoholic.com/2025/...ponents-falcons-schedule-colts-49ers-seahawks
 
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