RSS Nationals Team Notes

[Washington Nationals]

Alejandro Rosario is the wild card of the Washington Nationals MacKenzie Gore return

Out of the five players the Nats received in the MacKenzie Gore trade, RHP Alejandro Rosario is the most complicated case. He has the highest upside of anyone in the package, but also has the lowest floor. The case of Alejandro Rosario is strange and mysterious, but if things break the right way, the Nationals are getting a top of the rotation arm.

While Rosario has massive upside, there is a lot of weirdness involved too. After a dominant 2024 season which we will get into, Rosario blew out his elbow last February. In the modern game, this is not unusual at all. Pitchers go down with major injuries all the time.

However, this is just where the weirdness starts. In July, it was reported that Rosario had yet to undergo surgery. Apparently, Rosario was dealing with something that made him unable to get surgery. A couple weeks ago though, it was reported that Rosario had finally undergone surgery. However, after the trade, Paul Toboni refuted that, saying he had not had surgery yet, but will in the next few weeks.

Just to clarify this: Paul Toboni said Rosario will be undergoing Tommy John surgery in the next few weeks. Targeting a full return in 2027. Called it a "worthwhile bet to make." https://t.co/4jIhtQFic1

— Mark Zuckerman (@MarkZuckerman) January 22, 2026

This is such a weird situation, and we are still awaiting clarity. Assuming Rosario actually has surgery in the next few weeks, he will be out for all of this season as well. At that point, Rosario will have missed the last two seasons due to this elbow injury. With all the time off, it is very hard to say if he will be the same pitcher. If he is the pitcher he was in 2024 though, the wait will be worth it.

The last time we saw Alejandro Rosario on the mound, he was one of the best pitching prospects in the sport. Despite an underwhelming career at the University of Miami, the Rangers still took Rosario in the 5th round of the 2023 draft due to his stuff. That bet paid off in a big way in his first pro season.

Rosario put up video game like numbers between Low-A and High-A. He posted a 2.24 ERA in 88.1 innings with 129 strikeouts to just 13 walks. That is just an absurd level of dominance and it made him a consensus top 100 prospect after the 2024 season.

Alejandro Rosario | RHP | 24 yo

Before his elbow injury in 2024, Rosario posted absurd K/BB numbers that landed him on top 100 lists.

A+, AA (2024):
2.24 ERA | 0.93 ERA | .207 BAA
88.1 IP | 129 SO | 13 SO

Disgusting numbers, and his stuff backs it up.pic.twitter.com/NxFnV5YEmy

— Nats Of The Future (@NatsOfTheFuture) January 23, 2026

It was not just the production that excited people about Rosario, it was also the stuff. He showcased three potential plus pitches with plus command in 2024. His fastball averaged 97 MPH on his fastball and it had good carry at the top of the zone. He also has a hard splitter that absolutely devastates hitters. To round out the arsenal, he also has a mid-80’s slider that is a potentially plus pitch too.

The craziest part of all is that he commands all of these weapons at a very high level. Rosario walked just 3.7% of hitters in 2024, which is nuts. He was pounding the zone with his premium stuff and hitters could not cope.

He will be out for two years, but the guy from 2024 is a top of the rotation arm. On the radio, Paul Toboni said the Nats would have had absolutely no shot at getting a player like this without the injuries. He acknowledged the risk he was taking, but felt like it was worth it.

In a five player package, taking a swing on Rosario makes a lot of sense. With players like Gavin Fien and Devin Fitz-Gerald in the deal, you are not relying on Rosario to make the haul worth it. He is just a high end lottery ticket with the chance to become a star.

There was a post that said Nats fans should think of this a little bit like the Cade Cavalli situation. I think there is a lot of truth in that. Rosario just turned 24 earlier this month, so we probably are not going to see the best of him until he is 26 or 27 years old, like Cavalli. However, if that stuff comes back, the Nats are getting a real piece, just like Cavalli.

I suppose the way to think of Alejandro Rosario is kind of like what Cade Cavalli was when he went down with TJ originally. He'll be older, but he has enough talent to establish himself once he's, like, 27. In the meantime, he's a non-factor to be treated like a lottery ticket

— Blake Butera Fan Club (@ckieboomfanclub) January 23, 2026

With how strange the Rosario saga has already been, I would not be shocked if he never throws a pitch in the MLB. I also would not be shocked if he has a top 10 finish in Cy Young voting one day. There is such a wide range of outcomes here. As a second or third piece of a five player deal, I am fine with accepting the massive variance.

We are going to have to make sure that Rosario actually gets the surgery, but if he does, he will be tracking for an early 2027 return. Hopefully the potential lockout does not provide yet another complication.

Even if he does come back fully healthy in early 2027 and games are being played, we are probably not going to see the best of Alejandro Rosario until 2028 and beyond. He will likely be pretty rusty after all that time off. This is a long term bet, but there is a chance the Nationals hit the jackpot here.

Source: https://www.federalbaseball.com/gen...rd-washington-nationals-mackenzie-gore-return

 

[Washington Nationals]

Why DC sports fans need the Washington Post covering the Nationals

A disturbing report came out yesterday that the Washington Post could be shutting down their sports desk. This is not the sort of thing I normally write about, but it is something I could not avoid. Words cannot describe how big of a disaster this would be.

NEW: Massive layoffs coming to Washington Post… rumor inside Post is that sports desk could be shuttered entirely… foreign desk will be hit hard too

— Dylan Byers (@DylanByers) January 25, 2026

As a kid growing up in DC, I was raised on the Post sports page. From a young age, I would get the paper, checking the box scores and the standings. As I grew older, I read more of their long form articles. I fell in love with the work of writers like Thomas Boswell. People like the Boz just enhanced my experience as a Washington Nationals fan.

Sure, the world has changed a lot since then, but there will always be a place in the world for the Post sports section. I cannot lie, it has been a dream of mine to work there one day. Being the next Thomas Boswell, Barry Svrluga or Chelsea Janes is something I have been striving towards. They are all such great journalists and unbelievable resources for sports fans.

Sad. Washington Post Sports used to be the gold standard.

𝘛𝘩𝘰𝘮𝘢𝘴 𝘉𝘰𝘴𝘸𝘦𝘭𝘭, 𝘚𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘺 𝘑𝘦𝘯𝘬𝘪𝘯𝘴, 𝘛𝘰𝘯𝘺 𝘒𝘰𝘳𝘯𝘩𝘦𝘪𝘴𝘦𝘳, 𝘔𝘪𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘦𝘭 𝘞𝘪𝘭𝘣𝘰𝘯, 𝘔𝘪𝘬𝘦 𝘞𝘪𝘴𝘦, 𝘙𝘪𝘤𝘬 𝘙𝘦𝘪𝘭𝘭𝘺, 𝘑𝘢𝘯𝘦 𝘓𝘦𝘢𝘷𝘺, 𝘋𝘢𝘯 𝘚𝘵𝘦𝘪𝘯𝘣𝘦𝘳𝘨,… https://t.co/000igZ08Rh

— Cʜᴜᴄᴋ ᴅᴏᴜɢʟᴀs ✪ (@ChuckDouglas_) January 25, 2026

Over the past year or so, I have gotten the chance to talk to a few of the people that work on the Post sports desk. After my interviews or off the record conversations with them, I was always struck at how knowledgeable and smart these people are. However, it seems like being knowledgeable and smart may not get enough clicks in 2026, at least according to Jeff Bezos.

There is a side of me that thinks I could replace these people, but deep down, I know I cannot. People like Andrew Golden and Spencer Nusbaum have access, connections and a level head that I do not have. I am a blogger, while they are journalists, at least for now. One day, I want to be like them, but I am not there yet.

They provide such invaluable content for Nationals fans. There would be such a void in the coverage of the team if they are gone. Over the past year, they have broken some great stories. The one that comes to mind is the story about how the Nats were one of the few teams that do not have a Trajekt Arc machine. It felt like that story caught fire and became a symbol of how behind the curve the organization was.

It was also Spencer Nusbaum’s question that led Davey Martinez to his infamous answer about how the coaches are never to blame. These were two massive pieces of the Nats season last year that were due to the Post. With the Post potentially shutting down and MASN being gone, there is a real news desert for Nationals fans. I will be here for you guys, but I can only do so much.

This goes beyond baseball though. There was also a report that said the Post will not be sending anyone to the Winter Olympics next month. The Olympics are one of the most iconic sporting events on the planet. One of the biggest papers in the world not sending anyone to cover it feels crazy.

According to an internal email to Washington Post sports staff, the paper isn't sending any reporters to cover the winter Olympics next month. The decision comes as major layoffs are expected in the coming weeks.

— Max Tani (@maxwelltani) January 23, 2026

There is just so much to say here, but at the end of the day, I just feel a sense of sadness over this news. So much has changed in the world in the past decade, and a lot of it has not felt positive. This is just another example of a negative change.

Hopefully this does not happen, but the reporting sounds pretty grim. This would be a real disservice to DC sports fans, who deserve so much better. The Washington Post was a real institution at one point, and it is sad to see that go away. If this change comes to pass, it would be a massive shame for Nationals fans and sports fans in the area.

Reporters like Andrew Golden, Spencer Nusbaum, Chelsea Janes and Barry Svrluga do a fantastic job covering the Nats right now. It is tough to imagine being a Nats fan without the Post. However, that could be a reality before too long and it would suck.

Source: https://www.federalbaseball.com/gen...-fans-need-washington-post-covering-nationals

 

[Washington Nationals]

Abimelec Ortiz has a chance to make an immediate impact for the Washington Nationals

While most of the players the Nationals received in the MacKenzie Gore trade are years away from the big leagues, Abimelec Ortiz is an exception. He may not possess the upside or athleticism of other players in the deal, but Ortiz has proven he can mash. At some point in 2026, we are likely to see Ortiz’s bat in the Nats lineup.

When talking about the trade, Toboni echoed that sentiment. He said that we could see Ortiz at either first base or DH in the big leagues this year. Ortiz did play some outfield last season, but Toboni seems to view him as a 1B or DH type. Given his squatty 5’10 230 pound frame, it makes sense why Toboni sees him that way.

Paul Toboni: “You could see Ortiz at 1B/DH this year”

— Kev (@klwoodjr) January 23, 2026

Scouts actually thought he looked surprisingly decent in the outfield in the Arizona Fall League, but the range is always going to be a limiting factor. He is a decent defender at first base, but is not elite by any means. The idea of a 5’10 first baseman is a little bit scary to me. He just is not able to get the high throws a prototypical 6’4 first baseman could get.

All of this means that Ortiz will have to absolutely mash to be an impactful big leaguer. He has done just that at the minor league level. In 2023, Ortiz hit 33 home runs across both A ball levels, putting his name on the map. Ortiz’s 2024 was an up and down year in a more pitcher friendly Double-A environment.

However, Ortiz returned to form in 2025, especially after a mid-season promotion to Triple-A. The big slugger hit 16 homers and posted a .787 OPS in 89 Double-A games before he got promoted to Triple-A. In a more hitter friendly environment, Ortiz exploded, with 9 homers and a .953 OPS in 41 games. For the season, Ortiz hammered 25 home runs.

His batted ball data was also excellent at the AAA level. Ortiz absolutely crushed baseballs, with a hard hit rate near 55%. He also had a knack for pulling the ball in the air, which allowed him to do damage. Ortiz’s batted ball profile is exactly what you want from a slugger.

Abimelec Ortiz (acquired by WSH) looked outstanding in his taste of AAA with extremely loud power metrics and solid plate discipline. He wields a quick bat and has a knack for pulling fly balls which has fuelled a productive MiLB career

He likely makes his MLB debut in 2026 https://t.co/WBPV2y6jnZ pic.twitter.com/3jqbD63Pgv

— Thomas Nestico (@TJStats) January 22, 2026

Ortiz turns 24 in late February, so this is not the case of a mid-20’s bopper abusing Triple-A. However, there is a sizable chance that Ortiz is one of those Quad-A sluggers along the lines of Andres Chaparro.

He will be given the chance to prove himself in the big leagues though. If Ortiz has a strong camp, he could make the MLB roster. There is not a lot of competition for reps at 1B or DH right now. That could change if the Nats sign somebody like Rhys Hoskins, but that has not happened yet.

Abimelec Ortiz | 1B/OF | 23 yo

Ortiz, the only prospect with a chance to debut in 2026, likely will, and may very well play lots of 1B in DC this year.

556 PA in AA, AAA (2025):
.257/.356/.479 | 25 HR | 89 RBI
4/6 SB | 53 XBH | 22-K% | 12-BB%

53 XBHs.pic.twitter.com/MJrhBU8G70

— Nats Of The Future (@NatsOfTheFuture) January 23, 2026

In my view, Ortiz has a chance to be a strong side platoon player at first base or DH. Since hitting the upper levels, Ortiz has had his struggles against left handed pitching. He has hit below .200 against them each of the last two seasons. However, he has not had problems mashing right handed pitching.

Ortiz has a lot of similarities to fellow rotund first baseman Rowdy Tellez. While Tellez has never been a star, he has been in the league for nearly a decade and managed a 35 home run season back in 2022. For a fourth piece in a trade, that is not too bad.

There is a chance that Ortiz is a little bit better than that as well. For Ortiz to be better than Tellez, he will need to be more selective at the plate. In Triple-A, his chase rate was 29% which is a bit higher than you would like. His walk rate last year was 11.7%, but he could still refine his approach some more.

The round slugger who hits bombs may never compile the most WAR, but they can be a solid piece to your team. These types of players can also be fan favorites. I mean who doesn’t love a big man that can mash. He will never be a .300 hitter, but Ortiz whiffs less than your average big man masher.

Abimelec Ortiz may never be anything more than a Quad-A slugger. The mediocre plate discipline and lack of a true position might end up costing him. However, I would not count him out. The former undrafted free agent has already beaten the odds to get this far. I am really rooting for Ortiz because he could be a very fun player if everything comes together.

Source: https://www.federalbaseball.com/was...ake-immediate-impact-for-washington-nationals

 

[Washington Nationals]

Four Washington Nationals feature in MLB Pipeline’s top 100 rankings

The other day, MLB Pipeline dropped their new top 100 rankings and it featured four Nationals in the top 80. Out of all the public rankings I have seen, Pipeline is the highest on the Nats prospects. They have Eli Willits at 13th, Travis Sykora at 54th, Harry Ford at 71st and Jarlin Susana at 80th.

This is very exciting for Nats fans, who are very attached to prospects these days after all the losing that has come this decade. If these guys pan out, they can lead the next generation of winning Nats baseball. After all of the losing, Nats fans deserve it.

Let’s dive into the rankings and what they have to say about each player. Former first overall pick Eli Willits is the top ranked Nats prospect. Pipeline is higher on him than most other outlets, ranking him at 13th. Willits is the highest ranked player drafted in 2025, despite being 5th on their draft rankings. A strong pro debut combined with questions about Ethan Holliday’s hit tool allowed him to move past the more famous prospect.

Eli Willits joins some elite company pic.twitter.com/DAT5nqkLdu

— MLB (@MLB) July 21, 2025

Willits has three 60 grade tools according to Pipeline. His hitting, running and fielding all have 60 grades, meaning they are plus tools. Players with a 60 hit tool and 60 defense at shortstop do not come around very often, and that is why Willits was taken first overall. He showed both of those skills in his pro debut, where he hit .300 and flashed the leather at shortstop.

The biggest question mark about Willits is his power. Pipeline gave his power tool a 45 grade, which is slightly below average. Due to how great the rest of his game is, that is okay. Willits has the chance to be a 15 home run guy, which is more than good enough considering the rest of his profile. I have always liked the comparison of Geraldo Perdomo when discussing Willits.

One of Pipeline’s more interesting rankings is Travis Sykora. While Baseball America and Keith Law dropped him out of their top 100 list after his Tommy John Surgery, Pipeline still has him at 54th. Personally, I would probably have him somewhere in between, on the back end of a top 100.

Sykora was one of the most dominant minor league arms in the sport before going down with injury. In his pro career, Sykora has a 2.14 ERA and 208 strikeouts in 130.1 innings. He overwhelmed lower minors hitters with his three potentially plus pitches and strong feel for pitching.

Travis Sykora's 2nd Single-A @FXBGNats start of 2025:

– 9 up, 9 down
– 5 strikeouts
– 11 whiffs (on 25 swings)

The @Nationals' top-ranked prospect has allowed just 2 hits in 11 IP across two levels this season: pic.twitter.com/jUu98Se2YL

— MLB Pipeline (@MLBPipeline) May 20, 2025

Sykora will need to throw his fastball in the zone more often when he comes back, but outside of that, he does not have many weaknesses on the mound. He fires a mid to upper 90’s heater from his unusual delivery. Sykora also has a slider and a splitter that can be plus pitches. The splitter was particularly effective in 2025 according to Pipeline.

Unfortunately, Sykora will miss most, if not all of this season due to the surgery. If he looks as good as new when he comes back, Travis Sykora has the chance to really surge up the rankings. He has top of the rotation upside, and I cannot wait to see him pitch again.

The next player on the list is the only Nats top 100 prospect who was acquired this offseason. That would be Harry Ford, who the Nats got in the Jose A. Ferrer trade. Ford is the closest to the big leagues of all these guys, having already made his debut.

Seattle developed Ford for a number of years, but had no room for the catcher due to Cal Raleigh. That made him expendable, and the catcher needy Nats took advantage. Ford, who ranks 71st on Pipeline’s list, has average hitting ability and power, but that is amplified due to his elite plate discipline.

Harry Ford homers off Brandyn Garcia in the 8th. pic.twitter.com/DBJZ8gftXl

— Mariners Minors (@MiLBMariners) August 7, 2025

Ford has a real chance to be a strong offensive catcher. He has 18-20 homer power and can be a .260ish hitter. That .260 average will come with a .350+ on base percentage. In his minor league career, Ford has a .405 career OBP in 1,693 at bats, despite only having a .266 average. That ability to get on base gives him a strong offensive floor. Ford is also a great runner for his position and has a chance to steal up to 15 bags a season.

The defensive side of the game is more of a question mark. Pipeline gives his glove a 45 grade, meaning he is a slightly below average defender behind the plate. With how important defense is behind the plate, this is not ideal, but he is certainly playable as a catcher.

Pipeline notes that he is a solid thrower, but his framing is not very good, even if it has gotten better over the years. With the challenge system coming in, that weakness could be mitigated. Ford’s leadership has been praised, which is something you like to see from a catcher. He will never be confused for Yadier Molina, but Ford should be able to stick behind the plate.

The last National on the top 100 list is Jarlin Susana, who ranks as the 80th best prospect. Like Sykora, Susana had season ending surgery, but his recovery from lat surgery should not take as long.

Susana has some of the most electric stuff in the minor leagues. His fastball sits at 100 MPH and can get up to the 103-104 range. He also has the rare ability to hold his triple digit velocity deep into games. However, some scouts think his slider is even better than his fastball. Pipeline gives both pitches a 70 grade, which is plus-plus stuff.

Jarlin Susana with another good performance today:

5 IP 2 H 1 R 3 BB 10 K
20 whiffs

The arsenal is there! If he can keep his command in check, this is a scary arm!
pic.twitter.com/Fh7gAVHzkH

— Andrew DeCeglie (@Andrew_FBB) August 25, 2025

After struggling with injuries and inconsistency early in the season, Susana had a crazy run in the second half before his lat injury. Unfortunately, durability has been a problem for Susana in his career. He has had a few injury scares, which comes with the territory for pitchers with his velocity.

There are also some control issues, with Pipeline giving it a below average 40 grade. However, his stuff is so insane that he still has the chance to be a front of the rotation arm. If the injuries and control move him to a relief role, he could be one of the most dominant closers in baseball.

As long as Susana stays healthy and is anywhere near the strike zone, he will be an impactful pitcher, either as a starter or a high leverage relief arm. Hopefully we can see him on the mound early in the 2026 season. His stuff is just so ridiculous.

It is nice to see Pipeline being higher on some of the Nats prospects. Having four guys in the top 80 is a good sign. There are also other players that could rise on to the list with good seasons. Paul Toboni traded for intriguing prospects like Gavin Fien, Luis Perales and Devin Fitz-Gerald this offseason. I see all of them as having top 100 upside.

This will be something to monitor as we head into the season. Right now the Nats have four top 100 guys. While Ford should graduate, there should be plenty of other Nats prospects waiting in the wings to take his spot on the top 100 list. MLB Pipeline is a great resource for fans, and I really appreciate their lists, especially when the Nats are well represented.

Source: https://www.federalbaseball.com/was...ionals-feature-mlb-pipelines-top-100-rankings

 

[Washington Nationals]

The Washington Nationals Need To Pounce On A Free Agent Starting Pitcher

Even before trading MacKenzie Gore to the Texas Rangers in exchange for 5 prospects, the Nationals’ rotation was looking very subpar entering 2026. Following Gore’s departure, the unit now projects to be 29th in fWAR this season, according to Fangraphs, finishing ahead of only the Colorado Rockies, not great company when talking about pitching. Foster Griffin and Cade Cavalli project to lead the rotation, with fWARs just under 2 and ERAs just above 4, but outside of those two, the rotation isn’t looking pretty, with Brad Lord projected around a 4.50 ERA, and Jake Irvin and Josiah Gray with projected ERAs near 5.

The Nats have been mentioned in the starting pitching market a few times, but never tied to any names. It is expected that they won’t want to drop a large sum of money on a pitcher, ruling out top remaining arms such as Framber Valdez and Zac Gallen, but that they would bring in a name notable enough to lock into a rotation spot over one of Jake Irvin, Josiah Gray, or Brad Lord. Let’s take a look at a few of the remaining starting pitchers on the free agent market and find one or two who would best fit in the Nats rotation in 2026.

RHP Lucas Giolito

The best available free-agent starting pitcher in the Nationals’ price range is likely Lucas Giolito, the former Nats top prospect who was shipped to the White Sox for Adam Eaton before the 2017 season. After stops with 4 other clubs, including 3 teams in 2023, Giolito now hits the open market, following a 2025 campaign where he posted a 3.41 ERA and 2 fWAR in 145 innings pitched.

While Giolito was the most productive of any free agent arm in the Nats’ price range, there is a few reasons I would be hesitant to pay him. For starters, while the surface-level numbers looked strong for Giolito, a peek under the hood suggests regression coming for him in 2026. His FIP was 4.17, a respectable number, but far off from his 3.41 ERA, and his expected ERA was even worse, sitting at 5.06, in the 12th percentile among all starting pitchers in 2025.

Giolito’s peripherals also don’t suggest his 2025 success will translate so easily to 2026. With his 22nd percentile average exit velocity, 28th percentile strikeout rate, and 30th percentile walk rate, it’s hard to imagine a world where Giolito can be worth whatever the Nats would pay him this winter. Still, perhaps Toboni believes some change Giolito made during his time in Boston can translate long-term, and their connection from that time can get a deal done.

RHP Justin Verlander

After a shaky first half to Verlander’s age-42 season in which he posted a 4.70 ERA and 4.22 FIP in 76 2/3 innings pitched, it looked like the future Hall of Famer’s career may have been coming to a close. Then suddenly, in the second half, Verlander flipped a switch, posting a 2.99 ERA and 3.47 FIP in 75 1/3 innings pitched, showing he still has what it takes to pitch in the big leagues for at least one more year.

Verlander likely hopes to pitch for a contender in 2026, but if no contender is willing to take a chance on him at the moment, perhaps starting the year with the Nationals and being traded to one at the deadline could be what he’s looking for.

Proof that an old dog still can learn tricks is Verlander adding a sweeper to his arsenal in 2025. He used the pitch primarily against right-handed hitters, throwing it to them 13% of the time, and it was a huge success, with a .135 opponents’ batting average. If Verlander is a National in 2026, as the Nats coaching staff, I’d be looking to increase his usage of that pitch even more against righties, making it one of his more used pitches.

RHP Aaron Civale

Like Verlander, Civale got roughed up in the first half of 2025, but found another gear in the second half, posting a 3.58 FIP in 49 1/3 innings pitched. The difference between Verlander and Civale, other than Civale being 12 years younger, is that Civale finished the season as a relief pitcher, making it risky for the Nats to try him out again as a starter.

Civale did a strong job of limiting hard contact in 2025, posting a 69th percentile average exit velocity. He also does a solid job of limiting free passes, with a 59th percentile walk rate in 2025. Civale doesn’t get a lot of swing and miss, so he’s at his best when he keeps the ball out of the air and on the ground, and that was exactly the case in 2025, as when he cut his fly ball rate by 10% and raised his groundball rate by 8% in the second half of 2025 versus the first, his performance greatly improved.

While the 3 pitchers here would be my preference for rotation upgrades in 2026, I am open to whatever moves Paul Toboni and his staff believe they need to make. The new coaching staff specializes in unlocking players’ hidden potentials, and perhaps they see something in a pitcher none of us are thinking about that they can unlock.

Source: https://www.federalbaseball.com/gen...ls-need-pounce-on-free-agent-starting-pitcher

 

[Washington Nationals]

Paul Toboni and the Washington Nationals are embarking on Project 2028

The MacKenzie Gore trade made it abundantly clear that Paul Toboni is thinking about the long game. It is not just that Toboni traded Gore that has me thinking this. The prospect package he chose is full of high upside players that are multiple years from the MLB. Four of the five pieces in the deal have no chance of making the big leagues in 2026.

This does not bother Toboni because he is thinking more about building the 2028 Nationals than the 2026 Nats. All of Toboni’s actions suggest he does not believe this team has a prayer in 2026. It may be a harsh reality to accept, but he is correct. Even with heavier spending, this team would not be able to pass the Phillies, Mets or Braves in 2026.

Instead, Toboni is trying to build a team that can compete in the NL East at the end of this decade and entering the 2030’s. There are plenty of reasons to do this. With a lockout looming, the 2027 season is in a state of limbo. The Phillies, who have won the division the last two years are an aging team with only a couple years left in their competitive window.

When 2028 hits, the Nats should be ready to strike. Young big league pieces like James Wood, Daylen Lile and Dylan Crews would be truly entering their prime at that time. The Nats would also have a ton of reinforcements making it to the MLB at that point, especially on the infield. This organization has an embarrassment of riches on the infield in A ball. You would have to imagine that some of these players will really break out.

The Nationals have a ridiculous amount of talent in the lower levels on the minor leagues, especially on the infield. Willits, Fien, Fitz-Gerald, Coy James, Marconi German, Luke Dickerson, Angel Feliz and Ronny Cruz are all infielders who are 20 or younger

— federalbaseball (@federalbaseball) January 23, 2026

There is no guarantee that CJ Abrams will be on the 2028 Nats, but Eli Willits should be on his way to take the shortstop job at that point. Gavin Fien, Devin Fitz-Gerald, Marconi German and others will also be charging towards their big league debuts. This has the chance to be reminiscent of those Orioles teams that seemed to have a new top 100 prospect debuting every week.

All of this sounds great on paper, but it is really frustrating for Nationals fans. We have been rebuilding for a long time now and this new guy is coming in asking for even more patience. It is tough for Nats fans and Toboni knows it. After the trade, Toboni talked about how tough it was to root for struggling Giants teams growing up and empathized with the fans. However, he made it clear that he thought these long term focused moves were what was best for the franchise.

Paul Toboni's message to Nats fans who have expressed frustration after another star-caliber player – and one of the main pieces from the Juan Soto trade – has been dealt away: pic.twitter.com/GfqNhNvTG0

— Bobby Blanco (@Bobby_Blanco) January 22, 2026

Back when Mike Rizzo was running the show, the Nats always felt like they were building towards 2026. Now, we are back to square one. That is not Paul Toboni’s fault though. It is not his responsibility to fix Mike Rizzo’s broken rebuild. His job is to build the team in his own image, something Barry Svrluga noted on the radio.

Is the Nats' rebuild more pain now for a sweeter moment later? That's Paul Toboni's idea, as Barry Svrluga elaborates. pic.twitter.com/sLjFb6ekmM

— 106.7 The Fan (@1067theFan) January 23, 2026

After losing 96 games last year, it was impossible to deny the rebuild was not trending in the right direction. Toboni has pointed that out on a number of occasions. He said that while it is not impossible to turn things around in one year, it is tough and that last season was a reality check.

With that in mind, Toboni does not feel like it is in the team’s best interest to build for 2026. Based on his actions, Toboni wants to use this year to evaluate what he has on the roster and go from there. There are a ton of unproven players with upside on this roster and Toboni wants to see who emerges from the pack.

This approach is probably going to lead to a lot of losses, but it is shrewd. If you want to see winning baseball in the Nats organization next year, the MLB team is not going to be the place to look. I think the minor league teams will take a major jump next year. That is where you will see what Toboni is building towards.

He is not going to neglect the MLB team entirely though. However, the goal of 2026 is more about individual progress than competing for a playoff spot. If James Wood, Daylen Lile, Dylan Crews, Cade Cavalli and Brady House make progress in their development, but the team wins 70 games, that is a successful season, at least in my books. I have a feeling Toboni would agree with me as well.

The wins will be taking place on the development side. Toboni’s Project 2028 will be a slower burn, but one that I believe will have steady progress. It is tough to talk about the 2027 season because of all the uncertainty. Right now, we are not even sure if there will be a season at all. The CBA expires and all the signs point to an all out war in the next negotiations.

I really hope the whole season is not wiped out because that would push back some of the Nats plans. The development of the Nats minor leaguers could be harmed by this strike. Minor Leaguers not on the 40-man roster would be able to play, but I imagine things would not be normal.

With all the young talent entering the Nats organization, I really do believe that this team will be good again. If the Lerner’s open up their checkbook eventually, this team could be great.

This version of the rebuild feels different to me. The people running the show have a much better understanding of the modern game. Mike Rizzo is a Nationals legend, but it did really seem like the game passed him by at the end. Meanwhile, Toboni is a young up and comer who is on the cutting edge.

It's early, but if I'm a Nationals fan, I'm excited about the tangible shift in the org led by Paul Toboni. The amount of upside acquired in these deals is eye-popping, even with creative smaller moves to complement and a total overhaul in scouting, PD and general approach.

— Aram Leighton (@AramLeighton8) January 22, 2026

Nats fans, this year is going to suck at the MLB level, let’s not sugarcoat it. While the lineup has the potential to be solid, this pitching staff is a barren wasteland. A few of these players could surprise us, but on paper this pitching staff is really bad.

With Luis Perales, Jarlin Susana, Travis Sykora and others in the pipeline, there will be reinforcements. However, those reinforcements are probably not coming in 2026. When this team becomes competitive again, I have a feeling they will need to make an aggressive move for pitching in the free agent market. I do not have much faith that ownership will pull the trigger, but we can cross that bridge when we get there.

For now, Nats fans will have to take victories when they get them. In this new regime, I do think we will see more prospects break out and excite us. This should be a year of progress, even if it does not come in the standings.

Paul Toboni is not too worried about the MLB standings this year. To be frank, his goal is not to win the World Series in 2026, or even make the playoffs. His goal is to create Project 2028. If his plan works out, the Nationals should be ready to make a splash by 2028. As we enter the 2030’s, the Nationals should be a young and hungry team competing for championships. We are a long way away, but for the first time in a while, I truly trust the process.

Source: https://www.federalbaseball.com/gen...i-washington-nationals-embarking-project-2028

 

[Washington Nationals]

Dan Kolko replaces Bob Carpenter as the Washington Nationals play-by-play voice

While the Washington Nationals are leaving MASN, the broadcast will be a familiar one. After Bob Carpenter’s retirement, the Nats had to find a new play-by-play voice. They decided to go with an internal option. Chelsea Janes of the Washington Post reported that Dan Kolko will be taking over play-by-play duties in 2026.

News: Dan Kolko will succeed Bob Carpenter doing play-by-play on Nationals broadcasts this year, according to multiple people familiar with the decision. Kolko filled in regularly for Carpenter last year and has been a part of Nats coverage in various roles since 2012.

— Chelsea Janes (@chelsea_janes) January 27, 2026

Kolko is a very familiar face to Nationals fans. He has been working at MASN since 2012, and has been a staple of Nats coverage for many years. Kolko gained popularity as a young sideline reporter when the Nats were rolling in the 2010’s. He got along well with the players on those teams, who often treated him like a little brother.

Dan Kolko was the butt of many jokes for those teams, getting teased in good fun by the likes of Ryan Zimmerman and Jayson Werth. Over the years, Kolko’s role has expanded. Over the past couple years, it has felt like he was being groomed for this role. As Bob Carpenter took more time off, Kolko got plenty of reps as a play-by-play guy.

THE BIGGEST CONGRATULATIONS TO DAN KOLKO!!!!!

From on field reporter (who looked like he was going home to do his biology homework) to the greatest interview in Nats history to becoming the new Play by Play announcer.

We're so proud & so happy for you @DanKolko_ !!!!!! pic.twitter.com/bH3OoleVWN

— Ladies Who Like Baseball (@LONTDC1) January 27, 2026

In my opinion, the role did not come as naturally to him as sideline reporting. However, I do think he has improved over the last couple years. A lot of Nats fans wanted to get an outside voice to replace Bob Carpenter, but Kolko deserves a chance to grow into the role.

Replacing a figure like Bob Carpenter is not an easy task. We did a profile on Bob at the end of last season, and it is clear that he is a special figure in the Nats community. Those are big shoes to fill, but Kolko is well aware of that.

One plus of keeping Kolko on board is that he knows the team very well. In this new era of Nats baseball, that knowledge is important. Kolko knows what a good Nationals team looks like as well. The online reaction to this news has been a bit lukewarm, but I think Nats fans should give him a chance.

It does sound like Kevin Frandsen will be back as the color commentator. His passion for the team and his work is clear on the broadcasts, though he can go over the top at times. Part of me hoped for a new booth as we enter a new era, but we should give this tandem a chance.

Like the team on the field, this is a year of transition in the booth as well. There could be some growing pains, but hopefully they can show progress. I am curious to see what this MLB TV broadcast looks like and how Dan Kolko grows into his new role.

Source: https://www.federalbaseball.com/lat...enter-washington-nationals-play-by-play-voice

 

[Washington Nationals]

New Washington Nationals prospect Yeremy Cabrera is more than a throw in

In the MacKenzie Gore trade, the Washington Nationals got five pieces in return. They received Gavin Fien, Alejandro Rosario, Devin Fitz-Gerald, Abimelec Ortiz and Yeremy Cabrera. We have talked about the first four prospects, but I thought Yeremy Cabrera was worth discussing too. He may be the 5th piece in the deal, but he is more than a throw in.

On prospect rankings, Cabrera actually ranks ahead of Abimelec Ortiz, but is not as close to the big leagues. Pipeline ranks him as the Nats 17th best prospect, while Baseball America has him at 22nd. The 20 year old outfielder has an intriguing blend of speed, defense and flashes of hitting ability.

Cabrera’s best trait is his defense in center field. Baseball America considers him a 60 grade defender, while Pipeline has him at a 55. BA says he is a plus defender due to his elite combination of speed and instincts. He was actually named the Rangers Minor League defender of the year last season.

Along with the defense, Cabrera is also one of the fastest runners in the system now. He stole 43 bases in the minors last year. Cabrera was actually one of just six teenagers to post a wRC+ above 115, steal at least 25 bases and hit at least 7 homers last year. Most of these players are top 100 prospects.

Want to push some Angel Cepeda love! Some excellent company in this filtered search.

Low-A or higher, 19 or younger, wRC+ 115 or greater, 25 or more SB, 7 or more HRs in 2025:

Konnor Griffin
Edward Florentino
Eduardo Quintero
Caleb Bonemer
Yeremy Cabrera
Angel Cepeda#Cubs pic.twitter.com/tXiur1CXV3

— Northside Soundtrack (@CHC_DataDrive) January 20, 2026

While Cabrera is a legitimate prospect now, it was not always this way. He signed for just $10,000 in 2022. His minor league production and his inclusion in a major trade made this more than a worthwhile investment for the Rangers. He is a player with helium attached to his name.

While speed and defense are Cabrera’s calling card, he also shows promise at the plate. In a pitcher friendly environment, Cabrera hit .256 with a .730 OPS in A ball last year. While those numbers don’t seem like anything crazy, it was good for a 120 wRC+.

Cabrera has surprising raw power for a smaller guy, hitting max exit velocities of 110 MPH. He kept the ball off of the ground nicely as well. However, that raw power has not fully shown up in games yet. Cabrera hit just 8 homers and 12 doubles in 102 games, with a .366 slugging percentage. At just 20, there could be more in the tank though.

Getting on base is one thing that Cabrera excels at in the low minors. He posted a .364 OBP with an 11.5% walk rate last season. Those are solid numbers for a young defense first outfielder. He also has decent contact skills, with a strikeout rate below 20%.

Haven’t seen any mention of the 5th piece in the deal, OF Yeremy Cabrera, but he’s got very good numbers as well
In 102 games at Low A as a 19 yo in 2025
-120 wRC+
-.364 OBP
-8 HRs
-43 SBs!
16th ranked prospect in TEX farm, don’t sleep on himpic.twitter.com/C0vlF368ak

— Paul Cubbage (@PaulCubbage23) January 23, 2026

Cabrera is never going to be a special hitter, but he should be able to hit enough to get to the MLB. His speed and defense provide a strong floor as a fourth outfielder. If the power comes around, he could be a strong side platoon guy. Left handed pitching seems to give him a lot of trouble, hitting below .200 against southpaws last year.

For a 5th piece in a trade, this is a really nice get. Yeremy Cabrera is young, athletic and has plenty of paths to becoming a big leaguer. You don’t see that much from a guy who is considered the “throw in” of a trade.

Next season will be a test for Cabrera. He should start next season at High-A Wilmington. The Nats High-A affiliate is infamous for being pitcher friendly. However, Cabrera is used to that, with the Rangers Low-A affiliate also being tough for hitters.

The Nationals have a lot of infielders in the lower minors, but not as many strong outfield prospects. Obviously, the Nats have plenty of young outfield talent in the MLB and even AAA, but as you get down to A ball, you don’t see as much talent. This means Cabrera should be able to get a lot of looks in center field.

Having watched Jacob Young for the last couple of years, Nats fans know how valuable center field defense can be. Cabrera may not be that level of defender, but he is not far off. He also provides much more offensive upside than Young. It will take him a couple years to get to the MLB, but do not be surprised if Yeremy Cabrera is a solid contributor one day.

Source: https://www.federalbaseball.com/was...ls-prospect-yeremy-cabrera-more-than-throw-in

 

[JJ]

Man, the Nats are really going all in on the youth movement here. Gotta respect Toboni for having the stones to commit to a full rebuild instead of this half-assed "competitive rebuild" nonsense Rizzo was trying to pull.

That prospect haul from the Gore trade is LOADED with upside. Four guys in the top 80 on Pipeline plus all these new pieces? That's how you build a contender. Look at what the Orioles did - they sucked for years, stacked prospects, and now they're rolling. Same blueprint here.

The Willits pick at 1.1 is gonna age really well I think. A 60 hit tool AND 60 defense at shortstop? That's rare as hell. The Perdomo comp is interesting but I think Willits has more offensive upside than that.

Sykora and Susana both coming back from surgery is concerning though. Pitching prospects are so damn volatile. Really hope they can stay healthy because that stuff is FILTHY when they're right.

And honestly? Kolko getting the play-by-play gig makes sense. Dude has been around the organization forever and knows these players. Give him a chance before everyone loses their minds about it.

2026 is gonna be ugly in the standings but who cares - watch the prospects develop, enjoy the minor league reports, and get hyped for 2028. Sometimes you gotta eat your vegetables before you get dessert.

 

[Washington Nationals]

Washington Nationals announce their Minor League coaching staffs

The Washington Nationals just released their 2026 Minor League coaching staff. With Paul Toboni taking the reins, there are naturally a lot of new faces. However, there are also some returning staff members. The staffs are also bigger than they have been in the past, which is an example of Toboni’s focus on player development.

Here’s the entire player development staff, including all levels of the minor and coordinators: pic.twitter.com/kMx2yDd8uz

— Mark Zuckerman (@MarkZuckerman) January 29, 2026

Every minor league team is going to have more staff members than they did last year. To build a player development machine like Paul Toboni wants, you need plenty of cogs. That is what he is trying to build here.

There are going to be new staff positions this year. Last year, there was only one trainer and one conditioning coach at each level. This year there will be an assistant trainer and an assistant conditioning coach at each level. There will also be a defense coach at each level, something we did not have last year. Lastly, there are assistant hitting and pitching coaches at each level as well.

Few things that stand out about the Nats’ minor league dev. staff at first glance:

– An assistant/associate athletic trainer & strength and conditioning coach at each level (Only 1 trainer/S&D coach before)
– A defensive coach at each level
– Asst. pitching coaches at affiliates

— Andrew Golden (@andrewcgolden) January 29, 2026

All of this is very exciting for an organization that will be built on player development. These new hires also show a real commitment to Paul Toboni’s vision. While they may not be spending in free agency, ownership is putting their money where their mouth is here.

Despite all the new faces, the Double-A and Triple-A managers will remain the same. Matt LeCroy has been a beloved minor league manager for a long time now. This will be his sixth season managing Triple-A Rochester and his 18th season in the Nationals organization. From all of the clips you see of him, LeCroy seems like a wonderful person. He was also in the mix to be the Nats interim manager last year.

Double-A manager Delino DeShields will also be back. This will be his fourth season managing the Harrisburg Senators. However, the Nats are bringing in new managers for both A ball clubs. Chris O’Neill will serve as the Fred Nats manager. He was previously the hitting coach at VCU. The High-A manager will be Ted Tom, who also served in the college ranks. He was most recently the hitting coach at UCF.

There are going to be so many new voices in the organization, which I love to see. These staffers have a mix of youth and experience, though the Low-A staff is very young. The pitching coach for the Fred Nats is only 27 and the assistant pitching coach is even younger at 24. Both have experience working in pitching labs, such as Driveline. The physical therapists name is also James Wood, which I found funny.

A few takeaways:
1. There are a lot more people on these staffs than what we are accustomed to, which I love
2. I looked at the press releases and the Fred Nats staff is crazy young lol. At least half of them are in their 20's.
3. WHO is the physical therapist haha https://t.co/msGdZhRHU3

— federalbaseball (@federalbaseball) January 29, 2026

As you get into the upper minors, the coaches are usually older, which makes sense. Most of the Triple-A staff is in their 40’s or 50’s. Following the progress of the minor league teams should be very exciting this year.

The Nats have a deep pool of prospects after their offseason trades. The system is especially deep at the lower levels. With this revamped development team, we should see prospects have breakout years. I am excited to see who will be helped the most by these changes. This kind of stuff is why the Paul Toboni hire is so exciting.

Source: https://www.federalbaseball.com/was...tionals-announce-minor-league-coaching-staffs

 

[Washington Nationals]

Catching up on the latest Washington Nationals news items

Obviously, the MacKenzie Gore trade is the biggest move the Nationals have made in the past week. However, there have been a few minor moves that you may have missed. I wanted to take a look at some of the news items that have been lost in the shuffle. Between minor league signings and spring training invites, there is plenty to talk about.

The first move I want to discuss actually happened today. It was reported that the Nats signed veteran infielder Sergio Alcantara to a minor league deal with a Spring Training invite. The 29 year old has appeared in 193 MLB games, getting into one for the Giants last year.

Dominican infielder Sergio Alcántara signed a minor league deal with the Washington Nationals, per sources.

Alcántara, 29, appeared in one MLB game with the San Francisco Giants in 2025 season.

Represented by The Movement Baseball.

— Francys Romero (@francysromeroFR) January 28, 2026

Alcantara is a sure handed switch hitting shortstop, who should provide solid organizational depth. He is pretty buried on the depth chart, but if injuries hit, there is a chance that Alcantara could be called up at some point this season.

Another move announced in the last day or so is that the Nats out-righted Andry Lara to Triple-A. Lara was DFA’d on January 20th, but cleared waivers. He will remain in the Nats organization, but is off of the 40-man roster.

RHP Andry Lara, who was DFA’d last week, cleared waivers and has been outrighted to Triple-A Rochester.

— Mark Zuckerman (@MarkZuckerman) January 27, 2026

This is good for both sides. Lara was clearly not ready for the MLB. Now that he is off the 40-man, the 23 year old can focus on sharpening his craft in the minors without worrying about being shuttled back and forth. It is nice to see that the Nats were able to keep him in the organization. While it has not been announced yet, he should get an invite to Spring Training.

Speaking of Spring Training, the Nats announced their internal non-roster invites. It is not a large list, but notable prospects like Seaver King and Caleb Lomavita will be invited. Interestingly, Travis Sykora and Jarlin Susana were also invited to MLB camp despite being injured.

cordially invited:

our internal spring training NRIs pic.twitter.com/1tMuQsVt9G

— Washington Nationals (@Nationals) January 26, 2026

Being in a big league camp should be a good learning experience for these youngsters. The full list of non-roster invites for minor league free agent signings has not been announced yet. We know players like Warming Bernabel and Matt Mervis will be there.

Some other players who will be there are Trevor Gott, Zach Penrod and Tres Barrera. The Nats announced the minor league signings of those three a few days ago. Gott and Barrera have been in the Nats organization before, and have both played for the big league team back in the day.

The Nationals have signed the following players to Minor League contracts with invitations to 2026 Major League Spring Training:

-C Tres Barrera
-RHP Trevor Gott
-LHP Zach Penrod

— Nationals Communications (@NationalsComms) January 22, 2026

Out of the three, Penrod is probably the most interesting. He has real control problems, but has a 95 MPH heater with life from the left side. I do not think he will break camp with the team, but it would not be a surprise if we see him at some point.

One more arm the Nats signed to a minor league deal is Bryce Montes de Oca. The towering righty is coming back from his second Tommy John Surgery. Prior to the surgery, de Oca’s fastball lived in the upper 90’s. If he can show that sort of velocity again, he will have a chance to stick with the Nats.

The Nationals have signed right-handed pitcher Bryce Montes de Oca to a Minor League contract with an invitation to 2026 Major League Spring Training.

— Nationals Communications (@NationalsComms) January 23, 2026

None of these moves are earth shattering, but they are worth going over. Maybe one of these arms has some sort of surprise breakout season. This year is going to be all about players showing what they have. The Nats are not going to be very competitive this year, so plenty of players will get chances. Hopefully a couple of these guys can stick and become pieces for the future.

Source: https://www.federalbaseball.com/was...ing-up-latest-washington-nationals-news-items

 

[Washington Nationals]

The Washington Nationals are using the waiver wire heavily in the Paul Toboni era

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - JULY 05: Richard Lovelady #57 of the New York Mets in action against the New York Yankees at Citi Field on July 05, 2025 in New York City. The Mets defeated the Yankees 12-6. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) | Getty Images

One thing Paul Toboni has made clear is that he values every single spot on the 40-man roster. He is happy to use the waiver wire and uses every spot on the 40-man. It is becoming clear that there will be a lot of churn on the backend of the 40-man roster this year.

Yesterday was a good example of this churn. Toboni claimed Richard Lovelady off of waivers. To clear a 40-man spot, he DFA’d Mickey Gasper, who was just claimed nine days ago. It is becoming apparent that we should not get too attached to any of the players on the fringes of the 40-man. They could be gone in an instant.

Nationals have claimed LHP Richard Lovelady off waivers from Mets and DFA’d UTIL Mickey Gasper (who was only recently claimed himself). The 40-man roster merry-go-round continues.

— Mark Zuckerman (@MarkZuckerman) January 29, 2026

Richard Lovelady is a good example of what life is like for a fringe 40-man roster player. In the past 12 months, Lovelady has been DFA’d five times. So, I would not get too attached to this player.

Lovelady has some interesting characteristics. He has great extension down the mound and gets ground balls. At points in his career, he has been a serviceable reliever, which the Nats need. He had a nice 28 outing stint with the Rays in 2024. Lovelady could be a factor in the Nats bullpen as a lefty, but he also could be DFA’d next week if Toboni finds someone on the waiver wire he finds more appealing.

Just churning through these players seems odd and a bit cruel, but there is a method to the madness. If these guys pass through waivers, they remain in the organization and can pitch in the minors. These fringe 40 man players tend to be good in AAA, so they provide valuable organizational depth.

Some of these players are just claimed to be DFA’d again, but others can make a real impact. Mike Rizzo did not use the waiver wire a ton, but he found a couple nice pieces when he did use it. Robert Garcia and Hunter Harvey were both waiver claims who had nice spells in DC.

Paxton Schultz is the claim from this winter I am most excited about. The Nats claimed him off of waivers from the Blue Jays, and I think he is really interesting. He was a serviceable arm in 24.2 MLB innings last year and I think he can be a big league contributor. Schultz has a solid four pitch mix and a fastball that generates whiffs. He can also pitch in a number of different roles.

we've claimed RHP Paxton Schultz off waivers pic.twitter.com/rjLezrDz0s

— Washington Nationals (@Nationals) January 9, 2026

Gus Varland is also a pitcher I like, but I am not as confident in him. In 2024, Varland was effective in 26 outings, but had an injury plagued 2025. His fastball sits at 95 and has carry at the top of the zone.

Toboni has also claimed a few position players. Tsung–Che Cheng and Joey Wiemer are both strong defenders who could be bench pieces. Like Gasper, I would not be surprised if either of these players are DFA’d in the coming weeks.

As we enter the season, I think Toboni will continue to be active on waivers. The Nationals have chosen not to be big spenders in recent years, so they have to find creative ways to acquire talent. Toboni has been getting creative this offseason. He has been active on the waiver wire and even made a rare prospect for prospect swap this offseason.

Last offseason, the Nats did not make any waiver claims. Instead, they filled the back of their roster with guys like Lucas Sims and Colin Poche. Those players had guaranteed contracts, so they got more time despite awful results.

This is a different way of doing things. It is more analytically inclined and forward thinking. Some of this is dumpster diving, but there is not much to lose. If things don’t work out, these players are easy to get rid of and if they hit, you get a cheap asset. As a real baseball sicko, these moves are also fun to follow.

Source: https://www.federalbaseball.com/gen...using-the-waiver-wire-heavily-paul-toboni-era

 

[Washington Nationals]

The three Washington Nationals players I am most excited to see at Spring Training

WASHINGTON, DC - SEPTEMBER 14: Cade Cavalli #24 of the Washington Nationals pitches against the Pittsburgh Pirates during the first inning at Nationals Park on September 14, 2025 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Scott Taetsch/Getty Images) | Getty Images

As we enter the spring, just about everyone on the Washington Nationals roster has a lot to prove. This team is very short on proven commodities. However, there are three players fans should be paying close attention to. Cade Cavalli, Dylan Crews and Luis Perales have a ton to prove in 2025, and I will be watching them closely this spring.

Can Cavalli Put it Together:

Cade Cavalli is the player I am most fascinated by. After the MacKenzie Gore trade, he seems like the de facto ace. He had a bumpy road back from Tommy John Surgery, but showed flashes of elite potential last season. In his 10 MLB starts, Cavalli posted a respectable 4.25 ERA.

I think he can get much better. His stuff is front of the rotation caliber and he throws plenty of strikes. However, his execution and command are not great. With the new pitching development team and a fully healthy offseason, Cavalli could improve that though. As the season progressed in 2025, he made some adjustments that helped him become an effective MLB pitcher.

Cade Cavalli is now the ace of the Washington Nationals' rotation.

Cavalli was throwing from a higher arm angle (43.9 degrees), over six degrees more in 2025, primarily due to his horizontal release point shifting over five inches farther than his midline, and adding nearly… pic.twitter.com/jm7Hn10xPn

— Corbin (@corbin_young21) January 23, 2026

There is room for a lot more though. His fastball averages 97 MPH and he pairs it with an awesome power curveball. The curve averaged 86 MPH and generated whiffs at a 40% clip. He used the curve over 30% of the time, which makes the high whiff number even more impressive.

Despite being in the 72nd percentile for whiffs, Cavalli only struck out 18.3% of hitters. That ranked in the 18th percentile. There is no way a pitcher with Cavalli’s stuff should be striking out under 20% of hitters. This spring, fans should be watching Cavalli’s execution with two strikes. If new pitching coach Simon Mathews can improve Cavalli’s ability to put hitters away, he will have a big season.

If I had to guess, Cade Cavalli will be the Nats Opening Day starter. The fact a pitcher with 11 MLB outings is the Nats Opening Day starter says a lot about the state of the rotation. However, Cavalli has a chance to be great, he is just unproven.

Can Dylan Crews Live Up to the Hype:

Coming out of LSU, Dylan Crews was one of the most hyped up college baseball players in the last decade. Along with his teammate Paul Skenes, Crews helped the LSU Tigers win the National Championship. Since leaving LSU, Skenes and Crews have been on very different paths.

While Skenes was winning his first Cy Young award in 2025, Crews was struggling to find his footing. Crews hit just .208 with a .632 OPS last year. There were long stretches where the former Golden Spikes winner looked lost at the plate.

Coming out of college, Crews was supposed to be a can’t miss prospect. Skenes and Wyatt Langford may have had more upside, but Crews was the one that had no chance of being a bust. So far, that has not been the case. Crews, who is one of the most decorated college baseball players ever, has not been the same player in the MLB.

2023 Dylan Crews:

.426/.567/.713
182 WRC+
18 HR
100 R
70 RBI
1.54 BB/K

Build the Statue @LSUbaseball pic.twitter.com/9Zmt1uxIhC

— Reech (@Reech___) January 16, 2026

Even in the minors, Crews did not dominate the way he was expected to. He was good, but never elite. Crews did not torch the minor leagues the way Wyatt Langford did. In the MLB, he got exposed even more. His suboptimal angles have been a problem. Crews is hitting the ball on the ground too much and is not tapping into his power.

In 2025, Crews was also whiffing way too much. His issues against spin have been present for a while, but he was even whiffing against fastballs. Crews was an elite fastball hitter, even in his up and down MLB stint in 2024. That was not the case last year.

While Crews’ season was interrupted by injury, his performance was still concerning. He needs to get back to crushing fastballs. Hopefully the new coaching staff can help Crews rebuild his confidence. This is the first time Crews has ever failed, so I am curious to see how he bounces back. Spring Training will be our first chance to see what kind of adjustments Crews has made.

Can Luis Perales Throw Enough Strikes:

The prospect I am most curious about this spring is Luis Perales, who the Nats acquired from the Red Sox this offseason. Paul Toboni swung a rare prospect for prospect trade with his old club back in December. He sent the high floor Jake Bennett to the Red Sox for Perales, who is riskier but comes with a much higher ceiling.

Perales blew out his elbow in the middle of his breakout 2024 season. He had to undergo Tommy John Surgery, missing the rest of 2024 and most of 2025. Perales came back at the end of 2025, where he made a few appearances in the minors.

However, most of his action came in the Arizona Fall League. The results were interesting. His velocity was actually better than ever, sitting at nearly 99 MPH. Perales had a hard time finding the strike zone though. In 11.1 innings, he struck out 19 batters but walked 11.

Luis Perales (BOS) continues to look excellent following his return from TJS

In the AFL today, his fastball averaged 99 MPH with elite ride and his breaking balls graded out well. The Red Sox have a gem here! pic.twitter.com/egLKrALIQS

— Thomas Nestico (@TJStats) October 15, 2025

It is not uncommon for pitchers coming back from TJ to struggle with command at first. They have not pitched in competitive games for over a year, so there is some rust. These pitchers are also adjusting to their new elbow as well. As pitchers get further removed from surgery, the command usually improves.

Perales showed much improved command in his breakout 2024 season, but had some control questions before then. Command will always be a question mark for the flamethrower, but as long as he is around the strike zone, the stuff will play.

I will be watching Perales very closely to see what that control looks like. If it is back to those 2024 levels, he can be a front of the rotation starter. However, he has the chance to be a nasty reliever. His injury history, smaller build and control point to a bullpen role, but he also has a chance to start.

It will be interesting to see what the Nats do with him. If they move him to the bullpen, he could be in the big leagues very soon. However, if they want to continue developing him as a starter, things will take longer. Either way, Perales should start next season at Triple-A. If Toboni wants to let him rip in the bullpen, Luis Perales could be the Nats closer by the end of the season.

There are more players we could highlight, but these are the three that stand out to me. All three have so much to prove this year, but also have great upside. 2026 will be a year where these young players will have to prove themselves. With Paul Toboni improving the farm system, these guys could be replaced if they do not perform.

Source: https://www.federalbaseball.com/gen...nationals-players-excited-see-spring-training

 

[Washington Nationals]

What Could The Washington Nationals Farm System Look Like By The End Of 2026?

FREDERICKSBURG, VIRGINIA - SEPTEMBER 7, 2025: Eli Willits #13 of the Fredericksburg Nationals in action during a Carolina League game against the Carolina Mudcats at Virginia Credit Union Stadium on September 7, 2025 in Fredericksburg, Virginia. The Mudcats beat the Nationals, 6-3. (Photo by Rodger Wood/Diamond Images via Getty Images) | Diamond Images/Getty Images

While it lacks the thump it once had when James Wood and Dylan Crews were atop the rankings, the Nationals’ farm system is currently the deepest it has ever been, and certainly in a better spot than where it was this time last year. Opinions on the farm range, as Keith Law of The Athletic ranked the Nats farm 6th best in baseball, and Kiley McDaniel of ESPN ranked it 14th, but the overall sentiment remains: the future looks brighter than before for the Nats, even if the present is not where they hoped to be.

The farm system has seen a big boost this offseason from prospects acquired in deals for players such as MacKenzie Gore, Jose A. Ferrer, and Jake Bennett, and there is still the potential of more to come, with Paul Toboni taking calls on other major leaguers such as CJ Abrams and Jacob Young. While I don’t expect a deal to get done this winter, perhaps being a move that happens at the trade deadline or next winter, I fully support Toboni looking to maximize this team’s farm system, setting them up for a future run at contention better.

Given all the young talent in the farm system, the fact very little Nats prospects will be graduating from prospect status soon, the potential for one or both of CJ Abrams and Jacob Young to be moved this year, and the Nationals picking 11th in the 2026 MLB Draft, it’s fair to assume this farm system will be in an even better spot at the end of 2026 than it is now. Let’s take a look at how the top of this hypothetical Nationals farm could shake out.

Graduating From Prospect Status

C Harry Ford

1B/DH Abimelec Ortiz

OF Christian Franklin

RHP Luis Perales

1B Yohandy Morales

OF Andrew Pinckney

Given that most of the talent in the Nationals’ farm system is accumulated in the lower levels of the minor leagues, there are very few prospects who are going to lose prospect status in the 2026 season. The only players who are locks to graduate prospect status this season are catcher Harry Ford and first baseman Abimelec Ortiz, both likely to be in the lineup on Opening Day, or soon afterwards at the very least.

Outside of those 2, there are very few prospects near the top of the Nationals’ farm system who I see losing prospect status in 2026, with Luis Perales having the best chance if he lights up Triple-A and debuts midway through the year. After him, it’s an assortment of lower-ranked prospects, such as outfielder Christian Franklin, outfielder Andrew Pinckney, and first baseman Yohandy Morales, who could end up getting enough time in the bigs to make them no longer prospects.

Top 100 Prospects

SS Eli Willits

RHP Travis Sykora

RHP Jarlin Susana

3B Gavin Fien

One of Devin Fitz-Gerald/Seaver King/Landon Harmon/Other

While the Nationals have 4 top 100 prospects currently, with one soon to graduate in Harry Ford, they also have a ton of high upside prospects who could jump into top 100 lists with a strong 2026 campaign. One prospect who I’m highly confident in cementing himself as a top 100 prospect soon is Gavin Fien, the headliner of the return in the MacKenzie Gore trade. While he wasn’t dominant in his 10 professional games in 2025 following the draft, he showed promise and why many analysts are so incredibly high on his bat.

After Fien, there is a long line of young prospects in the Nationals’ farm system who could make the leap from interesting to exciting in 2026. Top of that list may be second baseman Devin Fitz-Gerald, who was scorching Low A pitching in 2025 before a shoulder injury ended his season. After him, plenty of names jump to mind, with Seaver King, who is already a top 100 prospect according to Keith Law, standing out as a prospect who could see a big breakthrough in 2026 with the new coaching staffs in the minor leagues.

New Additions

Prospects From CJ Abrams Trade (Top 100 Prospect + More)

Prospects From Jacob Young Trade (Top 250ish Prospect)

11th Overall Pick (Top 100-150 Prospect)

42nd Overall Pick

78th Overall Pick

There are numerous avenues Paul Toboni and his front office could take to boost the Nat’s farm system, many that us fans wouldn’t even think of right now, but as of now, these are the most likely ways they can do so. If the report that the Nationals turned down a package led by Shortstop Josuar Gonzalez from the Giants, a top 50 prospect in the sport according to some outlets, for CJ Abrams, then we can make the eventual trade return for him to be at the very least in the same ballpark.

Perhaps that does mean getting a deal done for Gonzalez and others with the Giants, perhaps it means a deal centered around a top-ranked pitcher like Bubba Chandler, Seth Hernandez, or Hunter Barco from the Pirates, but whatever it is, I trust this front office to not give in on their demands in the sake of making a deal happen.

The Nationals will also have the opportunity to add a strongly touted prospect in the MLB Draft this July, as they hold the 11th overall pick. While it’s unfortunate that the new lottery rules have once again knocked the Nats out of the top 10, there will still be plenty of highly regarded prospects available at 11th overall, with Bryce Rainer and Braden Montgomery, both consensus top 100 prospects currently, both being selected 11th or later in the 2024 MLB Draft.

While he favored prospects who played up-the-middle positions with his first-rounders during his time in Boston, anything could be on the table for Toboni and his staff this year, depending on how the draft class and draft board shake out.

Mock End of 2026 Top 10 Nationals Prospects

1. SS Eli Willits
2. SS Josuar Gonzalez
3. RHP Travis Sykora
4. RHP Jarlin Susana
5. 3B Gavin Fien
6. 2B Devin Fitz-Gerald
7. RHP Cameron Flukey
8. SS Seaver King
9. RHP Landon Harmon
10. OF Bo Davidson

From this hypothetical list, you have 4 surefire top 100 prospects, 3 very close to being top 100s, and 3 more with the talent to be top 100s. While prospect rankings are irrelevant once these players reach the bigs, as then it becomes about your performance and not your potential, the more lottery tickets you can stock up to cash in the big leagues, the better. I’m excited to see what more tricks Paul Toboni has up his sleeve, and how else he’ll stock up the Nationals’ farm system for years to come.

Source: https://www.federalbaseball.com/general/88652/what-could-nationals-farm-system-look-like-end-2026

 

[JJ]

oh man look at the nats actually trying to build something here! gotta respect what toboni is doing even if it means watching a rebuilding team for a while

the minor league coaching staff expansion is HUGE and something that doesn't get talked about enough. adding assistant trainers, conditioning coaches, and defensive coaches at every level? that's how you develop players properly instead of just hoping they figure it out on their own. the bills could learn something about organizational depth from this approach honestly lol

i'm most intrigued by the waiver wire strategy though. churning through guys like lovelady and gasper might seem chaotic but it's smart baseball. you're essentially getting free lottery tickets - if they hit, great, if not you move on with zero risk. way better than locking yourself into guaranteed contracts for mediocre players like they did with sims and poche last year

the crews situation worries me a bit though. dude was supposed to be the safest pick in that draft class and he's hitting .208? that's rough. skenes out here winning cy youngs while crews is struggling to make contact. hopefully the new hitting coaches can get him right because the talent is obviously there from his college days

cavalli is the wildcard for me. 97 mph heat with that power curve should NOT result in an 18% strikeout rate. something is off with his pitch sequencing or execution. if the new staff can fix that he could legitimately be an ace

also lmao at the physical therapist being named james wood. that's hilarious

 

[Washington Nationals]

Miguel Sime Jr. has a chance to be a breakout prospect for the Washington Nationals

WASHINGTON, DC - JULY 22: Washington Nationals 4th round pick in the 2025 MLB draft, Miguel Sime Jr., waves to the crowd during the game against the Cincinnati Reds at Nationals Park on July 22, 2025 in Washington, DC. (Photo by G Fiume/Getty Images) | Getty Images

There are plenty of Nationals prospects who have a chance to breakout in 2026. However, the one I want to talk about today is Miguel Sime Jr., the 18 year old fireballer. Even in today’s world, where velocity is king, you will not find many teenagers who throw harder than Sime. He routinely touches triple digits, which obviously makes him a name to watch.

Sometimes drafting can be quite simple. When you have the chance to draft a 6’4 235 pound 18 year old who throws 100 in the 4th round, it is tough to pass up. The Nats took that chance on Sime, betting on his upside. He is far from a perfect prospect, but you do not find pitchers with that kind of arm talent in the 4th round very often.

This winter, there was a video of Sime throwing 102 MPH. Obviously, that is special stuff, especially for an 18 year old. It got me fired up about his future. He is still very far from the MLB, but if he is even around the strike zone, he could move quicker than expected. Lower minors hitters would just be overwhelmed by his triple digit heat.

I missed this. Good lord. If Miguel Sime is even around the strike zone, his stock is going to explode this year https://t.co/9VnHnGp87J

— federalbaseball (@federalbaseball) January 31, 2026

Throwing strikes is a concern for Sime though. Both MLB Pipeline and Baseball America gave his control a below average 40 grade. Pipeline did note that his control improved during his senior spring and in the MLB Draft League. However, he still has a ways to go. There is some effort in his delivery and his arm action is on the longer side.

Sime will never be an above average command guy, but he does not need to be. He has the chance to sit at 100 MPH one day, so as long as he is in the zone, he does not have to paint corners.

His showing in the MLB draft league was very encouraging. Sime was showing a better feel for his power arsenal, which made the Nats more comfortable buying him out from his LSU commitment. The fastball was in the 98-100 range at times and he showed off an improved curveball.

Miguel Sime @LSUbaseball commit gets us started with some heat!

FB: 98-100
CV: 82-83 https://t.co/fWT071lkSI pic.twitter.com/fUHzebO3TR

— Jake Bargery (@JakeBarg) June 30, 2025

Baseball America even noted that the Nats like the look of his changeup. It is not a pitch he throws that often, but it showed signs of being a promising pitch. The Nats will have to help him become more confident throwing the pitch. Right now, neither of his secondary pitches are anything special, but the fastball is elite and he is very young.

If the Nats can help turn the breaking ball or changeup into an above average pitch, we will be cooking with gas. Sime and Landon Harmon are two power right-handers with insane upside. Getting both in the same draft is a major coup for the Nats.

Miguel Sime Jr. is another prep arm to watch for 2026. The 18-year-old, 6-ft-4, 235-lb RHP runs his fastball into the upper-90s consistently, and pairs it with an above-avg slider!

Between Sime and Landon Harmon, the upside of the Nationals’ 3rd/4th-round picks is sky-high.

:… pic.twitter.com/wqBUE0yaL9

— Tobey Schulman (@tschulmanreport) December 28, 2025

When you see Miguel Sime Jr., it is easy to see similarities between him and Jarlin Susana. While Susana is even bigger, their builds are similar. Both are massive, intimidating right handed pitchers with triple digit velocity.

Susana developed a plus-plus slider, which Sime does not have yet. However, at just 18 years old, Sime has plenty of time to develop. The Nats know he has plenty of time, so they are likely to take things slowly. Sime should spend a lot of this season in rookie ball. His main goals will be refining his control and finding a consistent secondary pitch.

If Sime comes out with better control than expected, he could make the jump to Low-A pretty quickly though. Rookie ball will not be a challenge for Sime at all if he is throwing strikes. He would just be able to bully hitters with his heater.

As long as Sime’s control is not truly woeful, I actually think his floor is relatively high for an 18 year old pitcher. Guys who throw 100 MPH get plenty of chances, and for good reason. If things do not work as a starting pitcher, you could easily move these flame throwers to the bullpen. Sime should get a long look as a starter before we entertain those conversations though.

Right now, Miguel Sime Jr. is a moldable ball of clay with a 100 MPH fastball. The Nats will be able to test out plenty of secondary pitches and see which one he has the best feel for. They will also be looking at his mechanics to see if there is anything to tweak there. The upside here is massive though.

I actually think BA and Pipeline are undervaluing Sime a little bit. Pipeline has him as the Nats 20th best prospect and BA has him at 24. Personally, I would probably have him somewhere in the 15-20 range. I get that he is raw, but arms like this do not exactly grow on trees.

It will be a long trek to the majors for the youngster, but the sky is the limit. I am so excited to see how he looks this season. Right now, I cannot put a ceiling on Sime. With control challenged flame throwers like Jacob Misiorowski succeeding, I just want to see what Sime can do.

If his control is even fringy, he can be a very exciting prospect. Scouting can be simple sometimes. Take the chance on the giant dude who throws 100 MPH. That is what the Washington Nationals did with Miguel Sime Jr., and hopefully it pays off.

Source: https://www.federalbaseball.com/mlb...be-breakout-prospect-for-washington-nationals

 

[Washington Nationals]

What has been your favorite move made by new Washington Nationals POBO Paul Toboni this offseason?

WASHINGTON, DC - OCTOBER 01: The Washington Nationals formally introduce their new Washington Nationals President of Baseball Operations, Paul Toboni at Nationals Park in Washington, DC on October 01, 2025. FROM LEFT TO RIGHT, Robert Tanenbaum, Paul Toboni and Mark Lerner. (Photo by Marvin Joseph/The Washington Post via Getty Images)

As we enter a new month, I want to make a point of posing questions to the audience. The first question I wanted to ask you guys is what has been your favorite move Paul Toboni has made this offseason? In his first winter as President of Baseball Operations, Toboni has made a few moves, which we will review. Towards the end, I will decide on my favorite.

Ford for Ferrer Swap

The first major move he made was an attempt to fix the Nats catching position. He traded reliever Jose A. Ferrer to the Mariners for Harry Ford and Isaac Lyon. Ford is the real prize here and could be the Nats starting catcher on Opening Day.

The Mariners trade catcher Harry Ford and pitching prospect Isaac Lyon to the Nationals for reliever Jose Ferrer.

Ford is the #42 ranked prospect in MLB pic.twitter.com/0T53cXA7bU

— Talkin' Baseball (@TalkinBaseball_) December 6, 2025

Toboni took advantage of a unique situation in Seattle. While Ford is a top catching prospect, he had no chance of being anything more than a backup catcher due to Cal Raleigh. Ford was completely blocked, and the longer he stayed in Seattle as a backup, the more his value would go down. This meant that the Mariners were looking to get rid of him.

The Nats, who have had abysmal catcher play the past couple of years, jumped on this opportunity. While I like Jose A. Ferrer, and think he will be a key piece in the Mariners bullpen, getting a starting catcher for him would be a win. Relievers, especially good, but not elite ones like Ferrer are not that hard to find. It is much harder to find a quality starting catcher.

Harry Ford is unlikely to ever be a top five catcher in baseball, but he projects as a solid starter. He has a great eye at the plate to go with solid contact and power. His defense is a work in progress, but has gotten better over the years. Ford also has the natural athleticism that makes further improvement possible. Considering where the Nats are in their build, this is a very smart swap.

The Prospect for Prospect Trade

Paul Toboni’s next move was with his former club, the Boston Red Sox. The two teams pulled off the rare prospect for prospect swap. Toboni acquired flame thrower Luis Perales from the Red Sox in exchange for Jake Bennett, a high floor left handed pitcher.

We have acquired RHP Luis Perales from the Boston Red Sox for LHP Jake Bennett.

— Washington Nationals (@Nationals) December 16, 2025

You do not see this kind of trade very often, but given Toboni’s knowledge of the Red Sox farm system, this move is not overly surprising. The Nats are shooting for the stars with Perales, while the Red Sox valued the safety of Bennett.

Back in 2024, Perales was breaking into the top 100 prospect lists before blowing out his elbow midseason. He was forced to undergo Tommy John Surgery, missing the rest of 2024 and most of 2025. When Perales came back, his stuff was as good as ever, but his command was shaky.

It is pretty common to see pitchers struggle with command when they first come back from Tommy John. Control tends to be the last thing to come back after these major injuries. The stuff was absolutely filthy though. In the Arizona Fall League, his fastball averaged 99 MPH and he had a few nasty secondary pitches to go with it.

Getting that control back will be key for Perales. He was making strides with his command before going down with that injury. If he is in the zone, the stuff will play. I think Perales will end up being a nasty reliever, but he still has a chance to start. This is an upside play from Toboni, and one that intrigues me.

The Blockbuster Trade

The biggest move Paul Toboni made this offseason was trading Nats ace MacKenzie Gore to the Rangers for a five prospect package. Toboni decided to go with a quantity over quality package, but all five prospects have promise, even if none is a sure thing.

Full trade, per ESPN sources:

Rangers get: LHP MacKenzie Gore

Nationals get: 3B Gavin Fien, SS Devin Fitz-Gerald, RHP Alejandro Rosario, 1B Abimelec Ortiz and and OF Yeremy Cabrera

A big return for the Nationals. Fien was the 12th pick last year. Evaluators love Fitz-Gerald.

— Jeff Passan (@JeffPassan) January 22, 2026

Gavin Fien is the biggest name in the deal. He was the 12th pick in the 2025 draft out of high school. Fien has a rare blend of hitting ability and power. While he was a shortstop in high school, third base should be his home in pro ball. Fien is years away from the big leagues, but he has the chance to quickly establish himself as a top 100 prospect.

The Nats grabbed another young infielder in the deal, with Toboni targeting Devin Fitz-Gerald. He is a switch hitting infielder with a real feel for hitting. Fitz-Gerald is likely to be a second baseman, but his bat has major potential.

In his pro debut, Fitz-Gerald walked more than he struck out and showed surprising power. His season was cut short due to a shoulder injury, but he should be good to go this season. Fitz-Gerald is another prospect with major helium entering this season.

Alejandro Rosario might have the most upside of anyone in the deal, but also has so many questions. He blew out his elbow last February, but did not undergo Tommy John Surgery for whatever reason. Rosario should have the surgery any day now. This means he will have missed two seasons.

When he was on the mound, Rosario was dominant. His fastball was in the upper 90’s and he paired it with two plus secondaries. He also had elite control to go with it in 2024. After the multi-year layoff, there is no telling if he will be the same guy. If he does return to form, the Nats got a steal.

Abimelec Ortiz and Yeremy Cabrera are also two solid pieces, but do not have the upside of the other three. Overall, I thought the package was solid, but not mind blowing. The Nats did not get a top 100 prospect in this deal, which makes things risky. There is no true headliner, but a few of these guys have breakout potential. Toboni is betting on his ability to develop these prospects.

The Lone Free Agent Signing

The Nats have not been active in free agency, but they did make one signing. They gave LHP Foster Griffin a 1-year $5.5 million deal back in December. Griffin is coming off a highly successful three year run in Japan, where he was one of the best pitchers in the NPB.

Source confirms: Free-agent LHP Foster Griffin in agreement with Nationals on one-year, $5.5M contract. First: @ByRobertMurray.

— Ken Rosenthal (@Ken_Rosenthal) December 16, 2025

The Nats are going to give Griffin an opportunity to be in the rotation. While Griffin does not throw very hard, he does a lot of things well. He is a crafty lefty with a deep arsenal. His ability to throw strikes and keep hitters off balance really worked in Japan.

Griffin added a number of different pitches to his arsenal over the past few years. It is not a flashy pickup by any means, but Griffin is an interesting flier. He posted a 1.52 ERA in Japan last season.

It remains to be seen if Griffin’s low 90’s heater will work in the MLB, but it is only a one year deal. Hopefully the Nats sign another free agent starter to pair with Griffin. The Nats have a real lack of proven commodities on the pitching staff, which is concerning even in a rebuilding year.

My Favorite Move

I am a fan of most of these moves, but my favorite is the Harry Ford trade. It is just a very smart deal to make. Toboni took advantage of a unique situation in Seattle and got his hands on a potential starting catcher. The Nats catching situation was so bad last season, and they needed to find a new option.

While Ferrer is a good reliever, he is not elite. It is much harder to find a solid starting catcher than it is to find a solid reliever. Ford has hit every step of the way in the Minor Leagues and I have faith in him. He will never be a star, but the Nats have been starving for a decent starting catcher for years.

The Ford move is my favorite, but you can make a case for a number of these deals. Let me know what your favorite move is in the comments down below. Also, if you think the Nats will regret any of these moves, you should talk about that as well. It has been an interesting first offseason for Paul Toboni, and we are not done yet.

Source: https://www.federalbaseball.com/gen...shington-nationals-pobo-paul-toboni-offseason

 

[Washington Nationals]

The Washington Nationals Still Need Bullpen Help. Here Are Their Best Remaining Options

ARLINGTON, TX - AUGUST 26: Danny Coulombe #54 of the Texas Rangers pitches during a game against the Los Angeles Angels at Globe Life Field on August 26, 2025 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Bailey Orr/Texas Rangers/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Nationals figure to have an exciting lineup in 2026, with a combination of proven talent such as James Wood and CJ Abrams, youngsters who have flashed upside such as Daylen Lile and Dylan Crews, and still relatively unknown commodities such as Harry Ford and Brady House. While the lineup will certainly be worth watching this season, it’s hard to say the same about the Nationals’ pitching staff.

According to Fangraphs, the Nationals’ starting rotation and bullpen both rank 30th out of 30 in projected fWAR in 2026, respectively. While the starting rotation is only the worst by a little, the bullpen is far and away the worst in the sport according to Fangraphs, with its projected combined fWAR of 0.4 being 0.7 behind the 2nd worst unit, the San Francisco Giants.

I’ve discussed starting pitching options the Nats should be looking to bring in before pitchers and catchers report soon, now let’s take a look at some options on the bullpen side of things, to take the unit from awful to at least bearable in 2026.

LHP Justin Wilson

After a tough 2024 season in which the 36-year-old Wilson posted a 5.59 ERA and 4.73 FIP in 46.2 IP, it appeared Wilson’s career was nearing its end. After an effective 2025 in which he posted a 3.35 ERA and 2.95 FIP in 48.1 IP, it looks like the now 38 year old Wilson still has some juice left in the tank after all.

One of the things Wilson does most effectively is generate swing and miss, something Paul Toboni is looking to add to a bullpen unit that sorely lacks it currently. In 2025, Wilson posted a 74th percentile chase rate and 91st percentile whiff rate, good for a 27.5% strikeout rate, ranking in the 82nd percentile among all relievers. His fastball and slider are his go-to swing and miss pitches, both having a whiff rate over 30%, but he’ll also mix in the occasional cutter and splitter to keep hitters guessing.

While Wilson was exactly 50th percentile in average exit velocity in 2025, it doesn’t affect him as much as others because he excels at keeping the ball on the ground, with a 72nd percentile groundball rate in 2025, resulting in a strong 72nd percentile barrel rate (which accounts for both the exit velocity and launch angle of a batted ball).

The 38-year-old Wilson seems like a pitcher that a contender would have taken a chance on by now, but if his market just isn’t where he expected it to be by now, the Nationals should jump into negotiations and get a deal done. Whether he ends up closing games or being a setup man, Wilson would be a big boost for a currently very shaky bullpen.

LHP Danny Coulombe

Coulombe was dominating in the first half of 2025 with the Twins, posting a 1.16 ERA and 2.01 FIP in 31 IP with them, before seeing the results disappear in the second half after being traded to the Rangers, as well as dealing with a shoulder injury, resulting in a 5.25 ERA and 6.64 FIP in 12 IP for them. The 36-year-olds market has been quiet this offseason, offering the Nats a chance to swoop in and offer him a situation where he’ll have nearly unlimited attempts at finding what he had going on early in 2025.

Coulombe has been nothing but consistent throughout his entire big league career, posting an ERA under 3 every year since 2022 and an ERA over 4 only once since 2017, resulting in a career ERA of 3.35. One of the key reasons for his success is his ability to limit barrels, whether it be by keeping hard contact to a minimum or keeping the ball on the ground.

Coulombe does not throw hard, ranking 6th percentile in fastball velocity in 2025, but it doesn’t matter because his primary pitch is actually his cutter, which he throws 40% of the time to great success, posting a 36.4% whiff rate and .291 xwOBA with the pitch in 2025. Outside of the cutter, he relies on a multitude of pitches to rack up outs, with sinkers against lefties and sweepers against righties being his other go-to pitches.

RHP Scott Barlow

While the results lagged behind the peripherals in 2025 for Barlow, posting a 4.21 ERA and 4.70 FIP in 68.1 IP, there are reasons to believe he can be more effective and potentially even break out in 2026, the type of pitchers the Nationals should be all over right now in free agency.

One thing Barlow did extremely well in 2025 was limit hard contact, posting a 96th percentile average exit velocity and 99th percentile hard hit rate. He also did a strong job of keeping the ball on the ground, with a 60th percentile groundball rate, resulting in a 66th percentile barrel rate. He also generated plenty of swing-and-misses in 2025, with an 87th percentile whiff rate and 67th percentile strikeout rate overall.

So if Barlow was both limiting hard contact and getting swing-and-misses in 2025, why weren’t his results better? The issue that plagued Barlow was walks, and he gave up a lot of them, with his 14.9% walk rate ranking in the bottom 1st percentile among relievers in 2025. Hitters had a hard time doing damage off Barlow’s stuff, but as long as they worked the count enough, odds were, Barlow was going to beat himself for them.

While the walk issue might be enough to scare contenders away from the 33-year-old Barlow, the reason the Nats should be taking a shot on him is that it was an outlier year for him in terms of that issue, as it was a 2% jump in walk rate from 2024 to 2025. With proper coaching, there is the potential of Barlow getting the walks back under control, which could make him an extremely effective piece out of the pen for Butera to use.

Source: https://www.federalbaseball.com/gen...-bullpen-help-here-are-best-remaining-options

 

[Washington Nationals]

Dylan Crews is the Washington Nationals player I can’t quit

WASHINGTON, DC - SEPTEMBER 26: Dylan Crews #3 of the Washington Nationals bats against the Chicago White Sox at Nationals Park on September 26, 2025 in Washington, DC. (Photo by G Fiume/Getty Images) | Getty Images

There are some players that just look the part. Dylan Crews firmly falls into that category. Despite not producing in his first year and change in the MLB, I still have a lot of faith in him. Some of that may be irrational, but Crews just looks like he should be a really good player.

His time at LSU was absolutely legendary. Crews is one of the best college baseball players of the 21st century. He hit .426 in his last year of college before being picked second overall in 2023. I have a hard time believing the player who did that could turn into a bust.

2023 Dylan Crews:

.426/.567/.713
182 WRC+
18 HR
100 R
70 RBI
1.54 BB/K

Build the Statue @LSUbaseball pic.twitter.com/9Zmt1uxIhC

— Reech (@Reech___) January 16, 2026

Crews, who turns 24 this month, is at a key point in his career. So far, he has not come close to living up to expectations. However, he is still young enough to turn things around. Crews needs to start showing something for fans to continue to believe in his star upside. He looks the part, but he also needs to produce.

His pedigree and tools will give him plenty of chances, but eventually he has to stop sucking. Crews has shown flashes of power, contact skills, speed and defense, but he has not put it all together.

2026 Hitter Breakout Pick – Dylan Crews!

-> Strong Power + Speed Combo
-> Just has to stay healthy and stop sucking! pic.twitter.com/YPy7aRlOY4

— Jon Anderson (@JonPgh) December 23, 2025

This new development team is also giving me another excuse to believe in Crews. One of Dylan Crews’ biggest problems is that he puts the ball on the ground too much. His GB rate was 56% in his cup of coffee in 2024 and 50.2% last year. It is tough to do damage when you aren’t consistently elevating the ball. Crews is not ever going to be a pulled flyball guy, but hopefully the new regime can turn some of those ground balls into line drives.

It would be silly to give up on Dylan Crews

Especially now since the Nationals have completely revamped their coaching staff, he has new tools to enhance his game this offseason

He’s going to take it to another level in 2026, mark my wordspic.twitter.com/Tz4NXZ5pNt https://t.co/YVGmGh2Y6J

— Kev (@klwoodjr) December 23, 2025

I think the best version of Dylan Crews as a hitter is a line drive oriented guy. That is what I think Crews is at his core. Selling out for power just does not feel like it comes naturally to him. He should lean into being a gap to gap guy who has the power to punish mistakes.

Honestly, Crews should try to emulate Ryan Zimmerman as a hitter. Zimmerman always tried to pepper that right-center gap with doubles and homers. However, he was able to turn on those inside pitches. While pulling the ball in the air is optimal, it is not for everyone. It just does not feel like that is Crews’ game, and it does not have to be.

Brady House is the type of player who I think needs to be able to pull the ball in the air. He does not have great offensive tools outside of power, so he needs to maximize that power. Crews does have solid contact ability and a decent approach, even if it has not totally translated to the MLB yet.

Even if it is irrational, I have a ton of confidence that Crews will be a solid starter. My biggest question is if he still has that star potential. I still think it is in there, but it is a less likely outcome now compared to when he was drafted. While I am still very bullish about Crews, you can’t deny reality either.

Can we expect Dylan Crews to breakout in 2026??#nationals #washingondc #mlb #baseball #washingtonnationals #maryland pic.twitter.com/hRx1F0xsrR

— Locked On Nationals Podcast (@LO_Nationals) January 15, 2026

He may have hit .208 with a .632 OPS last year, but there is still so much more in the tank for Crews. I think he can be a .255 hitter with a .750 OPS next season. At his peak, Crews has the talent to be a .270ish hitter with an .820ish OPS. With his defense in the outfield, that is All-Star level.

Dylan Crews may never be the Andrew McCutchen type MVP candidate we thought he would be when he was drafted. However, I cannot give up on him yet, not even close. Watching him move on the field just feels right. He looks like he should be really good. That may be totally unscientific, but some guys just have an it-factor. Dylan Crews has it, and it is why I cannot quit him.

Source: https://www.federalbaseball.com/general/88703/dylan-crews-washington-nationals-player-cant-quit

 

[Washington Nationals]

What will be the biggest positional battles for the Washington Nationals at Spring Training?

WASHINGTON, DC - AUGUST 30: Robert Hassell III #57 of the Washington Nationals bats against the Tampa Bay Rays at Nationals Park on August 30, 2025 in Washington, DC. (Photo by G Fiume/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Spring Training will be a massive opportunity for so many players on this roster. With a new regime coming in, everyone will be evaluated and spots will be up for grabs. There are going to be camp competitions all over this roster. I wanted to break down some of the competitions to watch.

We did a deep dive on the catcher battle yesterday, so we will avoid that. However, there are so many more competitions to discuss. There are open spots up and down this roster. From the bullpen, to first base, to bench spots, roster spots are up for grabs.

First Base Job Up For Grabs:

The most wide open competition of the spring could be for the first base job. Unless the Nats sign Rhys Hoskins or Paul Goldschmidt, there will be a true competition. There are four or five contenders that all could realistically win the job. In the end, I think there will be a platoon, but there are a number of candidates.

There are five players who I think are in the mix here. Abimelec Ortiz, Matt Mervis, Warming Bernabel, Andres Chaparro and Yohandy Morales will all get chances. Mervis and Bernabel signed minor league deals with Spring Training invites, but have MLB experience. Chaparro also has MLB experience and has mashed in AAA. However, none of these guys have been great in the MLB.

My favorite of the group is Abimelec Ortiz. The Nats acquired him from the Rangers in the MacKenzie Gore deal. While he has not made his MLB debut yet, he was fantastic in AAA last year. Ortiz has big time power, but also has the angles to consistently pull the ball in the air for home runs.

Abimelec Ortiz | 1B/OF | 23 yo

Ortiz, the only prospect with a chance to debut in 2026, likely will, and may very well play lots of 1B in DC this year.

556 PA in AA, AAA (2025):
.257/.356/.479 | 25 HR | 89 RBI
4/6 SB | 53 XBH | 22-K% | 12-BB%

53 XBHs.pic.twitter.com/MJrhBU8G70

— Nats Of The Future (@NatsOfTheFuture) January 23, 2026

Morales may have even more raw power than Ortiz, but his angles are not as good. He hits the ball on the ground much more than you would like from a power hitter. Morales also struck at a 30% clip in AAA last year. While he has the most upside of the group, he is still raw. However, with a big spring, Morales has a chance to win the job.

This is a true competition though. There are not any clear favorites right now. Unless the Nats sign a 1B in free agency, this will be a fight that won’t be decided until the very end of Spring Training. May the best man win.

A Look at the Outfield Situation

The outfield is the strength of this Nationals team. They have stars like James Wood, but also plenty of depth. As of right now, Wood, Daylen Lile, Dylan Crews and Jacob Young seem like locks to make the team. However, I think the Nats are going to carry a fifth outfielder.

If they decide to do that, there will be plenty of candidates. Christian Franklin, Robert Hassell, Joey Wiemer and Andrew Pinckney are all in play for that role. A lot of times teams only carry four outfielders, but the Nats have so many guys in the outfield. They will also be rotating a lot of these players in the DH position.

Robert Hassell III is the most high profile of these names. He was one of the prizes of the Juan Soto trade in 2022, but has not developed as expected. Hassell finally showed some promise in AAA last year, but really struggled in the MLB.

In an event the other day, Blake Butera said that Hassell added 25 pounds of bulk this offseason. While he clearly had room to fill out, 25 pounds feels like a lot to me. Nats fans are going to be skeptical about this after the Jacob Young situation last year. Adding that much mass as an athletic outfielder has negatives.

Blake Butera said @robert_hassell3 put on 25 pounds of bulk. pic.twitter.com/rHL8jX5E6O

— Talk Nats (@TalkNats) January 31, 2026

However, Hassell clearly thought he needed to add more power. Based on his MLB production, he clearly needed to change something. While he is the highest profile name, I do not think he is the favorite.

My favorite player of the group is Christian Franklin. The Nats acquired him at the deadline in part of the Michael Soroka trade. He had a nice year in AAA last year and should be MLB ready at 26. Franklin is a well-rounded player who can do a bit of everything. I really like the idea of him as a platoon bat who specializes against left handed pitching.

Joey Wiemer is also a name to watch. Paul Toboni picked him up off of waivers this offseason. He is a tremendous athlete with big power, but is not a great hitter. He will get a shot to make the roster. Andrew Pinckney has a similar profile to Wiemer. He is a non-roster invite, so he will be on the outside looking in. Franklin is my favorite, but this is an open competition.

What is up With the Bullpen

The Nationals bullpen is painfully short on proven commodities. Despite the ‘pen being a clear need, Toboni has not signed any veterans to reinforce the group. Instead, he is relying on waiver claims and internal development.

Last year, Mike Rizzo tried the veteran route, and it failed miserably. So, I suppose Toboni’s lower profile strategy deserves a shot. The Nats have a few young, interesting relief arms like Cole Henry, Clayton Beeter, PJ Poulin and Griff McGarry, who should make the team.

However, there are so many spots up for grabs. Jackson Rutledge, Orlando Ribalta and Julian Fernandez have big league experience, but they have not been great. Can Toboni unlock anything in those three? I think Rutledge has a good slider he should throw more and Ribalta looks very good when he is on. They have been very inconsistent though.

Then there are the waiver claims. Just this offseason, Toboni has claimed Paxton Schultz, Gus Varland, Richard Lovelady and George Soriano. Some of these guys are bound to contribute in some way. They could also be DFA’d at any moment based on how Toboni uses the wire.

My favorite of the waiver wire pick ups is Paxton Schultz. He showed some really nice things as a swing man for the Blue Jays last year. His MLB debut was memorable, striking out 8 in 4.1 innings. He has a good chance of being a solid, versatile piece for the Nats.

What a debut

8 strikeouts by Paxton Schultz TIES the @MLB record for the MOST in a debut by a reliever! #lightsupletsgo pic.twitter.com/NvjMMuZCDN

— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) April 20, 2025

The other guys I do not have as much faith in. Gus Varland was solid in 2024, but had an injury riddled season last year. Lovelady gets ground balls, but has mostly struggled at the MLB level. George Soriano has good stuff, but had a brutal 2025. Maybe one of these guys can find a new level with the Nats. Regardless, there are a lot of options in the bullpen, but none of them are proven.

Other Competitions to Watch:

These three camp battles are the ones I am most fascinated about, but there are more. The rotation has a lot of uncertainty as well. There have been rumblings that the Nats could sign another starter, but that has not happened yet.

Right now, Cade Cavalli, Foster Griffin, Jake Irvin, Brad Lord and Josiah Gray seem fairly likely to be the starting five. However, Mitchell Parker and Andrew Alvarez will also be in the mix. Luis Perales could even get a shot if he has a phenomenal spring.

There will also be a competition for the bench spot on the infield. Nasim Nunez is the favorite to win that battle. However, Jose Tena and Orelvis Martinez will also be vying for that spot.

This Nats team is so unsettled, and I don’t necessarily think that is a bad thing. Paul Toboni is treating this like an evaluation year. Spring Training will be the first data point in that evaluation. I think there are going to be a lot of roster moves throughout the season and a lot of these players will be getting chances. If guys aren’t performing, they will be at risk of being replaced.

Source: https://www.federalbaseball.com/was...tles-for-washington-nationals-spring-training