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What are the Falcons biggest offseason priorities? ft. Tre’Shon Diaz: Falcoholic Live, Ep364

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TAMPA, FLORIDA - DECEMBER 11: Kyle Pitts #8 of the Atlanta Falcons runs with the ball during the second quarter of the NFL football game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium on December 11, 2025 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images) | Getty Images

We’re approaching the start of free agency, and the Falcons have many looming questions to address. Kevin Knight is joined by Tre’Shon Diaz to discuss Atlanta’s biggest offseason priorities, including what to do with Kyle Pitts, the top needs in free agency, and how to navigate the salary cap. Fellow Falcoholics, welcome to another episode of The Falcoholic Live!

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Source: https://www.thefalcoholic.com/atlan...orities-ft-treshon-diaz-falcoholic-live-ep364
 
ESPN names Falcons as best fit for Broncos DL John Franklin-Myers

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Dec 25, 2025; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Denver Broncos defensive end John Franklin-Myers (98) takes the field prior to a game against the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images | Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images

As we gear up for free agency, it’s only right to start looking at players who might be good fits for our favorite team. We did that in late January when the Falcons first hired Kevin Stefanski, but hadn’t gone back and looked at impending free agents from the Jets who might be interested in reuniting with Jeff Ulbrich.

ESPN did that for us with one name, at least. Matt Bowen pulled together a list of 50 free agent players who would be ideal fits for teams, and the Falcons came up twice. The first was with Kyle Pitts—obvious but sensible—and the second is potential ex-Bronco John Franklin-Myers.

To quote Bowen:

Under coordinator Jeff Ulbrich, Franklin-Myers could be used as a versatile defender, playing as a nose or 5-technique in the base fronts while providing an interior rush out of sub-package personnel. He had 7.5 sacks and 23 pressures with the Broncos last season.

Myers spent 2021-2023 with Ulbrich in New York before joining the Broncos in 2024, and has had a quality career. The 288 pound defensive lineman is fresh off back-to-back seven sack seasons and posted five sack seasons twice with Ulbrich as his defensive coordinator. The Falcons could use more veteran talent along a young, talented front, and Franklin-Myers makes a ton of sense heading into his age 30 season.

What’s not to like? Franklin-Myers is coming off a season where he was penalized seven times, but that’s a significant outlier in his career. His missed tackle rate is a bit high for a guy playing close to the line of scrimmage and has been throughout his career, but his pass rush ability and power against the run balance that out pretty nicely in my estimation. Assuming the price is right, adding Franklin-Myers to a group featuring Ruke Orhorhorho, Brandon Dorlus (when he returns from injury), Zach Harrison, and restricted free agent LaCale London would be a smart move for a team seeking improvement up front.

This is a logical fit as promised by Bowen, in other words, and I’d be happy to see it happen.

Source: https://www.thefalcoholic.com/atlan...s-best-fit-for-broncos-dl-john-franklin-myers
 
Can Kevin Stefanski get the Falcons’ QB timeline right?

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ATLANTA, GEORGIA - NOVEMBER 16: Michael Penix Jr. #9 of the Atlanta Falcons looks on prior to the NFL 2025 game between the Carolina Panthers and the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on November 16, 2025 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kara Durrette/Getty Images) | Getty Images

A major reason behind the failures of previous Atlanta Falcons coaching staffs was their inability to get the team on the right quarterback timeline.

Arthur Smith went into a critical make-or-break third season in 2023 with a first-year starter in Desmond Ridder. Raheem Morris did the same in 2025 with Michael Penix after trotting out Kirk Cousins in his first season. If new Falcons head coach Kevin Stefanski wants to avoid a similar fate, it’ll likely require getting the quarterback timeline correct.

The Falcons’ challenge will be their need to evaluate Penix for another year to see whether he’s their long-term answer at quarterback. Complications arise since Penix is coming off another season-ending knee injury, which makes it unlikely that he’ll hit the ground running whenever he gets back on the field. The injury means he’ll spend his offseason rehabbing rather than taking the critical reps he needs in practice to improve. It’s similar to what happened with Cousins in 2024, except Penix has a decade less of NFL experience to fall back on.

2027 is set to be a pivotal year for Penix​


That pushes the Falcons to give Penix two years of evaluation rather than one. Similar to how Cousins looked better a second year removed from his 2023 Achilles tear, Penix should look much better in 2027 in his second season removed from his recent partial ACL tear. Coupled with having a full year to learn Stefanski’s offense and a full offseason to master it, 2027 sets up to be a pivotal year for Penix’s future. At this rate, it could also be the final year of his rookie contract, since picking up Penix’s fifth-year option for the 2028 season appears unlikely given all the current concerns.

If Penix doesn’t break out in 2027 and show that he is a viable long-term solution for the team’s quarterback conundrum, it could put Stefanski in the same boat that ultimately doomed both Smith and Morris: going into a make-or-break 2028 season with a brand new quarterback.

2027 QB class could be Falcons’ salvation​


Stefanski’s success in Atlanta potentially rests on avoiding such a fate. Winning will help, since success is the currency that gives coaches time. But if the Falcons are going to win more games under Stefanski, it’ll likely rest on his ability to get more out of the quarterback position. So either the Falcons get Penix to play a lot better, or they pivot to someone else who can. And while much of the focus this offseason will be on the veteran they add as a “bridge” in free agency, there appear to be few good options. So hope may rest on a 2027 draft pick, where they can nab a new passer in a class that is already getting a lot of early hype for how deep it could be.

Hope springs eternal early in the offseason, so few currently expect the 2026 Falcons to be bad enough to land a very high pick in 2027. Therefore, they may not be in a position to draft a quarterback high enough in the first round to automatically usurp Penix’s role as the starter. Instead, they may have to wait and bet on a later-round quarterback again, as they did with Ridder.

Given the potential strength of the 2027 QB class compared to the 2022 class from which Ridder hailed, that should be a better bet. But nonetheless, the odds will never favor a team landing a franchise quarterback in the second or third round.

Not to mention, if Penix takes the bulk of the team’s starting reps during the 2027 season, won’t the team be potentially going down the same exact path with their potential 2027 draft pick being a first-year starter in 2028?

Falcons’ QB future is murky at best​


Overall, the future of the Falcons quarterback position isn’t a particularly rosy portrait. Nor is it doomed, since much still needs to play out. Penix could return this year and exceed expectations. An incredible draft prospect or proven veteran quarterback may fall into the Falcons’ lap at some point in the near future. Perhaps for once in our collective lifetimes, Lady Luck will be on the side of the Atlanta Falcons.

But ultimately, the Falcons’ future rests on getting onto a quarterback timeline that works not only for that signal-caller but also for this Stefanski-led coaching staff. In the meantime, they have their work cut out for them.

Source: https://www.thefalcoholic.com/atlan...t-the-falcons-qb-timeline-right-michael-penix
 
Falcons 2025 safety review: A bright future, a bright present

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Dec 21, 2025; Glendale, Arizona, USA; Atlanta Falcons safety Xavier Watts (31) against the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images | Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

Jessie Bates is one of the most highly decorated safeties in the NFL, so it’s no surprise he was once again in 2025 even if his play dropped off a bit. Xavier Watts was a touted safety prospect, but he still managed to surprise en route to a compelling rookie campaign.

Safety was a story of two very good starters and depth that was largely mothballed in 2025. Adding improved depth in 2026 is going to be key, but the Falcons have one really good starter for a long time and one really good starter for at least one more season. Let’s dive into the review.

Jessie Bates​


This was Bates’ worst season in Atlanta, and he was still a very good safety. Like Chris Lindstrom, there’s a lot of room to fall to have a bad year.

Most of the problem came in coverage, where Bates tied his career single season high for touchdowns allowed (4), set a new Falcons season high in yardage allowed by over 100 yards, and had his lowest interception and pass deflection total since arriving in Atlanta. Those coverage pullbacks were noticeable on a handful of big plays in particular, with Bates out of position in a way that proved to be a problem, but the week-to-week, play-to-play level was not noticeably worse than a year ago.

For all that, his coverage still wasn’t terrible, and his run defense and well-timed big plays were still top-tier offerings that remind us how good Bates is and can be. We know that coverage grades and success can vary year-to-year, and I did not see any signs that Bates is falling off heading into his age 30 season. If he makes a handful of additional big plays in coverage this coming season, he’ll be back in the elite territory he’s occupied for years now; if he doesn’t, he’s still an above average starting safety on a defense that heavily relies on its safeties.

Xavier Watts​


I had high hopes for Watts, but he was better than I would have anticipated. Teams tried to go after him at times and had less and less success as the season went on, with Watts allowing two of four targets from Matthew Stafford to be completed in Week 17 for 54 yards and a touchdown…and the other two passes being interceptions.

And that’s where Watts was a huge difference maker: His playmaking ability in coverage. He had a team-high five interceptions, four pass deflections, and impressive instincts in coverage that allowed him to snuff out routes and smother open receiving options with just one penalty on the year. Watts can get even better in this regard, but we should not lose sight of the fact that his rookie year production was incredibly impressive.

He’s not quite at the level of Bates as a run defender, but he also played above expectations closer to the line of scrimmage and kept a low missed tackle rate all year. It’s too early to say this, but nobody should be surprised if Watts is considered one of the league’s elite safety options heading into 2027.

DeMarcco Hellams​


He played just 13 snaps in 2025, leaving his future with the team unclear despite his consistently strong work on special teams. I like Hellams’ physicality and thought his coverage was better than advertised in 2023, but that was two defensive coordinators and two head coaches ago now, so we’ll have to see if he can get more playing time in the final year of his rookie deal.

Jordan Fuller​


Fuller’s season was fairly bewildering. He was coming off a tough year with Carolina, but was familiar with Raheem Morris from their shared time with the Rams and had plenty of starting experience. Once he was beaten out for the starting role by Xavier Watts—the right choice, obviously—he was effectively mothballed, appearing in six games with one start and getting cut before the season was over. The past two seasons tell me he’ll have to catch on as a reserve somewhere, and it may not be a reunion with Morris.

Jammie Robinson​


In limited chances, Robinson looked like a quality reserve safety and special teamer, particularly the latter. I’d be happy to see him return.

Outlook: Very good​


If all the Falcons do is resign Jammie Robinson to go with Bates, Watts, and Hellams, they have an excellent safety group. If they further upgrade their depth, their unit is going to have a real case as the best in the NFL.

It’s nice to have a position group with very few problems, and that’s what the Falcons have. I would be comfortable with Hellams stepping in for several games if needed, and I’m very comfortable with Robinson returning as a special teamer who can fill in if there’s a dire emergency. More than that, Watts and Bates is one of the better starting safety tandems in the NFL, and Watts can get much better than the already quality level of play he had in year one. Aside from boosting the depth with an eye on potentially replacing Bates in a year or two, I wouldn’t touch this group.

Source: https://www.thefalcoholic.com/atlan...e-meets-the-present-xavier-watts-jessie-bates
 
Falcons outside linebacker review: A great year, a muddled future

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Dec 21, 2025; Glendale, Arizona, USA; Atlanta Falcons linebacker Jalon Walker (11) against the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images | Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

It didn’t take long for the good feelings about the Falcons outside linebacker group to curdle. James Pearce Jr.‘s arrested on very serious charges of stalking his ex-girlfriend, ramming her car, and resisting arrest means his future with the team is extremely cloudy just weeks after he finished 2025 with a rookie Falcons record of 10.5 sacks. Leonard Floyd, Arnold Ebiketie, DeAngelo Malone, and Khalid Kareem are all free agents, leaving only Jalon Walker as a sure thing for 2026.

But what a year 2025 was, eh? Let’s review this past season and talk about what’s ahead.

Jalon Walker​


Pearce overshadowed Walker to an extent with his gaudy sack totals, but aside from some struggles in coverage, the Georgia product was excellent in his rookie. Despite dealing with injuries that limited him early on, Walker proved to be a stellar run defender—one of a small handful in Atlanta—who added enough big play potential and pass rushing acumen to make him an excellent piece of the defense in 2025.

Walker had 29 pressures—the fifth-highest total on the team—and was third in sacks. He flew to the ball against the run and missed just 5% of his tackle attempts, showcasing his reliability, instincts, and strength. And Walker tied for the team lead with two forced fumbles, making it clear he can be a nuisance in that regard as well.

There are no red flags here to talk about. Walker should only get better as he improves his coverage chops and refines his pass rush skill set, and teammates and coaches have raved about his leadership and attitude. There’s little question that if he stays healthy, Walker will be a force for good and a long-term team captain in Atlanta, and the Falcons need him to be every bit as good as they (and I) think he can be.

James Pearce Jr.​


Pearce got off to a hot start with eight pressures in his first two weeks, but had just five over his next five weeks and one sack total in the first nine weeks. It appeared he’d have a useful but not spectacular rookie season—his run defense was pretty grisly at times, too—until the lights came on in Week 9 against the Patriots.

From that point on, Pearce’s run defense improved in fits and starts and he put up 32 pressures, 9.5 sacks, and 14 stops over the final eight weeks of the season. The vaunted pass rush ability clicked, Pearce was routinely beating decent tackles and wreaking havoc, and the slow transformation into a more well-rounded player made him a favorite for Defensive Rookie of the Year, an award he finished third in voting for. It was enough to give him the Falcons rookie record in sacks and set him up as the most promising long-term pass rusher since early Vic Beasley or even John Abraham.

The problem, of course, is that there’s no guarantee he plays for the Falcons or in the NFL next year, or in the most extreme case at all. Pearce was arrested and charged with multiple felonies earlier this month after allegedly stalking his ex-girlfriend, repeatedly running into her car to try to prevent her from going to police, hitting a police officer with his car, fleeing police, and then resisting arrest, with the last bit being on video. Given the very real potential that he could have severely injured or killed his ex-girlfriend or himself and that cops and prosecutors are not known to be lenient with offenses that involve police, Pearce’s charges should not be waved away, and there’s the very real potential of jail time even though we all have a healthy degree of skepticism toward that for famous athletes. The most exciting pass rusher the Falcons have had in many, many years is facing allegations that mean he may have thrown away his 2026 season or even his entire career, and the Falcons have to plan as though they may not have him for a significant chunk of this upcoming season as a result.

Leonard Floyd​


Early in the year, Floyd put up two sacks in four weeks, and then managed 1.5 over the final 13 weeks of the season. While the pass rushing production wasn’t there—his pressure total per Pro Football Focus was his lowest since 2017 —he was useful enough against he run and occasionally in coverage to be a worthwhile member of the team’s rotation. The fact that his production came early when the rookies were either banged up or still getting their feet under them helped a great deal.

Given that he’ll be 34 years old in 2026 and his past three seasons show a small but clear pattern of decline, Floyd probably won’t be back unless he’s willing to play on a bargain deal. Having him as a veteran presence and durable, useful outside linebacker in 2025 still mattered a lot.

Arnold Ebiketie​


As always, Ebiketie got stronger as the year went on. Unlike in past years, the opportunity was not there for him.

Ebiketie played a new career-low number of snaps in 2025 as he fell out of favor somewhat in Jeff Ulbrich’s defense. His 25 pressures in 384 snaps weren’t bad—Floyd had 36 in 460, for comparison’s sake—and Ebiketie tended to get more pressure when he received more snaps. But overall he managed just two sacks, was the clear fourth fiddle in this group, and had enough quietly disgruntled social media posts to conclude he’s probably gone.

I would welcome back Ebiketie because his run defense is good enough and his back half production strong enough that he’d be a valuable piece of the puzzle, but his reduction in playing time and clear desire to have a larger role will probably conspire to have him land elsewhere.

Khalid Kareem & DeAngelo Malone​


Kareem had six pressures in 71 snaps, or a pressure every 12 snaps or so, and was solid against the run in his very limited playing time. He’s someone I want back as a bottom of the depth chart option, because he’s a useful player in limited doses. We don’t know—and probably won’t find out—what he could be with more.

Malone played just 19 snaps on defense and was quiet in 2025, but he was one of Marquice Williams’ core special teams player. With Williams out as special teams coordinator, Malone may not be back.

Outlook: Deeply uncertain​


I’m very bullish on Walker, a player who was quietly very good in 2025 and put up 5.5 sacks as a rookie. I think we’re looking at a 7-10 sack player annually who also offers playmaking ability, strong work against the run, and enough promise in coverage to be an asset in every facet of his game. The fact that he’s just entering his second year and the Falcons have a fifth-year option means he should be here a long time, and may well be an elite defender well before that contract is up.

Everything else is deeply uncertain, as I said in the headline for this section. Pearce is almost certainly heading for a multi-week suspension at best and a hefty prison sentence at worst, though the way his case winds through the legal system could determine whether he’s on the commissioner’s exempt list in Week 1 or suspended. It is within the realm of possibility that the Falcons will determine, either because of what happens in court or what comes out in the months ahead, that they don’t want Pearce on the team and will cut him. Regardless, it’s fair to expect the Falcons to be without Pearce for multiple weeks in 2026 and perhaps entirely.

Adding to the uncertainty is the fact that the Falcons don’t have a single other full-time outside linebacker/EDGE under contract right now, though they’ll use Zach Harrison and Brandon Dorlus there in some formations. Floyd would likely only return if he was quite cheap, given his modest production in 2025, and Ebiketie should be headed elsewhere after a quiet season and a diminished role under Jeff Ulbrich. That leaves Khalid Kareem as a beyond-obvious re-signing given his solid run defense and occasional pass rushing chops to be, say, the fourth or fifth guy there; perhaps you bring back DeAngelo Malone for his special teams work. You still need a legitimate second and third guy in the rotation for this group to not take a major step back in 2026.

With the many needs Atlanta has heading into free agency and the draft, it’s clear they can’t fix everything. But the potentially massive loss of pass rushing production that could come if the Falcons don’t have Pearce and can’t effectively replace their 2025 options could prove to be a fatal problem, so we’ll need to see a smart plan that doesn’t rely on faith and hope to not brace for problems.

Source: https://www.thefalcoholic.com/atlan...a-muddled-future-jalon-walker-james-pearce-jr
 
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